Colorado at UCLA - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
UCLA -14 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
UCLA 28 - Colorado: 16 (Pac-12)

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Deion Sanders (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

COLO coming off BYE
UCLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UCLA -13 (SP+ UCLA -13)
Projected Score: COLO: 22 - UCLA: 35 (56)
UCLA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
COLO Travel: 817 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Bruins (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (30 - 29)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (20 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
COLO Players
UCLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Colorado's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Colorado at TCU	+20.5	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Colorado vs Nebraska	-2.5	56.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Colorado vs Colorado State	-23.0	63.0	W 43 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/23	Colorado at Oregon	+21.0	70.0	L 6 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/30	Colorado vs USC	+22.0	74.5	L 41 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Colorado at Arizona State	-3.0	58.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/13	Colorado vs Stanford	-13.0	59.0	L 43 - 46	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Colorado at UCLA	+14.0	60.0	L 16 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Colorado vs Oregon State	+13.0	60.5	L 19 - 26	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Colorado vs Arizona	+6.0	55.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/17	Colorado at Washington State	+4.5	59.5	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/25	Colorado at Utah	+21.5	43.5	L 17 - 23	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule

UCLA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UCLA vs Coastal Carolina	-15.5	66.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	UCLA at San Diego State	-13.0	49.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UCLA vs North Carolina Central	-35.0	60.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCLA at Utah	+3.0	50.5	L 7 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UCLA vs Washington State	-3.0	60.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	UCLA at Oregon State	+3.5	53.5	L 24 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/21	UCLA at Stanford	-17.0	52.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCLA vs Colorado	-14.0	60.0	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/4	UCLA at Arizona	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCLA vs Arizona State	-14.0	45.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/18	UCLA at USC	+6.0	65.5	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCLA vs California	-9.5	50.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 12/16	UCLA vs Boise State	-6.5	46.0	W 35 - 22	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO	.01	36%	20.9	42%	2.86	108	32%	173	3.3	.41	53%	30.5	55%	51%	4.9	48.3	1.8	1.1
UCLA	.37	54%	18.2	57%	3.73	238	52%	265	4.5	.23	47%	33.4	48%	46%	4.21	52.5	1.5	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Offense	12	20.9	16.8	36.1%	3.3	1.8	16	281	108	173	3.4	47%	51%	42%	32%	23%	.01
UCLA Defense	13	33.4	34.7	46.8%	4.21	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	48%	46%	12%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
COLO Defense	12	30.5	35.4	52.7%	4.9	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	55%	51%	13%	.41
UCLA Offense	13	18.2	19.5	54%	4.5	1.5	26	504	238	265	6	51%	49%	57%	52%	12%	.37

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Colorado	12	27:23	15.8	32%	37%	5.3	48.3	1.8	1.1	4.1	0.8	1	26.4
UCLA	13	27:21	25.8	51%	58%	6.5	52.5	1.5	1.8	4.3	2.2	1	29.4

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Offense	12	47%	42%	32.3	108.3	3.4	11	.09	2.86	82%	13%	0.9
UCLA Defense	13	44%	48%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.33	84%	8%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
COLO Defense	12	48%	55%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.22	75%	8%	1.08
UCLA Offense	13	51%	57%	39.5	238.4	6	36	.39	3.73	85%	8%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Offense	12	51%	32%	14.9	30	172.9	5.8	11.6	10	10	.02	1.6	36%	21%	.15	10%	2.2
UCLA Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.3	1.4	29%	31%	.37	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
COLO Defense	12	52%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.53	1.6	27%	44%	.68	4%	2.1
UCLA Offense	13	49%	52%	22.4	32.2	265.2	8.2	11.9	29	12	.38	1.5	26%	41%	.48	5%	2

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -1.60 #73
Colorado's Offense Rating: 18.51 #50
Colorado's Defense Rating: 15.48 #121
2023 Talent Rating: 711.87 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #49
Colorado's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
Colorado's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #83
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -1.60 UCLA: 9.49

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -5.4 UCLA: 7.9

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 9.49 #33
UCLA's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
2023 Talent Rating: 752.60 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #26
UCLA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
UCLA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UCLA 35
Colorado 22

