Massachusetts at Army Game Matchup

Massachusetts Minutemen at Army Black Knights

Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -10 (49.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Massachusetts 21 - Army: 14 (FBS Independents)

Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 21.7 MPH
UMASS coming off BYE
ARMY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Army -8 (SP+ ARMY -13)
Projected Score: UMASS: 22 - ARMY: 30 (52)
ARMY Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
UMASS Travel: 100 miles

Black Knights (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Monken (66 - 50)
Avg Score : 31 - 16 (36 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UMASS Players
ARMY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Massachusetts at New Mexico State	+7.0	45.5	W 41 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/2	Massachusetts at Auburn	+35.0	52.0	L 14 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/9	Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	45.0	L 28 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/16	Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan	+7.0	50.0	L 17 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Massachusetts vs New Mexico	-3.5	48.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Massachusetts vs Arkansas State	-2.5	55.5	L 28 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/7	Massachusetts vs Toledo	+19.0	55.5	L 24 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Massachusetts at Penn State	+42.0	55.0	L 0 - 63	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Massachusetts at Army	+10.0	49.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Massachusetts vs Merrimack	-16.5	57.5	W 31 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Massachusetts at Liberty	+26.5	64.5	L 25 - 49	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Massachusetts vs UConn	-2.5	51.0	L 18 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

Army's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Army at UL Monroe	-8.5	47.0	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	Army vs Delaware State	-39.5	44.0	W 57 - 0	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Army at UTSA	+7.0	42.0	W 37 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Army at Syracuse	+13.0	50.5	L 16 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Army vs Boston College	-2.5	47.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/14	Army vs Troy	+6.5	41.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/21	Army at LSU	+33.0	60.0	L 0 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/28	Army vs Massachusetts	-10.0	49.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/4	Army vs Air Force	+18.5	32.0	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Army vs Holy Cross	-11.5	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/18	Army vs Coastal Carolina	+1.5	40.5	W 28 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9	Army vs Navy	-2.0	28.0	W 17 - 11	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	.01	32%	22.5	34%	2.8	150	31%	117	2.26	.2	40%	35.5	42%	38%	3.6	66.2	1.6	1.6
ARMY	.27	45%	31.1	48%	3.33	289	28%	77	4.25	.22	48%	15.5	50%	47%	3.69	38.8	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARMY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Offense	12	22.5	17.8	32.4%	2.26	1.6	15	267	150	117	3.5	60%	39%	34%	31%	20%	.01
ARMY Defense	12	15.5	14.3	47.9%	3.69	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	61%	37%	50%	47%	13%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Defense	12	35.5	38.8	40.1%	3.6	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	42%	38%	20%	.2
ARMY Offense	12	31.1	36	44.5%	4.25	1	18	366	289	77	5.4	85%	14%	48%	28%	11%	.27

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Massachusetts	12	31:55	14.6	28%	48%	7.6	66.2	1.6	1.6	6.1	1.6	1	27.5
Army	12	31:37	17.6	44%	53%	4.8	38.8	1	1.7	3.8	1.5	3	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense	12	60%	34%	43.3	150.3	3.5	10	.03	2.8	69%	14%	0.93
ARMY Defense	12	61%	50%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.47	74%	8%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense	12	60%	42%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.17	70%	13%	1.14
ARMY Offense	12	85%	48%	53.8	288.9	5.4	38	.27	3.33	74%	8%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense	12	39%	31%	11.3	23.1	116.9	5.1	10.3	4	14	.01	1.6	37%	19%	.1	6%	2.1
ARMY Defense	12	37%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.33	1.5	26%	34%	.27	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense	12	39%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.29	1.9	33%	28%	.28	7%	2.3
ARMY Offense	12	14%	28%	3.5	8.7	77	8.9	22	5	4	.32	2.3	25%	23%	.34	3%	2.2

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -11.09 Army: -6.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -17.7 Army: -5.2

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -6.225 #125
Army's Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Army's Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
2023 Talent Rating: 674.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Army's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Army's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Army 30
Massachusetts 22

Projected Total Points: 52

Army Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

Army's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Army	14	Massachusetts	21	Massachusetts	Army -10	Massachusetts	49.5	Under
2022	11/26	Massachusetts	7	Army	44	Army	Army -20	Army	45.5	Over
2021	11/20	Army	33	Massachusetts	17	Army	Army -37.5	Massachusetts	56.0	Under
2019	11/09	Army	63	Massachusetts	7	Army	Army -35.0	Army	61.0	Over
2005	11/12	Army	34	Massachusetts	27	Army

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Army	4	2	2 Overs
Massachusetts	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	3 - 1	1 - 0	2 - 1

(#121) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile

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Massachusetts Ratings Matchup Army

Power #121

#125

Off #59

#111

Def #129

#93

Talent #108

#55

SP+ #125

#82

SP+ Off #99

#113

SP+ Def #124

#41

Rematch from Week 9
Army -10.0 (49.5)
Massachusetts won at Army this year (21-14)

Previous Matchups
Massachusetts beat Army in 2023 (21-14)
Army beat Massachusetts in 2022 (44-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 78° - Wind: 22 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | ARMY
Depth Chart: UMASS | ARMY
Rosters: UMASS | ARMY

(#125) Army Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.225 #125
Offense Rating: 11.86 #111
Defense Rating: 11.47 #93
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6 #113
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41
Talent Rating: 674.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile

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Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)	132	234	56%	1590	8	6	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kay'Ron Adams	133	649	2	4.9	63
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)	107	317	3	3.0	33
Gregory DeRosiers	31	228	3	7.4	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gregory DeRosiers	21	175	4	8.3	25
Kay'Ron Adams	15	85	0	5.7	16
George Johnson	10	85	0	8.5	13
Jackson Manning	1	6	0	6.0	6

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyler Rudolph	61	2	3
Jordan Mahoney	19	1	4
Michael Oppong	8	1	0
Isaiah Rutherford	8	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyler Rudolph	61	2	3
Jordan Mahoney	19	1	4
Michael Oppong	8	1	0
Isaiah Rutherford	8	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jordan Mahoney	19	1	4
Isaiah Rutherford	8	1	4
Tyler Rudolph	61	2	3

Army's OC Matt Drinkall

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Daily	54	103	52%	1007	9	4	9.8
Tyrell Robinson	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bryson Daily	311	1653	32	5.3	42
Tyrell Robinson	19	89	0	4.7	23
Matthew Rhodes	2	35	1	17.5	23
Miles Stewart	4	27	0	6.8	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Casey Reynolds	19	449	3	23.6	50
Cam Schurr	7	83	1	11.9	18
Isaiah Alston	2	52	0	26.0	39
David Crossan	1	52	0	52.0	52

View Army's Full Roster

Army's DC Nate Woody

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tano Letuli	67	4	2	2	0
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3
Brett Gerena	40	3	3	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Kyle Lewis	25	4	3	1
Brett Gerena	40	3	3	1
Tano Letuli	67	4	2	2
Adam Cash	6	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Max DiDomenico	56	2	0	0	3
Chance Keith	45	2	1	2	3
Tano Letuli	67	4	2	2	0