Louisiana Tech at Liberty Game Matchup

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Liberty Flames

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (6:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -16.5 (58.0) (-600) Open: -17.5
Liberty 56 - Louisiana Tech: 30 (Conference USA)

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (16 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LIB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -22.5 (SP+ LIB -24)
Projected Score: LT: 15 - LIB: 38 (47)
LIB Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
LT Travel: 832 miles, 1 hrs behind

Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LT Players
LIB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-12.0	57.5	W 22 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	Louisiana Tech at SMU	+21.0	66.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State	-23.0	58.5	W 51 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-4.5	66.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Louisiana Tech at Nebraska	+20.5	44.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-2.0	49.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	+6.0	59.0	L 28 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/10	Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee	+3.0	53.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24	Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State	-3.0	55.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Louisiana Tech at Liberty	+16.5	58.0	L 30 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston	-8.5	49.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State	+8.5	53.5	L 17 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Liberty's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Liberty vs Bowling Green	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-9.0	54.5	W 33 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Liberty at Buffalo	-2.5	54.0	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Liberty at Florida International	-10.0	54.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5	Liberty vs Sam Houston	-21.0	46.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
Tue 10/10	Liberty at Jacksonville State	-7.0	59.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Tue 10/17	Liberty vs Middle Tennessee	-16.0	56.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/24	Liberty at Western Kentucky	-4.0	61.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Liberty vs Louisiana Tech	-16.5	58.0	W 56 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Liberty vs Old Dominion	-13.5	58.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-26.5	64.5	W 49 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/25	Liberty at UTEP	-18.0	54.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/1	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-10.5	54.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Liberty vs Oregon	+18.5	71.5	L 6 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	.14	39%	20.9	40%	2.78	125	39%	267	3.34	.27	43%	21	46%	40%	4.14	63.9	2.1	2.5
LIB	.15	41%	28.8	46%	3.22	172	38%	217	3.61	.1	36%	23.5	38%	36%	3.57	53.5	2.1	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Offense	12	20.9	15.8	38.9%	3.34	2.1	19	393	125	267	3.8	44%	55%	40%	39%	21%	.14
LIB Defense	13	23.5	22.3	36.2%	3.57	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	36%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Defense	12	21	22.8	42.6%	4.14	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	40%	14%	.27
LIB Offense	13	28.8	32.3	41.4%	3.61	2.1	20	389	172	217	4.6	50%	48%	46%	38%	19%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech	12	30:05	19.4	37%	45%	6.8	63.9	2.1	2.5	4.6	1.3	2	29.2
Liberty	13	28:37	20.4	37%	48%	6.2	53.5	2.1	2.2	8.4	3.2	1	31.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Offense	12	44%	40%	33.3	125.4	3.8	14	.11	2.78	58%	11%	1.03
LIB Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.59	75%	14%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Defense	12	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.33	3.36	81%	9%	1.25
LIB Offense	13	50%	46%	37.8	172.4	4.6	24	.17	3.22	68%	13%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Offense	12	55%	39%	21.2	36.2	267.3	7.4	12.6	25	19	.25	1.8	32%	28%	.18	10%	2.1
LIB Defense	13	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.19	1.7	36%	27%	.26	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.24	1.7	34%	34%	.4	6%	2.1
LIB Offense	13	48%	38%	17.6	30.4	216.5	7.1	12.3	21	15	.22	1.6	31%	26%	.23	6%	2.2

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.63 #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
2023 Talent Rating: 488.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -8.63 Liberty: 11.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -12.5 Liberty: 11.8

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 11.735 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 38
Louisiana Tech 15

Projected Total Points: 47

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Liberty	56	Louisiana Tech	30	Liberty	Liberty -16.5	Liberty	58.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Liberty	1	1	1 Overs
Louisiana Tech	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#113) Louisiana Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.63 #113
Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122
Talent Rating: 488.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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Louisiana Tech Ratings Matchup Liberty

Power #113

#30

Off #80

Def #112

#42

Talent #95

#114

SP+ #110

#21

SP+ Off #87

SP+ Def #122

#51

Rematch from Week 10
Liberty -16.5 (58.0)
Liberty won vs Louisiana Tech this year (56-30)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (56-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 60°

Team Information
Injuries: LT | LIB
Depth Chart: LT | LIB
Rosters: LT | LIB

(#30) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.735 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30

Team Profile

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Louisiana Tech's OC Jake Brown

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	224	357	63%	2593	16	10	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	96	141	1	1.5	20
Solomon Lewis	3	11	0	3.7	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cyrus Allen	18	269	1	14.9	73
Solomon Lewis	16	220	3	13.8	48
Kyle Maxwell	1	4	0	4.0	4
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	1	1	0	1.0	5

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

Louisiana Tech's DC Scott Power

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Zimos (Tr)	84	6	1	5	1
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	0	0	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Isaiah McElvane (Tr)	46	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jessie Evans	40	6	3	4	0
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Mykol Clark	23	3	1	2	2
Zach Zimos (Tr)	84	6	1	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	0	0	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Mykol Clark	23	3	1	2	2

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nate Hampton	2	9	22%	40	1	1	4.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)	205	1254	13	6.1	44
Billy Lucas	123	720	5	5.9	55
Nate Hampton	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Treon Sibley	28	510	2	18.2	70
C.J. Daniels	42	480	0	11.4	34
Bentley Hanshaw	10	92	1	9.2	21
Billy Lucas	5	51	0	10.2	18

View Liberty's Full Roster

Liberty's DC Jack Curtis

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1
Kendy Charles	50	7	2	1	1
Jaylon Jimmerson	49	5	1	0	4
Aakil Washington	41	1	1	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Whitehead II	24	11	4	15	0
Kendy Charles	50	7	2	1	1
Quinton Reese	40	5	2	1	0
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Preston Hodge	32	1	0	0	6
Jaylon Jimmerson	49	5	1	0	4
Aakil Washington	41	1	1	4	3