Sam Houston at Liberty Game Matchup
Sam Houston logo Sam Houston Bearkats at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Thursday, October 5th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -21 (46.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Liberty 21 - Sam Houston: 16  (Conference USA)

 
Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB coming off BYE
Our Line: Liberty -23.5   (SP+ LIB -25)

Projected Score: SHSU: 13 - LIB: 36 (49)
LIB Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
SHSU Travel: 1041 miles, 1 hrs behind
Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (32 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Sam Houston at BYU+19.046.5L 0 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 Sam Houston vs Air Force+13.536.5L 3 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Sam Houston at Houston+11.537.0L 7 - 38ON
Thu 9/28 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State+6.536.5L 28 - 35ON
Thu 10/5 Sam Houston at Liberty+21.046.5L 16 - 21UY
Wed 10/11 Sam Houston at New Mexico State+4.543.0L 13 - 27UN
Wed 10/18 Sam Houston vs Florida International-6.042.0L 27 - 33ON
Wed 10/25 Sam Houston vs UTEP-4.038.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/4 Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 24 - 21ON
Sat 11/11 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+8.549.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/18 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+12.552.0L 23 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee+3.549.5W 23 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Liberty's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Liberty vs Bowling Green-8.548.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Liberty vs New Mexico State-9.054.5W 33 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Liberty at Buffalo-2.554.0W 55 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Liberty at Florida International-10.054.0W 38 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5 Liberty vs Sam Houston-21.046.5W 21 - 16UN
Tue 10/10 Liberty at Jacksonville State-7.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Tue 10/17 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-16.056.5W 42 - 35ON
Tue 10/24 Liberty at Western Kentucky-4.061.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Liberty vs Louisiana Tech-16.558.0W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Liberty vs Old Dominion-13.558.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Liberty vs Massachusetts-26.564.5W 49 - 25ON
Sat 11/25 Liberty at UTEP-18.054.5W 42 - 28ON
Fri 12/1 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.554.0W 49 - 35OY
Mon 1/1 Liberty vs Oregon+18.571.5L 6 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU35%23.841%2.69030%02.55.0635%20.536%35%2.98000
LIB.1541%28.846%3.2217238%2173.61.136%23.538%36%3.5753.52.12.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense123.824.635.3%2.5500000049%51%41%30%1398%
LIB Defense1323.522.336.2%3.572.2 - - - - - 51%47%38%36%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Defense120.523.635%2.980 - - - - - 45%54%36%35%2884%.06
LIB Offense1328.832.341.4%3.612.1203891722174.650%48%46%38%19%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sam Houston10:000NAN%0%000000030.1
Liberty1328:3720.437%48%6.253.52.12.28.43.2131.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense149%41%0000.082.6971%1396%1.06
LIB Defense1351%38% - - - - .082.5975%14%1.06
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense145%36% - - - - -.042.3670%2882%0.91
LIB Offense1350%46%37.8172.44.624.173.2268%13%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense151%30%0000000-.071.636%28%.262%2.2
LIB Defense1347%36% - - - - - - 14.191.736%27%.267%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense154%35% - - - - - - 0.181.737%25%.222%2.1
LIB Offense1348%38%17.630.4216.57.112.32115.221.631%26%.236%2.2

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -9.92 #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
2023 Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -9.92   Liberty: 11.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -13.5   Liberty: 11.8




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 11.735 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 36
Sam Houston 13


Projected Total Points: 49
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29Sam Houston20Liberty18Sam HoustonLiberty -2.5Sam Houston47.5Under
202310/05Liberty21Sam Houston16LibertyLiberty -21Sam Houston46.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty100 Overs
Sam Houston122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#118) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.92 #118
Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






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Sam Houston     Ratings Matchup     Liberty
Power #118
#30
Off #113
#3
Def #57
#42
Talent #129
#114
SP+ #112
#21
SP+ Off #120
#9
SP+ Def #82
#51

Rematch from Week 6
Liberty -21.0 (46.5)
Liberty won vs Sam Houston this year (21-16)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Liberty last year (20-18)
Liberty beat Sam Houston in 2023 (21-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63°

Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | LIB
Depth Chart: SHSU | LIB
Rosters: SHSU | LIB
(#30) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.735 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30

Team Profile






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Sam Houston's OC Brad Cornelsen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Xavier Ward (Tr)1333%16015.3
Noah Smith1250%641032.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ife Adeyi97618.428
John Gentry (Tr)267512.916
Noah Smith117506.817
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Smith3528508.122
Ife Adeyi2623819.232
Elijah Sohn1310708.222
John Gentry (Tr)61612.78

View Sam Houston's Full Roster
Sam Houston's DC Clayton Carlin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kavian Gaither848052
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Jevon Leon302160
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Nixon196450
Seth Mason51131
Jevon Leon302160
Kavian Gaither848052
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dakerric Hobbs363016
Da'Marcus Crosby812003
Kavian Gaither848052

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nate Hampton2922%40114.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)2051254136.144
Billy Lucas12372055.955
Nate Hampton1707.07
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Treon Sibley28510218.270
C.J. Daniels42480011.434
Bentley Hanshaw109219.221
Billy Lucas551010.218

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
Kendy Charles507211
Jaylon Jimmerson495104
Aakil Washington411143
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Whitehead II24114150
Kendy Charles507211
Quinton Reese405210
Jerome Jolly Jr.555111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Hodge321006
Jaylon Jimmerson495104
Aakil Washington411143