Arizona at Colorado - 2023 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at Colorado BuffaloesColorado logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Arizona -6 (55.5) (-325)  Open: -6.0
Arizona 34 - Colorado: 31  (Pac-12)

 
Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
COLO 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arizona -12   (SP+ ARIZ -17.5)

Projected Score: ARIZ: 36 - COLO: 24 (59)
ARIZ Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ARIZ Travel: 624 miles, 1 hrs behind
Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 35 (36 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-28.561.0W 38 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Arizona at Mississippi State+9.060.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/16 Arizona vs UTEP-18.057.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/23 Arizona at Stanford-13.060.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 9/30 Arizona vs Washington+20.066.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona at USC+21.069.5L 41 - 43OY
Sat 10/14 Arizona at Washington State+7.557.5W 44 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Arizona vs Oregon State+3.057.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 11/4 Arizona vs UCLA+2.550.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Arizona at Colorado-6.055.5W 34 - 31ON
Sat 11/18 Arizona vs Utah-2.545.5W 42 - 18OY
Sat 11/25 Arizona at Arizona State-12.548.5W 59 - 23OY
Thu 12/28 Arizona vs Oklahoma-2.559.5W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Colorado's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Colorado at TCU+20.559.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 9/9 Colorado vs Nebraska-2.556.5W 36 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 Colorado vs Colorado State-23.063.0W 43 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Colorado at Oregon+21.070.0L 6 - 42UN
Sat 9/30 Colorado vs USC+22.074.5L 41 - 48OY
Sat 10/7 Colorado at Arizona State-3.058.0W 27 - 24UN
Fri 10/13 Colorado vs Stanford-13.059.0L 43 - 46ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Colorado at UCLA+14.060.0L 16 - 28UY
Sat 11/4 Colorado vs Oregon State+13.060.5L 19 - 26UY
Sat 11/11 Colorado vs Arizona+6.055.5L 31 - 34OY
Fri 11/17 Colorado at Washington State+4.559.5L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/25 Colorado at Utah+21.543.5L 17 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#10 (.34)51% (6)34.652% (5)3.26 (40)14050% (10)3084.42 (29)#57 (.16)42% (67)21.143% (71)41% (62)3.37 (29)531.11.4
COLO#58 (.21)41% (77)28.236% (127)3.08 (75)6944% (45)2954.24 (33)#123 (.3)47% (128)34.848% (115)48% (128)4.29 (113)71.20.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1334.637.250.6%4.421.1234481403084.643%57%52%50%14%.34
COLO Defense1234.833.847.4%4.291.8 - - - - - 48%51%48%48%16%.3
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1321.125.741.9%3.371.4 - - - - - 46%53%43%41%17%.16
COLO Offense1228.235.541.4%4.240.921364692952.335%65%36%44%17%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1330:502349%67%6.3531.11.45.32.4129.9
Colorado1227:3421.238%67%8.971.20.91.85.52.3128.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1343% (112)52% (5)30.6139.74.617 (81).21 (34)3.26 (40)74% (68)9% (38)0.9 (109)
COLO Defense1248% (45)48% (115) - - - - .24 (114)3.14 (78)88% (130)10% (68)1.03 (87)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .12 (58)3 (50)75% (82)11% (54)0.97 (51)
COLO Offense1235% (131)36% (127)29.868.92.312 (116)-.01 (127)3.08 (75)73% (76)12% (111)0.94 (98)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1357% (20)50% (10)25.535.7308.38.612.136 (5)11 (68).47 (15)1.6 (68)29% (19)41% (6).54 (13)6% (69)2 (103)
COLO Defense1251% (95)48% (128) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (116)1.5 (49)30% (99)39% (131).51 (128)6% (84)2 (66)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1353% (115)41% (62) - - - - - - 9 (87).26 (57)1.5 (48)34% (38)32% (95).25 (38)6% (60)2 (36)
COLO Offense1265% (1)44% (45)26.939.5294.77.51129 (18)4 (2).32 (53)1.5 (87)34% (106)34% (34).52 (15)5% (40)2.2 (22)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 10.35   Colorado: -1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.1   Colorado: -5.4




Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.2
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 36
Colorado 24


