Arizona at Colorado - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Arizona -6 (55.5) (-325) Open: -6.0
Arizona 34 - Colorado: 31 (Pac-12)

Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 18.6 MPH
COLO 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Arizona -12 (SP+ ARIZ -17.5)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 36 - COLO: 24 (59)
ARIZ Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ARIZ Travel: 624 miles

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 35 (36 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARIZ Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-28.5	61.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Arizona at Mississippi State	+9.0	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Arizona vs UTEP	-18.0	57.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Arizona at Stanford	-13.0	60.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Arizona vs Washington	+20.0	66.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona at USC	+21.0	69.5	L 41 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Arizona at Washington State	+7.5	57.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Arizona vs Oregon State	+3.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona vs UCLA	+2.5	50.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Arizona at Colorado	-6.0	55.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arizona vs Utah	-2.5	45.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arizona at Arizona State	-12.5	48.5	W 59 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado at TCU	+20.5	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Nebraska	-2.5	56.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Colorado State	-23.0	63.0	W 43 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Colorado at Oregon	+21.0	70.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/30	Colorado vs USC	+22.0	74.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Colorado at Arizona State	-3.0	58.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Colorado vs Stanford	-13.0	59.0	L 43 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Colorado at UCLA	+14.0	60.0	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Colorado vs Oregon State	+13.0	60.5	L 19 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs Arizona	+6.0	55.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/17	Colorado at Washington State	+4.5	59.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+21.5	43.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	#10 (.34)	51% (6)	34.6	52% (5)	3.26 (40)	140	50% (10)	308	4.42 (29)	#57 (.16)	42% (67)	21.1	43% (71)	41% (62)	3.37 (29)	53	1.1	1.4
COLO	#58 (.21)	41% (77)	28.2	36% (127)	3.08 (75)	69	44% (45)	295	4.24 (33)	#123 (.3)	47% (128)	34.8	48% (115)	48% (128)	4.29 (113)	71.2	0.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	#93 (.15)	39% (117)		37% (126)	2.64 (123)	107	40% (91)	248	3.53 (101)	#109 (.24)	45% (100)		45% (90)	44% (109)	4.55 (125)	57.6	1.7	1.2
COLO	#35 (.24)	44% (48)		44% (73)	2.76 (110)	66	45% (34)	302	4.34 (28)	#22 (.09)	38% (30)		40% (43)	36% (17)	3.3 (21)	62.8	0.9	1.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	13	34.6	37.2	50.6%	4.42	1.1	23	448	140	308	4.6	43%	57%	52%	50%	14%	.34
COLO Defense	12	34.8	33.8	47.4%	4.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	48%	48%	16%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	13	21.1	25.7	41.9%	3.37	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	43%	41%	17%	.16
COLO Offense	12	28.2	35.5	41.4%	4.24	0.9	21	364	69	295	2.3	35%	65%	36%	44%	17%	.21

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	13	30:50	23	49%	67%	6.3	53	1.1	1.4	5.3	2.4	1	29.9
Colorado	12	27:34	21.2	38%	67%	8.9	71.2	0.9	1.8	5.5	2.3	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	13	43% (112)	52% (5)	30.6	139.7	4.6	17 (81)	.21 (34)	3.26 (40)	74% (68)	9% (38)	0.9 (109)
COLO Defense	12	48% (45)	48% (115)	-	-	-	-	.24 (114)	3.14 (78)	88% (130)	10% (68)	1.03 (87)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	13	46% (21)	43% (71)	-	-	-	-	.12 (58)	3 (50)	75% (82)	11% (54)	0.97 (51)
COLO Offense	12	35% (131)	36% (127)	29.8	68.9	2.3	12 (116)	-.01 (127)	3.08 (75)	73% (76)	12% (111)	0.94 (98)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	13	57% (20)	50% (10)	25.5	35.7	308.3	8.6	12.1	36 (5)	11 (68)	.47 (15)	1.6 (68)	29% (19)	41% (6)	.54 (13)	6% (69)	2 (103)
COLO Defense	12	51% (95)	48% (128)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.39 (116)	1.5 (49)	30% (99)	39% (131)	.51 (128)	6% (84)	2 (66)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	13	53% (115)	41% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.26 (57)	1.5 (48)	34% (38)	32% (95)	.25 (38)	6% (60)	2 (36)
COLO Offense	12	65% (1)	44% (45)	26.9	39.5	294.7	7.5	11	29 (18)	4 (2)	.32 (53)	1.5 (87)	34% (106)	34% (34)	.52 (15)	5% (40)	2.2 (22)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 10.35 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 10.35 Colorado: -1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: 12.1 Colorado: -5.4

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.2
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 36
Colorado 24

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona 36
Colorado 26

Total Points: 62

Based on Entire Season
Arizona 35
Colorado 28

Total Points: 63

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.5
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.8

