Arizona at USC - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -21 (69.5) (0) Open: 0.0
USC 43 - Arizona: 41 (Pac-12)

Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARIZ is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: USC -0 (SP+ ARIZ -4)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 35 - USC: 35 (69)
USC Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
ARIZ Travel: 442 miles

Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 42 - 34 (45 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARIZ Players
USC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-28.5	61.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Arizona at Mississippi State	+9.0	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Arizona vs UTEP	-18.0	57.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Arizona at Stanford	-13.0	60.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Arizona vs Washington	+20.0	66.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona at USC	+21.0	69.5	L 41 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Arizona at Washington State	+7.5	57.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Arizona vs Oregon State	+3.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona vs UCLA	+2.5	50.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Arizona at Colorado	-6.0	55.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arizona vs Utah	-2.5	45.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arizona at Arizona State	-12.5	48.5	W 59 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

USC's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	USC vs San José State	-31.5	66.0	W 56 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/2	USC vs Nevada	-37.5	63.5	W 66 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	USC vs Stanford	-28.5	70.5	W 56 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	USC at Arizona State	-34.5	62.0	W 42 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/30	USC at Colorado	-22.0	74.5	W 48 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/7	USC vs Arizona	-21.0	69.5	W 43 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/14	USC at Notre Dame	+3.0	61.0	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	USC vs Utah	-7.5	51.5	L 32 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/28	USC at California	-10.5	67.5	W 50 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/4	USC vs Washington	+3.0	76.0	L 42 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/11	USC at Oregon	+12.5	78.5	L 27 - 36	U	Y
Sat 11/18	USC vs UCLA	-6.0	65.5	L 20 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/27	USC vs Louisville	+4.5	58.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	#10 (.34)	51% (6)	34.6	52% (5)	3.26 (40)	140	50% (10)	308	4.42 (29)	#57 (.16)	42% (67)	21.1	43% (71)	41% (62)	3.37 (29)	53	1.1	1.4
USC	#6 (.39)	47% (15)	41.8	48% (20)	3.19 (52)	134	47% (21)	333	4.99 (4)	#122 (.29)	46% (121)	34.4	49% (125)	43% (91)	3.55 (49)	64.9	1.3	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)		37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)		45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2
USC	#41 (.24)	48% (11)		52% (10)	3.49 (9)	138	46% (26)	269	3.76 (85)	#78 (.18)	44% (94)		44% (78)	44% (103)	3.64 (49)	46	1.4	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	13	34.6	37.2	50.6%	4.42	1.1	23	448	140	308	4.6	43%	57%	52%	50%	14%	.34
USC Defense	13	34.4	31	45.8%	3.55	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	49%	43%	14%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	13	21.1	25.7	41.9%	3.37	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	43%	41%	17%	.16
USC Offense	13	41.8	45	47.5%	4.99	1.3	22	467	134	333	4.8	41%	59%	48%	47%	14%	.39

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	13	30:50	23	49%	67%	6.3	53	1.1	1.4	5.3	2.4	1	29.9
USC	13	27:33	22.5	43%	61%	7.3	64.9	1.3	1.2	5.5	1.9	3	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	13	43% (112)	52% (5)	30.6	139.7	4.6	17 (81)	.21 (34)	3.26 (40)	74% (68)	9% (38)	0.9 (109)
USC Defense	13	51% (83)	49% (125)	-	-	-	-	.29 (128)	3.31 (110)	73% (64)	10% (64)	1.07 (100)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	13	46% (21)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.12 (58)	3 (50)	75% (82)	11% (54)	0.97 (51)
USC Offense	13	41% (123)	48% (20)	27.8	133.6	4.8	33 (8)	.29 (8)	3.19 (52)	78% (28)	10% (65)	1.2 (2)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	13	57% (20)	50% (10)	25.5	35.7	308.3	8.6	12.1	36 (5)	11 (68)	.47 (15)	1.6 (68)	29% (19)	41% (6)	.54 (13)	6% (69)	2 (103)
USC Defense	13	49% (60)	43% (91)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.32 (98)	1.7 (90)	31% (87)	34% (115)	.4 (108)	4% (129)	2.1 (92)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	13	53% (115)	41% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.26 (57)	1.5 (48)	34% (38)	32% (95)	.25 (38)	6% (60)	2 (36)
USC Offense	13	59% (10)	47% (21)	24.2	35.5	333	9.4	13.8	37 (4)	6 (14)	.47 (14)	1.7 (20)	29% (22)	37% (14)	.65 (4)	4% (15)	2.3 (12)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 10.35 USC: 11.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.1 USC: 7.9

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.355 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.2
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 35
USC 35

