Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Eastern Michigan EaglesEastern Michigan logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Eastern Michigan -7 (50.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Eastern Michigan 19 - Massachusetts: 17

 
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 38 (20 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Eastern Michigan -8.5   (SP+ EMU -8)
Projected Score: UMASS: 22 - EMU: 30 (52)
EMU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
UMASS Travel: 567 miles
Eagles (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (48 - 62)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (24 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 6.2 (#62)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Massachusetts at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30OY
Sat 9/2 Massachusetts at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59ON
Sat 9/9 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41ON
Sat 9/16 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/23 Massachusetts vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Massachusetts vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52ON
Sat 10/7 Massachusetts vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 Massachusetts at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Massachusetts at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/4 Massachusetts vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Massachusetts at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49OY
Sat 11/25 Massachusetts vs UConn-2.551.0L 18 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Eastern Michigan vs Howard-20.055.5W 33 - 23ON
Sat 9/9 Eastern Michigan at Minnesota+19.548.0L 6 - 25UY
Sat 9/16 Eastern Michigan vs Massachusetts-7.050.0W 19 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 Eastern Michigan at Jacksonville State+6.551.0L 0 - 21UN
Sat 9/30 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan+9.545.0L 23 - 26OY
Sat 10/7 Eastern Michigan vs Ball State-2.543.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/14 Eastern Michigan vs Kent State-7.040.0W 28 - 14OY
Sat 10/21 Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois+11.543.5L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/28 Eastern Michigan vs Western Michigan+3.050.0L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/8 Eastern Michigan at Toledo+19.545.5L 23 - 49ON
Tue 11/14 Eastern Michigan vs Akron-3.539.5W 30 - 27ON
Tue 11/21 Eastern Michigan at Buffalo+6.538.5W 24 - 11UY
Sat 12/23 Eastern Michigan vs South Alabama+18.043.0L 10 - 59ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#72 (.18)42% (68)23.245% (47)3.35 (21)14240% (86)2143.73 (82)#124 (.31)49% (132)37.853% (131)43% (92)4.31 (114)70.91.41.2
EMU#123 (.07)36% (127)19.539% (115)2.94 (101)11234% (122)1523.85 (74)#73 (.19)42% (74)26.747% (106)38% (24)3.68 (58)58.61.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
EMU#117 (.09)42% (74)43% (87)2.98 (82)14242% (66)2353.47 (105)#83 (.19)45% (105)45% (84)46% (116)3.49 (38)62.41.41.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1223.219.742%3.731.4183561422144.451%48%45%40%21%.18
EMU Defense1326.727.942.4%3.681.4 - - - - - 54%45%47%38%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1237.83948.5%4.311.2 - - - - - 58%42%53%43%15%.31
EMU Offense1319.523.635.8%3.851.4162641121523.450%48%39%34%19%.07

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1229:4517.836%23%870.91.41.24.51.5226.5
Eastern Michigan1328:5915.935%53%6.258.61.41.44.51.6328.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1251% (59)45% (47)32.5142.24.419 (69).25 (18)3.35 (21)62% (125)14% (127)1.14 (11)
EMU Defense1354% (117)47% (106) - - - - .16 (82)3.43 (121)64% (22)9% (102)0.93 (33)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1258% (130)53% (131) - - - - .34 (131)3.83 (133)85% (123)9% (89)1 (69)
EMU Offense1350% (67)39% (115)32.9112.13.418 (77).07 (109)2.94 (101)76% (48)11% (97)0.92 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1248% (76)40% (86)17.729214.17.412.114 (106)11 (68).18 (99)1.5 (85)32% (62)33% (50).43 (35)7% (109)2.2 (36)
EMU Defense1345% (18)38% (24) - - - - - - 7 (111).26 (62)1.7 (108)31% (92)32% (101).43 (118)6% (76)2.2 (117)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1242% (4)43% (92) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (94)1.8 (122)29% (121)37% (125).47 (124)6% (90)1.9 (30)
EMU Offense1348% (78)34% (122)15.227.51525.51010 (120)12 (85).1 (122)1.4 (129)34% (108)21% (130).09 (130)8% (115)1.8 (124)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -11.09   Eastern Michigan: -6.06

