Old Dominion at Liberty - 2023 Matchup Preview
Old Dominion logo Old Dominion Monarchs at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (1:00 PM EST)
Liberty -13.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Liberty 38 - Old Dominion: 10

 
Monarchs (6 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (10 - 18)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (21 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.7 - 7.3 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB 2nd straight Home Game
LIB is playing their 6th straight game
ODU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -20.5   (SP+ LIB -22)

Projected Score: ODU: 19 - LIB: 39 (58)
LIB Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
ODU Travel: 161 miles
Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 38 - 24 (40 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Old Dominion's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Old Dominion at Virginia Tech+16.048.0L 17 - 36ON
Sat 9/9 Old Dominion vs Louisiana+6.051.0W 38 - 31OY
Sat 9/16 Old Dominion vs Wake Forest+13.560.0L 24 - 27UY
Sat 9/23 Old Dominion vs East Texas A&M-18.5
Sat 9/30 Old Dominion at Marshall+14.547.0L 35 - 41OY
Sat 10/7 Old Dominion at Southern Miss+3.056.5W 17 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Old Dominion vs App State+6.056.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/28 Old Dominion at James Madison+19.548.0L 27 - 30OY
Sat 11/4 Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina+1.051.0L 24 - 28ON
Sat 11/11 Old Dominion at Liberty+13.558.5L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 Old Dominion at Georgia Southern+4.561.5W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/25 Old Dominion vs Georgia State-2.049.5W 25 - 24UN
Mon 12/18 Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky-4.049.0L 35 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
Liberty's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Liberty vs Bowling Green-8.548.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Liberty vs New Mexico State-9.054.5W 33 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Liberty at Buffalo-2.554.0W 55 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Liberty at Florida International-10.054.0W 38 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5 Liberty vs Sam Houston-21.046.5W 21 - 16UN
Tue 10/10 Liberty at Jacksonville State-7.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Tue 10/17 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-16.056.5W 42 - 35ON
Tue 10/24 Liberty at Western Kentucky-4.061.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Liberty vs Louisiana Tech-16.558.0W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Liberty vs Old Dominion-13.558.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Liberty vs Massachusetts-26.564.5W 49 - 25ON
Sat 11/25 Liberty at UTEP-18.054.5W 42 - 28ON
Fri 12/1 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.554.0W 49 - 35OY
Mon 1/1 Liberty vs Oregon+18.571.5L 6 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU#102 (.13)38% (109)23.841% (92)3.08 (76)15437% (107)1953.14 (117)#30 (.13)44% (100)27.242% (60)47% (124)3.49 (46)60.61.41.6
LIB#3 (.43)54% (3)38.356% (3)3.77 (2)28151% (8)1974.54 (20)#59 (.17)42% (73)24.347% (111)40% (49)3.63 (54)591.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Offense1323.82138.5%3.141.4173481541954.250%49%41%37%20%.13
LIB Defense1424.32442.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Defense1327.229.244.1%3.491.6 - - - - - 52%47%42%47%17%.13
LIB Offense1438.340.354.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Old Dominion1324:4916.537%27%6.560.61.41.66.11.5229.1
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Offense1350% (70)41% (92)36.5153.54.215 (100).17 (58)3.08 (76)62% (127)15% (131)1.18 (4)
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (86)10% (84)0.97 (49)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Defense1352% (98)42% (60) - - - - -.01 (11)2.81 (22)70% (50)11% (56)0.73 (2)
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (4)5% (1)0.98 (81)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Offense1349% (68)37% (107)15.727.8194.8712.420 (70)11 (68).15 (112)1.7 (39)35% (119)31% (70).3 (79)5% (37)2.2 (33)
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Defense1347% (38)47% (124) - - - - - - 11 (53).31 (93)1.5 (39)28% (126)30% (71).24 (36)6% (70)2.1 (76)
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -7.26 #102
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 11.50 #114
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 8.69 #56
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Old Dominion's 2023 Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30
Old Dominion's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #97
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #92

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -7.26   Liberty: 11.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -10.2   Liberty: 11.8




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 11.735 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Old Dominion's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 39
Old Dominion 19


Total Points: 58

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Liberty38Old Dominion10LibertyLiberty -13.5Liberty58.5Under
202210/01Old Dominion24Liberty38LibertyLiberty -3.5Liberty48.0Over
202109/18Liberty45Old Dominion17LibertyLiberty -26.5Liberty53.5Over
201809/01Liberty52Old Dominion10LibertyOld Dominion -5Liberty59.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty443 Overs
Old Dominion001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 13 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams1 - 31 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#102) Old Dominion Info
Power Rating: -7.26 #102
Offense Rating: 11.50 #114
Defense Rating: 8.69 #56
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #105
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #92
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.70 - 7.30


Old Dominion has lost 2 straight
Old Dominion has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Old Dominion Highlights
Old Dominion offense is explosive (#13)
Old Dominion defense does not give up big plays (#4)
Old Dominion Defensive Line is very good (#116)

Old Dominion Deficiencies
Old Dominion Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Old Dominion offense is really bad (#29)
Old Dominion Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#42)
Old Dominion offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#1)
Old Dominion pass game is really bad (#27)
Old Dominion does not Sack the QB (#47)
Old Dominion has a bad defense (#107)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatLIBODU
OverallOver#16#89
OffenseOff#11#112
DefenseDef#42#29
Special TeamsST#33#79
PassingPass#20#82
RushingRush#4#47
Run BlockRBLK#31#97
Pass BlockPBLK#82#108
Route RunningWR Rt#19#109
TacklingTkl#32#8
Run DefenseR Def#62#7
Pass Rush DefPRush#59#96
Coverage DefCov#34#48

Rematch from Week 11
Liberty -13.5 (58.5)
Liberty won vs Old Dominion this year (38-10)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Old Dominion in 2023 (38-10)
Liberty beat Old Dominion in 2022 (38-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ODU | LIB
Depth Chart: ODU | LIB
Rosters: ODU | LIB
(#30) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 11.735 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30


Liberty has won 9 straight
Liberty has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 8 - 0 (5 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Liberty Highlights
Liberty is Undefeated at Home

Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good in red zone (#98)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)

Liberty Secondary is very good (#118)
Liberty defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)


  
Old Dominion's OC Kevin Decker
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grant Wilson17831257%21491786.9
Jack Shields254753%353237.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kadarius Calloway8862357.175
Keshawn Wicks12058844.936
Grant Wilson13029242.279
Obasanjo Sanni5724814.467
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Reymello Murphy28502317.961
Kelby Williams26451217.378
Isiah Paige43445210.342
Javon Harvey29391413.568

View Old Dominion's Full Roster
Old Dominion's DC Blake Seiler
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jason Henderson16519550
Wayne Matthews III13510403
Terry Jones1044034
Shawn Asbury II956034
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jason Henderson16519550
Wayne Matthews III13510403
Denzel Lowry465311
Mario Thompson436222
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rasheed Reason343007
Lamareon James601007
Nolan Johnson381016

Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter17729061%28763269.9
Johnathan Bennett1617%6001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)2211401166.360
Kaidon Salter1631089126.752
Billy Lucas11459765.243
Aaron Bedgood5855239.549
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels5510671019.475
Treon Sibley23467420.368
Noah Frith17323319.055
Elijah Smoot11221220.142

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyren Dupree1168362
Brandon Bishop583003
Joseph Carter552001
Quinton Reese502001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendy Charles265320
CJ Bazile Jr.48113110
Christopher Boti144310
Tyren Dupree1168362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Singleton3600012
Preston Hodge443007
Brylan Green352107