UCLA at USC - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
USC -6 (65.5) (-218) Open: -12.0
UCLA 38 - USC: 20 (Pac-12)

Bruins (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (30 - 29)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#34)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USC is playing their 9th straight game
UCLA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: USC -4.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: UCLA: 27 - USC: 32 (49)
USC Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
UCLA Travel: 12 miles

Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UCLA Players
USC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UCLA vs Coastal Carolina	-15.5	66.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/9	UCLA at San Diego State	-13.0	49.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UCLA vs North Carolina Central	-35.0	60.5	W 59 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UCLA at Utah	+3.0	50.5	L 7 - 14	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UCLA vs Washington State	-3.0	60.0	W 25 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/14	UCLA at Oregon State	+3.5	53.5	L 24 - 36	O	N
Sat 10/21	UCLA at Stanford	-17.0	52.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UCLA vs Colorado	-14.0	60.0	W 28 - 16	U	N
Sat 11/4	UCLA at Arizona	-2.5	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/11	UCLA vs Arizona State	-14.0	45.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/18	UCLA at USC	+6.0	65.5	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UCLA vs California	-9.5	50.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 12/16	UCLA vs Boise State	-6.5	46.0	W 35 - 22	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

USC's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	USC vs San José State	-31.5	66.0	W 56 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/2	USC vs Nevada	-37.5	63.5	W 66 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	USC vs Stanford	-28.5	70.5	W 56 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	USC at Arizona State	-34.5	62.0	W 42 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/30	USC at Colorado	-22.0	74.5	W 48 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/7	USC vs Arizona	-21.0	69.5	W 43 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/14	USC at Notre Dame	+3.0	61.0	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	USC vs Utah	-7.5	51.5	L 32 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/28	USC at California	-10.5	67.5	W 50 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/4	USC vs Washington	+3.0	76.0	L 42 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/11	USC at Oregon	+12.5	78.5	L 27 - 36	U	Y
Sat 11/18	USC vs UCLA	-6.0	65.5	L 20 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/27	USC vs Louisville	+4.5	58.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	.37	54%	18.4	57%	3.73	238	52%	265	4.5	.23	47%	25.3	48%	46%	4.21	52.5	1.5	1.8
USC	.4	51%	30.2	53%	3.52	171	50%	335	4.68	.29	48%	24.1	53%	46%	4.54	58	0.5	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	13	18.4	20.8	54%	4.5	1.5	26	504	238	265	6	51%	49%	57%	52%	12%	.37
USC Defense	14	24.1	23.8	48.4%	4.54	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	53%	46%	17%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	13	25.3	26.2	46.8%	4.21	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	48%	46%	12%	.23
USC Offense	14	30.2	36.8	51.3%	4.68	0.5	26	506	171	335	5.1	44%	56%	53%	50%	11%	.4

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	13	27:21	25.8	51%	58%	6.5	52.5	1.5	1.8	4.3	2.2	1	29.4
USC	14	31:54	25.7	54%	68%	6.3	58	0.5	2.1	5.5	2.9	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	13	51%	57%	39.5	238.4	6	36	.39	3.73	85%	8%	1.04
USC Defense	14	44%	53%	-	-	-	-	.36	3.45	78%	10%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	13	44%	48%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.33	84%	8%	0.89
USC Offense	14	44%	53%	33.8	171.1	5.1	30	.3	3.52	83%	7%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	13	49%	52%	22.4	32.2	265.2	8.2	11.9	29	12	.38	1.5	26%	41%	.48	5%	2
USC Defense	14	55%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.27	1.5	29%	36%	.42	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	13	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.3	1.4	29%	31%	.37	5%	2.2
USC Offense	14	56%	50%	24.6	36.7	335.3	9.1	13.7	43	5	.48	1.6	28%	36%	.49	4%	2.2

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 6.08 #33
UCLA's Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
UCLA's Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #26
UCLA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50
UCLA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 6.08 USC: 11.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 7.9 USC: 7.9

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.355 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

