Colorado at Arizona State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
Colorado -3 (58.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Colorado 27 - Arizona State: 24 (Pac-12)

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (32 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 98.4° (15% Hum)
ASU is playing their 6th straight game
COLO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Colorado -4 (SP+ COLO -6.5)
Projected Score: COLO: 30 - ASU: 26 (56)
COLO Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
COLO Travel: 585 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado at TCU	+20.5	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Nebraska	-2.5	56.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Colorado State	-23.0	63.0	W 43 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Colorado at Oregon	+21.0	70.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/30	Colorado vs USC	+22.0	74.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Colorado at Arizona State	-3.0	58.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Colorado vs Stanford	-13.0	59.0	L 43 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Colorado at UCLA	+14.0	60.0	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Colorado vs Oregon State	+13.0	60.5	L 19 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs Arizona	+6.0	55.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/17	Colorado at Washington State	+4.5	59.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+21.5	43.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Arizona State vs Southern Utah	-34.0	60.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/9	Arizona State vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	53.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arizona State vs Fresno State	+4.0	48.0	L 0 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Arizona State vs USC	+34.5	62.0	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arizona State at California	+13.0	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona State vs Colorado	+3.0	58.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Arizona State at Washington	+28.0	59.5	L 7 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Arizona State vs Washington State	+4.5	49.0	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona State at Utah	+11.0	40.5	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/11	Arizona State at UCLA	+14.0	45.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Arizona State vs Oregon	+21.5	52.5	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	Arizona State vs Arizona	+12.5	48.5	L 23 - 59	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	.01	36%	32.9	42%	2.86	108	32%	173	3.3	.41	53%	23.1	55%	51%	4.9	48.3	1.8	1.1
ASU	.23	44%	32.9	46%	3.12	135	44%	252	4.22	.27	47%	22.6	51%	45%	4.4	72.3	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	12	32.9	32.2	36.1%	3.3	1.8	16	281	108	173	3.4	47%	51%	42%	32%	23%	.01
ASU Defense	12	22.6	22.3	47.3%	4.4	1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	51%	45%	17%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	12	23.1	18.4	52.7%	4.9	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	55%	51%	13%	.41
ASU Offense	12	32.9	33.8	44.3%	4.22	1.5	21	387	135	252	4.2	44%	55%	46%	44%	19%	.23

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	12	27:23	15.8	32%	37%	5.3	48.3	1.8	1.1	4.1	0.8	1	26.4
Arizona State	12	30:44	21.2	39%	63%	7.3	72.3	1.5	1	4.2	1.4	1	26.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	12	47%	42%	32.3	108.3	3.4	11	.09	2.86	82%	13%	0.9
ASU Defense	12	48%	51%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.53	79%	9%	1.11

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	12	48%	55%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.22	75%	8%	1.08
ASU Offense	12	44%	46%	32.1	135.3	4.2	21	.13	3.12	74%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	12	51%	32%	14.9	30	172.9	5.8	11.6	10	10	.02	1.6	36%	21%	.15	10%	2.2
ASU Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.25	1.4	26%	31%	.28	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	12	52%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.53	1.6	27%	44%	.68	4%	2.1
ASU Offense	12	55%	44%	22.5	33.6	251.9	7.5	11.2	18	10	.35	1.6	32%	34%	.43	7%	2.1

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1.60 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -1.60 Arizona State: -7.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -5.4 Arizona State: -11.9

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 590.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.4

