USC at Colorado - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
USC -22 (74.5) (0) Open: 0.0
USC 48 - Colorado: 41 (Pac-12)

Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USC 2nd straight Road Game
COLO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: USC -10 (SP+ USC -13.5)
Projected Score: USC: 37 - COLO: 27 (56)
USC Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
USC Travel: 828 miles, 1 hrs behind

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USC Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

USC's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	USC vs San José State	-31.5	66.0	W 56 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/2	USC vs Nevada	-37.5	63.5	W 66 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	USC vs Stanford	-28.5	70.5	W 56 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	USC at Arizona State	-34.5	62.0	W 42 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/30	USC at Colorado	-22.0	74.5	W 48 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/7	USC vs Arizona	-21.0	69.5	W 43 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/14	USC at Notre Dame	+3.0	61.0	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	USC vs Utah	-7.5	51.5	L 32 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/28	USC at California	-10.5	67.5	W 50 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/4	USC vs Washington	+3.0	76.0	L 42 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/11	USC at Oregon	+12.5	78.5	L 27 - 36	U	Y
Sat 11/18	USC vs UCLA	-6.0	65.5	L 20 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/27	USC vs Louisville	+4.5	58.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado at TCU	+20.5	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Nebraska	-2.5	56.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Colorado State	-23.0	63.0	W 43 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Colorado at Oregon	+21.0	70.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/30	Colorado vs USC	+22.0	74.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Colorado at Arizona State	-3.0	58.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Colorado vs Stanford	-13.0	59.0	L 43 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Colorado at UCLA	+14.0	60.0	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Colorado vs Oregon State	+13.0	60.5	L 19 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs Arizona	+6.0	55.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/17	Colorado at Washington State	+4.5	59.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+21.5	43.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USC	.4	51%	30.2	53%	3.52	171	50%	335	4.68	.29	48%	24.1	53%	46%	4.54	58	0.5	2.1
COLO	.01	36%	32.9	42%	2.86	108	32%	173	3.3	.41	53%	23.1	55%	51%	4.9	48.3	1.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USC Offense	14	30.2	21.8	51.3%	4.68	0.5	26	506	171	335	5.1	44%	56%	53%	50%	11%	.4
COLO Defense	12	23.1	22.5	52.7%	4.9	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	55%	51%	13%	.41

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USC Defense	14	24.1	23.8	48.4%	4.54	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	53%	46%	17%	.29
COLO Offense	12	32.9	38.7	36.1%	3.3	1.8	16	281	108	173	3.4	47%	51%	42%	32%	23%	.01

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
USC	14	31:54	25.7	54%	68%	6.3	58	0.5	2.1	5.5	2.9	3	28.2
Colorado	12	27:23	15.8	32%	37%	5.3	48.3	1.8	1.1	4.1	0.8	1	26.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USC Offense	14	44%	53%	33.8	171.1	5.1	30	.3	3.52	83%	7%	0.97
COLO Defense	12	48%	55%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.22	75%	8%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USC Defense	14	44%	53%	-	-	-	-	.36	3.45	78%	10%	1.14
COLO Offense	12	47%	42%	32.3	108.3	3.4	11	.09	2.86	82%	13%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USC Offense	14	56%	50%	24.6	36.7	335.3	9.1	13.7	43	5	.48	1.6	28%	36%	.49	4%	2.2
COLO Defense	12	52%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.53	1.6	27%	44%	.68	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USC Defense	14	55%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.27	1.5	29%	36%	.42	7%	2
COLO Offense	12	51%	32%	14.9	30	172.9	5.8	11.6	10	10	.02	1.6	36%	21%	.15	10%	2.2

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 9.81 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: 9.81 Colorado: -1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 7.9 Colorado: -5.4

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
USC 37
Colorado 27

Projected Total Points: 56

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Colorado	41	USC	48	USC	USC -22	Colorado	74.5	Over
2022	11/11	USC	55	Colorado	17	USC	USC -34	USC	66.0	Over
2021	10/02	Colorado	14	USC	37	USC	USC -9	USC	50.5	Over
2019	10/25	Colorado	31	USC	35	USC	USC -10.5	Colorado	65.0	Over
2018	10/13	USC	31	Colorado	20	USC	USC -7	USC	57.0	Under
2017	11/11	Colorado	24	USC	38	USC	USC -14	NA	63.0	Under
2016	10/08	USC	21	Colorado	17	USC	USC -4	Push	62.5	Under
2015	11/13	Colorado	24	USC	27	USC	USC -14.5	Colorado	58.5	Under
2014	10/18	USC	56	Colorado	28	USC	USC -20.5	USC	0
2013	11/23	Colorado	29	USC	47	USC	USC -21.5	Colorado	0
2012	10/20	USC	50	Colorado	6	USC
2011	11/04	Colorado	17	USC	42	USC
2002	09/14	Colorado	3	USC	40	USC
2000	09/08	USC	17	Colorado	14	USC

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	0	4	4 Overs
USC	14	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 8	7 - 1	3 - 0	4 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 6	1 - 7	1 - 4	0 - 3

(#23) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.81 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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USC Ratings Matchup Colorado

Power #23

#73

Off #7

#50

Def #119

#121

Talent #33

#40

SP+ #38

#83

SP+ Off #3

#45

SP+ Def #109

#116

Rematch from Week 5
USC 22.0 (74.5)
USC won at Colorado this year (48-41)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Colorado in 2023 (48-41)
USC beat Colorado in 2022 (55-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68°

Team Information
Injuries: USC | COLO
Depth Chart: USC | COLO
Rosters: USC | COLO

(#73) Colorado Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1 #73
Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116
Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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USC's OC Josh Henson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Malachi Nelson	12	17	71%	128	0	1	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Darwin Barlow	9	62	6.9	14
Raleek Brown	9	42	4.7	14
Mario Williams	2	12	6.0	13
Malachi Nelson	2	-11	-5.5	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Williams	48	831	4	17.3	68
Dorian Singer (Tr)	53	702	1	13.2	40
Jude Wolfe	18	161	2	8.9	32
Darwin Barlow	3	31	0	10.3	17

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Cobb (Tr)	72	3	0	0	3
Jaylin Smith	58	4	0	0	2
Domani Jackson	51	2	0	1	7
Chris Thompson Jr.	44	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Romello Height	34	7	3	4	0
Korey Foreman	23	5	2	4	1
Stanley Ta'ufo'ou	30	4	2	0	0
Jamil Muhammad (Tr)	27	2	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Domani Jackson	51	2	0	1	7
Ceyair Wright	39	1	1	1	6
DeCarlos Nicholson	27	0	0	0	5

Colorado's OC Sean Lewis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)	353	477	74%	4134	37	10	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Hankerson	232	1082	15	4.7	83
Dylan Edwards	74	546	5	7.4	65
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	23	97	0	4.2	41
Alton McCaskill (Tr)	7	17	0	2.4	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Travis Hunter (Tr)	96	1258	15	13.1	58
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)	37	441	1	11.9	69
Anthony Hankerson	27	151	0	5.6	20
Michael Harrison	18	150	0	8.3	18

View Colorado's Full Roster

Colorado's DC Charles Kelly

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marvin Ham II	98	10	2	1	1
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Shilo Sanders (Tr)	64	3	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
D'Vion Harris (Tr)	53	8	4	2	1
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Marvin Ham II	98	10	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter (Tr)	35	1	0	0	11
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)	40	2	0	1	4
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3