UConn at Massachusetts Game Matchup

UConn Huskies at Massachusetts Minutemen

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
UMass -2.5 (51.0) (0) Open: -2.5 | 50.5
UConn 31 - Massachusetts: 18 (FBS Independents)

Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (26 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CONN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Massachusetts -0.5 (SP+ CONN -1.5)
Projected Score: CONN: 27 - UMASS: 28 (57)
UMASS Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CONN Travel: 43 miles

Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
UMASS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UConn vs NC State	+14.5	47.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UConn at Georgia State	+3.0	54.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/16	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	43.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	UConn vs Duke	+22.0	45.0	L 7 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	UConn vs Utah State	+4.0	50.5	L 33 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/7	UConn at Rice	+10.0	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UConn vs South Florida	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	UConn at Boston College	+14.5	49.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UConn at Tennessee	+35.0	55.5	L 3 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/11	UConn at James Madison	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/18	UConn vs Sacred Heart	-25.5	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UConn at Massachusetts	+2.5	51.0	W 31 - 18	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Massachusetts at New Mexico State	+7.0	45.5	W 41 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/2	Massachusetts at Auburn	+35.0	52.0	L 14 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/9	Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	L 28 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/16	Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	50.0	L 17 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Massachusetts vs New Mexico	-3.5	48.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Massachusetts vs Arkansas State	-2.5	55.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/7	Massachusetts vs Toledo	+19.0	55.5	L 24 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Massachusetts at Penn State	+42.0	55.0	L 0 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Massachusetts at Army	+10.0	49.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Massachusetts vs Merrimack	-16.5	57.5	W 31 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Massachusetts at Liberty	+26.5	64.5	L 25 - 49	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Massachusetts vs UConn	-2.5	51.0	L 18 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	.11	38%	31.9	43%	3.03	191	32%	112	3.67	.19	47%	23.1	49%	46%	3.69	60.8	1.6	2.3
UMASS	.01	32%	22.5	34%	2.8	150	31%	117	2.26	.2	40%	35.5	42%	38%	3.6	66.2	1.6	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	13	31.9	26	38.2%	3.67	1.6	16	303	191	112	4.7	62%	36%	43%	32%	18%	.11
UMASS Defense	12	35.5	32.2	40.1%	3.6	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	42%	38%	20%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	13	23.1	34.4	47.2%	3.69	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	49%	46%	15%	.19
UMASS Offense	12	22.5	27.2	32.4%	2.26	1.6	15	267	150	117	3.5	60%	39%	34%	31%	20%	.01

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	13	30:17	16.2	37%	39%	7.1	60.8	1.6	2.3	4.2	1.8	0	29.4
Massachusetts	12	31:55	14.6	28%	48%	7.6	66.2	1.6	1.6	6.1	1.6	1	27.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	13	62%	43%	40.4	190.9	4.7	20	.21	3.03	64%	13%	1.17
UMASS Defense	12	60%	42%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.17	70%	13%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	13	52%	49%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.26	83%	9%	0.95
UMASS Offense	12	60%	34%	43.3	150.3	3.5	10	.03	2.8	69%	14%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	13	36%	32%	12.1	21.2	112	5.3	9.3	10	10	.1	1.6	35%	26%	.16	5%	2.1
UMASS Defense	12	39%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.29	1.9	33%	28%	.28	7%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	13	47%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.3	27%	31%	.21	6%	1.8
UMASS Offense	12	39%	31%	11.3	23.1	116.9	5.1	10.3	4	14	.01	1.6	37%	19%	.1	6%	2.1

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -9.25 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 747
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -9.25 Massachusetts: -11.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -16.0 Massachusetts: -17.7

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.895 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Massachusetts 28
UConn 27

Projected Total Points: 57

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Massachusetts	42	UConn	47	UConn	UConn -9.5	Massachusetts	49.5	Over
2023	11/25	Massachusetts	18	UConn	31	UConn	UMass -2.5	UConn	51.0	Under
2022	11/04	UConn	27	Massachusetts	10	UConn	Connecticut -15	UConn	39.5	Under
2021	10/09	Massachusetts	27	UConn	13	Massachusetts	Connecticut -3	Massachusetts	57.0	Under
2019	10/26	Massachusetts	35	UConn	56	UConn	Connecticut -9.5	UConn	62.0	Over
2018	10/27	UConn	17	Massachusetts	22	Massachusetts	UMass -3.5	Massachusetts	63.5	Under
2012	08/30	UConn	37	Massachusetts	0	UConn

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Massachusetts	2	3	2 Overs
UConn	5	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	3 - 3	1 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 3	3 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 1

(#115) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.25 #115
Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile

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UConn Ratings Matchup Massachusetts

Power #115

#121

Off #102

#59

Def #109

#129

Talent #111

#108

SP+ #122

#125

SP+ Off #118

#99

SP+ Def #97

#124

Rematch from Week 13
Massachusetts -2.5 (51.0)
UConn won at Massachusetts this year (31-18)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Massachusetts last year (47-42)
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2023 (31-18)
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2022 (27-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 36°

Team Information
Injuries: CONN | UMASS
Depth Chart: CONN | UMASS
Rosters: CONN | UMASS

(#121) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.895 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile

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UConn's OC Nick Charlton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Fagnano (Tr)	120	207	58%	1631	20	4	7.9
Ta'Quan Roberson	3	7	43%	18	0	0	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devontae Houston	119	648	3	5.4	80
Joe Fagnano (Tr)	30	60	1	2.0	19
Cameron Ross	4	56	0	14.0	41
Ta'Quan Roberson	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Bell	50	860	5	17.2	70
Justin Joly	43	661	4	15.4	40
Cameron Ross	37	443	3	12.0	43
Brett Buckman	7	91	0	13.0	32

View UConn's Full Roster

UConn's DC Lou Spanos

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malik Dixon	67	1	0	0	3
Chris Shearin	58	2	0	2	4
Jelani Stafford	39	6	0	7	1
Dalmont Gourdine	27	4	1	4	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalmont Gourdine	27	4	1	4	6
Malik Dixon	67	1	0	0	3
Chris Shearin	58	2	0	2	4
Jelani Stafford	39	6	0	7	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dalmont Gourdine	27	4	1	4	6
Chris Shearin	58	2	0	2	4
Malik Dixon	67	1	0	0	3

Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)	132	234	56%	1590	8	6	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kay'Ron Adams	133	649	2	4.9	63
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)	107	317	3	3.0	33
Gregory DeRosiers	31	228	3	7.4	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gregory DeRosiers	21	175	4	8.3	25
Kay'Ron Adams	15	85	0	5.7	16
George Johnson	10	85	0	8.5	13
Jackson Manning	1	6	0	6.0	6

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyler Rudolph	61	2	3
Jordan Mahoney	19	1	4
Michael Oppong	8	1	0
Isaiah Rutherford	8	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyler Rudolph	61	2	3
Jordan Mahoney	19	1	4
Michael Oppong	8	1	0
Isaiah Rutherford	8	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jordan Mahoney	19	1	4
Isaiah Rutherford	8	1	4
Tyler Rudolph	61	2	3