UCF at Oklahoma Game Matchup

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma -17 (67.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Oklahoma 31 - UCF: 29 (Big 12)

Knights (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (21 - 9)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.2 MPH
UCF coming off BYE
OKLA coming off BYE
Our Line: Oklahoma -16 (SP+ OKLA -12)
Projected Score: UCF: 22 - OKLA: 38 (52)
OKLA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
UCF Travel: 1055 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Sooners (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Venables (9 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (30 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.9 - 2.1 (#5)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCF Players
OKLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCF's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UCF vs Kent State	-35.0	54.0	W 56 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/9	UCF at Boise State	-3.0	58.5	W 18 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/16	UCF vs Villanova	-26.5	54.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCF at Kansas State	+6.0	53.5	L 31 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	UCF vs Baylor	-8.0	56.5	L 35 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/7	UCF at Kansas	-2.0	65.0	L 22 - 51	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UCF at Oklahoma	+17.0	67.5	L 29 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCF vs West Virginia	-6.5	59.5	L 28 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/4	UCF at Cincinnati	-3.5	59.5	W 28 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCF vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	63.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UCF at Texas Tech	+2.0	59.0	L 23 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCF vs Houston	-15.5	61.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Fri 12/22	UCF vs Georgia Tech	-6.0	66.5	L 17 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule

Oklahoma's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oklahoma vs Arkansas State	-36.0	57.5	W 73 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oklahoma vs SMU	-16.5	68.5	W 28 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oklahoma at Tulsa	-28.0	58.5	W 66 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Oklahoma at Cincinnati	-13.0	58.0	W 20 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oklahoma vs Iowa State	-19.5	48.5	W 50 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Oklahoma vs Texas	+4.0	62.0	W 34 - 30	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Oklahoma vs UCF	-17.0	67.5	W 31 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/28	Oklahoma at Kansas	-7.0	66.5	L 33 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Oklahoma at Oklahoma State	-6.0	61.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	Oklahoma vs West Virginia	-13.5	59.5	W 59 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Oklahoma at BYU	-24.5	58.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Oklahoma vs TCU	-12.5	66.5	W 69 - 45	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Oklahoma vs Arizona	+2.5	59.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCF	.24	47%	30.4	51%	3.38	228	44%	241	4.08	.21	41%	26.9	40%	43%	3.53	46.4	1.5	1.5
OKLA	.27	47%	24	50%	3.38	220	45%	255	3.95	.23	44%	21.5	44%	44%	4.06	50.2	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCF Offense	14	30.4	27	47.4%	4.08	1.5	24	469	228	241	5.2	53%	46%	51%	44%	14%	.24
OKLA Defense	13	21.5	15.9	43.5%	4.06	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	44%	44%	18%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCF Defense	14	26.9	32.4	41.2%	3.53	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	43%	16%	.21
OKLA Offense	13	24	29.7	47.1%	3.95	1.2	24	475	220	255	4.9	53%	46%	50%	45%	14%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCF	14	30:51	24.2	46%	63%	4.9	46.4	1.5	1.5	5	1.5	2	28
Oklahoma	13	26:19	23.8	41%	41%	5.7	50.2	1.2	1.9	7.8	2.2	0	27.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCF Offense	14	53%	51%	43.9	228	5.2	35	.29	3.38	73%	10%	1.05
OKLA Defense	13	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.12	68%	11%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCF Defense	14	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.16	2.95	66%	10%	1.12
OKLA Offense	13	53%	50%	44.6	219.9	4.9	28	.26	3.38	76%	9%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCF Offense	14	46%	44%	20.8	32.2	241.2	7.5	11.6	22	9	.21	1.4	27%	32%	.27	4%	1.9
OKLA Defense	13	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.3	1.6	32%	32%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCF Defense	14	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.3	1.5	33%	30%	.29	6%	1.9
OKLA Offense	13	46%	45%	19.3	31.3	254.6	8.1	13.2	27	8	.31	1.6	30%	31%	.31	5%	2

