Liberty at Jacksonville State Game Matchup

Liberty Flames at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Tuesday, October 10th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Liberty -7 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Liberty 31 - Jacksonville State: 13 (Conference USA)

Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (29 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

JVST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -8.5 (SP+ LIB -12.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 34 - JVST: 25 (58)
LIB Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 443 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 36 - 26 (39 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
JVST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Liberty vs Bowling Green	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-9.0	54.5	W 33 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Liberty at Buffalo	-2.5	54.0	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Liberty at Florida International	-10.0	54.0	W 38 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5	Liberty vs Sam Houston	-21.0	46.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
Tue 10/10	Liberty at Jacksonville State	-7.0	59.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Tue 10/17	Liberty vs Middle Tennessee	-16.0	56.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/24	Liberty at Western Kentucky	-4.0	61.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Liberty vs Louisiana Tech	-16.5	58.0	W 56 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Liberty vs Old Dominion	-13.5	58.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-26.5	64.5	W 49 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/25	Liberty at UTEP	-18.0	54.5	W 42 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/1	Liberty vs New Mexico State	-10.5	54.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Liberty vs Oregon	+18.5	71.5	L 6 - 45	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Jacksonville State vs UTEP	+1.5	54.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State	-20.0	55.0	W 49 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina	+13.5	61.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	51.0	W 21 - 0	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Jacksonville State at Sam Houston	-6.5	36.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Wed 10/4	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	+2.5	52.0	W 45 - 30	O	Y
Tue 10/10	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+7.0	59.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 10/17	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Wed 10/25	Jacksonville State at Florida International	-9.0	48.0	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Jacksonville State at South Carolina	+15.5	55.0	L 28 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech	-8.5	53.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Jacksonville State at New Mexico State	+2.0	48.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 12/16	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana	-3.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	.15	41%	28.8	46%	3.22	172	38%	217	3.61	.1	36%	23.5	38%	36%	3.57	53.5	2.1	2.2
JVST	.32	47%	36	52%	3.32	0	42%	0	4.2	.13	38%	26.1	39%	38%	3.52	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
JVST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	13	28.8	28.8	41.4%	3.61	2.1	20	389	172	217	4.6	50%	48%	46%	38%	19%	.15
JVST Defense	1	26.1	21.3	37.9%	3.52	0	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	39%	38%	3950%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	13	23.5	24.4	36.2%	3.57	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	38%	36%	20%	.1
JVST Offense	1	36	39.1	47.2%	4.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	62%	36%	52%	42%	2047%	.32

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	13	28:37	20.4	37%	48%	6.2	53.5	2.1	2.2	8.4	3.2	1	31.3
Jacksonville State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	31.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	13	50%	46%	37.8	172.4	4.6	24	.17	3.22	68%	13%	1.05
JVST Defense	1	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	69%	3949%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	13	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.59	75%	14%	1.06
JVST Offense	1	62%	52%	0	0	0	0	.36	3.32	76%	2046%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	13	48%	38%	17.6	30.4	216.5	7.1	12.3	21	15	.22	1.6	31%	26%	.23	6%	2.2
JVST Defense	1	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.28	1.8	34%	27%	.21	1%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	13	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.19	1.7	36%	27%	.26	7%	2
JVST Offense	1	36%	42%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.35	1.9	28%	36%	.51	1%	2.2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
2023 Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 6.67 Jacksonville State: 0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 11.8 Jacksonville State: -0.7

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: 0.95 #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
2023 Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 34
Jacksonville State 25

Projected Total Points: 58

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.1
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/30	Liberty	21	Jacksonville State	31	Jacksonville State	Liberty -2.5	Jacksonville State	64.0	Under
2023	10/10	Jacksonville State	13	Liberty	31	Liberty	Liberty -7	Liberty	59.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Jacksonville State	1	1	0 Overs
Liberty	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#30) Liberty Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.67 #30
Offense Rating: 29.14 #3
Defense Rating: 7.34 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 398.00 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30

Team Profile

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Liberty Ratings Matchup Jacksonville State

Power #30

#79

Off #3

#93

Def #42

#13

Talent #114

#133

SP+ #21

#67

SP+ Off #9

#77

SP+ Def #51

#51

Rematch from Week 7
Liberty 7.0 (59.5)
Liberty won at Jacksonville State this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Liberty last year (31-21)
Liberty beat Jacksonville State in 2023 (31-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: LIB | JVST
Depth Chart: LIB | JVST
Rosters: LIB | JVST

(#79) Jacksonville State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.95 #79
Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51
Talent Rating: 54.00 #133
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Liberty's OC Newland Isaac

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nate Hampton	2	9	22%	40	1	1	4.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)	205	1254	13	6.1	44
Billy Lucas	123	720	5	5.9	55
Nate Hampton	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Treon Sibley	28	510	2	18.2	70
C.J. Daniels	42	480	0	11.4	34
Bentley Hanshaw	10	92	1	9.2	21
Billy Lucas	5	51	0	10.2	18

View Liberty's Full Roster

Liberty's DC Jack Curtis

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1
Kendy Charles	50	7	2	1	1
Jaylon Jimmerson	49	5	1	0	4
Aakil Washington	41	1	1	4	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Whitehead II	24	11	4	15	0
Kendy Charles	50	7	2	1	1
Quinton Reese	40	5	2	1	0
Jerome Jolly Jr.	55	5	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Preston Hodge	32	1	0	0	6
Jaylon Jimmerson	49	5	1	0	4
Aakil Washington	41	1	1	4	3

Jacksonville State's OC Rod Smith

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Logan Smothers	11	19	58%	123	0	0	6.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
J'Wan Evans	52	310	2	6.0	60
Logan Smothers	22	175	3	8.0	72
Ron Wiggins	6	29	0	4.8	15
Cole Fuller	1	1	1	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sterling Galban	25	210	0	8.4	21
Sean Brown	11	181	3	16.5	56
P.J. Wells	12	72	0	6.0	15
J'Wan Evans	5	33	0	6.6	16

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

Jacksonville State's DC Zac Alley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Larry Worth	53	2	1	0	2
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Jaylen Swain	44	11	4	2	0
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2
Chris Hardie	6	4	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laletia Hale	80	8	4	2	3
Larry Worth	53	2	1	0	2
Curley Young Jr.	50	4	3	2	2