Liberty at UTEP Game Matchup

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Liberty -18.0 (54.5) (-950) Open: -16.0 | 59.0
Liberty 42 - UTEP: 28 (Conference USA)

Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 23 MPH
LIB is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -20.5 (SP+ LIB -27.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 37 - UTEP: 17 (53)
LIB Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 1596 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (26 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
UTEP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Liberty vs Bowling Green	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-9.0	54.5	W 33 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Liberty at Buffalo	-2.5	54.0	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Liberty at Florida International	-10.0	54.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5	Liberty vs Sam Houston	-21.0	46.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
Tue 10/10	Liberty at Jacksonville State	-7.0	59.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Tue 10/17	Liberty vs Middle Tennessee	-16.0	56.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/24	Liberty at Western Kentucky	-4.0	61.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Liberty vs Louisiana Tech	-16.5	58.0	W 56 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Liberty vs Old Dominion	-13.5	58.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-26.5	64.5	W 49 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/25	Liberty at UTEP	-18.0	54.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/1	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-10.5	54.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Liberty vs Oregon	+18.5	71.5	L 6 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

UTEP's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	UTEP at Jacksonville State	-1.5	54.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	UTEP vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	57.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UTEP at Northwestern	+1.0	40.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	UTEP at Arizona	+18.0	57.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	UTEP vs UNLV	-1.0	49.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
Fri 9/29	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11	UTEP at Florida International	-1.5	44.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Wed 10/18	UTEP vs New Mexico State	+3.0	48.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Wed 10/25	UTEP at Sam Houston	+4.0	38.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/4	UTEP vs Western Kentucky	+9.5	54.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	UTEP at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	48.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UTEP vs Liberty	+18.0	54.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	.15	41%	28.8	46%	3.22	172	38%	217	3.61	.1	36%	23.5	38%	36%	3.57	53.5	2.1	2.2
UTEP	.15	41%	19.5	44%	3.39	167	40%	219	2.9	.22	43%	32.3	43%	43%	4.03	55.8	1.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTEP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	13	28.8	28.8	41.4%	3.61	2.1	20	389	172	217	4.6	50%	48%	46%	38%	19%	.15
UTEP Defense	12	32.3	28.8	42.8%	4.03	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	43%	19%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	13	23.5	24.4	36.2%	3.57	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	36%	20%	.1
UTEP Offense	12	19.5	26.2	41.4%	2.9	1.8	21	386	167	219	4.3	51%	48%	44%	40%	15%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	13	28:37	20.4	37%	48%	6.2	53.5	2.1	2.2	8.4	3.2	1	31.3
UTEP	12	33:46	21	39%	57%	6.5	55.8	1.8	1.9	5.8	2.3	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	13	50%	46%	37.8	172.4	4.6	24	.17	3.22	68%	13%	1.05
UTEP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.12	64%	13%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.59	75%	14%	1.06
UTEP Offense	12	51%	44%	38.6	167.2	4.3	14	.17	3.39	73%	9%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	13	48%	38%	17.6	30.4	216.5	7.1	12.3	21	15	.22	1.6	31%	26%	.23	6%	2.2
UTEP Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.42	1.9	32%	34%	.42	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	13	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.19	1.7	36%	27%	.26	7%	2
UTEP Offense	12	48%	40%	16.9	31.7	218.8	6.9	12.9	15	12	.17	1.7	34%	29%	.18	7%	2.2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 6.67 UTEP: -11.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 11.8 UTEP: -15.9

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.215 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 182.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 37
UTEP 17

Projected Total Points: 53

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Liberty	28	UTEP	10	Liberty	Liberty -23.5	UTEP	57.5	Under
2023	11/25	UTEP	28	Liberty	42	Liberty	Liberty -18.0	UTEP	54.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTEP	0	2	1 Overs
Liberty	2	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#30) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30

Team Profile

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Liberty Ratings Matchup UTEP

Power #30

#123

Off #3

#77

Def #42

#116

Talent #114

#130

SP+ #21

#120

SP+ Off #9

#116

SP+ Def #51

#100

Rematch from Week 13
Liberty 18.0 (54.5)
Liberty won at UTEP this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat UTEP last year (28-10)
Liberty beat UTEP in 2023 (42-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 65° - Wind: 23 mph

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | UTEP
Depth Chart: LIB | UTEP
Rosters: LIB | UTEP

(#123) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.215 #123
Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100
Talent Rating: 182.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile

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Liberty's OC Newland Isaac

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nate Hampton	2	9	22%	40	1	1	4.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)	205	1254	13	6.1	44
Billy Lucas	123	720	5	5.9	55
Nate Hampton	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Treon Sibley	28	510	2	18.2	70
C.J. Daniels	42	480	0	11.4	34
Bentley Hanshaw	10	92	1	9.2	21
Billy Lucas	5	51	0	10.2	18

View Liberty's Full Roster

Liberty's DC Jack Curtis

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1
Kendy Charles	50	7	2	1	1
Jaylon Jimmerson	49	5	1	0	4
Aakil Washington	41	1	1	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Whitehead II	24	11	4	15	0
Kendy Charles	50	7	2	1	1
Quinton Reese	40	5	2	1	0
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Preston Hodge	32	1	0	0	6
Jaylon Jimmerson	49	5	1	0	4
Aakil Washington	41	1	1	4	3

UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Marcus Bellon	1	2	50%	44	1	0	22.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Torrance Burgess Jr.	60	367	2	6.1	57
Deion Hankins	62	272	2	4.4	47
Marcus Bellon	9	37	0	4.1	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Bellon	39	522	4	13.4	63
Kelly Akharaiyi	25	391	2	15.6	49
Marcus Vinson	12	113	2	9.4	52
Torrance Burgess Jr.	10	111	0	11.1	22

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Neal	50	2	0	1	1
Bryton Thompson	39	6	2	1	0
Trez Moore	26	3	0	2	4
Torey Richardson	23	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Bryton Thompson	39	6	2	1
Sione Tonga'Uiha	20	4	2	0
RaQuan Thompson	20	3	1	2
Tevita Tafuna	16	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Trez Moore	26	3	2	4
Torey Richardson	23	1	0	3
James Neal	50	2	1	1