Total Points: 59

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.8

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Arizona7Colorado34ColoradoArizona -2.5Colorado57.5Under
202311/11Colorado31Arizona34ArizonaArizona -6Colorado55.5Over
202210/01Arizona43Colorado20ArizonaArizona -17.5Arizona57.5Over
202110/16Colorado34Arizona0ColoradoColorado -6.0Colorado46.5Under
202012/05Arizona13Colorado24ColoradoColorado -9.5Colorado57.0Under
201910/05Colorado30Arizona35ArizonaColorado -2.5Arizona63.5Over
201811/02Arizona42Colorado34ArizonaArizona -3Arizona57.0Over
201710/07Colorado42Arizona45ArizonaColorado -7Arizona58.5Over
201611/12Arizona24Colorado49ColoradoColorado -16.5Colorado61.0Over
201510/17Colorado31Arizona38ArizonaArizona -7NA67.5Over
201411/08Arizona38Colorado20ArizonaArizona -15.5Arizona0
201310/26Colorado20Arizona44ArizonaArizona -16.5Arizona0
201211/10Arizona56Colorado31Arizona
201111/12Colorado48Arizona29Colorado
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado557 Overs
Arizona963 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 85 - 64 - 31 - 3
Road Teams8 - 66 - 53 - 13 - 4

(#20) Arizona Info
Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90


Arizona has won 3 straight
Arizona has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Arizona Highlights
Arizona offense is efficent (#96)
Arizona offense is good in red zone (#118)
Arizona offense is good on 3rd downs
Arizona defense is really good in red zone (#3)
Arizona has a great TO Margin (#28)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#87)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatCOLOARIZ
OverallOver#88#13
OffenseOff#72#8
DefenseDef#95#48
Special TeamsST#97#51
PassingPass#9#13
RushingRush#100#8
Run BlockRBLK#63#59
Pass BlockPBLK#60#4
Route RunningWR Rt#69#5
TacklingTkl#82#45
Run DefenseR Def#106#40
Pass Rush DefPRush#75#64
Coverage DefCov#82#48

Rematch from Week 11
Arizona 6.0 (55.5)
Arizona won at Colorado this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Arizona last year (34-7)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2023 (34-31)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2022 (43-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | COLO
Depth Chart: ARIZ | COLO
Rosters: ARIZ | COLO
(#73) Colorado Info
Power Rating: -1 #73
Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50


Colorado has lost 3 straight
Colorado has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Colorado Highlights
Colorado is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs

Colorado offense is explosive (#12)
Colorado has a great TO Margin (#28)

Colorado Deficiencies
Colorado Can Not Run the Ball (#99)
Colorado Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Colorado run game is really bad (#118)
Colorado Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Colorado Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Colorado has a bad defense (#114)
Colorado has a bad red zone defense (#68)


  
Arizona's OC Brennan Carroll
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita24133372%28692568.6
Jayden de Laura8912870%11201058.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman12887156.859
D.J. Williams8537254.419
Michael Wiley7031134.424
Rayshon Luke3715314.140
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan9014021015.657
Jacob Cowing89839139.457
Tanner McLachlan45528411.736
Michael Wiley28306510.940

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Johnny Nansen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Manu104107102
Dalton Johnson866211
Gunner Maldonado791001
Ephesians Prysock641007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)3112931
Jacob Manu104107102
Isaiah Ward305471
Russell Davis II176420
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tacario Davis2510015
Ephesians Prysock641007
Treydan Stukes554007

Colorado's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)29843069%32302737.5
Ryan Staub234058%254106.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Edwards7632114.234
Anthony Hankerson7831914.120
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)5319033.611
Alton McCaskill (Tr)145904.29
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Weaver (Tr)68908413.448
Travis Hunter (Tr)57721512.647
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)5856769.845
Dylan Edwards3629948.375

View Colorado's Full Roster
Colorado's DC Charles Kelly
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
LaVonta Bentley6911542
Shilo Sanders (Tr)671013
Trevor Woods561123
Rodrick Ward (Tr)521002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
LaVonta Bentley6911542
Jordan Domineck (Tr)5112542
Amari McNeill (Tr)317311
Leonard Payne Jr.103331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travis Hunter (Tr)312005
Omarion Cooper (Tr)372105
Trevor Woods561123