UCLA's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
USC 32
UCLA 27

Projected Total Points: 49

USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	UCLA	13	USC	19	USC	USC -5	USC	53.0	Under
2023	11/18	USC	20	UCLA	38	UCLA	USC -6	UCLA	65.5	Under
2022	11/19	UCLA	45	USC	48	USC	USC -2.5	USC	76.5	Over
2021	11/20	USC	33	UCLA	62	UCLA	UCLA -4.5	UCLA	66.5	Over
2020	12/12	UCLA	38	USC	43	USC	USC -3.5	USC	64.0	Over
2019	11/23	USC	52	UCLA	35	USC	USC -12.5	USC	66.0	Over
2018	11/17	UCLA	34	USC	27	UCLA	USC -2.5	UCLA	55.0	Over
2017	11/18	USC	28	UCLA	23	USC	USC -14.5	UCLA	70.5	Under
2016	11/19	UCLA	14	USC	36	USC	USC -10.5	USC	53.0	Under
2015	11/28	USC	40	UCLA	21	USC	USC -3.5	USC	61.0	Push
2014	11/22	UCLA	38	USC	20	UCLA	UCLA -3	UCLA	0
2013	11/30	USC	14	UCLA	35	UCLA	USC -3.5	UCLA	0
2012	11/17	UCLA	38	USC	28	UCLA
2011	11/26	USC	50	UCLA	0	USC
2010	12/04	UCLA	14	USC	28	USC
2009	11/28	USC	28	UCLA	7	USC
2008	12/06	UCLA	7	USC	28	USC
2007	12/01	USC	24	UCLA	7	USC
2006	12/02	UCLA	13	USC	9	UCLA
2005	12/03	USC	66	UCLA	19	USC
2004	12/04	UCLA	24	USC	29	USC
2003	11/22	USC	47	UCLA	22	USC
2001	11/17	USC	27	UCLA	0	USC
2000	11/17	UCLA	35	USC	38	USC

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
USC	17	6	5 Overs
UCLA	7	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 11	4 - 8	3 - 3	1 - 5
Road Teams	11 - 13	8 - 4	5 - 1	3 - 3

(#33) UCLA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.08 #33
Offense Rating: 12.57 #103
Defense Rating: 1.17 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 #16
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #26
Expected Record: 8.50 - 4.50

Team Profile

,
,

UCLA Ratings Matchup USC

Power #33

#23

Off #103

Def #11

#119

Talent #65

#33

SP+ #38

#38

SP+ Off #56

SP+ Def #16

#109

Rematch from Week 12
USC -6.0 (65.5)
UCLA won at USC this year (38-20)

Previous Matchups
USC beat UCLA last year (19-13)
UCLA beat USC in 2023 (38-20)
USC beat UCLA in 2022 (48-45)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UCLA | USC
Depth Chart: UCLA | USC
Rosters: UCLA | USC

(#23) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.355 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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UCLA's OC Chip Kelly

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Garbers	235	363	65%	2727	16	11	7.5
Collin Schlee (Tr)	28	55	51%	414	3	1	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keegan Jones	47	179	1	3.8	22
Collin Schlee (Tr)	41	143	2	3.5	18
Ethan Garbers	83	137	1	1.7	57
Dante Moore	1	6	0	6.0	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Moliki Matavao (Tr)	41	506	2	12.3	35
Kyle Ford (Tr)	26	317	3	12.2	41
Keegan Jones	19	201	1	10.6	67
Carsen Ryan	10	113	1	11.3	25

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC D'Anton Lynn

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Schwesinger	136	9	4	3	3
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4
Kamari Ramsey	60	6	2	1	5
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	57	14	5	6	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Oluwafemi Oladejo (Tr)	57	14	5	6	2
Carson Schwesinger	136	9	4	3	3
Kamari Ramsey	60	6	2	1	5
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamari Ramsey	60	6	2	1	5
Kain Medrano	72	11	2	4	4
Devin Kirkwood	24	1	1	0	4

USC's OC Josh Henson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Malachi Nelson	12	17	71%	128	0	1	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Darwin Barlow	9	62	6.9	14
Raleek Brown	9	42	4.7	14
Mario Williams	2	12	6.0	13
Malachi Nelson	2	-11	-5.5	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Williams	48	831	4	17.3	68
Dorian Singer (Tr)	53	702	1	13.2	40
Jude Wolfe	18	161	2	8.9	32
Darwin Barlow	3	31	0	10.3	17

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Cobb (Tr)	72	3	0	0	3
Jaylin Smith	58	4	0	0	2
Domani Jackson	51	2	0	1	7
Chris Thompson Jr.	44	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Romello Height	34	7	3	4	0
Korey Foreman	23	5	2	4	1
Stanley Ta'ufo'ou	30	4	2	0	0
Jamil Muhammad (Tr)	27	2	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Domani Jackson	51	2	0	1	7
Ceyair Wright	39	1	1	1	6
DeCarlos Nicholson	27	0	0	0	5