UConn at Massachusetts - 2023 Matchup Preview

UConn Huskies at Massachusetts Minutemen

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
UMass -2.5 (51.0) (0) Open: -2.5 | 50.5
UConn 31 - Massachusetts: 18 (FBS Independents)

Huskies (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (6 - 10)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (18 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CONN is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Massachusetts -0.5 (SP+ CONN -1.5)
Projected Score: CONN: 27 - UMASS: 27 (54)
UMASS Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CONN Travel: 43 miles

Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 38 (27 - 37 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
UMASS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UConn vs NC State	+14.5	47.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UConn at Georgia State	+3.0	54.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/16	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	43.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/23	UConn vs Duke	+22.0	45.0	L 7 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/30	UConn vs Utah State	+4.0	50.5	L 33 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/7	UConn at Rice	+10.0	47.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	UConn vs South Florida	-1.0	57.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	UConn at Boston College	+14.5	49.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UConn at Tennessee	+35.0	55.5	L 3 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/11	UConn at James Madison	+24.5	47.5	L 6 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/18	UConn vs Sacred Heart	-25.5	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UConn at Massachusetts	+2.5	51.0	W 31 - 18	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Massachusetts at New Mexico State	+7.0	45.5	W 41 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/2	Massachusetts at Auburn	+35.0	52.0	L 14 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/9	Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	L 28 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/16	Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	50.0	L 17 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Massachusetts vs New Mexico	-3.5	48.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Massachusetts vs Arkansas State	-2.5	55.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/7	Massachusetts vs Toledo	+19.0	55.5	L 24 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Massachusetts at Penn State	+42.0	55.0	L 0 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Massachusetts at Army	+10.0	49.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Massachusetts vs Merrimack	-16.5	57.5	W 31 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Massachusetts at Liberty	+26.5	64.5	L 25 - 49	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Massachusetts vs UConn	-2.5	51.0	L 18 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#111 (.11)	40% (96)	19.1	43% (68)	2.76 (120)	137	37% (108)	190	3.29 (106)	#99 (.23)	47% (124)	29.8	45% (89)	49% (133)	3.88 (75)	53.8	1.4	1.1
UMASS	#72 (.18)	42% (68)	23.2	45% (47)	3.35 (21)	142	40% (86)	214	3.73 (82)	#124 (.31)	49% (132)	37.8	53% (131)	43% (92)	4.31 (114)	70.9	1.4	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1
UMASS	#69 (.19)	41% (94)		43% (78)	3.1 (50)	164	38% (110)	182	3.73 (89)	#114 (.26)	46% (116)		51% (128)	40% (71)	4.66 (129)	63.2	0.8	0.8

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	12	19.1	17.7	39.8%	3.29	1.4	18	327	137	190	4.2	51%	48%	43%	37%	16%	.11
UMASS Defense	12	37.8	36.7	48.5%	4.31	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	53%	43%	15%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	12	29.8	34.7	46.6%	3.88	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	49%	16%	.23
UMASS Offense	12	23.2	26.7	42%	3.73	1.4	18	356	142	214	4.4	51%	48%	45%	40%	21%	.18

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	12	31:15	18.1	35%	38%	6.1	53.8	1.4	1.1	5.7	1.3	1	27.5
Massachusetts	12	29:45	17.8	36%	23%	8	70.9	1.4	1.2	4.5	1.5	2	26.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	12	51% (54)	43% (68)	32.8	136.6	4.2	15 (100)	.01 (125)	2.76 (120)	77% (41)	11% (93)	0.9 (112)
UMASS Defense	12	58% (130)	53% (131)	-	-	-	-	.34 (131)	3.83 (133)	85% (123)	9% (89)	1 (69)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	12	51% (77)	45% (89)	-	-	-	-	.11 (48)	2.9 (34)	79% (103)	11% (45)	0.98 (59)
UMASS Offense	12	51% (59)	45% (47)	32.5	142.2	4.4	19 (69)	.25 (18)	3.35 (21)	62% (125)	14% (127)	1.14 (11)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	12	48% (79)	37% (108)	18.3	31.8	190.3	6	10.4	12 (113)	7 (21)	.25 (78)	1.6 (51)	35% (112)	28% (90)	.23 (98)	5% (33)	1.8 (122)
UMASS Defense	12	42% (4)	43% (92)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.31 (94)	1.8 (122)	29% (121)	37% (125)	.47 (124)	6% (90)	1.9 (30)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	12	49% (61)	49% (133)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.4 (118)	1.4 (17)	30% (113)	33% (112)	.35 (86)	5% (110)	1.8 (8)
UMASS Offense	12	48% (76)	40% (86)	17.7	29	214.1	7.4	12.1	14 (106)	11 (68)	.18 (99)	1.5 (85)	32% (62)	33% (50)	.43 (35)	7% (109)	2.2 (36)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -9.25 #115
UConn's Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
UConn's Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UConn's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
UConn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -9.25 Massachusetts: -11.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -16.0 Massachusetts: -17.7

