Nevada at USC - 2023 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo Nevada Wolf Pack at USC TrojansUSC logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
USC -37.5 (63.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 66 - Nevada: 14

 
Wolf Pack (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ken Wilson (2 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (18 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#129)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: USC -30.5   (SP+ USC -30)
Projected Score: NEV: 14 - USC: 45 (54)
USC Win prob: 100% | Cover: 35%
NEV Travel: 392 miles
Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Nevada at USC+37.563.5L 14 - 66ON
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Idaho+5.551.0L 6 - 33UN
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Kansas+28.558.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Texas State+17.060.0L 24 - 35UY
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+25.550.5L 9 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Nevada vs UNLV+7.551.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/21 Nevada at San Diego State+11.048.5W 6 - 0UY
Sat 10/28 Nevada vs New Mexico+1.050.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 11/4 Nevada vs Hawai'i-3.550.5L 14 - 27UN
Sat 11/11 Nevada at Utah State+14.554.5L 24 - 41ON
Sat 11/18 Nevada at Colorado State+12.545.5L 20 - 30OY
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs Wyoming+11.042.0L 6 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
USC's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 USC vs San José State-31.566.0W 56 - 28ON
Sat 9/2 USC vs Nevada-37.563.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 USC vs Stanford-28.570.5W 56 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 USC at Arizona State-34.562.0W 42 - 28ON
Sat 9/30 USC at Colorado-22.074.5W 48 - 41ON
Sat 10/7 USC vs Arizona-21.069.5W 43 - 41ON
Sat 10/14 USC at Notre Dame+3.061.0L 20 - 48ON
Sat 10/21 USC vs Utah-7.551.5L 32 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 USC at California-10.567.5W 50 - 49ON
Sat 11/4 USC vs Washington+3.076.0L 42 - 52ON
Sat 11/11 USC at Oregon+12.578.5L 27 - 36UY
Sat 11/18 USC vs UCLA-6.065.5L 20 - 38UN
Wed 12/27 USC vs Louisville+4.558.0W 42 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.0435%23.137%2.8911933%1862.85.2643%28.844%42%3.9755.11.41.7
USC.451%30.253%3.5217150%3354.68.2948%24.153%46%4.54580.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1223.117.834.8%2.851.4173051191863.347%52%37%33%23%.04
USC Defense1424.123.848.4%4.542.1 - - - - - 44%55%53%46%17%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense1228.831.342.9%3.971.7 - - - - - 53%47%44%42%19%.26
USC Offense1430.236.851.3%4.680.5265061713355.144%56%53%50%11%.4

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1228:2916.935%50%655.11.41.76.32.2127.2
USC1431:5425.754%68%6.3580.52.15.52.9328.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1247%37%35.6118.93.319.012.8973%15%1.08
USC Defense1444%53% - - - - .363.4578%10%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense1253%44% - - - - .193.4690%13%0.95
USC Offense1444%53%33.8171.15.130.33.5283%7%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1252%33%18.133.2185.65.610.378.11.638%27%.198%2.2
USC Defense1455%46% - - - - - - 19.271.529%36%.427%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense1247%42% - - - - - - 11.351.833%30%.446%2.4
USC Offense1456%50%24.636.7335.39.113.7435.481.628%36%.494%2.2

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: -15.41 #131
Nevada's Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Nevada's Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
2023 Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -15.41   USC: 11.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -22.4   USC: 7.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.355 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 45
Nevada 14

Projected Total Points: 54
USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02USC66Nevada14USCUSC -37.5USC63.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC111 Overs
Nevada000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#131) Nevada Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.41 #131
Offense Rating: 7.38 #128
Defense Rating: 13.79 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 #127
Talent Rating: 456.00 #101
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 2.90 - 9.10

Team Profile






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Nevada     Ratings Matchup     USC
Power #131
#23
Off #128
#7
Def #110
#119
Talent #101
#33
SP+ #131
#38
SP+ Off #129
#3
SP+ Def #127
#109

Rematch from Week 1
USC -37.5 (63.5)
USC won vs Nevada this year (66-14)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Nevada in 2023 (66-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79°

Team Information
Injuries: NEV | USC
Depth Chart: NEV | USC
Rosters: NEV | USC
(#23) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.355 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile






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Nevada's OC Derek Sage
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chubba Purdy182572%239119.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chubba Purdy136004.619
Jamaal Bell52705.420
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keleki Latu (Tr)4037119.336
Dalevon Campbell12312026.060
Spencer Curtis19244012.828
Chubba Purdy21005.011

View Nevada's Full Roster
Nevada's DC Kwame Agyeman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcel Walker568672
Dion Washington174200
Isaiah Essissima141004
Richard Toney90001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcel Walker568672
Dion Washington174200
James Hansen31100
Isaiah Essissima141004
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Essissima141004
Marcel Walker568672
Richard Toney90001

USC's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malachi Nelson121771%128017.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darwin Barlow96206.914
Raleek Brown94204.714
Mario Williams21206.013
Malachi Nelson2-110-5.50
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Williams48831417.368
Dorian Singer (Tr)53702113.240
Jude Wolfe1816128.932
Darwin Barlow331010.317

View USC's Full Roster
USC's DC Alex Grinch
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Cobb (Tr)723003
Jaylin Smith584002
Domani Jackson512017
Chris Thompson Jr.445110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Romello Height347340
Korey Foreman235241
Stanley Ta'ufo'ou304200
Jamil Muhammad (Tr)272130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Domani Jackson512017
Ceyair Wright391116
DeCarlos Nicholson270005