Massachusetts at Liberty Game Matchup
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (1:00 PM EST)
Liberty -26.5 (64.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Liberty 49 - Massachusetts: 25

 
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB 3rd straight Home Game
UMASS coming off BYE
LIB is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -26   (SP+ LIB -30)
Projected Score: UMASS: 17 - LIB: 43 (55)
LIB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
UMASS Travel: 494 miles
Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Massachusetts at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30OY
Sat 9/2 Massachusetts at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59ON
Sat 9/9 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41ON
Sat 9/16 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/23 Massachusetts vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Massachusetts vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52ON
Sat 10/7 Massachusetts vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 Massachusetts at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Massachusetts at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/4 Massachusetts vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Massachusetts at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49OY
Sat 11/25 Massachusetts vs UConn-2.551.0L 18 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Liberty's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Liberty vs Bowling Green-8.548.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Liberty vs New Mexico State-9.054.5W 33 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Liberty at Buffalo-2.554.0W 55 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Liberty at Florida International-10.054.0W 38 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5 Liberty vs Sam Houston-21.046.5W 21 - 16UN
Tue 10/10 Liberty at Jacksonville State-7.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Tue 10/17 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-16.056.5W 42 - 35ON
Tue 10/24 Liberty at Western Kentucky-4.061.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Liberty vs Louisiana Tech-16.558.0W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Liberty vs Old Dominion-13.558.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Liberty vs Massachusetts-26.564.5W 49 - 25ON
Sat 11/25 Liberty at UTEP-18.054.5W 42 - 28ON
Fri 12/1 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.554.0W 49 - 35OY
Mon 1/1 Liberty vs Oregon+18.571.5L 6 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS.0132%22.534%2.815031%1172.26.240%35.542%38%3.666.21.61.6
LIB.1541%28.846%3.2217238%2173.61.136%23.538%36%3.5753.52.12.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1222.517.832.4%2.261.6152671501173.560%39%34%31%20%.01
LIB Defense1323.522.336.2%3.572.2 - - - - - 51%47%38%36%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1235.538.840.1%3.61.6 - - - - - 60%39%42%38%20%.2
LIB Offense1328.832.341.4%3.612.1203891722174.650%48%46%38%19%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1231:5514.628%48%7.666.21.61.66.11.6127.5
Liberty1328:3720.437%48%6.253.52.12.28.43.2131.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1260%34%43.3150.33.510.032.869%14%0.93
LIB Defense1351%38% - - - - .082.5975%14%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1260%42% - - - - .183.1770%13%1.14
LIB Offense1350%46%37.8172.44.624.173.2268%13%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1239%31%11.323.1116.95.110.3414.011.637%19%.16%2.1
LIB Defense1347%36% - - - - - - 14.191.736%27%.267%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1239%38% - - - - - - 9.291.933%28%.287%2.3
LIB Offense1348%38%17.630.4216.57.112.32115.221.631%26%.236%2.2

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -11.09   Liberty: 11.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -17.7   Liberty: 11.8




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 11.735 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 43
Massachusetts 17

Projected Total Points: 55
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Massachusetts34Liberty35LibertyLiberty -17Massachusetts53.0Over
202311/18Liberty49Massachusetts25LibertyLiberty -26.5Massachusetts64.5Over
202210/08Massachusetts24Liberty42LibertyLiberty -22.5Massachusetts45.5Over
202110/30Liberty62Massachusetts17LibertyLiberty -35.5Liberty56.0Over
202011/27Liberty45Massachusetts0LibertyLiberty -35Liberty57.5Under
201911/02Massachusetts21Liberty63LibertyLiberty -23.5Liberty72.0Over
201811/03Massachusetts62Liberty59MassachusettsLiberty -1.5Massachusetts66.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty636 Overs
Massachusetts141 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 35 - 22 - 13 - 1
Road Teams3 - 42 - 51 - 31 - 2

(#121) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile






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Massachusetts     Ratings Matchup     Liberty
Power #121
#30
Off #59
#3
Def #129
#42
Talent #108
#114
SP+ #125
#21
SP+ Off #99
#9
SP+ Def #124
#51

Rematch from Week 12
Liberty -26.5 (64.5)
Liberty won vs Massachusetts this year (49-25)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Massachusetts last year (35-34)
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2023 (49-25)
Liberty beat Massachusetts in 2022 (42-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 67° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | LIB
Depth Chart: UMASS | LIB
Rosters: UMASS | LIB
(#30) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.735 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30

Team Profile






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Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)13223456%1590866.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams13364924.963
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)10731733.033
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gregory DeRosiers2117548.325
Kay'Ron Adams158505.716
George Johnson108508.513
Jackson Manning1606.06

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Rudolph612003
Jordan Mahoney191004
Michael Oppong81000
Isaiah Rutherford81004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Rudolph612003
Jordan Mahoney191004
Michael Oppong81000
Isaiah Rutherford81004
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Mahoney191004
Isaiah Rutherford81004
Tyler Rudolph612003

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nate Hampton2922%40114.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)2051254136.144
Billy Lucas12372055.955
Nate Hampton1707.07
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treon Sibley28510218.270
C.J. Daniels42480011.434
Bentley Hanshaw109219.221
Billy Lucas551010.218

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
Kendy Charles507211
Jaylon Jimmerson495104
Aakil Washington411143
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
Kendy Charles507211
Quinton Reese405210
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Hodge321006
Jaylon Jimmerson495104
Aakil Washington411143