Utah at USC - 2023 Matchup Preview
Utah logo   Utah Utes at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
USC -7.5 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Utah 34 - USC: 32  (Pac-12)

 
Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 41 - 19 (38 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: USC -5  (SP+ UTAH -0.5)
Projected Score: UTAH: 25 - USC: 30 (55)
USC Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UTAH Travel: 585 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Utah vs Florida-5.544.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 9/9 Utah at Baylor-7.046.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Utah vs Weber State-26.544.0W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Utah vs UCLA-3.050.5W 14 - 7UY
Fri 9/29 Utah at Oregon State+4.043.0L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Utah vs California-9.042.5W 34 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Utah at USC+7.551.5W 34 - 32OY
Sat 10/28 Utah vs Oregon+6.547.5L 6 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 Utah vs Arizona State-11.040.5W 55 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Utah at Washington+9.548.5L 28 - 35OY
Sat 11/18 Utah at Arizona+2.545.5L 18 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Utah vs Colorado-21.543.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 12/23 Utah vs Northwestern-6.544.5L 7 - 14UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
USC's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 USC vs San José State-31.566.0W 56 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 USC vs Nevada-37.563.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 USC vs Stanford-28.570.5W 56 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 USC at Arizona State-34.562.0W 42 - 28ON
Sat 9/30 USC at Colorado-22.074.5W 48 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 USC vs Arizona-21.069.5W 43 - 41ON
Sat 10/14 USC at Notre Dame+3.061.0L 20 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 USC vs Utah-7.551.5L 32 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 USC at California-10.567.5W 50 - 49ON
Sat 11/4 USC vs Washington+3.076.0L 42 - 52ON
Sat 11/11 USC at Oregon+12.578.5L 27 - 36UY
Sat 11/18 USC vs UCLA-6.065.5L 20 - 38UN
Wed 12/27 USC vs Louisville+4.558.0W 42 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH.2851%41.354%3.5421848%2494.16.1739%18.941%38%3.8640.21.32.3
USC.451%35.853%3.5217150%3354.68.2948%2353%46%4.54580.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Offense1441.338.251%4.161.3264672182495.451%49%54%48%12%.28
USC Defense142317.948.4%4.542.1 - - - - - 44%55%53%46%17%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Defense1418.917.239.1%3.862.3 - - - - - 43%56%41%38%19%.17
USC Offense1435.84351.3%4.680.5265061713355.144%56%53%50%11%.4

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah1433:4025.951%62%4.540.21.32.35.92.9332.2
USC1431:5425.754%68%6.3580.52.15.52.9328.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense1451%54%40217.75.438.313.5481%7%0.99
USC Defense1444%53% - - - - .363.4578%10%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense1443%41% - - - - .172.9169%13%1.16
USC Offense1444%53%33.8171.15.130.33.5283%7%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense1449%48%20.631.9249.27.812.13110.261.427%36%.475%2
USC Defense1455%46% - - - - - - 19.271.529%36%.427%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense1456%38% - - - - - - 12.191.734%28%.226%2.2
USC Offense1456%50%24.636.7335.39.113.7435.481.628%36%.494%2.2

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 4.51  #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26  #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62  #37
2023 Talent Rating: 722.55  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 24%  #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 4.51   USC: 11.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 8.3   USC: 7.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.355  #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88  #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89  #119
2023 Talent Rating: 896.41  #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 54  #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9  #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6  #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Utah Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 30
Utah 25

Projected Total Points: 55
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21USC32Utah34USC -7.5Utah51.5Over
202212/02USC24Utah47USC -3.0Utah67.5Over
202210/15Utah43USC42Utah -3.5USC65.0Over
202110/09USC26Utah42USC -3Utah52.5Over
202011/21Utah17USC33USC -2.5USC57.5Under
201909/20USC30Utah23Utah -3.5USC53.5Under
201810/20Utah41USC28Utah -6.5Utah48.0Over
201710/14USC28Utah27USC -13Utah52.0Over
201609/23Utah31USC27Utah -2Utah44.5Over
201510/24USC42Utah24USC -3USC56.5Over
201410/25Utah24USC21USC -1Utah51.5Under
201310/26USC19Utah3USC -6.5USC0
201210/04Utah28USC38
201109/10USC23Utah14
200112/25Utah10USC6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC758 Overs
Utah873 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 56 - 64 - 52 - 1
Road Teams5 - 106 - 61 - 25 - 4

(#38) UTAH at (#23) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTAHUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #38 #23
SP+SP+ #35 #38
Perf GradeGrade #73 #29
OffenseOff #80 #16
DefenseDef #64 #80
Spec TeamsST #61 #86
TalentTal #33 #8
Blue ChipsBC% #27 #14
Utah on Offense
CategoryCat
UTAH OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #97 #119
SP+SP+ #60 #109
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Utah Run Game
CategoryCat
UTAH OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #47 #84
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #77
Utah Pass Game
CategoryCat
UTAH OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #104 #90
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #132 #26
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffUTAH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #64
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #7 #37
SP+SP+ #3 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffUTAH Def
Run GameRun #10 #64
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #63 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #18
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffUTAH Def
Pass GamePass #9 #87
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #20 #73
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
USC -7.5 (51.5)
Utah won at USC this year (34-32)

Previous Matchups
Utah beat USC in 2023 (34-32)

  
UTAH's OC Andy Ludwig (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Barnes14224259%157212116.5
Nate Johnson397254%499306.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson16179745.054
Jaylon Glover13756224.130
Sione Vaki4231727.572
Bryson Barnes8927733.126
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devaughn Vele43593313.868
Money Parks3129329.570
Munir McClain15269217.949
Mikey Matthews2926109.040

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Levani Damuni (Tr)883100
Karene Reid672004
Cole Bishop607303
Zemaiah Vaughn535106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonah Elliss37161233
Connor O'Toole316503
Van Fillinger316400
Logan Fano (Tr)144401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zemaiah Vaughn535106
Tao Johnson332005
Karene Reid672004

USC's OC Josh Henson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caleb Williams26638869%36333059.4
Miller Moss466571%6817110.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
MarShawn Lloyd (Tr)11682097.156
Austin Jones8547775.637
Quinten Joyner1812516.947
Caleb Williams99115111.246
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Washington591062818.076
Brenden Rice457911217.675
Duce Robinson16351221.971
Zachariah Branch31320210.336

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Cobb (Tr)857001
Jaylin Smith695111
Calen Bullock580005
Bryson Shaw523100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamil Muhammad (Tr)4610641
Solomon Byrd448521
Romello Height185410
Braylan Shelby174200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Roland-Wallace (Tr)343009
Calen Bullock580005
Eric Gentry433103