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Colorado	17	Arizona	52	Arizona -4	Arizona	52.5	Over
2024	10/19	Arizona	7	Colorado	34	Arizona -2.5	Colorado	57.5	Under
2023	11/11	Colorado	31	Arizona	34	Arizona -6	Colorado	55.5	Over
2022	10/01	Arizona	43	Colorado	20	Arizona -17.5	Arizona	57.5	Over
2021	10/16	Colorado	34	Arizona	0	Colorado -6.0	Colorado	46.5	Under
2020	12/05	Arizona	13	Colorado	24	Colorado -9.5	Colorado	57.0	Under
2019	10/05	Colorado	30	Arizona	35	Colorado -2.5	Arizona	63.5	Over
2018	11/02	Arizona	42	Colorado	34	Arizona -3	Arizona	57.0	Over
2017	10/07	Colorado	42	Arizona	45	Colorado -7	Arizona	58.5	Over
2016	11/12	Arizona	24	Colorado	49	Colorado -16.5	Colorado	61.0	Over
2015	10/17	Colorado	31	Arizona	38	Arizona -7	NA	67.5	Over
2014	11/08	Arizona	38	Colorado	20	Arizona -15.5	Arizona	0
2013	10/26	Colorado	20	Arizona	44	Arizona -16.5	Arizona	0
2012	11/10	Arizona	56	Colorado	31
2011	11/12	Colorado	48	Arizona	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	5	5	8 Overs
Arizona	10	7	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 9	5 - 7	4 - 3	1 - 4
Road Teams	9 - 6	7 - 5	4 - 1	3 - 4

(#20) ARIZ at (#73) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARIZ	COLO
Power RatePwr	#20	#73
SP+SP+	#20	#83
Perf GradeGrade	#16	#106
OffenseOff	#8	#82
DefenseDef	#56	#122
Spec TeamsST	#63	#121
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#51	#49

Arizona Injury Report

Colorado Injury Report

Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	COLO Def
Perf GradePerf	#8	#122
SuccessSuc	#6	#128
ExplosiveExp	#76	#73
PPAPPA	#10	#123
PowerPwr	#6	#121
SP+SP+	#15	#116
Pts POPPO	#29	#113
HavocHav	#44	#82

Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#8	#125
Run SuccessRSuc	#5	#115
Run ExplRExp	#109	#87
PPAExp	#34	#114
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	#40	#78
Stuff RateStuff	#115	#68
TackleTak	-	#95

Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#10	#128
Pass ExplPExl	#68	#49
PPAExp	#15	#116
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#4	#96
F7 HavocF7	#38	#68
DB HavocDB	#69	#84

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ARIZ Def
Perf GradePerf	#82	#56
SuccessSuc	#77	#67
ExplosiveExp	#30	#58
PPAPPA	#58	#57
PowerPwr	#50	#53
SP+SP+	#45	#41
Pts POPPO	#33	#29
HavocHav	#90	#50

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	#135	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	#127	#71
Run ExplRExp	#98	#51
PPAExp	#127	#58
Run BlockR Blk	#82	-
OL YdsOLY	#75	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#44	#37
TackleTak	-	#51

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	#45	#62
Pass ExplPExl	#87	#48
PPAExp	#53	#57
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#70	#81
F7 HavocF7	#111	#54
DB HavocDB	#40	#60

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 57° - Wind: 19 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Arizona 6.0 (55.5)
Arizona won at Colorado this year (34-31)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Arizona last year (34-7)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2023 (34-31)
Arizona beat Colorado in 2022 (43-20)

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	241	333	72%	2869	25	6	8.6
Jayden de Laura	89	128	70%	1120	10	5	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	128	871	5	6.8	59
D.J. Williams	85	372	5	4.4	19
Michael Wiley	70	311	3	4.4	24
Rayshon Luke	37	153	1	4.1	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan	90	1402	10	15.6	57
Jacob Cowing	89	839	13	9.4	57
Tanner McLachlan	45	528	4	11.7	36
Michael Wiley	28	306	5	10.9	40

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Dalton Johnson	86	6	2	1	1
Gunner Maldonado	79	1	0	0	1
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)	31	12	9	3	1
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Isaiah Ward	30	5	4	7	1
Russell Davis II	17	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tacario Davis	25	1	15
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	7
Treydan Stukes	55	4	7

COLO's OC Sean Lewis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)	298	430	69%	3230	27	3	7.5
Ryan Staub	23	40	58%	254	1	0	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Edwards	76	321	1	4.2	34
Anthony Hankerson	78	319	1	4.1	20
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	53	190	3	3.6	11
Alton McCaskill (Tr)	14	59	0	4.2	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Weaver (Tr)	68	908	4	13.4	48
Travis Hunter (Tr)	57	721	5	12.6	47
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)	58	567	6	9.8	45
Dylan Edwards	36	299	4	8.3	75

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Charles Kelly (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
LaVonta Bentley	69	11	5	4	2
Shilo Sanders (Tr)	67	1	0	1	3
Trevor Woods	56	1	1	2	3
Rodrick Ward (Tr)	52	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
LaVonta Bentley	69	11	5	4	2
Jordan Domineck (Tr)	51	12	5	4	2
Amari McNeill (Tr)	31	7	3	1	1
Leonard Payne Jr.	10	3	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter (Tr)	31	2	0	0	5
Omarion Cooper (Tr)	37	2	1	0	5
Trevor Woods	56	1	1	2	3