Colorado State at Colorado Game Matchup

Colorado State Rams at Colorado Buffaloes

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (10:00 PM EDT)
Colorado -23 (63.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Colorado 43 - Colorado State: 35

Rams (5 - 7) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (3 - 11)
Avg Score : 24 - 26 (22 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

COLO 2nd straight Home Game
CSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Colorado -5.5 (SP+ COLO -4)
Projected Score: CSU: 27 - COLO: 32 (53)
COLO Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
CSU Travel: 40 miles

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CSU Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado State vs Washington State	+9.5	54.0	L 24 - 50	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16	Colorado State at Colorado	+23.0	63.0	L 35 - 43	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Colorado State at Middle Tennessee	+3.5	50.0	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Colorado State vs Utah Tech	-19
Sat 10/7	Colorado State at Utah State	-3.0	62.0	L 24 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/14	Colorado State vs Boise State	+7.5	60.0	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Colorado State at UNLV	+6.5	60.0	L 23 - 25	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Colorado State vs Air Force	+14.5	47.0	L 13 - 30	U	N
Fri 11/3	Colorado State at Wyoming	+6.0	41.0	L 15 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Colorado State vs San Diego State	-3.5	46.5	W 22 - 19	U	N
Sat 11/18	Colorado State vs Nevada	-12.5	45.5	W 30 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado State at Hawai'i	-6.0	54.0	L 24 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado State's Schedule

Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado at TCU	+20.5	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Nebraska	-2.5	56.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Colorado State	-23.0	63.0	W 43 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Colorado at Oregon	+21.0	70.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/30	Colorado vs USC	+22.0	74.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Colorado at Arizona State	-3.0	58.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Colorado vs Stanford	-13.0	59.0	L 43 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Colorado at UCLA	+14.0	60.0	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Colorado vs Oregon State	+13.0	60.5	L 19 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs Arizona	+6.0	55.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/17	Colorado at Washington State	+4.5	59.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+21.5	43.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU	.05	34%	24.4	36%	2.91	89	32%	197	1.96	.16	43%	25.8	44%	43%	4.24	60.4	1.6	1.7
COLO	.01	36%	32.9	42%	2.86	108	32%	173	3.3	.41	53%	23.1	55%	51%	4.9	48.3	1.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Offense	12	24.4	22.4	33.7%	1.96	1.6	15	286	89	197	2.8	46%	54%	36%	32%	24%	.05
COLO Defense	12	23.1	22.5	52.7%	4.9	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	55%	51%	13%	.41

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CSU Defense	12	25.8	30.6	43.1%	4.24	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	44%	43%	17%	.16
COLO Offense	12	32.9	38.7	36.1%	3.3	1.8	16	281	108	173	3.4	47%	51%	42%	32%	23%	.01

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado State	12	29:28	14.7	23%	39%	6.9	60.4	1.6	1.7	5.4	1.8	2	28.7
Colorado	12	27:23	15.8	32%	37%	5.3	48.3	1.8	1.1	4.1	0.8	1	26.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Offense	12	46%	36%	32.1	89	2.8	4	.04	2.91	61%	18%	1.01
COLO Defense	12	48%	55%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.22	75%	8%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CSU Defense	12	52%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.1	77%	10%	1.02
COLO Offense	12	47%	42%	32.3	108.3	3.4	11	.09	2.86	82%	13%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Offense	12	54%	32%	16.9	26.8	196.8	7.3	11.6	12	11	.08	1.8	39%	23%	.21	6%	2.4
COLO Defense	12	52%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.53	1.6	27%	44%	.68	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CSU Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.4	31%	30%	.25	7%	2
COLO Offense	12	51%	32%	14.9	30	172.9	5.8	11.6	10	10	.02	1.6	36%	21%	.15	10%	2.2

Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: -3.44 #83
Colorado State's Offense Rating: 15.50 #78
Colorado State's Defense Rating: 9.05 #62
2023 Talent Rating: 602.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Colorado State's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30
Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -3.44 Colorado: -1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado State: -9.1 Colorado: -5.4

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.6

Colorado State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado 32
Colorado State 27