Projected Total Points: 56

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

UCLA's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	UCLA	28	Colorado	16	UCLA -14	Colorado	60.0	Under
2022	09/24	Colorado	17	UCLA	45	UCLA -22	UCLA	57.0	Over
2021	11/13	UCLA	44	Colorado	20	UCLA -18	UCLA	57.5	Over
2020	11/07	Colorado	48	UCLA	42	UCLA -6.5	Colorado	55.5	Over
2019	11/02	UCLA	31	Colorado	14	UCLA -7	UCLA	64.0	Under
2018	09/28	Colorado	38	UCLA	16	Colorado -9	Colorado	56.5	Under
2017	09/30	UCLA	27	Colorado	23	UCLA -7.5	Colorado	67.5	Under
2016	11/03	Colorado	20	UCLA	10	Colorado -10	Push	56.5	Under
2015	10/31	UCLA	35	Colorado	31	UCLA -18.5	Colorado	62.0	Over
2014	10/25	Colorado	37	UCLA	40	UCLA -12.5	Colorado	0
2013	11/02	UCLA	45	Colorado	23	UCLA -24	Colorado	0
2012	09/29	Colorado	14	UCLA	42
2011	11/19	UCLA	45	Colorado	6
2003	09/06	Colorado	16	UCLA	14
2002	09/21	UCLA	17	Colorado	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UCLA	10	3	4 Overs
Colorado	5	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 4	5 - 5	3 - 4	2 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 11	5 - 5	1 - 2	4 - 3

(#73) COLO at (#33) UCLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	COLO	UCLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#73	#33
SP+SP+	#83	#38
Perf GradeGrade	#106	#26
OffenseOff	#82	#68
DefenseDef	#122	#7
Spec TeamsST	#121	#47
TalentTal	#35	#25
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#26

Colorado Injury Report

UCLA Injury Report

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	UCLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#82	#7
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#50	#11
SP+SP+	#45	#16
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	UCLA Def
Run GameRun	#135	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#82	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#71

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	UCLA Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#70	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UCLA on Offense


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	COLO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#122
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#103	#121
SP+SP+	#56	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UCLA Run Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#36	#125
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#95

UCLA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UCLA Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#115	#96
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

COLO 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
UCLA -14.0 (60.0)
UCLA won vs Colorado this year (28-16)

Previous Matchups
UCLA beat Colorado in 2023 (28-16)

COLO's OC Sean Lewis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Shedeur Sanders (Tr)	298	430	69%	3230	27	3	7.5
Ryan Staub	23	40	58%	254	1	0	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Edwards	76	321	1	4.2	34
Anthony Hankerson	78	319	1	4.1	20
Sy'veon Wilkerson (Tr)	53	190	3	3.6	11
Alton McCaskill (Tr)	14	59	0	4.2	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Weaver (Tr)	68	908	4	13.4	48
Travis Hunter (Tr)	57	721	5	12.6	47
Jimmy Horn Jr. (Tr)	58	567	6	9.8	45
Dylan Edwards	36	299	4	8.3	75

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Charles Kelly (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
LaVonta Bentley	69	11	5	4	2
Shilo Sanders (Tr)	67	1	0	1	3
Trevor Woods	56	1	1	2	3
Rodrick Ward (Tr)	52	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
LaVonta Bentley	69	11	5	4	2
Jordan Domineck (Tr)	51	12	5	4	2
Amari McNeill (Tr)	31	7	3	1	1
Leonard Payne Jr.	10	3	3	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Travis Hunter (Tr)	31	2	0	0	5
Omarion Cooper (Tr)	37	2	1	0	5
Trevor Woods	56	1	1	2	3

UCLA's OC Chip Kelly (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dante Moore	114	213	54%	1610	11	9	7.6
Ethan Garbers	98	146	67%	1136	11	3	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Steele (Tr)	167	846	6	5.1	42
TJ Harden	156	827	8	5.3	62
Collin Schlee (Tr)	42	425	3	10.1	57
Anthony Adkins (Tr)	30	178	1	5.9	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Logan Loya	59	655	5	11.1	49
J.Michael Sturdivant (Tr)	36	597	4	16.6	62
Moliki Matavao (Tr)	14	283	2	20.2	35
Kyle Ford (Tr)	22	236	1	10.7	37

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC D'Anton Lynn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5
Kain Medrano	56	7	2	4	2
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	53	2	0	0	3
Kenny Churchwell III	50	2	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laiatu Latu	48	21	12	10	2
Gabriel Murphy	39	17	9	8	2
Grayson Murphy	33	10	6	10	1
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylin Davies	43	1	0	0	6
Darius Muasau	75	11	3	1	5
Kamari Ramsey	40	3	0	2	4