Louisiana Tech at Liberty - 2023 Matchup Preview
Louisiana Tech logo Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -16.5 (58.0) (-600)  Open: -17.5
Liberty 56 - Louisiana Tech: 30  (Conference USA)

 
Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (20 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -22.5  (SP+ LIB -24)

Projected Score: LT: 17 - LIB: 40 (57)
LIB Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
LT Travel: 832 miles, 1 hrs behind
Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 38 - 24 (40 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-12.057.5W 22 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 Louisiana Tech at SMU+21.066.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State-23.058.5W 51 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Louisiana Tech vs North Texas-4.566.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Louisiana Tech at Nebraska+20.544.5L 14 - 28UY
Fri 9/29 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-2.049.5W 24 - 10UY
Thu 10/5 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+6.059.0L 28 - 35ON
Tue 10/10 Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee+3.053.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-3.055.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Louisiana Tech at Liberty+16.558.0L 30 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-8.549.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State+8.553.5L 17 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Liberty's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Liberty vs Bowling Green-8.548.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Liberty vs New Mexico State-9.054.5W 33 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Liberty at Buffalo-2.554.0W 55 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Liberty at Florida International-10.054.0W 38 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5 Liberty vs Sam Houston-21.046.5W 21 - 16UN
Tue 10/10 Liberty at Jacksonville State-7.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Tue 10/17 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-16.056.5W 42 - 35ON
Tue 10/24 Liberty at Western Kentucky-4.061.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Liberty vs Louisiana Tech-16.558.0W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Liberty vs Old Dominion-13.558.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Liberty vs Massachusetts-26.564.5W 49 - 25ON
Sat 11/25 Liberty at UTEP-18.054.5W 42 - 28ON
Fri 12/1 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.554.0W 49 - 35OY
Mon 1/1 Liberty vs Oregon+18.571.5L 6 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#91 (.15)42% (64)25.943% (66)2.74 (122)12542% (63)2613.91 (67)#111 (.25)43% (78)33.448% (117)36% (15)4.63 (128)62.81.50.8
LIB#3 (.43)54% (3)38.356% (3)3.77 (2)28151% (8)1974.54 (20)#59 (.17)42% (73)24.347% (111)40% (49)3.63 (54)591.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Offense1225.920.342.3%3.911.5203841252613.945%54%43%42%18%.15
LIB Defense1424.32442.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Defense1233.436.542.8%4.630.8 - - - - - 58%41%48%36%15%.25
LIB Offense1438.340.354.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech1229:4420.130%50%6.862.81.50.85.51.3329.3
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Offense1245% (102)43% (66)31.8124.63.920 (61).11 (90)2.74 (122)74% (73)12% (107)0.97 (88)
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (86)10% (84)0.97 (49)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Defense1258% (132)48% (117) - - - - .29 (129)3.29 (109)84% (121)10% (83)1.15 (119)
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (4)5% (1)0.98 (81)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Offense1254% (32)42% (63)22.435.2260.97.411.616 (92)11 (68).23 (87)1.6 (78)32% (70)25% (113).22 (103)6% (76)2.3 (13)
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Defense1241% (2)36% (15) - - - - - - 5 (126).23 (43)1.9 (132)32% (71)31% (83).36 (94)6% (79)2.3 (125)
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.63  #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14  #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18  #112
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5  #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9  #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -8.63   Liberty: 11.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -12.5   Liberty: 11.8




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 11.735  #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14  #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34  #42
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8  #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4  #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8  #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 40
Louisiana Tech 17


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 28
Louisiana Tech 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 37
Louisiana Tech 24

Total Points: 61
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Louisiana Tech34Liberty28Liberty -1.5Louisiana Tech45.5Over
202311/04Liberty56Louisiana Tech30Liberty -16.5Liberty58.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty112 Overs
Louisiana Tech110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#113) LT at (#30) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLTLIB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #113 #30
SP+SP+ #110 #21
Perf GradeGrade #104 #21
OffenseOff #89 #12
DefenseDef #116 #50
Spec TeamsST #76 #38
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Louisiana Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
LT OffLIB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #89 #50
SuccessSuc #64 #73
ExplosiveExp #69 #85
PPAPPA #91 #59
PowerPwr #80 #42
SP+SP+ #87 #51
Pts POPPO #67 #54
HavocHav #100 #30
Louisiana Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
LT OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #98 #71
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #111
Run ExplRExp #88 #49
PPAExp #90 #94
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLY #122 #77
Stuff RateStuff #108 #59
TackleTak -  #36
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
LT OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #49 #40
Pass SuccessPSuc #63 #49
Pass ExplPExl #78 #84
PPAExp #87 #48
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #76
F7 HavocF7 #107 #84
DB HavocDB #76 #6
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCatLIB OffLT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #116
SuccessSuc #3 #78
ExplosiveExp #94 #118
PPAPPA #3 #111
PowerPwr #3 #112
SP+SP+ #9 #122
Pts POPPO #20 #128
HavocHav #1 #86
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffLT Def
Run GameRun #4 #128
Run SuccessRSuc #3 #117
Run ExplRExp #81 #119
PPAExp #3 #129
Run BlockR Blk #38 -
OL YdsOLY #2 #109
Stuff RateStuff #12 #85
TackleTak -  #67
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCatLIB OffLT Def
Pass GamePass #22 #46
Pass SuccessPSuc #8 #15
Pass ExplPExl #9 #132
PPAExp #2 #43
Pass Block/RushP Blk #95 #103
F7 HavocF7 #1 #83
DB HavocDB #2 #79
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 60°
Rematch from Week 10
Liberty -16.5 (58.0)
Liberty won vs Louisiana Tech this year (56-30)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (56-30)

  
LT's OC Jake Brown (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)18226968%20581057.7
Jack Turner8414757%1017556.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyre Shelton (Tr)9755155.756
Keith Willis5128875.668
Charvis Thornton5527014.947
Keldric Moody3414904.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Smoke Harris8379649.664
Cyrus Allen46778416.985
Kyle Maxwell20363218.247
Tru Edwards23284212.336

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Scott Power (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeslord Boateng (Tr)939101
Myles Heard (Tr)886034
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Cecil Singleton741001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshon Hall305410
Rason Williams II235320
Jessie Evans327301
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willie Roberts3810012
Michael Richard Jr.322027
Jhamal Shelby Jr.91004

LIB's OC Newland Isaac (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter17729061%28763269.9
Johnathan Bennett1617%6001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)2211401166.360
Kaidon Salter1631089126.752
Billy Lucas11459765.243
Aaron Bedgood5855239.549
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels5510671019.475
Treon Sibley23467420.368
Noah Frith17323319.055
Elijah Smoot11221220.142

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Jack Curtis (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyren Dupree1168362
Brandon Bishop583003
Joseph Carter552001
Quinton Reese502001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendy Charles265320
CJ Bazile Jr.48113110
Christopher Boti144310
Tyren Dupree1168362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Singleton3600012
Preston Hodge443007
Brylan Green352107