Liberty at UTEP - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Liberty -18.0 (54.5) (-950) Open: -16.0 | 59.0
Liberty 42 - UTEP: 28 (Conference USA)

Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 38 - 24 (42 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 23 MPH
LIB is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -20.5 (SP+ LIB -27.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 38 - UTEP: 17 (55)
LIB Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 1596 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 29 (19 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
UTEP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Liberty vs Bowling Green	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-9.0	54.5	W 33 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Liberty at Buffalo	-2.5	54.0	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Liberty at Florida International	-10.0	54.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5	Liberty vs Sam Houston	-21.0	46.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
Tue 10/10	Liberty at Jacksonville State	-7.0	59.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Tue 10/17	Liberty vs Middle Tennessee	-16.0	56.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/24	Liberty at Western Kentucky	-4.0	61.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Liberty vs Louisiana Tech	-16.5	58.0	W 56 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Liberty vs Old Dominion	-13.5	58.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-26.5	64.5	W 49 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/25	Liberty at UTEP	-18.0	54.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/1	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-10.5	54.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Liberty vs Oregon	+18.5	71.5	L 6 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

UTEP's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	UTEP at Jacksonville State	-1.5	54.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	UTEP vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	57.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UTEP at Northwestern	+1.0	40.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	UTEP at Arizona	+18.0	57.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	UTEP vs UNLV	-1.0	49.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
Fri 9/29	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11	UTEP at Florida International	-1.5	44.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Wed 10/18	UTEP vs New Mexico State	+3.0	48.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Wed 10/25	UTEP at Sam Houston	+4.0	38.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/4	UTEP vs Western Kentucky	+9.5	54.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	UTEP at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	48.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UTEP vs Liberty	+18.0	54.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	#3 (.43)	54% (3)	38.3	56% (3)	3.77 (2)	281	51% (8)	197	4.54 (20)	#59 (.17)	42% (73)	24.3	47% (111)	40% (49)	3.63 (54)	59	1.1	1.7
UTEP	#80 (.17)	39% (103)	19.9	43% (62)	3.05 (83)	144	36% (113)	218	3.59 (93)	#109 (.25)	43% (88)	28.5	48% (122)	38% (23)	4.62 (127)	58.8	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	#24 (.26)	50% (7)		54% (2)	3.56 (7)	238	43% (60)	161	4.21 (43)	#24 (.1)	39% (39)		39% (30)	40% (66)	3.68 (58)	64.4	1.3	1.3
UTEP	#121 (.07)	37% (124)		38% (118)	2.8 (106)	121	36% (117)	200	2.81 (132)	#46 (.13)	40% (42)		40% (42)	39% (46)	3.85 (78)	50.9	1.6	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	14	38.3	41.6	54.2%	4.54	1.1	24	478	281	197	6.1	68%	32%	56%	51%	7%	.43
UTEP Defense	12	28.5	29	43.4%	4.62	1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	48%	38%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	14	24.3	20.6	42.3%	3.63	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	43%	55%	47%	40%	18%	.17
UTEP Offense	12	19.9	19	39.5%	3.59	1.5	18	362	144	218	3.9	53%	46%	43%	36%	16%	.17

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	14	31:18	23.6	50%	55%	5.9	59	1.1	1.7	4.9	1.7	2	30.4
UTEP	12	31:25	18.3	33%	45%	6.8	58.8	1.5	1	4.3	2	1	26.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	14	68% (4)	56% (3)	45.9	281.3	6.1	39 (2)	.35 (3)	3.77 (2)	85% (4)	5% (1)	0.98 (81)
UTEP Defense	12	57% (126)	48% (122)	-	-	-	-	.28 (127)	3.35 (113)	76% (89)	9% (106)	1.1 (112)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	14	43% (9)	47% (111)	-	-	-	-	.19 (94)	3.14 (77)	75% (86)	10% (84)	0.97 (49)
UTEP Offense	12	53% (42)	43% (62)	37.3	144.3	3.9	16 (89)	.09 (105)	3.05 (83)	76% (44)	9% (51)	0.89 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	14	32% (130)	51% (8)	11.6	19.9	196.9	9.9	16.9	31 (14)	5 (6)	.65 (2)	1.9 (9)	23% (2)	38% (13)	.59 (8)	2% (2)	2.3 (18)
UTEP Defense	12	43% (8)	38% (23)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.26 (61)	1.7 (104)	32% (67)	31% (87)	.48 (126)	7% (50)	2.3 (128)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	14	55% (125)	40% (49)	-	-	-	-	-	-	21 (1)	.23 (48)	1.6 (84)	31% (77)	29% (48)	.17 (9)	9% (6)	2.1 (94)
UTEP Offense	12	46% (94)	36% (113)	14.8	27.5	217.7	7.9	14.7	13 (111)	12 (85)	.29 (68)	1.9 (6)	32% (82)	29% (82)	.34 (65)	7% (104)	2.1 (37)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 6.67 UTEP: -11.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 11.8 UTEP: -15.9