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.895 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

UConn Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

UConn's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Massachusetts 27
UConn 27

Total Points: 54

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.7

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Massachusetts	42	UConn	47	UConn	UConn -9.5	Massachusetts	49.5	Over
2023	11/25	Massachusetts	18	UConn	31	UConn	UMass -2.5	UConn	51.0	Under
2022	11/04	UConn	27	Massachusetts	10	UConn	Connecticut -15	UConn	39.5	Under
2021	10/09	Massachusetts	27	UConn	13	Massachusetts	Connecticut -3	Massachusetts	57.0	Under
2019	10/26	Massachusetts	35	UConn	56	UConn	Connecticut -9.5	UConn	62.0	Over
2018	10/27	UConn	17	Massachusetts	22	Massachusetts	UMass -3.5	Massachusetts	63.5	Under
2012	08/30	UConn	37	Massachusetts	0	UConn

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Massachusetts	2	3	2 Overs
UConn	5	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	3 - 3	1 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 3	3 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 1

(#115) UConn Info
Power Rating: -9.25 #115
Offense Rating: 12.71 #102
Defense Rating: 13.58 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #118
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #97
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

UConn has won 1 straight
UConn has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

UConn Highlights

UConn Deficiencies
UConn has a really bad Offense
UConn Fumbles a Lot (#1)
UConn offense is not Explosive (#53)
UConn Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#65)
UConn offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#47)
UConn pass game is really bad (#32)
UConn offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UConn does not Sack the QB (#97)
UConn has a bad defense (#79)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	UMASS	CONN
OverallOver	#111	#79
OffenseOff	#83	#77
DefenseDef	#108	#59
Special TeamsST	#111	#102
PassingPass	#90	#81
RushingRush	#42	#74
Run BlockRBLK	#64	#16
Pass BlockPBLK	#68	#34
Route RunningWR Rt	#71	#99
TacklingTkl	#96	#113
Run DefenseR Def	#111	#15
Pass Rush DefPRush	#85	#42
Coverage DefCov	#109	#104

Rematch from Week 13
Massachusetts -2.5 (51.0)
UConn won at Massachusetts this year (31-18)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Massachusetts last year (47-42)
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2023 (31-18)
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2022 (27-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CONN | UMASS
Depth Chart: CONN | UMASS
Rosters: CONN | UMASS

(#121) Massachusetts Info
Power Rating: -11.895 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Massachusetts has lost 1 straight
Massachusetts has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Massachusetts Highlights
Massachusetts has a top Offensive Line (#124)
Massachusetts does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#124)

Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Massachusetts does not Sack the QB (#97)
Massachusetts has a bad defense (#87)
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)
Massachusetts has a bad red zone defense (#98)

UConn's OC Nick Charlton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ta'Quan Roberson	197	338	58%	2075	12	6	6.1
Joe Fagnano (Tr)	18	35	51%	173	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Edwards	122	618	4	5.1	39
Victor Rosa	112	550	3	4.9	71
Devontae Houston	34	161	0	4.7	27
Ta'Quan Roberson	46	120	2	2.6	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Ross	44	568	2	12.9	46
Justin Joly	56	562	2	10.0	59
Brett Buckman	46	488	2	10.6	40
Geordon Porter (Tr)	22	213	1	9.7	28

View UConn's Full Roster

UConn's DC Lou Spanos

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Mitchell	113	7	1	4	1
Durante Jones	72	2	1	0	1
Tui Faumuina-Brown	61	4	1	0	0
Noah Plack (Tr)	49	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Pryce Yates	42	14	5	2	2
Dalmont Gourdine	28	6	3	2	3
Eric Watts	34	7	2	1	1
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)	34	4	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Malcolm Bell	28	2	0	4
Chris Shearin	36	1	0	3
Mumu Bin-Wahad (Tr)	34	4	1	3

Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)	139	227	61%	1507	6	6	6.6
Carlos Davis (Tr)	62	101	61%	886	6	3	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kay'Ron Adams	236	1157	12	4.9	47
Gregory DeRosiers	37	301	4	8.1	60
Anthony Simpson (Tr)	11	93	1	8.5	17
Ahmad Haston	16	54	0	3.4	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Simpson (Tr)	57	792	3	13.9	71
George Johnson	35	421	3	12.0	32
Mark Pope (Tr)	33	420	1	12.7	54
Gino Campiotti	21	289	4	13.8	30

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Te'Rai Powell	59	1	0	2	3
Nahji Logan	59	3	1	1	1
Gerrell Johnson	51	2	0	0	0
Billy Wooden	50	11	6	7	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Billy Wooden	50	11	6	7	1
JB Brown (Tr)	38	5	3	4	1
Derrieon Craig	24	5	2	1	1
Zukudo Igwenagu	29	3	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Juan Lua	23	0	0	0	5
Tyler Rudolph	40	2	1	1	4
Dashaun Jerkins (Tr)	31	0	0	1	4