Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
Sam Houston logo Sam Houston Bearkats at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:00 PM EST)
Louisiana Tech -8.5 (49.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Sam Houston 42 - Louisiana Tech: 27  (Conference USA)

 
Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 20 - 26 (17 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SHSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -3.5  (SP+ LT -1)

Projected Score: SHSU: 24 - LT: 27 (51)
LT Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
SHSU Travel: 211 miles
Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (32 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Sam Houston at BYU+19.046.5L 0 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 Sam Houston vs Air Force+13.536.5L 3 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Sam Houston at Houston+11.537.0L 7 - 38ON
Thu 9/28 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State+6.536.5L 28 - 35ON
Thu 10/5 Sam Houston at Liberty+21.046.5L 16 - 21UY
Wed 10/11 Sam Houston at New Mexico State+4.543.0L 13 - 27UN
Wed 10/18 Sam Houston vs Florida International-6.042.0L 27 - 33ON
Wed 10/25 Sam Houston vs UTEP-4.038.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/4 Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 24 - 21ON
Sat 11/11 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+8.549.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/18 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+12.552.0L 23 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee+3.549.5W 23 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-12.057.5W 22 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 Louisiana Tech at SMU+21.066.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State-23.058.5W 51 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Louisiana Tech vs North Texas-4.566.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Louisiana Tech at Nebraska+20.544.5L 14 - 28UY
Fri 9/29 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-2.049.5W 24 - 10UY
Thu 10/5 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+6.059.0L 28 - 35ON
Tue 10/10 Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee+3.053.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-3.055.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Louisiana Tech at Liberty+16.558.0L 30 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-8.549.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State+8.553.5L 17 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#115 (.1)37% (118)2034% (130)2.61 (131)8940% (84)2223.47 (97)#69 (.18)41% (58)26.241% (55)42% (75)3.77 (64)42.21.31.7
LT#91 (.15)42% (64)25.943% (66)2.74 (122)12542% (63)2613.91 (67)#111 (.25)43% (78)33.448% (117)36% (15)4.63 (128)62.81.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)41% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)47% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense122016.836.9%3.471.318311892222.943%55%34%40%15%.1
LT Defense1233.430.342.8%4.630.8 - - - - - 58%41%48%36%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Defense1226.225.841.3%3.771.7 - - - - - 53%47%41%42%14%.18
LT Offense1225.931.542.3%3.911.5203841252613.945%54%43%42%18%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Sam Houston1229:4118.336%59%5.142.21.31.74.31.4228
Louisiana Tech1229:4420.130%50%6.862.81.50.85.51.3329.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense1243% (110)34% (130)30.789.12.913 (108)-.02 (129)2.61 (131)83% (7)9% (56)0.81 (130)
LT Defense1258% (132)48% (117) - - - - .29 (129)3.29 (109)84% (121)10% (83)1.15 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense1253% (104)41% (55) - - - - .16 (80)3.2 (92)79% (104)8% (119)1.02 (82)
LT Offense1245% (102)43% (66)31.8124.63.920 (61).11 (90)2.74 (122)74% (73)12% (107)0.97 (88)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense1255% (25)40% (84)23.537.3222.369.515 (96)12 (85).24 (81)1.4 (127)34% (105)24% (124).17 (112)6% (55)1.9 (119)
LT Defense1241% (2)36% (15) - - - - - - 5 (126).23 (43)1.9 (132)32% (71)31% (83).36 (94)6% (79)2.3 (125)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense1247% (32)42% (75) - - - - - - 13 (26).23 (49)1.5 (24)31% (79)27% (25).26 (41)6% (87)2.1 (88)
LT Offense1254% (32)42% (63)22.435.2260.97.411.616 (92)11 (68).23 (87)1.6 (78)32% (70)25% (113).22 (103)6% (76)2.3 (13)

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -9.92  #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59  #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82  #57
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5  #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2  #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -9.92   Louisiana Tech: -8.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -13.5   Louisiana Tech: -12.5




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.065  #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14  #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18  #112
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5  #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9  #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 27
Sam Houston 24


