Arizona at USC - 2023 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -21 (69.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 43 - Arizona: 41  (Pac-12)

 
Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARIZ is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: USC -0   (SP+ ARIZ -4)

Projected Score: ARIZ: 31 - USC: 31 (54)
USC Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
ARIZ Travel: 442 miles
Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-28.561.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Arizona at Mississippi State+9.060.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/16 Arizona vs UTEP-18.057.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/23 Arizona at Stanford-13.060.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Arizona vs Washington+20.066.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona at USC+21.069.5L 41 - 43OY
Sat 10/14 Arizona at Washington State+7.557.5W 44 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Arizona vs Oregon State+3.057.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Arizona vs UCLA+2.550.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Arizona at Colorado-6.055.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/18 Arizona vs Utah-2.545.5W 42 - 18OY
Sat 11/25 Arizona at Arizona State-12.548.5W 59 - 23OY
Thu 12/28 Arizona vs Oklahoma-2.559.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
USC's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 USC vs San José State-31.566.0W 56 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 USC vs Nevada-37.563.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 USC vs Stanford-28.570.5W 56 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 USC at Arizona State-34.562.0W 42 - 28ON
Sat 9/30 USC at Colorado-22.074.5W 48 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 USC vs Arizona-21.069.5W 43 - 41ON
Sat 10/14 USC at Notre Dame+3.061.0L 20 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 USC vs Utah-7.551.5L 32 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 USC at California-10.567.5W 50 - 49ON
Sat 11/4 USC vs Washington+3.076.0L 42 - 52ON
Sat 11/11 USC at Oregon+12.578.5L 27 - 36UY
Sat 11/18 USC vs UCLA-6.065.5L 20 - 38UN
Wed 12/27 USC vs Louisville+4.558.0W 42 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ.2948%21.853%3.3314445%3183.89.3653%31.857%51%4.48501.82.3
USC.451%30.253%3.5217150%3354.68.2948%24.153%46%4.54580.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1221.817.847.7%3.891.8244621443184.941%57%53%45%16%.29
USC Defense1424.123.848.4%4.542.1 - - - - - 44%55%53%46%17%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1231.837.453.4%4.482.3 - - - - - 50%50%57%51%13%.36
USC Offense1430.236.851.3%4.680.5265061713355.144%56%53%50%11%.4

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1228:0324.142%43%5.4501.82.34.61.3027.5
USC1431:5425.754%68%6.3580.52.15.52.9328.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1241%53%29.31444.919.223.3367%9%0.96
USC Defense1444%53% - - - - .363.4578%10%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1250%57% - - - - .343.6379%9%1
USC Offense1444%53%33.8171.15.130.33.5283%7%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1257%45%23.638.3318.48.313.52613.391.829%36%.497%2.3
USC Defense1455%46% - - - - - - 19.271.529%36%.427%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1250%51% - - - - - - 4.41.425%39%.565%2
USC Offense1456%50%24.636.7335.39.113.7435.481.628%36%.494%2.2

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 810.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 10.35   USC: 11.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.1   USC: 7.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.355 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 31
USC 31


Projected Total Points: 54
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07USC43Arizona41USCUSC -21Arizona69.5Over
202210/29Arizona37USC45USCUSC -14Arizona74.0Over
202110/30USC41Arizona34USCUSC -22Arizona55.5Over
202011/14Arizona30USC34USCUSC -15Arizona67.0Under
201910/19USC41Arizona14USCUSC -10USC68.0Under
201809/29Arizona20USC24USCUSC -3.5USC61.0Under
201711/04USC49Arizona35USCUSC -6.5USC76.0Over
201610/15Arizona14USC48USCUSC -7USC65.0Under
201511/07USC38Arizona30USCUSC -16.5Arizona69.5Under
201410/11Arizona26USC28USCUSC -2.5Arizona0
201310/10USC38Arizona31USCUSC -5USC0
201210/27Arizona39USC36Arizona
201110/01USC48Arizona41USC
201011/13Arizona21USC24USC
200912/05USC17Arizona21Arizona
200810/25Arizona10USC17USC
200710/13USC20Arizona13USC
200609/23Arizona3USC20USC
200510/08USC42Arizona21USC
200411/13USC49Arizona9USC
200311/15Arizona0USC45USC
200110/27Arizona34USC41USC
200010/06USC15Arizona31Arizona
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC2054 Overs
Arizona365 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 126 - 53 - 33 - 2
Road Teams12 - 115 - 62 - 33 - 3

(#20) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 810.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Team Profile






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Arizona     Ratings Matchup     USC
Power #20
#23
Off #6
#7
Def #53
#119
Talent #27
#33
SP+ #20
#38
SP+ Off #15
#3
SP+ Def #41
#109

Rematch from Week 6
USC -21.0 (69.5)
USC won vs Arizona this year (43-41)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona in 2023 (43-41)
USC beat Arizona in 2022 (45-37)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 68° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | USC
Depth Chart: ARIZ | USC
Rosters: ARIZ | USC
(#23) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.355 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile






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Arizona's OC Brennan Carroll
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tetairoa Mcmillan1250%14007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman1931053105.564
Stevie Rocker2512825.123
Montana Lemonious-Craig (Tr)1505.05
Canyon Moses1000.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan841319815.778
Jonah Coleman2317707.717
Montana Lemonious-Craig (Tr)17172110.120
Stevie Rocker682013.734

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Johnny Nansen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock450006
Isaiah Ward286322
Marquis Groves-Killebrew261104
Daniel Heimuli (Tr)181010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Kongaika105310
Isaiah Ward286322
Russell Davis II43300
Marquis Groves-Killebrew261104
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ephesians Prysock450006
Marquis Groves-Killebrew261104
Isaiah Ward286322

USC's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malachi Nelson121771%128017.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darwin Barlow96206.914
Raleek Brown94204.714
Mario Williams21206.013
Malachi Nelson2-110-5.50
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Williams48831417.368
Dorian Singer (Tr)53702113.240
Jude Wolfe1816128.932
Darwin Barlow331010.317

View USC's Full Roster
USC's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Cobb (Tr)723003
Jaylin Smith584002
Domani Jackson512017
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Romello Height347340
Korey Foreman235241
Stanley Ta'ufo'ou304200
Jamil Muhammad (Tr)272130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Domani Jackson512017
Ceyair Wright391116
DeCarlos Nicholson270005