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado 30
Arizona State 26

Projected Total Points: 56

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Arizona State	24	Colorado	27	Colorado	Colorado -3	NA	58.0	Under
2022	10/29	Colorado	34	Arizona State	42	Arizona State	Arizona State -13	Colorado	49.0	Over
2021	09/25	Arizona State	35	Colorado	13	Arizona State	Arizona State -13.5	Arizona State	45.5	Over
2019	09/21	Arizona State	31	Colorado	34	Colorado	Arizona State -7.5	Colorado	49.0	Over
2018	10/06	Colorado	28	Arizona State	21	Colorado	Colorado -2.5	Colorado	64.0	Under
2017	11/04	Arizona State	41	Colorado	30	Arizona State	Arizona State -6.5	Arizona State	58.5	Over
2016	10/15	Colorado	40	Arizona State	16	Colorado	Colorado -8	Colorado	63.0	Under
2015	10/10	Arizona State	48	Colorado	23	Arizona State	Arizona State -12.5	Arizona State	57.0	Over
2014	09/13	Colorado	24	Arizona State	38	Arizona State	Arizona State -13.5	Arizona State	0
2013	10/12	Arizona State	54	Colorado	13	Arizona State	Arizona State -23.5	Arizona State	0
2012	10/11	Colorado	17	Arizona State	51	Arizona State
2011	10/29	Arizona State	48	Colorado	14	Arizona State
2007	09/08	Arizona State	33	Colorado	14	Arizona State
2006	09/16	Colorado	3	Arizona State	21	Arizona State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	10	5	5 Overs
Colorado	4	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 6	7 - 2	6 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 8	2 - 7	1 - 1	1 - 6

(#73) Colorado Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.60 #73
Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116
Talent Rating: 730.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Colorado Ratings Matchup Arizona State

Power #73

#106

Off #50

#101

Def #121

#123

Talent #40

#76

SP+ #83

#108

SP+ Off #45

#102

SP+ Def #116

#94

Rematch from Week 6
Colorado 3.0 (58.0)
Colorado won at Arizona State this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat Arizona State in 2023 (27-24)
Arizona State beat Colorado in 2022 (42-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 98° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: COLO | ASU
Depth Chart: COLO | ASU
Rosters: COLO | ASU

(#106) Arizona State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -7.37 #106
Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 590.00 #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60

Team Profile

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Colorado's OC Sean Lewis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)	353	477	74%	4134	37	10	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Hankerson	232	1082	15	4.7	83
Dylan Edwards	74	546	5	7.4	65
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	23	97	0	4.2	41
Alton McCaskill (Tr)	7	17	0	2.4	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Travis Hunter (Tr)	96	1258	15	13.1	58
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)	37	441	1	11.9	69
Anthony Hankerson	27	151	0	5.6	20
Michael Harrison	18	150	0	8.3	18

View Colorado's Full Roster

Colorado's DC Charles Kelly

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marvin Ham II	98	10	2	1	1
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
Shilo Sanders (Tr)	64	3	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khairi Manns (Tr)	70	14	9	8	2
D'Vion Harris (Tr)	53	8	4	2	1
Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig	86	10	2	4	3
Marvin Ham II	98	10	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter (Tr)	35	1	0	0	11
Kyndrich Breedlove (Tr)	40	2	0	1	4
JJ Hawkins	22	2	1	7	3

Arizona State's OC Beau Baldwin

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)	49	82	60%	391	3	3	4.8
Jacob Conover (Tr)	2	4	50%	22	0	0	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	293	1715	21	5.9	53
Javen Jacobs	40	277	3	6.9	50
George Hart III	44	204	2	4.6	30
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)	37	148	1	4.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijhah Badger	39	806	4	20.7	77
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	45	605	3	13.4	66
Shawn Charles	30	553	5	18.4	86
Xavier Guillory (Tr)	22	339	5	15.4	61

View Arizona State's Full Roster

Arizona State's DC Brian Ward

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Djonkam	98	12	3	4	3
Caleb McCullough	76	8	1	1	1
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	72	9	0	4	4
Edward Woods	49	4	1	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
B.J. Green II	32	12	8	5	0
James Djonkam	98	12	3	4	3
Caleb McCullough	76	8	1	1	1
Edward Woods	49	4	1	2	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Clark	36	2	0	1	5
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	72	9	0	4	4
James Djonkam	98	12	3	4	3