Total Points: 69

USC Scoring
Offense: 41.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 34.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	USC	43	Arizona	41	USC	USC -21	Arizona	69.5	Over
2022	10/29	Arizona	37	USC	45	USC	USC -14	Arizona	74.0	Over
2021	10/30	USC	41	Arizona	34	USC	USC -22	Arizona	55.5	Over
2020	11/14	Arizona	30	USC	34	USC	USC -15	Arizona	67.0	Under
2019	10/19	USC	41	Arizona	14	USC	USC -10	USC	68.0	Under
2018	09/29	Arizona	20	USC	24	USC	USC -3.5	USC	61.0	Under
2017	11/04	USC	49	Arizona	35	USC	USC -6.5	USC	76.0	Over
2016	10/15	Arizona	14	USC	48	USC	USC -7	USC	65.0	Under
2015	11/07	USC	38	Arizona	30	USC	USC -16.5	Arizona	69.5	Under
2014	10/11	Arizona	26	USC	28	USC	USC -2.5	Arizona	0
2013	10/10	USC	38	Arizona	31	USC	USC -5	USC	0
2012	10/27	Arizona	39	USC	36	Arizona
2011	10/01	USC	48	Arizona	41	USC
2010	11/13	Arizona	21	USC	24	USC
2009	12/05	USC	17	Arizona	21	Arizona
2008	10/25	Arizona	10	USC	17	USC
2007	10/13	USC	20	Arizona	13	USC
2006	09/23	Arizona	3	USC	20	USC
2005	10/08	USC	42	Arizona	21	USC
2004	11/13	USC	49	Arizona	9	USC
2003	11/15	Arizona	0	USC	45	USC
2001	10/27	Arizona	34	USC	41	USC
2000	10/06	USC	15	Arizona	31	Arizona

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
USC	20	5	4 Overs
Arizona	3	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 12	6 - 5	3 - 3	3 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 11	5 - 6	2 - 3	3 - 3

(#20) Arizona Info
Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Arizona has lost 1 straight
Arizona has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Arizona Highlights
Arizona offense is efficent (#96)
Arizona offense is good in red zone (#118)
Arizona offense is good on 3rd downs
Arizona defense is really good in red zone (#3)
Arizona has a great TO Margin (#28)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#87)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	USC	ARIZ
OverallOver	#24	#13
OffenseOff	#14	#8
DefenseDef	#61	#48
Special TeamsST	#68	#51
PassingPass	#8	#13
RushingRush	#9	#8
Run BlockRBLK	#50	#59
Pass BlockPBLK	#18	#4
Route RunningWR Rt	#15	#5
TacklingTkl	#67	#45
Run DefenseR Def	#72	#40
Pass Rush DefPRush	#23	#64
Coverage DefCov	#73	#48

Rematch from Week 6
USC -21.0 (69.5)
USC won vs Arizona this year (43-41)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona in 2023 (43-41)
USC beat Arizona in 2022 (45-37)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | USC
Depth Chart: ARIZ | USC
Rosters: ARIZ | USC

(#23) USC Info
Power Rating: 11.355 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

USC has won 5 straight
USC has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

USC Highlights
USC offense is efficent (#2)
USC offense is explosive (#45)
USC offense is good in red zone (#9)

USC Deficiencies
USC Fumbles a Lot (#89)
USC Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
USC Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
USC has a bad defense (#43)
USC has a bad defensive line (#75)

Arizona's OC Brennan Carroll

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	241	333	72%	2869	25	6	8.6
Jayden de Laura	89	128	70%	1120	10	5	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	128	871	5	6.8	59
D.J. Williams	85	372	5	4.4	19
Michael Wiley	70	311	3	4.4	24
Rayshon Luke	37	153	1	4.1	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan	90	1402	10	15.6	57
Jacob Cowing	89	839	13	9.4	57
Tanner McLachlan	45	528	4	11.7	36
Michael Wiley	28	306	5	10.9	40

View Arizona's Full Roster

Arizona's DC Johnny Nansen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Dalton Johnson	86	6	2	1	1
Gunner Maldonado	79	1	0	0	1
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)	31	12	9	3	1
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Isaiah Ward	30	5	4	7	1
Russell Davis II	17	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tacario Davis	25	1	15
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	7
Treydan Stukes	55	4	7

USC's OC Josh Henson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Caleb Williams	266	388	69%	3633	30	5	9.4
Miller Moss	46	65	71%	681	7	1	10.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
MarShawn Lloyd (Tr)	116	820	9	7.1	56
Austin Jones	85	477	7	5.6	37
Quinten Joyner	18	125	1	6.9	47
Caleb Williams	99	115	11	1.2	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tahj Washington	59	1062	8	18.0	76
Brenden Rice	45	791	12	17.6	75
Duce Robinson	16	351	2	21.9	71
Zachariah Branch	31	320	2	10.3	36

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Cobb (Tr)	85	7	0	0	1
Jaylin Smith	69	5	1	1	1
Calen Bullock	58	0	0	0	5
Bryson Shaw	52	3	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamil Muhammad (Tr)	46	10	6	4	1
Solomon Byrd	44	8	5	2	1
Romello Height	18	5	4	1	0
Braylan Shelby	17	4	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Christian Roland-Wallace (Tr)	34	3	0	9
Calen Bullock	58	0	0	5
Eric Gentry	43	3	1	3