Colorado at Oregon - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -21 (70.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Oregon 42 - Colorado: 6 (Pac-12)

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORE 2nd straight Home Game
ORE is playing their 4th straight game
COLO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -31.5 (SP+ ORE -30)
Projected Score: COLO: 16 - ORE: 47 (63)
ORE Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
COLO Travel: 953 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Ducks (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (13 - 3)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.3 - 1.7 (#2)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado at TCU	+20.5	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Nebraska	-2.5	56.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Colorado State	-23.0	63.0	W 43 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Colorado at Oregon	+21.0	70.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/30	Colorado vs USC	+22.0	74.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Colorado at Arizona State	-3.0	58.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Colorado vs Stanford	-13.0	59.0	L 43 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Colorado at UCLA	+14.0	60.0	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Colorado vs Oregon State	+13.0	60.5	L 19 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs Arizona	+6.0	55.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/17	Colorado at Washington State	+4.5	59.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+21.5	43.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Oregon's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Oregon vs Portland State	-48.0	64.5	W 81 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Oregon at Texas Tech	-4.5	70.0	W 38 - 30	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Oregon vs Hawai'i	-38.5	67.5	W 55 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Oregon vs Colorado	-21.0	70.0	W 42 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Oregon at Stanford	-27.0	59.5	W 42 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Oregon at Washington	+3.0	67.0	L 33 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Oregon vs Washington State	-19.5	60.5	W 38 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/28	Oregon at Utah	-6.5	47.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Oregon vs California	-26.5	61.5	W 63 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Oregon vs USC	-12.5	78.5	W 36 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/18	Oregon at Arizona State	-21.5	52.5	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Oregon vs Oregon State	-14.0	61.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 12/1	Oregon vs Washington	-9.0	67.0	L 31 - 34	U	N
Mon 1/1	Oregon vs Liberty	-18.5	71.5	W 45 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	.01	36%	20.9	42%	2.86	108	32%	173	3.3	.41	53%	30.5	55%	51%	4.9	48.3	1.8	1.1
ORE	.38	56%	36.9	58%	3.59	216	54%	285	4.4	.22	45%	17.9	45%	46%	4.15	57.2	0.9	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	12	20.9	16.8	36.1%	3.3	1.8	16	281	108	173	3.4	47%	51%	42%	32%	23%	.01
ORE Defense	13	17.9	16.8	45.3%	4.15	2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	45%	46%	15%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	12	30.5	35.4	52.7%	4.9	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	55%	51%	13%	.41
ORE Offense	13	36.9	43.1	55.9%	4.4	0.9	26	501	216	285	5.5	53%	47%	58%	54%	11%	.38

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	12	27:23	15.8	32%	37%	5.3	48.3	1.8	1.1	4.1	0.8	1	26.4
Oregon	13	31:21	26.2	46%	63%	6.8	57.2	0.9	2	3.9	1.3	1	29.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	12	47%	42%	32.3	108.3	3.4	11	.09	2.86	82%	13%	0.9
ORE Defense	13	43%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.02	68%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	12	48%	55%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.22	75%	8%	1.08
ORE Offense	13	53%	58%	39.1	215.7	5.5	34	.37	3.59	83%	6%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	12	51%	32%	14.9	30	172.9	5.8	11.6	10	10	.02	1.6	36%	21%	.15	10%	2.2
ORE Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.28	1.4	30%	37%	.48	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	12	52%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.53	1.6	27%	44%	.68	4%	2.1
ORE Offense	13	47%	54%	23.7	33.2	284.8	8.6	12	30	9	.4	1.4	25%	38%	.48	4%	1.9

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1.60 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 711.87 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -1.60 Oregon: 28.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -5.4 Oregon: 25.0

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.15 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 34.84 #2
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.60 #18
2023 Talent Rating: 874.74 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 63 #12
Oregon's 2023 Expected Record: 12.30 - 1.70
Oregon's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #5
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.0 #1
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 47
Colorado 16

