Utah at USC - 2023 Matchup Preview
Utah logo Utah Utes at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
USC -7.5 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Utah 34 - USC: 32  (Pac-12)

 
Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (24 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 19 MPH
USC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: USC -5   (SP+ UTAH -0.5)
Projected Score: UTAH: 23 - USC: 28 (50)
USC Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UTAH Travel: 585 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Utah vs Florida-5.544.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 9/9 Utah at Baylor-7.046.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Utah vs Weber State-26.544.0W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/23 Utah vs UCLA-3.050.5W 14 - 7UY
Fri 9/29 Utah at Oregon State+4.043.0L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Utah vs California-9.042.5W 34 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Utah at USC+7.551.5W 34 - 32OY
Sat 10/28 Utah vs Oregon+6.547.5L 6 - 35UN
Sat 11/4 Utah vs Arizona State-11.040.5W 55 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Utah at Washington+9.548.5L 28 - 35OY
Sat 11/18 Utah at Arizona+2.545.5L 18 - 42ON
Sat 11/25 Utah vs Colorado-21.543.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 12/23 Utah vs Northwestern-6.544.5L 7 - 14UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
USC's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 USC vs San José State-31.566.0W 56 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 USC vs Nevada-37.563.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 USC vs Stanford-28.570.5W 56 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 USC at Arizona State-34.562.0W 42 - 28ON
Sat 9/30 USC at Colorado-22.074.5W 48 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 USC vs Arizona-21.069.5W 43 - 41ON
Sat 10/14 USC at Notre Dame+3.061.0L 20 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 USC vs Utah-7.551.5L 32 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 USC at California-10.567.5W 50 - 49ON
Sat 11/4 USC vs Washington+3.076.0L 42 - 52ON
Sat 11/11 USC at Oregon+12.578.5L 27 - 36UY
Sat 11/18 USC vs UCLA-6.065.5L 20 - 38UN
Wed 12/27 USC vs Louisville+4.558.0W 42 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH.2851%23.654%3.5421848%2494.16.1739%20.741%38%3.8640.21.32.3
USC.451%30.253%3.5217150%3354.68.2948%24.153%46%4.54580.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Offense1423.624.251%4.161.3264672182495.451%49%54%48%12%.28
USC Defense1424.123.848.4%4.542.1 - - - - - 44%55%53%46%17%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Defense1420.724.539.1%3.862.3 - - - - - 43%56%41%38%19%.17
USC Offense1430.236.851.3%4.680.5265061713355.144%56%53%50%11%.4

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah1433:4025.951%62%4.540.21.32.35.92.9332.2
USC1431:5425.754%68%6.3580.52.15.52.9328.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense1451%54%40217.75.438.313.5481%7%0.99
USC Defense1444%53% - - - - .363.4578%10%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense1443%41% - - - - .172.9169%13%1.16
USC Offense1444%53%33.8171.15.130.33.5283%7%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense1449%48%20.631.9249.27.812.13110.261.427%36%.475%2
USC Defense1455%46% - - - - - - 19.271.529%36%.427%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense1456%38% - - - - - - 12.191.734%28%.226%2.2
USC Offense1456%50%24.636.7335.39.113.7435.481.628%36%.494%2.2

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 4.51 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 760.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 4.51   USC: 11.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 8.3   USC: 7.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.355 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 28
Utah 23

Projected Total Points: 50
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21USC32Utah34UtahUSC -7.5Utah51.5Over
202212/02USC24Utah47UtahUSC -3.0Utah67.5Over
202210/15Utah43USC42UtahUtah -3.5USC65.0Over
202110/09USC26Utah42UtahUSC -3Utah52.5Over
202011/21Utah17USC33USCUSC -2.5USC57.5Under
201909/20USC30Utah23USCUtah -3.5USC53.5Under
201810/20Utah41USC28UtahUtah -6.5Utah48.0Over
201710/14USC28Utah27USCUSC -13Utah52.0Over
201609/23Utah31USC27UtahUtah -2Utah44.5Over
201510/24USC42Utah24USCUSC -3USC56.5Over
201410/25Utah24USC21UtahUSC -1Utah51.5Under
201310/26USC19Utah3USCUSC -6.5USC0
201210/04Utah28USC38USC
201109/10USC23Utah14USC
200112/25Utah10USC6Utah
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC758 Overs
Utah873 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 56 - 64 - 52 - 1
Road Teams5 - 106 - 61 - 25 - 4

(#38) Utah Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.51 #38
Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 760.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile






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Utah     Ratings Matchup     USC
Power #38
#23
Off #97
#7
Def #37
#119
Talent #35
#33
SP+ #35
#38
SP+ Off #60
#3
SP+ Def #26
#109

Rematch from Week 8
USC -7.5 (51.5)
Utah won at USC this year (34-32)

Previous Matchups
Utah beat USC in 2023 (34-32)
Utah beat USC in 2022 (43-42)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71° - Wind: 19 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UTAH | USC
Depth Chart: UTAH | USC
Rosters: UTAH | USC
(#23) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.355 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile






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Utah's OC Andy Ludwig
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Barnes7712661%8561266.8
Cameron Rising346652%555738.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Bernard (Tr)197100945.164
Ja'Quinden Jackson149790155.346
Bryson Barnes6853057.863
Charlie Vincent144403.16
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Brant Kuithe35505614.471
Money Parks21294314.071
Mikey Matthews3429218.646
Micah Bernard (Tr)3015025.019

View Utah's Full Roster
Utah's DC Morgan Scalley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Karene Reid546311
Van Fillinger438515
Jadon Pearson423012
Zemaiah Vaughn395205
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Van Fillinger438515
Karene Reid546311
Connor O'Toole225300
Zemaiah Vaughn395205
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zemaiah Vaughn395205
Van Fillinger438515
JaTravis Broughton380003

USC's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malachi Nelson121771%128017.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darwin Barlow96206.914
Raleek Brown94204.714
Mario Williams21206.013
Malachi Nelson2-110-5.50
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Williams48831417.368
Dorian Singer (Tr)53702113.240
Jude Wolfe1816128.932
Darwin Barlow331010.317

View USC's Full Roster
USC's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Cobb (Tr)723003
Jaylin Smith584002
Domani Jackson512017
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Romello Height347340
Korey Foreman235241
Stanley Ta'ufo'ou304200
Jamil Muhammad (Tr)272130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Domani Jackson512017
Ceyair Wright391116
DeCarlos Nicholson270005