Projected Total Points: 53

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Colorado State	9	Colorado	28	Colorado	Colorado -7.5	Colorado	58.5	Under
2023	09/16	Colorado	43	Colorado State	35	Colorado	Colorado -23	Colorado State	63.0	Over
2019	08/30	Colorado	52	Colorado State	31	Colorado	Colorado -12	Colorado	55.0	Over
2018	08/31	Colorado State	13	Colorado	45	Colorado	Colorado -7	Colorado	65.5	Under
2017	09/01	Colorado	17	Colorado State	3	Colorado	Colorado -3	Colorado	69.5	Under
2016	09/02	Colorado	44	Colorado State	7	Colorado	Colorado -10	Colorado	56.0	Under
2015	09/19	Colorado State	24	Colorado	27	Colorado	Colorado State -1	Colorado	56.5	Under
2014	08/29	Colorado	17	Colorado State	31	Colorado State	Colorado -3	Colorado State	0
2013	09/01	Colorado State	27	Colorado	41	Colorado	Colorado -1.5	Colorado	0
2012	09/01	Colorado	17	Colorado State	22	Colorado State
2011	09/17	Colorado	28	Colorado State	14	Colorado
2010	09/04	Colorado State	3	Colorado	24	Colorado
2009	09/06	Colorado	17	Colorado State	23	Colorado State
2008	08/31	Colorado	38	Colorado State	17	Colorado
2007	09/01	Colorado	31	Colorado State	28	Colorado
2006	09/09	Colorado State	14	Colorado	10	Colorado State
2005	09/03	Colorado	31	Colorado State	28	Colorado
2004	09/04	Colorado	27	Colorado State	24	Colorado
2003	08/30	Colorado State	35	Colorado	42	Colorado
2002	08/31	Colorado	14	Colorado State	19	Colorado State
2001	09/01	Colorado State	14	Colorado	41	Colorado
2000	09/01	Colorado State	28	Colorado	24	Colorado State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	16	7	2 Overs
Colorado State	6	2	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 11	3 - 6	3 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	11 - 11	6 - 3	3 - 0	3 - 3

(#83) Colorado State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.44 #83
Offense Rating: 15.50 #78
Defense Rating: 9.05 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 #99
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #101
Talent Rating: 602.00 #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 6.70 - 5.30

Team Profile

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Colorado State Ratings Matchup Colorado

Power #83

#73

Off #78

#50

Def #62

#121

Talent #72

#40

SP+ #99

#83

SP+ Off #93

#45

SP+ Def #101

#116

Rematch from Week 3
Colorado -23.0 (63.0)
Colorado won vs Colorado State this year (43-35)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Colorado State last year (28-9)
Colorado beat Colorado State in 2023 (43-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 64° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: CSU | COLO
Depth Chart: CSU | COLO
Rosters: CSU | COLO

(#73) Colorado Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1 #73
Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116
Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Colorado State's OC Matt Mumme

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jackson Stratton	21	35	60%	219	1	0	6.3
Dane Olson	1	2	50%	6	1	0	3.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Avery Morrow	184	1006	9	5.5	73
Tory Horton	1	22	0	22.0	22
Dane Olson	2	9	0	4.5	7
Jackson Stratton	6	4	0	0.7	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tory Horton	25	331	1	13.2	52
Dane Olson	17	314	1	18.5	41
Justus Ross-Simmons	9	202	2	22.4	55
Avery Morrow	16	102	0	6.4	17

View Colorado State's Full Roster

Colorado State's DC Freddie Banks

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Howell	86	1	0	0	5
Henry Blackburn	79	1	1	2	3
Dom Jones	60	2	0	0	8
Dominic Morris (Tr)	54	2	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Mitchell	38	6	2	5	1
Grady Kelly	15	3	1	0	1
Cameron Bariteau	30	3	1	6	0
Henry Blackburn	79	1	1	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dom Jones	60	2	8
Dominic Morris (Tr)	54	2	8
Jack Howell	86	1	5

Colorado's OC Sean Lewis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)	353	477	74%	4134	37	10	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Hankerson	232	1082	15	4.7	83
Dylan Edwards	74	546	5	7.4	65
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	23	97	0	4.2	41
Alton McCaskill (Tr)	7	17	0	2.4	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Travis Hunter (Tr)	96	1258	15	13.1	58
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)	37	441	1	11.9	69
Anthony Hankerson	27	151	0	5.6	20
Michael Harrison	18	150	0	8.3	18

View Colorado's Full Roster

Colorado's DC Charles Kelly

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marvin Ham II	98	10	2	1	1
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Shilo Sanders (Tr)	64	3	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
D'Vion Harris (Tr)	53	8	4	2	1
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Marvin Ham II	98	10	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter (Tr)	35	1	0	0	11
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)	40	2	0	1	4
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3