Liberty at Florida International - 2023 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo   Liberty Flames at Florida International Golden Panthers  Florida International logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (6:30 PM EDT)
Liberty -10 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Liberty 38 - Florida International: 6  (Conference USA)

 
Flames (13 - 1) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jamey Chadwell (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 3.3 (#7)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LIB 2nd straight Road Game
FIU is playing their 4th straight game
LIB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Liberty -21.5  (SP+ LIB -32.5)
Projected Score: LIB: 38 - FIU: 16 (54)
LIB Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
LIB Travel: 805 miles
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (7 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Liberty vs Bowling Green-8.548.5W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/9 Liberty vs New Mexico State-9.054.5W 33 - 17UY
Sat 9/16 Liberty at Buffalo-2.554.0W 55 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Liberty at Florida International-10.054.0W 38 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5 Liberty vs Sam Houston-21.046.5W 21 - 16UN
Tue 10/10 Liberty at Jacksonville State-7.059.5W 31 - 13UY
Tue 10/17 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-16.056.5W 42 - 35ON
Tue 10/24 Liberty at Western Kentucky-4.061.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Liberty vs Louisiana Tech-16.558.0W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Liberty vs Old Dominion-13.558.5W 38 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Liberty vs Massachusetts-26.564.5W 49 - 25ON
Sat 11/25 Liberty at UTEP-18.054.5W 42 - 28ON
Fri 12/1 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.554.0W 49 - 35OY
Mon 1/1 Liberty vs Oregon+18.571.5L 6 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Florida International's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Florida International at Louisiana Tech+12.057.5L 17 - 22UY
Sat 9/2 Florida International vs Maine-15.046.0W 14 - 12UN
Sat 9/9 Florida International vs North Texas+10.551.5W 46 - 39OY
Sat 9/16 Florida International at UConn+7.043.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 Florida International vs Liberty+10.054.0L 6 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 Florida International at New Mexico State+6.549.5L 17 - 34ON
Wed 10/11 Florida International vs UTEP+1.544.0L 14 - 27UN
Wed 10/18 Florida International at Sam Houston+6.042.0W 33 - 27OY
Wed 10/25 Florida International vs Jacksonville State+9.048.0L 16 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+10.550.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 11/18 Florida International at Arkansas+27.549.5L 20 - 44OY
Sat 11/25 Florida International vs Western Kentucky+11.554.0L 28 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.1541%25.646%3.2217238%2173.61.136%26.538%36%3.5753.52.12.2
FIU.139%28.540%2.8610439%2193.06.2847%3049%46%4.1653.31.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1325.619.741.4%3.612.1203891722174.650%48%46%38%19%.15
FIU Defense12302847.4%4.161.6 - - - - - 51%49%49%46%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1326.525.736.2%3.572.2 - - - - - 51%47%38%36%20%.1
FIU Offense1228.530.538.7%3.061.7183231042193.539%59%40%39%18%.1

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1328:3720.437%48%6.253.52.12.28.43.2131.3
Florida International1227:091829%46%6.253.31.71.65.41.8128.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1350%46%37.8172.44.624.173.2268%13%1.05
FIU Defense1251%49% - - - - .253.2576%9%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1351%38% - - - - .082.5975%14%1.06
FIU Offense1239%40%29.7104.23.511.132.8669%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1348%38%17.630.4216.57.112.32115.221.631%26%.236%2.2
FIU Defense1249%46% - - - - - - 7.371.630%36%.545%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1347%36% - - - - - - 14.191.736%27%.267%2
FIU Offense1259%39%22.639218.85.69.71616.151.537%29%.229%2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 6.67  #30
Liberty's Offense Rating: 29.14  #3
Liberty's Defense Rating: 7.34  #42
2023 Talent Rating: 330.29  #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: 10.70 - 3.30
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8  #21
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4  #9
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8  #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 6.67   Florida International: -12.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 11.8   Florida International: -20.9




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -12.385  #114
Florida International's Offense Rating: 11.13  #117
Florida International's Defense Rating: 10.84  #84
2023 Talent Rating: 487.50  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Florida International's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Florida International's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9  #127
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2  #120
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5  #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 38
Florida International 16

Projected Total Points: 54
Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Florida International's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Florida International34Liberty27Liberty -2.5Florida International51.5Over
202410/08Liberty31Florida International24Liberty -15.5Florida International56.0Under
202309/23Florida International6Liberty38Liberty -10Liberty54.0Under
202009/26Liberty36Florida International34Liberty -10Florida International61.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International132 Overs
Liberty312 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 30 - 21 - 1
Road Teams1 - 33 - 11 - 12 - 0

(#30) LIB at (#114) FIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBFIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #30 #114
SP+SP+ #21 #127
Perf GradeGrade #21 #122
OffenseOff #12 #118
DefenseDef #50 #103
Spec TeamsST #38 #84
TalentTal #127 #91
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffFIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #103
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #3 #84
SP+SP+ #9 #119
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #4 #101
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #38 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #22 #76
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #95 #99
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida International on Offense
CategoryCatFIU OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #118 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #117 #42
SP+SP+ #120 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida International Run Game
CategoryCat
FIU OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #119 #71
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #126 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #36
Florida International Pass Game
CategoryCatFIU OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #111 #40
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #114 #76
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 82° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.008
Rematch from Week 4
Liberty 10.0 (54.0)
Liberty won at Florida International this year (38-6)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Liberty last year (34-27)
Liberty beat Florida International in 2024 (31-24)
Liberty beat Florida International in 2023 (38-6)

  
LIB's OC Newland Isaac (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter17729061%28763269.9
Johnathan Bennett1617%6001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley (Tr)2211401166.360
Kaidon Salter1631089126.752
Billy Lucas11459765.243
Aaron Bedgood5855239.549
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels5510671019.475
Treon Sibley23467420.368
Noah Frith17323319.055
Elijah Smoot11221220.142

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Jack Curtis (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyren Dupree1168362
Brandon Bishop583003
Joseph Carter552001
Quinton Reese502001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendy Charles265320
CJ Bazile Jr.48113110
Christopher Boti144310
Tyren Dupree1168362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kobe Singleton3600012
Preston Hodge443007
Brylan Green352107

FIU's OC David Yost (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins19433258%242211117.3
Grayson James193751%218115.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)12556644.567
Kejon Owens8045355.747
Keyone Jenkins1175060.423
Antonio Patterson143312.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Mitchell641118717.580
Dean Patterson28423115.140
Eric Rivers (Tr)32343210.748
Jalen Bracey31316110.245

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Manuel9812012
Reggie Peterson897310
D'Verick Daniel572001
Jamal Potts535102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Nobles358350
Reggie Peterson897310
Jeramy Passmore234220
Jack Daly203231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hezekiah Masses330004
Donovan Manuel9812012
Jamal Potts535102