Colorado at Arizona State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
Colorado -3 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Colorado 27 - Arizona State: 24  (Pac-12)

 
Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 35 (21 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU is playing their 6th straight game
COLO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Colorado -4   (SP+ COLO -6.5)

Projected Score: COLO: 31 - ASU: 27 (57)
COLO Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
COLO Travel: 585 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 32 (21 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Colorado at TCU+20.559.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 9/9 Colorado vs Nebraska-2.556.5W 36 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 Colorado vs Colorado State-23.063.0W 43 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Colorado at Oregon+21.070.0L 6 - 42UN
Sat 9/30 Colorado vs USC+22.074.5L 41 - 48OY
Sat 10/7 Colorado at Arizona State-3.058.0W 27 - 24UN
Fri 10/13 Colorado vs Stanford-13.059.0L 43 - 46ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Colorado at UCLA+14.060.0L 16 - 28UY
Sat 11/4 Colorado vs Oregon State+13.060.5L 19 - 26UY
Sat 11/11 Colorado vs Arizona+6.055.5L 31 - 34OY
Fri 11/17 Colorado at Washington State+4.559.5L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/25 Colorado at Utah+21.543.5L 17 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Arizona State vs Southern Utah-34.060.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Arizona State vs Oklahoma State+2.553.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 9/16 Arizona State vs Fresno State+4.048.0L 0 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Arizona State vs USC+34.562.0L 28 - 42OY
Sat 9/30 Arizona State at California+13.047.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona State vs Colorado+3.058.0L 24 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arizona State at Washington+28.059.5L 7 - 15UY
Sat 10/28 Arizona State vs Washington State+4.549.0W 38 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Arizona State at Utah+11.040.5L 3 - 55ON
Sat 11/11 Arizona State at UCLA+14.045.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Arizona State vs Oregon+21.552.5L 13 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 Arizona State vs Arizona+12.548.5L 23 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#58 (.21)41% (77)28.236% (127)3.08 (75)6944% (45)2954.24 (33)#123 (.3)47% (128)34.848% (115)48% (128)4.29 (113)71.20.91.8
ASU#110 (.12)38% (112)17.844% (57)3.14 (62)11134% (123)2103.28 (108)#112 (.25)47% (123)31.847% (105)47% (125)3.99 (86)51.81.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1228.220.841.4%4.240.921364692952.335%65%36%44%17%.21
ASU Defense1231.835.146.5%3.991 - - - - - 42%58%47%47%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1234.835.847.4%4.291.8 - - - - - 48%51%48%48%16%.3
ASU Offense1217.820.637.7%3.281.7193221112103.643%56%44%34%18%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1227:3421.238%67%8.971.20.91.85.52.3128.7
Arizona State1230:1618.831%47%5.851.81.715.42.2025.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1235% (131)36% (127)29.868.92.312 (116)-.01 (127)3.08 (75)73% (76)12% (111)0.94 (98)
ASU Defense1242% (5)47% (105) - - - - .2 (104)3.53 (130)72% (63)10% (60)0.99 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1248% (45)48% (115) - - - - .24 (114)3.14 (78)88% (130)10% (68)1.03 (87)
ASU Offense1243% (113)44% (57)31.2111.23.617 (81).2 (42)3.14 (62)67% (107)10% (73)0.99 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1265% (1)44% (45)26.939.5294.77.51129 (18)4 (2).32 (53)1.5 (87)34% (106)34% (34).52 (15)5% (40)2.2 (22)
ASU Defense1258% (129)47% (125) - - - - - - 5 (126).3 (91)1.4 (6)30% (110)33% (105).41 (109)6% (67)1.9 (21)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1251% (95)48% (128) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (116)1.5 (49)30% (99)39% (131).51 (128)6% (84)2 (66)
ASU Offense1256% (23)34% (123)20.336.7210.35.710.48 (128)14 (107).1 (124)1.5 (95)34% (111)25% (113).23 (102)8% (120)2.1 (41)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1.60 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -1.60   Arizona State: -7.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -5.4   Arizona State: -11.9




