Massachusetts at Army - 2023 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Army Black KnightsArmy logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Army -10 (49.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Massachusetts 21 - Army: 14  (FBS Independents)

 
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 38 (20 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 21.7 MPH
UMASS coming off BYE
ARMY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Army -8  (SP+ ARMY -13)
Projected Score: UMASS: 21 - ARMY: 29 (51)
ARMY Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
UMASS Travel: 100 miles
Black Knights (6 - 6) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Jeff Monken (66 - 50)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Massachusetts at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30OY
Sat 9/2 Massachusetts at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59ON
Sat 9/9 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41ON
Sat 9/16 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/23 Massachusetts vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Massachusetts vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52ON
Sat 10/7 Massachusetts vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 Massachusetts at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Massachusetts at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/4 Massachusetts vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Massachusetts at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49OY
Sat 11/25 Massachusetts vs UConn-2.551.0L 18 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Army's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Army at UL Monroe-8.547.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 9/9 Army vs Delaware State-39.544.0W 57 - 0OY
Fri 9/15 Army at UTSA+7.042.0W 37 - 29OY
Sat 9/23 Army at Syracuse+13.050.5L 16 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Army vs Boston College-2.547.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 10/14 Army vs Troy+6.541.5L 0 - 19UN
Sat 10/21 Army at LSU+33.060.0L 0 - 62ON
Sat 10/28 Army vs Massachusetts-10.049.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/4 Army vs Air Force+18.532.0W 23 - 3UY
Sat 11/11 Army vs Holy Cross-11.555.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 11/18 Army vs Coastal Carolina+1.540.5W 28 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Army vs Navy-2.028.0W 17 - 11UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#72 (.18)42% (68)23.245% (47)3.35 (21)14240% (86)2143.73 (82)#124 (.31)49% (132)37.853% (131)43% (92)4.31 (114)70.91.41.2
ARMY#99 (.13)40% (99)20.541% (91)3.33 (27)20937% (105)1033.07 (122)#95 (.23)46% (116)21.147% (107)46% (119)2.58 (3)36.31.81.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1223.219.742%3.731.4183561422144.451%48%45%40%21%.18
ARMY Defense1221.11745.6%2.581.6 - - - - - 56%43%47%46%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1237.83948.5%4.311.2 - - - - - 58%42%53%43%15%.31
ARMY Offense1220.523.339.5%3.071.8163122091034.476%22%41%37%12%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1229:4517.836%23%870.91.41.24.51.5226.5
Army1232:3216.338%59%3.936.31.81.63.91.4332.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1251% (59)45% (47)32.5142.24.419 (69).25 (18)3.35 (21)62% (125)14% (127)1.14 (11)
ARMY Defense1256% (123)47% (107) - - - - .26 (123)3.44 (122)63% (17)8% (112)1.06 (96)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1258% (130)53% (131) - - - - .34 (131)3.83 (133)85% (123)9% (89)1 (69)
ARMY Offense1276% (2)41% (91)47.8208.84.419 (69).11 (88)3.33 (27)82% (9)9% (42)0.89 (118)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1248% (76)40% (86)17.729214.17.412.114 (106)11 (68).18 (99)1.5 (85)32% (62)33% (50).43 (35)7% (109)2.2 (36)
ARMY Defense1243% (9)46% (119) - - - - - - 9 (87).27 (71)1.4 (16)27% (130)29% (57).26 (40)4% (131)2.2 (110)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1242% (4)43% (92) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (94)1.8 (122)29% (121)37% (125).47 (124)6% (90)1.9 (30)
ARMY Offense1222% (132)37% (105)6.913.7102.87.514.97 (129)11 (68).33 (51)2 (2)29% (21)23% (127).14 (120)3% (5)1.9 (115)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.09  #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17  #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87  #129
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7  #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4  #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -11.09   Army: -6.225

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -17.7   Army: -5.2




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -6.225  #125
Army's Offense Rating: 11.86  #111
Army's Defense Rating: 11.47  #93
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Army's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Army's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2  #82
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.6  #113
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #41

