Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo   Massachusetts Minutemen at Eastern Michigan Eagles  Eastern Michigan logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Eastern Michigan -7 (50.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Eastern Michigan 19 - Massachusetts: 17

 
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Eastern Michigan -8.5  (SP+ EMU -8)
Projected Score: UMASS: 21 - EMU: 30 (51)
EMU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UMASS Travel: 567 miles
Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (24 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Massachusetts at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30OY
Sat 9/2 Massachusetts at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59ON
Sat 9/9 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41ON
Sat 9/16 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/23 Massachusetts vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Massachusetts vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52ON
Sat 10/7 Massachusetts vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 Massachusetts at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Massachusetts at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/4 Massachusetts vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Massachusetts at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49OY
Sat 11/25 Massachusetts vs UConn-2.551.0L 18 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Eastern Michigan vs Howard-20.055.5W 33 - 23ON
Sat 9/9 Eastern Michigan at Minnesota+19.548.0L 6 - 25UY
Sat 9/16 Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts-7.050.0W 19 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State+6.551.0L 0 - 21UN
Sat 9/30 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+9.545.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 10/7 Eastern Michigan vs Ball State-2.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/14 Eastern Michigan vs Kent State-7.040.0W 28 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois+11.543.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan+3.050.0L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Eastern Michigan at Toledo+19.545.5L 23 - 49ON
Tue 11/14 Eastern Michigan vs Akron-3.539.5W 30 - 27ON
Tue 11/21 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+6.538.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 12/23 Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama+18.043.0L 10 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS.0132%11.134%2.815031%1172.26.240%38.642%38%3.666.21.61.6
EMU.2346%24.148%3.1214245%2244.17.2144%29.846%43%4.4873.81.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
EMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.19.332.4%2.261.6152671501173.560%39%34%31%20%.01
EMU Defense1329.824.844.2%4.481.5 - - - - - 52%47%46%43%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1238.642.540.1%3.61.6 - - - - - 60%39%42%38%20%.2
EMU Offense1324.123.746.3%4.171.5213661422243.753%46%48%45%18%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1231:5514.628%48%7.666.21.61.66.11.6127.5
Eastern Michigan1331:2721.345%46%7.973.81.51.54.31.9131.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1260%34%43.3150.33.510.032.869%14%0.93
EMU Defense1352%46% - - - - .153.4581%9%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1260%42% - - - - .183.1770%13%1.14
EMU Offense1353%48%38.7141.83.725.163.1283%12%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1239%31%11.323.1116.95.110.3414.011.637%19%.16%2.1
EMU Defense1347%43% - - - - - - 13.321.630%31%.49%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1239%38% - - - - - - 9.291.933%28%.287%2.3
EMU Offense1346%45%18.830.2224.27.411.92312.341.529%32%.356%2

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.09  #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17  #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87  #129
2023 Talent Rating: 565.65  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7  #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4  #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -11.09   Eastern Michigan: -6.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -17.7   Eastern Michigan: -9.6




Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -6.06  #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15  #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46  #53
2023 Talent Rating: 377.07  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6  #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1  #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 378.85
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 30
Massachusetts 21

Projected Total Points: 51
Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Massachusetts14Eastern Michigan28Massachusetts -2.5Eastern Michigan49.0Under
202309/16Eastern Michigan19Massachusetts17Eastern Michigan -7Massachusetts50.0Under
202210/01Eastern Michigan20Massachusetts13Eastern Michigan -20Massachusetts53.0Under
202109/18Massachusetts28Eastern Michigan42Eastern Michigan -22Massachusetts56.5Over
201511/14Eastern Michigan17Massachusetts28UMass -7.5Massachusetts68.5Under
201410/18Massachusetts36Eastern Michigan14UMass -11.5Massachusetts0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Eastern Michigan411 Overs
Massachusetts254 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 32 - 41 - 31 - 1
Road Teams3 - 34 - 21 - 13 - 1

(#121) UMASS at (#105) EMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSEMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #121 #105
SP+SP+ #125 #103
Perf GradeGrade #132 #95
OffenseOff #97 #117
DefenseDef #135 #48
Spec TeamsST #136 #23
TalentTal #76 #116
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCat
UMASS OffEMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #97 #48
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #59 #53
SP+SP+ #99 #53
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffEMU Def
Run GameRun #59 #31
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #55
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffEMU Def
Pass GamePass #106 #84
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #80 #61
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Eastern Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatEMU OffUMASS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #117 #135
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #110 #129
SP+SP+ #130 #124
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Eastern Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
EMU OffUMASS Def
Run GameRun #120 #130
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #38 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #113
Eastern Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatEMU OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePass #131 #130
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #82 #114
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Eastern Michigan -7.0 (50.0)
Eastern Michigan won vs Massachusetts this year (19-17)

Previous Matchups
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts in 2024 (28-14)
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts in 2023 (19-17)

  
UMASS's OC Steve Casula (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)13922761%1507666.6
Carlos Davis (Tr)6210161%886638.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams2361157124.947
Gregory DeRosiers3730148.160
Anthony Simpson (Tr)119318.517
Ahmad Haston165403.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Simpson (Tr)57792313.971
George Johnson35421312.032
Mark Pope (Tr)33420112.754
Gino Campiotti21289413.830

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Te'Rai Powell591023
Nahji Logan593111
Gerrell Johnson512000
Billy Wooden5011671
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Wooden5011671
JB Brown (Tr)385341
Derrieon Craig245211
Zukudo Igwenagu293100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Juan Lua230005
Tyler Rudolph402114
Dashaun Jerkins (Tr)310014

EMU's OC Chris Creighton (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Smith17129857%1775976.0
Ike Udengwu III133142%100023.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samson Evans142635124.561
Jaylon Jackson13657624.255
Austin Smith10113421.341
Cam'Ron McCoy156314.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Knue5047939.639
J.B. Mitchell35398111.450
Hamze Elzayat27360213.350
Jaylon Jackson2423429.868

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Taver Johnson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Chase Kline1244293
Quentavius Scandrett580001
Kempton Shine573008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikah Coleman397481
Peyton Price485470
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Justin Jefferson487391
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daiquan White1910012
Kempton Shine573008
Bennett Walker250004