Arizona at Colorado Game Matchup

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Arizona -6 (55.5) (-325) Open: -6.0
Arizona 34 - Colorado: 31 (Pac-12)

Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 18.6 MPH
COLO 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arizona -12 (SP+ ARIZ -17.5)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 34 - COLO: 22 (55)
ARIZ Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ARIZ Travel: 624 miles, 1 hrs behind

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (39 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARIZ Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-28.5	61.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Arizona at Mississippi State	+9.0	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Arizona vs UTEP	-18.0	57.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Arizona at Stanford	-13.0	60.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Arizona vs Washington	+20.0	66.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona at USC	+21.0	69.5	L 41 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Arizona at Washington State	+7.5	57.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Arizona vs Oregon State	+3.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona vs UCLA	+2.5	50.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Arizona at Colorado	-6.0	55.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arizona vs Utah	-2.5	45.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arizona at Arizona State	-12.5	48.5	W 59 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado at TCU	+20.5	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Nebraska	-2.5	56.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Colorado State	-23.0	63.0	W 43 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Colorado at Oregon	+21.0	70.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/30	Colorado vs USC	+22.0	74.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Colorado at Arizona State	-3.0	58.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Colorado vs Stanford	-13.0	59.0	L 43 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Colorado at UCLA	+14.0	60.0	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Colorado vs Oregon State	+13.0	60.5	L 19 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs Arizona	+6.0	55.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/17	Colorado at Washington State	+4.5	59.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+21.5	43.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	.29	48%	21.8	53%	3.33	144	45%	318	3.89	.36	53%	31.8	57%	51%	4.48	50	1.8	2.3
COLO	.01	36%	32.9	42%	2.86	108	32%	173	3.3	.41	53%	23.1	55%	51%	4.9	48.3	1.8	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	12	21.8	17.8	47.7%	3.89	1.8	24	462	144	318	4.9	41%	57%	53%	45%	16%	.29
COLO Defense	12	23.1	22.5	52.7%	4.9	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	55%	51%	13%	.41

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	12	31.8	37.4	53.4%	4.48	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	57%	51%	13%	.36
COLO Offense	12	32.9	38.7	36.1%	3.3	1.8	16	281	108	173	3.4	47%	51%	42%	32%	23%	.01

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	12	28:03	24.1	42%	43%	5.4	50	1.8	2.3	4.6	1.3	0	27.5
Colorado	12	27:23	15.8	32%	37%	5.3	48.3	1.8	1.1	4.1	0.8	1	26.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	12	41%	53%	29.3	144	4.9	19	.22	3.33	67%	9%	0.96
COLO Defense	12	48%	55%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.22	75%	8%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	12	50%	57%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.63	79%	9%	1
COLO Offense	12	47%	42%	32.3	108.3	3.4	11	.09	2.86	82%	13%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	12	57%	45%	23.6	38.3	318.4	8.3	13.5	26	13	.39	1.8	29%	36%	.49	7%	2.3
COLO Defense	12	52%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.53	1.6	27%	44%	.68	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	12	50%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.4	1.4	25%	39%	.56	5%	2
COLO Offense	12	51%	32%	14.9	30	172.9	5.8	11.6	10	10	.02	1.6	36%	21%	.15	10%	2.2

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 810.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 10.35 Colorado: -1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.1 Colorado: -5.4

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 34
Colorado 22

Projected Total Points: 55

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.5

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Arizona	7	Colorado	34	Colorado	Arizona -2.5	Colorado	57.5	Under
2023	11/11	Colorado	31	Arizona	34	Arizona	Arizona -6	Colorado	55.5	Over
2022	10/01	Arizona	43	Colorado	20	Arizona	Arizona -17.5	Arizona	57.5	Over
2021	10/16	Colorado	34	Arizona	0	Colorado	Colorado -6.0	Colorado	46.5	Under
2020	12/05	Arizona	13	Colorado	24	Colorado	Colorado -9.5	Colorado	57.0	Under
2019	10/05	Colorado	30	Arizona	35	Arizona	Colorado -2.5	Arizona	63.5	Over
2018	11/02	Arizona	42	Colorado	34	Arizona	Arizona -3	Arizona	57.0	Over
2017	10/07	Colorado	42	Arizona	45	Arizona	Colorado -7	Arizona	58.5	Over
2016	11/12	Arizona	24	Colorado	49	Colorado	Colorado -16.5	Colorado	61.0	Over
2015	10/17	Colorado	31	Arizona	38	Arizona	Arizona -7	NA	67.5	Over
2014	11/08	Arizona	38	Colorado	20	Arizona	Arizona -15.5	Arizona	0
2013	10/26	Colorado	20	Arizona	44	Arizona	Arizona -16.5	Arizona	0
2012	11/10	Arizona	56	Colorado	31	Arizona
2011	11/12	Colorado	48	Arizona	29	Colorado

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	5	5	7 Overs
Arizona	9	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 8	5 - 6	4 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	8 - 6	6 - 5	3 - 1	3 - 4

(#20) Arizona Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 810.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Team Profile

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Arizona Ratings Matchup Colorado

Power #20

#73

Off #6

#50

Def #53

#121

Talent #27

#40

SP+ #20

#83

SP+ Off #15

#45

SP+ Def #41

#116

Rematch from Week 11
Arizona 6.0 (55.5)
Arizona won at Colorado this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Arizona last year (34-7)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2023 (34-31)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2022 (43-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 57° - Wind: 19 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | COLO
Depth Chart: ARIZ | COLO
Rosters: ARIZ | COLO

(#73) Colorado Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1 #73
Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116
Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Arizona's OC Brennan Carroll

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tetairoa Mcmillan	1	2	50%	14	0	0	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	193	1053	10	5.5	64
Stevie Rocker	25	128	2	5.1	23
Montana Lemonious-Craig (Tr)	1	5	0	5.0	5
Canyon Moses	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan	84	1319	8	15.7	78
Jonah Coleman	23	177	0	7.7	17
Montana Lemonious-Craig (Tr)	17	172	1	10.1	20
Stevie Rocker	6	82	0	13.7	34

View Arizona's Full Roster

Arizona's DC Johnny Nansen

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ephesians Prysock	45	0	0	0	6
Isaiah Ward	28	6	3	2	2
Marquis Groves-Killebrew	26	1	1	0	4
Daniel Heimuli (Tr)	18	1	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Kongaika	10	5	3	1	0
Isaiah Ward	28	6	3	2	2
Russell Davis II	4	3	3	0	0
Marquis Groves-Killebrew	26	1	1	0	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ephesians Prysock	45	0	0	0	6
Marquis Groves-Killebrew	26	1	1	0	4
Isaiah Ward	28	6	3	2	2

Colorado's OC Sean Lewis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)	353	477	74%	4134	37	10	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Hankerson	232	1082	15	4.7	83
Dylan Edwards	74	546	5	7.4	65
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	23	97	0	4.2	41
Alton McCaskill (Tr)	7	17	0	2.4	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Travis Hunter (Tr)	96	1258	15	13.1	58
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)	37	441	1	11.9	69
Anthony Hankerson	27	151	0	5.6	20
Michael Harrison	18	150	0	8.3	18

View Colorado's Full Roster

Colorado's DC Charles Kelly

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marvin Ham II	98	10	2	1	1
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Shilo Sanders (Tr)	64	3	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
D'Vion Harris (Tr)	53	8	4	2	1
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Marvin Ham II	98	10	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter (Tr)	35	1	0	0	11
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)	40	2	0	1	4
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3