Colorado at Arizona State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo   Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils  Arizona State logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
Colorado -3 (58.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Colorado 27 - Arizona State: 24  (Pac-12)

 
Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU is playing their 6th straight game
COLO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Colorado -4  (SP+ COLO -6.5)
Projected Score: COLO: 29 - ASU: 25 (54)
COLO Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
COLO Travel: 585 miles
Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Colorado at TCU+20.559.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 9/9 Colorado vs Nebraska-2.556.5W 36 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 Colorado vs Colorado State-23.063.0W 43 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Colorado at Oregon+21.070.0L 6 - 42UN
Sat 9/30 Colorado vs USC+22.074.5L 41 - 48OY
Sat 10/7 Colorado at Arizona State-3.058.0W 27 - 24UN
Fri 10/13 Colorado vs Stanford-13.059.0L 43 - 46ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Colorado at UCLA+14.060.0L 16 - 28UY
Sat 11/4 Colorado vs Oregon State+13.060.5L 19 - 26UY
Sat 11/11 Colorado vs Arizona+6.055.5L 31 - 34OY
Fri 11/17 Colorado at Washington State+4.559.5L 14 - 56ON
Sat 11/25 Colorado at Utah+21.543.5L 17 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Arizona State vs Southern Utah-34.060.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 9/9 Arizona State vs Oklahoma State+2.553.5L 15 - 27UN
Sat 9/16 Arizona State vs Fresno State+4.048.0L 0 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Arizona State vs USC+34.562.0L 28 - 42OY
Sat 9/30 Arizona State at California+13.047.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/7 Arizona State vs Colorado+3.058.0L 24 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Arizona State at Washington+28.059.5L 7 - 15UY
Sat 10/28 Arizona State vs Washington State+4.549.0W 38 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Arizona State at Utah+11.040.5L 3 - 55ON
Sat 11/11 Arizona State at UCLA+14.045.5W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Arizona State vs Oregon+21.552.5L 13 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 Arizona State vs Arizona+12.548.5L 23 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO.0136%20.942%2.8610832%1733.3.4153%30.555%51%4.948.31.81.1
ASU.2344%25.846%3.1213544%2524.22.2747%24.551%45%4.472.31.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1220.916.836.1%3.31.8162811081733.447%51%42%32%23%.01
ASU Defense1224.521.447.3%4.41 - - - - - 48%52%51%45%17%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1230.535.452.7%4.91.1 - - - - - 48%52%55%51%13%.41
ASU Offense1225.824.744.3%4.221.5213871352524.244%55%46%44%19%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1227:2315.832%37%5.348.31.81.14.10.8126.4
Arizona State1230:4421.239%63%7.372.31.514.21.4126.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1247%42%32.3108.33.411.092.8682%13%0.9
ASU Defense1248%51% - - - - .343.5379%9%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1248%55% - - - - .313.2275%8%1.08
ASU Offense1244%46%32.1135.34.221.133.1274%12%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1251%32%14.930172.95.811.61010.021.636%21%.1510%2.2
ASU Defense1252%45% - - - - - - 11.251.426%31%.288%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1252%51% - - - - - - 6.531.627%44%.684%2.1
ASU Offense1255%44%22.533.6251.97.511.21810.351.632%34%.437%2.1

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1.60  #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51  #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48  #121
2023 Talent Rating: 711.87  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 10%  #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4  #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -1.60   Arizona State: -7.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -5.4   Arizona State: -11.9




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.37  #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85  #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76  #123
2023 Talent Rating: 681.32  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 24  #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9  #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Colorado 29
Arizona State 25

Projected Total Points: 54
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Colorado17Arizona State42Arizona State -7Arizona State47.5Over
202310/07Arizona State24Colorado27Colorado -3NA58.0Under
202210/29Colorado34Arizona State42Arizona State -13Colorado49.0Over
202109/25Arizona State35Colorado13Arizona State -13.5Arizona State45.5Over
201909/21Arizona State31Colorado34Arizona State -7.5Colorado49.0Over
201810/06Colorado28Arizona State21Colorado -2.5Colorado64.0Under
201711/04Arizona State41Colorado30Arizona State -6.5Arizona State58.5Over
201610/15Colorado40Arizona State16Colorado -8Colorado63.0Under
201510/10Arizona State48Colorado23Arizona State -12.5Arizona State57.0Over
201409/13Colorado24Arizona State38Arizona State -13.5Arizona State0
201310/12Arizona State54Colorado13Arizona State -23.5Arizona State0
201210/11Colorado17Arizona State51
201110/29Arizona State48Colorado14
200709/08Arizona State33Colorado14
200609/16Colorado3Arizona State21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State1166 Overs
Colorado443 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 77 - 36 - 11 - 2
Road Teams7 - 83 - 72 - 11 - 6

(#73) COLO at (#106) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCOLOASU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #73 #106
SP+SP+ #83 #108
Perf GradeGrade #106 #130
OffenseOff #82 #132
DefenseDef #122 #120
Spec TeamsST #121 #117
TalentTal #35 #44
Blue ChipsBC% #49 #27
Colorado on Offense
CategoryCat
COLO OffASU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #82 #120
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #50 #123
SP+SP+ #45 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado Run Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffASU Def
Run GameRun #135 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #99
Colorado Pass Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #10 #120
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #70 #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCatASU OffCOLO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #132 #122
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #101 #121
SP+SP+ #102 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #68 #125
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #95
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCatASU OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #133 #101
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #77 #96
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Colorado 3.0 (58.0)
Colorado won at Arizona State this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Colorado last year (42-17)
Colorado beat Arizona State in 2023 (27-24)

  
COLO's OC Sean Lewis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)29843069%32302737.5
Ryan Staub234058%254106.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Edwards7632114.234
Anthony Hankerson7831914.120
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)5319033.611
Alton McCaskill (Tr)145904.29
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Weaver (Tr)68908413.448
Travis Hunter (Tr)57721512.647
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)5856769.845
Dylan Edwards3629948.375

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Charles Kelly (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
LaVonta Bentley6911542
Shilo Sanders (Tr)671013
Trevor Woods561123
Rodrick Ward (Tr)521002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
LaVonta Bentley6911542
Jordan Domineck (Tr)5112542
Amari McNeill (Tr)317311
Leonard Payne Jr.103331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Travis Hunter (Tr)312005
Omarion Cooper (Tr)372105
Trevor Woods561123

ASU's OC Beau Baldwin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Trenton Bourguet15124861%1486146.0
Jaden Rashada448254%485435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)16478894.866
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)4825935.421
Kyson Brown2310604.615
Jalin Conyers229214.239
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijhah Badger65713311.065
Jalin Conyers30362012.150
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)24286111.966
Xavier Guillory (Tr)21226110.847

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Chris Edmonds710022
Travion Brown (Tr)533101
Tate Romney (Tr)524144
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)3010671
B.J. Green II39126110
Clayton Smith (Tr)216571
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)4810244
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Clark502009
Shamari Simmons (Tr)732146
Demetries Ford312005