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -17.7   Eastern Michigan: -9.6




Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -6.06 #105
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20
Eastern Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Eastern Michigan 30
Massachusetts 22


Total Points: 52

Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.6
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Eastern Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Massachusetts14Eastern Michigan28Eastern MichiganMassachusetts -2.5Eastern Michigan49.0Under
202309/16Eastern Michigan19Massachusetts17Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan -7Massachusetts50.0Under
202210/01Eastern Michigan20Massachusetts13Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan -20Massachusetts53.0Under
202109/18Massachusetts28Eastern Michigan42Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan -22Massachusetts56.5Over
201511/14Eastern Michigan17Massachusetts28MassachusettsUMass -7.5Massachusetts68.5Under
201410/18Massachusetts36Eastern Michigan14MassachusettsUMass -11.5Massachusetts0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Eastern Michigan411 Overs
Massachusetts254 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 32 - 41 - 31 - 1
Road Teams3 - 34 - 21 - 13 - 1

(#121) Massachusetts Info
Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10


Massachusetts has lost 2 straight
Massachusetts has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Massachusetts Highlights
Massachusetts has a top Offensive Line (#124)
Massachusetts does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#124)


Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts does not Sack the QB (#97)
Massachusetts has a bad defense (#87)
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)
Massachusetts has a bad red zone defense (#98)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatEMUUMASS
OverallOver#79#111
OffenseOff#100#83
DefenseDef#40#108
Special TeamsST#23#111
PassingPass#111#90
RushingRush#86#42
Run BlockRBLK#31#64
Pass BlockPBLK#70#68
Route RunningWR Rt#104#71
TacklingTkl#48#96
Run DefenseR Def#27#111
Pass Rush DefPRush#49#85
Coverage DefCov#68#109

Rematch from Week 3
Eastern Michigan -7.0 (50.0)
Eastern Michigan won vs Massachusetts this year (19-17)

Previous Matchups
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts last year (28-14)
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts in 2023 (19-17)
Eastern Michigan beat Massachusetts in 2022 (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | EMU
Depth Chart: UMASS | EMU
Rosters: UMASS | EMU
(#105) Eastern Michigan Info
Power Rating: -6.06 #105
Offense Rating: 12.15 #110
Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.1 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #53
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 6.80 - 6.20


Eastern Michigan has lost 1 straight
Eastern Michigan has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Eastern Michigan Highlights
Eastern Michigan has a good pass defense (#126)

Eastern Michigan Deficiencies
Eastern Michigan has a really bad Offense
Eastern Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#90)
Eastern Michigan offense is really bad (#94)
Eastern Michigan offense is not Explosive (#48)
Eastern Michigan run game is really bad (#96)
Eastern Michigan pass game is really bad (#87)
Eastern Michigan Does Not Stuff Runs (#52)
Eastern Michigan has a bad defensive line (#114)


  
Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)13922761%1507666.6
Carlos Davis (Tr)6210161%886638.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams2361157124.947
Gregory DeRosiers3730148.160
Anthony Simpson (Tr)119318.517
Ahmad Haston165403.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Simpson (Tr)57792313.971
George Johnson35421312.032
Mark Pope (Tr)33420112.754
Gino Campiotti21289413.830

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Te'Rai Powell591023
Nahji Logan593111
Gerrell Johnson512000
Billy Wooden5011671
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Wooden5011671
JB Brown (Tr)385341
Derrieon Craig245211
Zukudo Igwenagu293100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Juan Lua230005
Tyler Rudolph402114
Dashaun Jerkins (Tr)310014

Eastern Michigan's OC Chris Creighton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Smith17129857%1775976.0
Ike Udengwu III133142%100023.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Samson Evans142635124.561
Jaylon Jackson13657624.255
Austin Smith10113421.341
Cam'Ron McCoy156314.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tanner Knue5047939.639
J.B. Mitchell35398111.450
Hamze Elzayat27360213.350
Jaylon Jackson2423429.868

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster
Eastern Michigan's DC Taver Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Chase Kline1244293
Quentavius Scandrett580001
Kempton Shine573008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikah Coleman397481
Peyton Price485470
Joseph Sparacio1399353
Justin Jefferson487391
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daiquan White1910012
Kempton Shine573008
Bennett Walker250004