Liberty at Jacksonville State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at Jacksonville State GamecocksJacksonville State logo
Tuesday, October 10th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Liberty -7 (59.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Liberty 31 - Jacksonville State: 13  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 38 - 24 (42 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
JVST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -8.5   (SP+ LIB -12.5)

Projected Score: LIB: 33 - JVST: 24 (57)
LIB Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 443 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (29 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Liberty vs Bowling Green-8.548.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Liberty vs New Mexico State-9.054.5W 33 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Liberty at Buffalo-2.554.0W 55 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Liberty at Florida International-10.054.0W 38 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5 Liberty vs Sam Houston-21.046.5W 21 - 16UN
Tue 10/10 Liberty at Jacksonville State-7.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Tue 10/17 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-16.056.5W 42 - 35ON
Tue 10/24 Liberty at Western Kentucky-4.061.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Liberty vs Louisiana Tech-16.558.0W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Liberty vs Old Dominion-13.558.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Liberty vs Massachusetts-26.564.5W 49 - 25ON
Sat 11/25 Liberty at UTEP-18.054.5W 42 - 28ON
Fri 12/1 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.554.0W 49 - 35OY
Mon 1/1 Liberty vs Oregon+18.571.5L 6 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Jacksonville State vs UTEP+1.554.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 9/2 Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State-20.055.0W 49 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina+13.561.0L 16 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan-6.551.0W 21 - 0UY
Thu 9/28 Jacksonville State at Sam Houston-6.536.5W 35 - 28OY
Wed 10/4 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee+2.552.0W 45 - 30OY
Tue 10/10 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+7.059.5L 13 - 31UN
Tue 10/17 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+7.560.5W 20 - 17UY
Wed 10/25 Jacksonville State at Florida International-9.048.0W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Jacksonville State at South Carolina+15.555.0L 28 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech-8.553.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 11/25 Jacksonville State at New Mexico State+2.048.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 12/16 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana-3.558.5W 34 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#3 (.43)54% (3)38.356% (3)3.77 (2)28151% (8)1974.54 (20)#59 (.17)42% (73)24.347% (111)40% (49)3.63 (54)591.11.7
JVST#103 (.13)42% (65)30.246% (41)3.08 (73)23738% (101)1713.77 (79)#10 (.07)36% (15)21.233% (6)39% (39)3.33 (24)43.41.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)49% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)44% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1438.341.654.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43
JVST Defense1321.213.735.9%3.331.9 - - - - - 50%48%33%39%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1424.320.642.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17
JVST Offense1330.229.342.3%3.771.6224082371714.861%38%46%38%16%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
Jacksonville State1326:4322.238%52%4.843.41.61.972.9130.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (4)5% (1)0.98 (81)
JVST Defense1350% (66)33% (6) - - - - -.06 (2)2.45 (4)71% (57)12% (28)0.85 (12)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (86)10% (84)0.97 (49)
JVST Offense1361% (8)46% (41)49.8236.74.835 (5).18 (51)3.08 (73)72% (82)9% (54)0.99 (73)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)
JVST Defense1348% (53)39% (39) - - - - - - 16 (9).27 (69)1.7 (106)35% (30)25% (12).18 (10)6% (68)2 (63)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)
JVST Offense1338% (128)38% (101)1426.91716.412.212 (113)12 (85).12 (119)1.6 (75)31% (47)30% (71).15 (119)6% (90)2 (90)

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 6.67   Jacksonville State: 0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 11.8   Jacksonville State: -0.7




Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: 0.95 #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.6
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.6

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 33
Jacksonville State 24


Total Points: 57

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Jacksonville State34Liberty24Jacksonville StateLiberty -6.0Jacksonville State50.5Over
202410/30Liberty21Jacksonville State31Jacksonville StateLiberty -2.5Jacksonville State64.0Under
202310/10Jacksonville State13Liberty31LibertyLiberty -7Liberty59.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Jacksonville State221 Overs
Liberty112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams2 - 12 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#30) Liberty Info
Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30


Liberty has won 5 straight
Liberty has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Liberty Highlights
Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#53)
Liberty offense is efficent (#55)
Liberty has a top Offensive Line (#49)
Liberty offense is good in red zone (#98)
Liberty offense is good on 3rd downs
Liberty does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#75)

Liberty Secondary is very good (#118)
Liberty defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#113)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatJVSTLIB
OverallOver#54#16
OffenseOff#62#11
DefenseDef#31#42
Special TeamsST#100#33
PassingPass#98#20
RushingRush#42#4
Run BlockRBLK#20#31
Pass BlockPBLK#25#82
Route RunningWR Rt#111#19
TacklingTkl#63#32
Run DefenseR Def#25#62
Pass Rush DefPRush#31#59
Coverage DefCov#53#34

Rematch from Week 7
Liberty 7.0 (59.5)
Liberty won at Jacksonville State this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Liberty last year (31-21)
Liberty beat Jacksonville State in 2023 (31-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | JVST
Depth Chart: LIB | JVST
Rosters: LIB | JVST
(#79) Jacksonville State Info
Power Rating: 0.95 #79
Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60


Jacksonville State has won 3 straight
Jacksonville State has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Jacksonville State Highlights
Jacksonville State has Really Good Running Game (#12)
Jacksonville State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Jacksonville State has a really good defense (#84)
Jacksonville State defense is really good in red zone (#20)
Jacksonville State has a good run defense (#84)
Jacksonville State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#59)
Jacksonville State Defensive Line is very good (#56)
Jacksonville State Front 7 is disruptive (#52)
Jacksonville State commits very few Penalties (#16)
Jacksonville State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Jacksonville State Deficiencies
Jacksonville State offense is not Explosive (#46)
Jacksonville State pass game is really bad (#129)


  
Liberty's OC Newland Isaac
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter17729061%28763269.9
Johnathan Bennett1617%6001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)2211401166.360
Kaidon Salter1631089126.752
Billy Lucas11459765.243
Aaron Bedgood5855239.549
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels5510671019.475
Treon Sibley23467420.368
Noah Frith17323319.055
Elijah Smoot11221220.142

View Liberty's Full Roster
Liberty's DC Jack Curtis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyren Dupree1168362
Brandon Bishop583003
Joseph Carter552001
Quinton Reese502001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendy Charles265320
CJ Bazile Jr.48113110
Christopher Boti144310
Tyren Dupree1168362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Singleton3600012
Preston Hodge443007
Brylan Green352107

Jacksonville State's OC Rod Smith
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zion Webb11122051%1437686.5
Logan Smothers6611756%735646.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Jackson14689776.168
Zion Webb13270875.461
Ron Wiggins9246865.137
Anwar Lewis9345234.940
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Perry Carter38687418.163
Quinton Lane31346111.230
Sean Brown19294515.558
Michael Pettway17196111.537

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster
Jacksonville State's DC Zac Alley
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quae Drake927222
Kolbi Fuqua866361
Fred Perry754075
Jeremiah Harris651003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Hardie5914841
Curley Young Jr.336530
Jaylen Swain307442
Kamari Stephens126421
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derek Carter442008
Fred Perry754075
Kekoura Tarnue532104