Liberty at UTEP - 2023 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at UTEP MinersUTEP logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Liberty -18.0 (54.5) (-950)  Open: -16.0 | 59.0
Liberty 42 - UTEP: 28  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 38 - 24 (42 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -20.5   (SP+ LIB -27.5)

Projected Score: LIB: 38 - UTEP: 17 (55)
LIB Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 1596 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 29 (19 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Liberty vs Bowling Green-8.548.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Liberty vs New Mexico State-9.054.5W 33 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Liberty at Buffalo-2.554.0W 55 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Liberty at Florida International-10.054.0W 38 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5 Liberty vs Sam Houston-21.046.5W 21 - 16UN
Tue 10/10 Liberty at Jacksonville State-7.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Tue 10/17 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-16.056.5W 42 - 35ON
Tue 10/24 Liberty at Western Kentucky-4.061.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Liberty vs Louisiana Tech-16.558.0W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Liberty vs Old Dominion-13.558.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Liberty vs Massachusetts-26.564.5W 49 - 25ON
Sat 11/25 Liberty at UTEP-18.054.5W 42 - 28ON
Fri 12/1 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.554.0W 49 - 35OY
Mon 1/1 Liberty vs Oregon+18.571.5L 6 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
UTEP's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 UTEP at Jacksonville State-1.554.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 UTEP vs Incarnate Word-7.557.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 UTEP at Northwestern+1.040.0L 7 - 38ON
Sat 9/16 UTEP at Arizona+18.057.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/23 UTEP vs UNLV-1.049.5L 28 - 45ON
Fri 9/29 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech+2.049.5L 10 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11 UTEP at Florida International-1.544.0W 27 - 14UY
Wed 10/18 UTEP vs New Mexico State+3.048.5L 7 - 28UN
Wed 10/25 UTEP at Sam Houston+4.038.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/4 UTEP vs Western Kentucky+9.554.5L 13 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 UTEP at Middle Tennessee+8.548.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/25 UTEP vs Liberty+18.054.5L 28 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#3 (.43)54% (3)38.356% (3)3.77 (2)28151% (8)1974.54 (20)#59 (.17)42% (73)24.347% (111)40% (49)3.63 (54)591.11.7
UTEP#80 (.17)39% (103)19.943% (62)3.05 (83)14436% (113)2183.59 (93)#109 (.25)43% (88)28.548% (122)38% (23)4.62 (127)58.81.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)38% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)40% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1438.341.654.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43
UTEP Defense1228.52943.4%4.621 - - - - - 57%43%48%38%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1424.320.642.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17
UTEP Offense1219.91939.5%3.591.5183621442183.953%46%43%36%16%.17

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
UTEP1231:2518.333%45%6.858.81.514.32126.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (4)5% (1)0.98 (81)
UTEP Defense1257% (126)48% (122) - - - - .28 (127)3.35 (113)76% (89)9% (106)1.1 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (86)10% (84)0.97 (49)
UTEP Offense1253% (42)43% (62)37.3144.33.916 (89).09 (105)3.05 (83)76% (44)9% (51)0.89 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)
UTEP Defense1243% (8)38% (23) - - - - - - 6 (120).26 (61)1.7 (104)32% (67)31% (87).48 (126)7% (50)2.3 (128)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)
UTEP Offense1246% (94)36% (113)14.827.5217.77.914.713 (111)12 (85).29 (68)1.9 (6)32% (82)29% (82).34 (65)7% (104)2.1 (37)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 6.67   UTEP: -11.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 11.8   UTEP: -15.9




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.215 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.6
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.6

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 38
UTEP 17


Total Points: 55

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 19
Defense: 28.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Liberty28UTEP10LibertyLiberty -23.5UTEP57.5Under
202311/25UTEP28Liberty42LibertyLiberty -18.0UTEP54.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP021 Overs
Liberty201 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#30) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30


Liberty has won 11 straight
Liberty has won 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good in red zone (#98)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)

Liberty Secondary is very good (#118)
Liberty defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUTEPLIB
OverallOver#46#16
OffenseOff#46#11
DefenseDef#55#42
Special TeamsST#26#33
PassingPass#95#20
RushingRush#49#4
Run BlockRBLK#11#31
Pass BlockPBLK#2#82
Route RunningWR Rt#63#19
TacklingTkl#98#32
Run DefenseR Def#93#62
Pass Rush DefPRush#4#59
Coverage DefCov#64#34

Rematch from Week 13
Liberty 18.0 (54.5)
Liberty won at UTEP this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat UTEP last year (28-10)
Liberty beat UTEP in 2023 (42-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | UTEP
Depth Chart: LIB | UTEP
Rosters: LIB | UTEP
(#123) UTEP Info
Power Rating: -11.215 #123
Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10


UTEP has lost 2 straight
UTEP has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

UTEP Highlights
UTEP has a good pass defense (#85)

UTEP Deficiencies
UTEP has a really bad Offense
UTEP has a really bad Offense at Home
UTEP offense is really bad (#115)
UTEP pass game is really bad (#112)
UTEP offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UTEP has a bad defensive line (#42)
UTEP has a bad red zone defense (#61)


  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter17729061%28763269.9
Johnathan Bennett1617%6001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)2211401166.360
Kaidon Salter1631089126.752
Billy Lucas11459765.243
Aaron Bedgood5855239.549
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels5510671019.475
Treon Sibley23467420.368
Noah Frith17323319.055
Elijah Smoot11221220.142

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyren Dupree1168362
Brandon Bishop583003
Joseph Carter552001
Quinton Reese502001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendy Charles265320
CJ Bazile Jr.48113110
Christopher Boti144310
Tyren Dupree1168362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Singleton3600012
Preston Hodge443007
Brylan Green352107

UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade McConnell9217254%1437648.4
Gavin Hardison7312957%947577.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Deion Hankins15781255.254
Torrance Burgess Jr.12462025.040
Mike Franklin4518034.021
Ezell Jolly155303.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kelly Akharaiyi481033721.580
Jeremiah Ballard34551116.250
Torrance Burgess Jr.17227013.451
Tyrin Smith19191110.124

View UTEP's Full Roster
UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrice Knight11313436
James Neal672142
Kobe Hylton471014
Maurice Westmoreland349842
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland349842
Praise Amaewhule246572
Kanious Vaughn196510
Tyrice Knight11313436
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Odums (Tr)301007
Tyrice Knight11313436
Torey Richardson263106