USC at Arizona State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -34.5 (62.0) (0) Open: 0.0
USC 42 - Arizona State: 28 (Pac-12)

Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ASU 4th straight Home Game
USC coming off BYE
ASU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: USC -16 (SP+ USC -20)
Projected Score: USC: 37 - ASU: 21 (55)
USC Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%
USC Travel: 367 miles

Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USC Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

USC's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	USC vs San José State	-31.5	66.0	W 56 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/2	USC vs Nevada	-37.5	63.5	W 66 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	USC vs Stanford	-28.5	70.5	W 56 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	USC at Arizona State	-34.5	62.0	W 42 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/30	USC at Colorado	-22.0	74.5	W 48 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/7	USC vs Arizona	-21.0	69.5	W 43 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/14	USC at Notre Dame	+3.0	61.0	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	USC vs Utah	-7.5	51.5	L 32 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/28	USC at California	-10.5	67.5	W 50 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/4	USC vs Washington	+3.0	76.0	L 42 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/11	USC at Oregon	+12.5	78.5	L 27 - 36	U	Y
Sat 11/18	USC vs UCLA	-6.0	65.5	L 20 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/27	USC vs Louisville	+4.5	58.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Arizona State vs Southern Utah	-34.0	60.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/9	Arizona State vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	53.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arizona State vs Fresno State	+4.0	48.0	L 0 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Arizona State vs USC	+34.5	62.0	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arizona State at California	+13.0	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona State vs Colorado	+3.0	58.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Arizona State at Washington	+28.0	59.5	L 7 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Arizona State vs Washington State	+4.5	49.0	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona State at Utah	+11.0	40.5	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/11	Arizona State at UCLA	+14.0	45.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Arizona State vs Oregon	+21.5	52.5	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	Arizona State vs Arizona	+12.5	48.5	L 23 - 59	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USC	.4	51%	30.2	53%	3.52	171	50%	335	4.68	.29	48%	24.1	53%	46%	4.54	58	0.5	2.1
ASU	.23	44%	32.9	46%	3.12	135	44%	252	4.22	.27	47%	22.6	51%	45%	4.4	72.3	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USC Offense	14	30.2	21.8	51.3%	4.68	0.5	26	506	171	335	5.1	44%	56%	53%	50%	11%	.4
ASU Defense	12	22.6	22.3	47.3%	4.4	1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	51%	45%	17%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USC Defense	14	24.1	23.8	48.4%	4.54	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	53%	46%	17%	.29
ASU Offense	12	32.9	33.8	44.3%	4.22	1.5	21	387	135	252	4.2	44%	55%	46%	44%	19%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
USC	14	31:54	25.7	54%	68%	6.3	58	0.5	2.1	5.5	2.9	3	28.2
Arizona State	12	30:44	21.2	39%	63%	7.3	72.3	1.5	1	4.2	1.4	1	26.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USC Offense	14	44%	53%	33.8	171.1	5.1	30	.3	3.52	83%	7%	0.97
ASU Defense	12	48%	51%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.53	79%	9%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USC Defense	14	44%	53%	-	-	-	-	.36	3.45	78%	10%	1.14
ASU Offense	12	44%	46%	32.1	135.3	4.2	21	.13	3.12	74%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USC Offense	14	56%	50%	24.6	36.7	335.3	9.1	13.7	43	5	.48	1.6	28%	36%	.49	4%	2.2
ASU Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.25	1.4	26%	31%	.28	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USC Defense	14	55%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.27	1.5	29%	36%	.42	7%	2
ASU Offense	12	55%	44%	22.5	33.6	251.9	7.5	11.2	18	10	.35	1.6	32%	34%	.43	7%	2.1

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 9.81 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: 9.81 Arizona State: -7.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 7.9 Arizona State: -11.9

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 590.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
USC 37
Arizona State 21