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 3.43 #46
UCF's Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
UCF's Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
2023 Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
UCF's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF: 3.43 Oklahoma: 20.015

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 4.5 Oklahoma: 16.4

Oklahoma's Power Ratings
Oklahoma's Power Rating: 20.015 #7
Oklahoma's Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Oklahoma's Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
2023 Talent Rating: 1014.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Oklahoma's 2023 Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10
Oklahoma's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Oklahoma's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Oklahoma's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UCF Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27
Defense: 26.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.4

UCF's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oklahoma 38
UCF 22

Projected Total Points: 52

Oklahoma Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Oklahoma's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Oklahoma	31	UCF	29	Oklahoma	Oklahoma -17	UCF	67.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma	1	0	0 Overs
UCF	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#46) UCF Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.43 #46
Offense Rating: 22.78 #23
Defense Rating: 11.34 #89
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 #48
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #54
Talent Rating: 574.00 #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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UCF Ratings Matchup Oklahoma

Power #46

Off #23

Def #89

#19

Talent #77

#13

SP+ #48

#13

SP+ Off #35

SP+ Def #54

#33

Rematch from Week 8
Oklahoma -17.0 (67.5)
Oklahoma won vs UCF this year (31-29)

Previous Matchups
Oklahoma beat UCF in 2023 (31-29)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 82° - Wind: 16 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UCF | OKLA
Depth Chart: UCF | OKLA
Rosters: UCF | OKLA

(#7) Oklahoma Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.015 #7
Offense Rating: 26.78 #8
Defense Rating: 3.74 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.4 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 1014.00 #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 71 #5
Expected Record: 10.90 - 2.10

Team Profile

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UCF's OC Darin Hinshaw

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Timmy McClain (Tr)	14	21	67%	163	3	0	7.8
RJ Harvey	1	1	100%	18	0	0	18.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
RJ Harvey	232	1577	22	6.8	80
Jordan Mcdonald	53	361	3	6.8	41
Johnny Richardson	25	119	0	4.8	12
Timmy McClain (Tr)	19	39	1	2.1	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kobe Hudson	47	770	4	16.4	53
RJ Harvey	20	267	3	13.4	75
Tyler Griffin	8	193	1	24.1	40
Trent Whittemore (Tr)	7	132	0	18.9	54

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC David Gibbs

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Xavier Williams (Tr)	75	3	0	0	3
Quadric Bullard	61	3	1	1	2
Nikai Martinez	51	3	0	1	2
K.D. McDaniel	42	3	2	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ricky Barber	34	5	3	8	0
K.D. McDaniel	42	3	2	3	1
Quadric Bullard	61	3	1	1	2
Jarvis Ware	29	1	1	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Corey Thornton	38	0	0	1	6
Jarvis Ware	29	1	1	0	4
Fred Davis II (Tr)	17	3	0	0	4

Oklahoma's OC Jeff Lebby

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dillon Gabriel	326	447	73%	3857	30	6	8.6
General Booty	29	54	54%	306	2	2	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tawee Walker	190	864	10	4.5	55
Daylan Smothers	89	571	6	6.4	53
Marcus Major	78	352	3	4.5	40
Dillon Gabriel	75	149	7	2.0	54

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LV Bunkley-Shelton	30	322	0	10.7	34
Daylan Smothers	19	263	2	13.8	72
Marcus Major	20	144	1	7.2	25
Gavin Freeman	6	45	0	7.5	23

View Oklahoma's Full Roster

Oklahoma's DC Todd Bates

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Danny Stutsman	110	8	1	3	0
Billy Bowman	55	3	0	1	3
Shane Whitter	49	2	0	2	3
D.J. Graham	42	3	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Downs	29	9	3	2	2
Trace Ford (Tr)	22	4	2	1	1
Danny Stutsman	110	8	1	3	0
Reggie Grimes	2	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Billy Bowman	55	3	1	3
Shane Whitter	49	2	2	3
D.J. Graham	42	3	0	2