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 31
Arizona State 27


Total Points: 57

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35.1

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Arizona State24Colorado27ColoradoColorado -3NA58.0Under
202210/29Colorado34Arizona State42Arizona StateArizona State -13Colorado49.0Over
202109/25Arizona State35Colorado13Arizona StateArizona State -13.5Arizona State45.5Over
201909/21Arizona State31Colorado34ColoradoArizona State -7.5Colorado49.0Over
201810/06Colorado28Arizona State21ColoradoColorado -2.5Colorado64.0Under
201711/04Arizona State41Colorado30Arizona StateArizona State -6.5Arizona State58.5Over
201610/15Colorado40Arizona State16ColoradoColorado -8Colorado63.0Under
201510/10Arizona State48Colorado23Arizona StateArizona State -12.5Arizona State57.0Over
201409/13Colorado24Arizona State38Arizona StateArizona State -13.5Arizona State0
201310/12Arizona State54Colorado13Arizona StateArizona State -23.5Arizona State0
201210/11Colorado17Arizona State51Arizona State
201110/29Arizona State48Colorado14Arizona State
200709/08Arizona State33Colorado14Arizona State
200609/16Colorado3Arizona State21Arizona State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State1055 Overs
Colorado443 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 67 - 26 - 11 - 1
Road Teams6 - 82 - 71 - 11 - 6

(#73) Colorado Info
Power Rating: -1.60 #73
Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50


Colorado has lost 2 straight
Colorado has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )

Colorado Highlights
Colorado offense is explosive (#12)
Colorado has a great TO Margin (#28)

Colorado Deficiencies
Colorado Can Not Run the Ball (#99)
Colorado Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Colorado run game is really bad (#118)
Colorado Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Colorado has a bad defense (#114)
Colorado has a bad red zone defense (#68)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatASUCOLO
OverallOver#109#88
OffenseOff#113#72
DefenseDef#93#95
Special TeamsST#94#97
PassingPass#113#9
RushingRush#48#100
Run BlockRBLK#91#63
Pass BlockPBLK#67#60
Route RunningWR Rt#107#69
TacklingTkl#85#82
Run DefenseR Def#85#106
Pass Rush DefPRush#74#75
Coverage DefCov#99#82

Rematch from Week 6
Colorado 3.0 (58.0)
Colorado won at Arizona State this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Arizona State in 2023 (27-24)
Arizona State beat Colorado in 2022 (42-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: COLO | ASU
Depth Chart: COLO | ASU
Rosters: COLO | ASU
(#106) Arizona State Info
Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60


Arizona State has lost 4 straight
Arizona State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 6 (2 - 5 - 1 vs Spread)

Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#71)

Arizona State defense does not give up big plays (#49)

Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State has a really bad Offense
Arizona State has a really bad Offense at Home
Arizona State Can Not Run the Ball (#15)
Arizona State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Arizona State offense is really bad (#54)
Arizona State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#61)
Arizona State pass game is really bad (#99)
Arizona State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Arizona State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arizona State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Arizona State has a bad defense (#90)
Arizona State Does Not Stuff Runs (#57)
Arizona State has a bad defensive line (#29)


  
Colorado's OC Sean Lewis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)29843069%32302737.5
Ryan Staub234058%254106.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Edwards7632114.234
Anthony Hankerson7831914.120
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)5319033.611
Alton McCaskill (Tr)145904.29
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Weaver (Tr)68908413.448
Travis Hunter (Tr)57721512.647
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)5856769.845
Dylan Edwards3629948.375

View Colorado's Full Roster
Colorado's DC Charles Kelly
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
LaVonta Bentley6911542
Shilo Sanders (Tr)671013
Trevor Woods561123
Rodrick Ward (Tr)521002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
LaVonta Bentley6911542
Jordan Domineck (Tr)5112542
Amari McNeill (Tr)317311
Leonard Payne Jr.103331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travis Hunter (Tr)312005
Omarion Cooper (Tr)372105
Trevor Woods561123

Arizona State's OC Beau Baldwin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trenton Bourguet15124861%1486146.0
Jaden Rashada448254%485435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)16478894.866
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)4825935.421
Kyson Brown2310604.615
Jalin Conyers229214.239
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger65713311.065
Jalin Conyers30362012.150
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)24286111.966
Xavier Guillory (Tr)21226110.847

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Chris Edmonds710022
Travion Brown (Tr)533101
Tate Romney (Tr)524144
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)3010671
B.J. Green II39126110
Clayton Smith (Tr)216571
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)4810244
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Clark502009
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Demetries Ford312005