Projected Total Points: 55

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Arizona State	28	USC	42	USC	USC -34.5	Arizona State	62.0	Over
2022	10/01	USC	42	Arizona State	25	USC	USC -24.5	Arizona State	61.0	Over
2021	11/06	Arizona State	31	USC	16	Arizona State	Arizona State -10	Arizona State	61.0	Under
2020	11/07	USC	28	Arizona State	27	USC	USC -11.5	Arizona State	56.5	Under
2019	11/09	Arizona State	26	USC	31	USC	USC -5	NA	54.0	Over
2018	10/27	USC	35	Arizona State	38	Arizona State	USC -3	Arizona State	52.5	Over
2017	10/28	Arizona State	17	USC	48	USC	USC -4.5	USC	58.5	Over
2016	10/01	USC	41	Arizona State	20	USC	USC -8	USC	63.5	Under
2015	09/26	Arizona State	14	USC	42	USC	USC -6	USC	62.0	Under
2014	10/04	USC	34	Arizona State	38	Arizona State	USC -10.5	Arizona State	0
2013	09/28	Arizona State	62	USC	41	Arizona State	Arizona State -5	Arizona State	0
2012	11/10	USC	38	Arizona State	17	USC
2011	09/24	Arizona State	43	USC	22	Arizona State
2010	11/06	USC	34	Arizona State	33	USC
2009	11/07	Arizona State	9	USC	14	USC
2008	10/11	USC	28	Arizona State	0	USC
2007	11/22	Arizona State	24	USC	44	USC
2006	10/14	USC	28	Arizona State	21	USC
2005	10/01	Arizona State	28	USC	38	USC
2004	10/16	USC	45	Arizona State	7	USC
2003	10/04	Arizona State	17	USC	37	USC
2001	10/13	USC	48	Arizona State	17	USC
2000	11/03	Arizona State	38	USC	44	USC

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	5	7	5 Overs
USC	18	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 11	4 - 6	3 - 4	1 - 2
Road Teams	11 - 12	6 - 4	2 - 1	4 - 3

(#23) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.81 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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USC Ratings Matchup Arizona State

Power #23

#106

Off #7

#101

Def #119

#123

Talent #33

#76

SP+ #38

#108

SP+ Off #3

#102

SP+ Def #109

#94

Rematch from Week 4
USC 34.5 (62.0)
USC won at Arizona State this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona State in 2023 (42-28)
USC beat Arizona State in 2022 (42-25)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 88°

Team Information
Injuries: USC | ASU
Depth Chart: USC | ASU
Rosters: USC | ASU

(#106) Arizona State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 590.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60

Team Profile

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USC's OC Josh Henson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Malachi Nelson	12	17	71%	128	0	1	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Darwin Barlow	9	62	6.9	14
Raleek Brown	9	42	4.7	14
Mario Williams	2	12	6.0	13
Malachi Nelson	2	-11	-5.5	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Williams	48	831	4	17.3	68
Dorian Singer (Tr)	53	702	1	13.2	40
Jude Wolfe	18	161	2	8.9	32
Darwin Barlow	3	31	0	10.3	17

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Cobb (Tr)	72	3	0	0	3
Jaylin Smith	58	4	0	0	2
Domani Jackson	51	2	0	1	7
Chris Thompson Jr.	44	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Romello Height	34	7	3	4	0
Korey Foreman	23	5	2	4	1
Stanley Ta'ufo'ou	30	4	2	0	0
Jamil Muhammad (Tr)	27	2	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Domani Jackson	51	2	0	1	7
Ceyair Wright	39	1	1	1	6
DeCarlos Nicholson	27	0	0	0	5

Arizona State's OC Beau Baldwin

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)	49	82	60%	391	3	3	4.8
Jacob Conover (Tr)	2	4	50%	22	0	0	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	293	1715	21	5.9	53
Javen Jacobs	40	277	3	6.9	50
George Hart III	44	204	2	4.6	30
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)	37	148	1	4.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijhah Badger	39	806	4	20.7	77
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	45	605	3	13.4	66
Shawn Charles	30	553	5	18.4	86
Xavier Guillory (Tr)	22	339	5	15.4	61

View Arizona State's Full Roster

Arizona State's DC Brian Ward

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Djonkam	98	12	3	4	3
Caleb McCullough	76	8	1	1	1
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	72	9	0	4	4
Edward Woods	49	4	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
B.J. Green II	32	12	8	5	0
James Djonkam	98	12	3	4	3
Caleb McCullough	76	8	1	1	1
Edward Woods	49	4	1	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Clark	36	2	0	1	5
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	72	9	0	4	4
James Djonkam	98	12	3	4	3