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.215 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.6
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.6

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 38
UTEP 17

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 36
UTEP 21

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 34
UTEP 21

Total Points: 55

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 19
Defense: 28.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/08	UTEP	8	Liberty	19	Liberty -1.5	Liberty	46.5	Under
2024	09/14	Liberty	28	UTEP	10	Liberty -23.5	UTEP	57.5	Under
2023	11/25	UTEP	28	Liberty	42	Liberty -18.0	UTEP	54.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTEP	0	2	1 Overs
Liberty	3	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0

(#30) LIB at (#123) UTEP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LIB	UTEP
Power RatePwr	#30	#123
SP+SP+	#21	#120
Perf GradeGrade	#21	#57
OffenseOff	#12	#49
DefenseDef	#50	#68
Spec TeamsST	#38	#26
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Liberty Injury Report

UTEP Injury Report

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	UTEP Def
Perf GradePerf	#12	#68
SuccessSuc	#3	#88
ExplosiveExp	#94	#90
PPAPPA	#3	#109
PowerPwr	#3	#116
SP+SP+	#9	#100
Pts POPPO	#20	#127
HavocHav	#1	#88

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	UTEP Def
Run GameRun	#4	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	#3	#122
Run ExplRExp	#81	#112
PPAExp	#3	#127
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	#2	#113
Stuff RateStuff	#12	#72
TackleTak	-	#116

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	UTEP Def
Pass GamePass	#22	#80
Pass SuccessPSuc	#8	#23
Pass ExplPExl	#9	#104
PPAExp	#2	#61
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#95	#5
F7 HavocF7	#1	#106
DB HavocDB	#2	#50

UTEP on Offense


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	LIB Def
Perf GradePerf	#49	#50
SuccessSuc	#103	#73
ExplosiveExp	#49	#85
PPAPPA	#80	#59
PowerPwr	#77	#42
SP+SP+	#116	#51
Pts POPPO	#93	#54
HavocHav	#72	#30

UTEP Run Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	#70	#71
Run SuccessRSuc	#62	#111
Run ExplRExp	#119	#49
PPAExp	#105	#94
Run BlockR Blk	#12	-
OL YdsOLY	#83	#77
Stuff RateStuff	#98	#59
TackleTak	-	#36

UTEP Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	#113	#40
Pass SuccessPSuc	#113	#49
Pass ExplPExl	#6	#84
PPAExp	#68	#48
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#2	#76
F7 HavocF7	#51	#84
DB HavocDB	#104	#6

Program Comparison
UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 65° - Wind: 23 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Liberty 18.0 (54.5)
Liberty won at UTEP this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat UTEP last year (28-10)
Liberty beat UTEP in 2023 (42-28)

LIB's OC Newland Isaac (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kaidon Salter	177	290	61%	2876	32	6	9.9
Johnathan Bennett	1	6	17%	6	0	0	1.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)	221	1401	16	6.3	60
Kaidon Salter	163	1089	12	6.7	52
Billy Lucas	114	597	6	5.2	43
Aaron Bedgood	58	552	3	9.5	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
C.J. Daniels	55	1067	10	19.4	75
Treon Sibley	23	467	4	20.3	68
Noah Frith	17	323	3	19.0	55
Elijah Smoot	11	221	2	20.1	42

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Jack Curtis (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyren Dupree	116	8	3	6	2
Brandon Bishop	58	3	0	0	3
Joseph Carter	55	2	0	0	1
Quinton Reese	50	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendy Charles	26	5	3	2	0
CJ Bazile Jr.	48	11	3	11	0
Christopher Boti	14	4	3	1	0
Tyren Dupree	116	8	3	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Kobe Singleton	36	0	0	12
Preston Hodge	44	3	0	7
Brylan Green	35	2	1	7

UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade McConnell	92	172	54%	1437	6	4	8.4
Gavin Hardison	73	129	57%	947	5	7	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Deion Hankins	157	812	5	5.2	54
Torrance Burgess Jr.	124	620	2	5.0	40
Mike Franklin	45	180	3	4.0	21
Ezell Jolly	15	53	0	3.5	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kelly Akharaiyi	48	1033	7	21.5	80
Jeremiah Ballard	34	551	1	16.2	50
Torrance Burgess Jr.	17	227	0	13.4	51
Tyrin Smith	19	191	1	10.1	24

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6
James Neal	67	2	1	4	2
Kobe Hylton	47	1	0	1	4
Maurice Westmoreland	34	9	8	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maurice Westmoreland	34	9	8	4	2
Praise Amaewhule	24	6	5	7	2
Kanious Vaughn	19	6	5	1	0
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
A.J. Odums (Tr)	30	1	0	0	7
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6
Torey Richardson	26	3	1	0	6