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Army 29
Massachusetts 21

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Army 33
Massachusetts 20

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Army 30
Massachusetts 20

Total Points: 50
Army Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.3
Defense: 21.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Army's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Army14Massachusetts21Army -10Massachusetts49.5Under
202211/26Massachusetts7Army44Army -20Army45.5Over
202111/20Army33Massachusetts17Army -37.5Massachusetts56.0Under
201911/09Army63Massachusetts7Army -35.0Army61.0Over
200511/12Army34Massachusetts27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army422 Overs
Massachusetts122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 21 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams2 - 33 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#121) UMASS at (#125) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSARMY
Power RatePwr #121 #125
SP+SP+ #125 #82
Perf GradeGrade #132 #76
OffenseOff #97 #100
DefenseDef #135 #63
Spec TeamsST #136 #12
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCat
UMASS OffARMY Def
Perf GradePerf #97 #63
SuccessSuc #68 #116
ExplosiveExp #48 #35
PPAPPA #72 #95
PowerPwr #59 #93
SP+SP+ #99 #41
Pts POPPO #82 #3
HavocHav #129 #127
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #59 #70
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #107
Run ExplRExp #11 #96
PPAExp #18 #123
Run BlockR Blk #83 -
OL YdsOLY #21 #122
Stuff RateStuff #29 #110
TackleTak -  #58
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #106 #58
Pass SuccessPSuc #86 #119
Pass ExplPExl #85 #16
PPAExp #99 #71
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #80 #116
F7 HavocF7 #127 #112
DB HavocDB #109 #131
Army on Offense
CategoryCatARMY OffUMASS Def
Perf GradePerf #100 #135
SuccessSuc #99 #132
ExplosiveExp #125 #66
PPAPPA #99 #124
PowerPwr #111 #129
SP+SP+ #113 #124
Pts POPPO #122 #114
HavocHav #11 #97
Army Run Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffUMASS Def
Run GameRun #117 #130
Run SuccessRSuc #91 #131
Run ExplRExp #118 #69
PPAExp #88 #131
Run BlockR Blk #15 -
OL YdsOLY #27 #133
Stuff RateStuff #8 #133
TackleTak -  #113
Army Pass Game
CategoryCatARMY OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePass #136 #130
Pass SuccessPSuc #105 #92
Pass ExplPExl #2 #122
PPAExp #51 #94
Pass Block/RushP Blk #111 #114
F7 HavocF7 #42 #89
DB HavocDB #5 #90
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 78° - Wind: 22 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Army -10.0 (49.5)
Massachusetts won at Army this year (21-14)

Previous Matchups
Massachusetts beat Army in 2023 (21-14)
Army beat Massachusetts in 2022 (44-7)

  
UMASS's OC Steve Casula (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)13922761%1507666.6
Carlos Davis (Tr)6210161%886638.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams2361157124.947
Gregory DeRosiers3730148.160
Anthony Simpson (Tr)119318.517
Ahmad Haston165403.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Simpson (Tr)57792313.971
George Johnson35421312.032
Mark Pope (Tr)33420112.754
Gino Campiotti21289413.830

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Te'Rai Powell591023
Nahji Logan593111
Gerrell Johnson512000
Billy Wooden5011671
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Wooden5011671
JB Brown (Tr)385341
Derrieon Craig245211
Zukudo Igwenagu293100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Juan Lua230005
Tyler Rudolph402114
Dashaun Jerkins (Tr)310014

ARMY's OC Matt Drinkall (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryson Daily6012050%913767.6
Champ Harris193554%260047.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Daily21490274.262
Kanye Udoh9952415.323
Hayden Reed5020524.127
Tyrell Robinson3918724.825
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Alston9266229.670
Noah Short18252214.080
Casey Reynolds16237014.869
Tobi Olawole7101014.443

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leo Lowin755301
Quindrelin Hammonds574302
Kalib Fortner553210
Max DiDomenico472000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leo Lowin755301
Jack Latore204300
Quindrelin Hammonds574302
Jimmy Ciarlo475220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabari Moore353006
Quindrelin Hammonds574302
Cameron Jones343112