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana Tech 27
Sam Houston 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana Tech 27
Sam Houston 25

Total Points: 52
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/31Louisiana Tech55Sam Houston14Louisiana Tech -16.5Louisiana Tech48.0Over
202410/29Sam Houston9Louisiana Tech3Sam Houston -10.5Louisiana Tech45.5Under
202311/11Louisiana Tech27Sam Houston42Louisiana Tech -8.5Sam Houston49.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech122 Overs
Sam Houston211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 22 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#118) SHSU at (#113) LT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSHSULT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #118 #113
SP+SP+ #112 #110
Perf GradeGrade #103 #104
OffenseOff #121 #89
DefenseDef #28 #116
Spec TeamsST #129 #76
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Sam Houston on Offense
CategoryCat
SHSU OffLT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #121 #116
SuccessSuc #118 #78
ExplosiveExp #120 #118
PPAPPA #115 #111
PowerPwr #113 #112
SP+SP+ #120 #122
Pts POPPO #97 #128
HavocHav #56 #86
Sam Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
SHSU OffLT Def
Run GameRun #136 #128
Run SuccessRSuc #130 #117
Run ExplRExp #130 #119
PPAExp #129 #129
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLY #131 #109
Stuff RateStuff #55 #85
TackleTak -  #67
Sam Houston Pass Game
CategoryCat
SHSU OffLT Def
Pass GamePass #67 #46
Pass SuccessPSuc #84 #15
Pass ExplPExl #127 #132
PPAExp #81 #43
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #90 #103
F7 HavocF7 #56 #83
DB HavocDB #55 #79
Louisiana Tech on Offense
CategoryCatLT OffSHSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #89 #28
SuccessSuc #64 #58
ExplosiveExp #69 #39
PPAPPA #91 #69
PowerPwr #80 #57
SP+SP+ #87 #82
Pts POPPO #67 #64
HavocHav #100 #117
Louisiana Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
LT OffSHSU Def
Run GameRun #98 #73
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #55
Run ExplRExp #88 #82
PPAExp #90 #80
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLY #122 #92
Stuff RateStuff #108 #112
TackleTak -  #13
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatLT OffSHSU Def
Pass GamePass #49 #8
Pass SuccessPSuc #63 #75
Pass ExplPExl #78 #24
PPAExp #87 #49
Pass Block/RushP Blk #81 #107
F7 HavocF7 #107 #119
DB HavocDB #76 #87
Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 61° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Louisiana Tech -8.5 (49.5)
Sam Houston won at Louisiana Tech this year (42-27)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Louisiana Tech last year (9-3)
Sam Houston beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (42-27)

  
SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keegan Shoemaker26441963%250415116.0
Grant Gunnell142264%100014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
John Gentry (Tr)11939433.328
Keegan Shoemaker9325412.729
Adrian Murdaugh2611724.548
Noah Smith2710623.925
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Smith7978269.942
Malik Phillips35430112.341
Al'Vonte Woodard31339210.926
John Gentry (Tr)3526127.556

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Clayton Carlin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trevor Williams1148240
Kavian Gaither625101
Caleb Weaver421004
Da'Marcus Crosby421003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Nixon236511
Chris Scott154300
Trevor Williams1148240
Markel Perry305230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Da'Veawn Armstead90005
Dakerric Hobbs281005
Caleb Weaver421004

LT's OC Jake Brown (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)18226968%20581057.7
Jack Turner8414757%1017556.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyre Shelton (Tr)9755155.756
Keith Willis5128875.668
Charvis Thornton5527014.947
Keldric Moody3414904.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Smoke Harris8379649.664
Cyrus Allen46778416.985
Kyle Maxwell20363218.247
Tru Edwards23284212.336

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Scott Power (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeslord Boateng (Tr)939101
Myles Heard (Tr)886034
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Cecil Singleton741001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshon Hall305410
Rason Williams II235320
Jessie Evans327301
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willie Roberts3810012
Michael Richard Jr.322027
Jhamal Shelby Jr.91004