Projected Total Points: 63

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Oregon	42	Colorado	6	Oregon -21	Oregon	70.0	Under
2022	11/05	Colorado	10	Oregon	49	Oregon -31	Oregon	62.5	Under
2021	10/30	Oregon	52	Colorado	29	Oregon -24.5	Colorado	49.0	Over
2019	10/11	Oregon	45	Colorado	3	Oregon -22.5	Oregon	61.5	Under
2016	09/24	Oregon	38	Colorado	41	Oregon -11	Colorado	69.5	Over
2015	10/03	Colorado	24	Oregon	41	Oregon -12	Oregon	68.5	Under
2014	11/22	Oregon	44	Colorado	10	Oregon -34	Push	0
2013	10/05	Colorado	16	Oregon	57	Oregon -36.5	Oregon	0
2012	10/27	Oregon	70	Colorado	14
2011	10/22	Colorado	2	Oregon	45
2001	01/01	Oregon	38	Colorado	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	10	5	2 Overs
Colorado	1	2	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 5	2 - 5	2 - 2	0 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 6	5 - 2	3 - 0	2 - 2

(#73) COLO at (#2) ORE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	ORE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#73	#2
SP+SP+	#83	#5
Perf GradeGrade	#106	#5
OffenseOff	#82	#1
DefenseDef	#122	#20
Spec TeamsST	#121	#29
TalentTal	#35	#10
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#12

Colorado Injury Report

Oregon Injury Report

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#82	#20
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#50	#18
SP+SP+	#45	#19
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	#135	#28
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#82	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#15
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#70	#45
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	COLO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#1	#122
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#2	#121
SP+SP+	#1	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#2	#125
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#95

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#1	#96
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving CFP Hopefuls
'23 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Oregon -21.0 (70.0)
Oregon won vs Colorado this year (42-6)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Colorado in 2023 (42-6)

COLO's OC Sean Lewis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)	298	430	69%	3230	27	3	7.5
Ryan Staub	23	40	58%	254	1	0	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Edwards	76	321	1	4.2	34
Anthony Hankerson	78	319	1	4.1	20
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	53	190	3	3.6	11
Alton McCaskill (Tr)	14	59	0	4.2	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Weaver (Tr)	68	908	4	13.4	48
Travis Hunter (Tr)	57	721	5	12.6	47
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)	58	567	6	9.8	45
Dylan Edwards	36	299	4	8.3	75

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Charles Kelly (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
LaVonta Bentley	69	11	5	4	2
Shilo Sanders (Tr)	67	1	0	1	3
Trevor Woods	56	1	1	2	3
Rodrick Ward (Tr)	52	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
LaVonta Bentley	69	11	5	4	2
Jordan Domineck (Tr)	51	12	5	4	2
Amari McNeill (Tr)	31	7	3	1	1
Leonard Payne Jr.	10	3	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter (Tr)	31	2	0	0	5
Omarion Cooper (Tr)	37	2	1	0	5
Trevor Woods	56	1	1	2	3

ORE's OC Junior Adams (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bo Nix	364	470	77%	4508	45	3	9.6
Ty Thompson	24	31	77%	297	4	1	9.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mar'Keise Irving	186	1180	11	6.3	56
Jordan James	107	759	11	7.1	37
Bo Nix	54	234	6	4.3	44
Noah Whittington	20	146	2	7.3	41

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Troy Franklin	81	1383	14	17.1	84
Tez Johnson (Tr)	86	1182	10	13.7	77
Traeshon Holden (Tr)	37	452	6	12.2	63
Gary Bryant Jr. (Tr)	30	442	4	14.7	71

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tosh Lupoi (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Evan Williams (Tr)	82	5	5	2	1
Jeffrey Bassa	71	4	0	12	1
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)	70	5	1	3	7
Steve Stephens	56	2	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Dorlus	25	7	5	7	7
Evan Williams (Tr)	82	5	5	2	1
Popo Aumavae	18	3	3	3	0
Jordan Burch (Tr)	34	8	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Dorlus	25	7	5	7	7
Tysheem Johnson (Tr)	70	5	1	3	7
Nikko Reed (Tr)	25	2	1	0	7