USC at Notre Dame - 2023 Matchup Preview
USC logo USC Trojans at Notre Dame Fighting IrishNotre Dame logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -3 (61.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Notre Dame 48 - USC: 20

 
Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ND is playing their 7th straight game
USC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -13   (SP+ ND -11)
Projected Score: USC: 21 - ND: 34 (53)
ND Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
USC Travel: 1816 miles, 3 hrs behind
Fighting Irish (10 - 3) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Marcus Freeman (13 - 5)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (34 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 USC vs San José State-31.566.0W 56 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 USC vs Nevada-37.563.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 USC vs Stanford-28.570.5W 56 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 USC at Arizona State-34.562.0W 42 - 28ON
Sat 9/30 USC at Colorado-22.074.5W 48 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 USC vs Arizona-21.069.5W 43 - 41ON
Sat 10/14 USC at Notre Dame+3.061.0L 20 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 USC vs Utah-7.551.5L 32 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 USC at California-10.567.5W 50 - 49ON
Sat 11/4 USC vs Washington+3.076.0L 42 - 52ON
Sat 11/11 USC at Oregon+12.578.5L 27 - 36UY
Sat 11/18 USC vs UCLA-6.065.5L 20 - 38UN
Wed 12/27 USC vs Louisville+4.558.0W 42 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Notre Dame vs Navy-20.549.0W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/2 Notre Dame vs Tennessee State-48.555.0W 56 - 3OY
Sat 9/9 Notre Dame at NC State-7.049.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Notre Dame vs Central Michigan-34.551.5W 41 - 17ON
Sat 9/23 Notre Dame vs Ohio State+3.055.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 9/30 Notre Dame at Duke-5.552.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Notre Dame at Louisville-6.553.0L 20 - 33UN
Sat 10/14 Notre Dame vs USC-3.061.0W 48 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh-21.045.5W 58 - 7OY
Sat 11/4 Notre Dame at Clemson-3.044.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Notre Dame vs Wake Forest-22.547.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 11/25 Notre Dame at Stanford-26.050.5W 56 - 23OY
Fri 12/29 Notre Dame vs Oregon State-5.540.5W 40 - 8OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.451%30.253%3.5217150%3354.68.2948%24.153%46%4.54580.52.1
ND.248%36.149%3.3418946%2073.99.1439%15.544%35%3.9242.31.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1430.221.851.3%4.680.5265061713355.144%56%53%50%11%.4
ND Defense1315.51238.9%3.921.4 - - - - - 48%51%44%35%15%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense1424.123.848.4%4.542.1 - - - - - 44%55%53%46%17%.29
ND Offense1336.133.747.6%3.991.4223961892074.658%41%49%46%12%.2

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1431:5425.754%68%6.3580.52.15.52.9328.2
Notre Dame1332:1021.647%44%4.642.31.41.462.8333.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1444%53%33.8171.15.130.33.5283%7%0.97
ND Defense1348%44% - - - - .173.0163%11%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1444%53% - - - - .363.4578%10%1.14
ND Offense1358%49%40.8189.14.625.163.3473%7%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1456%50%24.636.7335.39.113.7435.481.628%36%.494%2.2
ND Defense1351%35% - - - - - - 10.141.733%26%.284%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1455%46% - - - - - - 19.271.529%36%.427%2
ND Offense1341%46%16.226207.2812.82511.271.626%33%.355%1.9

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 9.81 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
USC: 9.81   Notre Dame: 21.915

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 7.9   Notre Dame: 19.1




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 21.915 #6
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.62 #11
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.24 #12
2023 Talent Rating: 1086.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #9
Notre Dame's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Notre Dame's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1 #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #17
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 747
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 34
USC 21

Projected Total Points: 53
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.7
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 12

Notre Dame's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30USC35Notre Dame49Notre DameNotre Dame -6.5Notre Dame52.5Over
202310/14Notre Dame48USC20Notre DameNotre Dame -3Notre Dame61.0Over
202211/26USC38Notre Dame27USCUSC -4USC63.5Over
202110/23Notre Dame31USC16Notre DameNotre Dame -8Notre Dame59.5Under
201910/12Notre Dame30USC27Notre DameNotre Dame -10.5USC60.0Under
201811/24USC17Notre Dame24Notre DameNotre Dame -12.5USC54.0Under
201710/21Notre Dame49USC14Notre DameNotre Dame -4Notre Dame61.5Over
201611/26USC45Notre Dame27USCUSC -17USC59.5Over
201510/17Notre Dame41USC31Notre DameNotre Dame -3Notre Dame62.0Over
201411/29USC49Notre Dame14USCUSC -7USC0
201310/19Notre Dame14USC10Notre DameNotre Dame -1.5Notre Dame0
201211/24USC13Notre Dame22Notre Dame
201110/22Notre Dame17USC31USC
201011/27USC16Notre Dame20Notre Dame
200910/17Notre Dame27USC34USC
200811/29USC38Notre Dame3USC
200710/20Notre Dame0USC38USC
200611/25USC44Notre Dame24USC
200510/15Notre Dame31USC34USC
200411/27USC41Notre Dame10USC
200310/18Notre Dame14USC45USC
200110/20Notre Dame27USC16Notre Dame
200011/24USC21Notre Dame38Notre Dame
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame1266 Overs
USC1153 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 109 - 28 - 11 - 1
Road Teams10 - 132 - 91 - 11 - 8

(#23) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.81 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54% #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile






,
,







USC     Ratings Matchup     Notre Dame
Power #23
#6
Off #7
#11
Def #119
#12
Talent #33
#8
SP+ #38
#9
SP+ Off #3
#17
SP+ Def #109
#11

Rematch from Week 7
Notre Dame -3.0 (61.0)
Notre Dame won vs USC this year (48-20)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat USC last year (49-35)
Notre Dame beat USC in 2023 (48-20)
USC beat Notre Dame in 2022 (38-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 52° - Wind: 12 mph


Team Information
Injuries: USC | ND
Depth Chart: USC | ND
Rosters: USC | ND
(#6) Notre Dame Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 21.915 #6
Offense Rating: 25.62 #11
Defense Rating: 1.24 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.1 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #17
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #11
Talent Rating: 1086.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 67 #9
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Team Profile






,
,









  
USC's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malachi Nelson121771%128017.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darwin Barlow96206.914
Raleek Brown94204.714
Mario Williams21206.013
Malachi Nelson2-110-5.50
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Williams48831417.368
Dorian Singer (Tr)53702113.240
Jude Wolfe1816128.932
Darwin Barlow331010.317

View USC's Full Roster
USC's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Cobb (Tr)723003
Jaylin Smith584002
Domani Jackson512017
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Romello Height347340
Korey Foreman235241
Stanley Ta'ufo'ou304200
Jamil Muhammad (Tr)272130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Domani Jackson512017
Ceyair Wright391116
DeCarlos Nicholson270005

Notre Dame's OC Gerad Parker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davis Sherwood11100%140014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devyn Ford (Tr)135504.211
Chris Tyree114303.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mitchell Evans4342139.833
Rico Flores12187115.653
Chris Tyree2413605.725
Holden Staes1513118.720

View Notre Dame's Full Roster
Notre Dame's DC Al Golden
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antonio Carter II (Tr)1033013
Jack Kiser905231
Xavier Watts834049
Aidan Keanaaina433111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rylie Mills379840
Howard Cross III275431
Nana Osafo-Mensah389351
Jack Kiser905231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clarence Lewis3610012
Xavier Watts834049
Ramon Henderson331124