Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech Game Matchup

Sam Houston Bearkats at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (3:00 PM EST)
Louisiana Tech -8.5 (49.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Sam Houston 42 - Louisiana Tech: 27 (Conference USA)

Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (25 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SHSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -3.5 (SP+ LT -1)
Projected Score: SHSU: 22 - LT: 26 (43)
LT Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
SHSU Travel: 211 miles

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SHSU Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Sam Houston at BYU	+19.0	46.5	L 0 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Sam Houston vs Air Force	+13.5	36.5	L 3 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Sam Houston at Houston	+11.5	37.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Thu 9/28	Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State	+6.5	36.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Thu 10/5	Sam Houston at Liberty	+21.0	46.5	L 16 - 21	U	Y
Wed 10/11	Sam Houston at New Mexico State	+4.5	43.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Wed 10/18	Sam Houston vs Florida International	-6.0	42.0	L 27 - 33	O	N
Wed 10/25	Sam Houston vs UTEP	-4.0	38.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/4	Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 24 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/11	Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech	+8.5	49.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Sam Houston at Western Kentucky	+12.5	52.0	L 23 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee	+3.5	49.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-12.0	57.5	W 22 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	Louisiana Tech at SMU	+21.0	66.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State	-23.0	58.5	W 51 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-4.5	66.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Louisiana Tech at Nebraska	+20.5	44.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-2.0	49.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	+6.0	59.0	L 28 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/10	Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee	+3.0	53.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24	Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State	-3.0	55.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Louisiana Tech at Liberty	+16.5	58.0	L 30 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston	-8.5	49.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State	+8.5	53.5	L 17 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU		35%	23.8	41%	2.69	0	30%	0	2.55	.06	35%	20.5	36%	35%	2.98	0	0	0
LT	.14	39%	20.9	40%	2.78	125	39%	267	3.34	.27	43%	21	46%	40%	4.14	63.9	2.1	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SHSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Offense	1	23.8	24.6	35.3%	2.55	0	0	0	0	0	0	49%	51%	41%	30%	1398%
LT Defense	12	21	19.2	42.6%	4.14	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	40%	14%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SHSU Defense	1	20.5	23.6	35%	2.98	0	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	36%	35%	2884%	.06
LT Offense	12	20.9	29.5	38.9%	3.34	2.1	19	393	125	267	3.8	44%	55%	40%	39%	21%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Sam Houston	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	30.1
Louisiana Tech	12	30:05	19.4	37%	45%	6.8	63.9	2.1	2.5	4.6	1.3	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense	1	49%	41%	0	0	0	0	.08	2.69	71%	1396%	1.06
LT Defense	12	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.33	3.36	81%	9%	1.25

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SHSU Defense	1	45%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.36	70%	2882%	0.91
LT Offense	12	44%	40%	33.3	125.4	3.8	14	.11	2.78	58%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense	1	51%	30%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-.07	1.6	36%	28%	.26	2%	2.2
LT Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.24	1.7	34%	34%	.4	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SHSU Defense	1	54%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.18	1.7	37%	25%	.22	2%	2.1
LT Offense	12	55%	39%	21.2	36.2	267.3	7.4	12.6	25	19	.25	1.8	32%	28%	.18	10%	2.1

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -9.92 #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
2023 Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -9.92 Louisiana Tech: -8.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -13.5 Louisiana Tech: -12.5

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
2023 Talent Rating: 488.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 26
Sam Houston 22

Projected Total Points: 43

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/29	Sam Houston	9	Louisiana Tech	3	Sam Houston	Sam Houston -10.5	Louisiana Tech	45.5	Under
2023	11/11	Louisiana Tech	27	Sam Houston	42	Sam Houston	Louisiana Tech -8.5	Sam Houston	49.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	0	1	1 Overs
Sam Houston	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#118) Sam Houston Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.92 #118
Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 202.00 #129
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40

Team Profile

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Sam Houston Ratings Matchup Louisiana Tech

Power #118

#113

Off #113

#80

Def #57

#112

Talent #129

#95

SP+ #112

#110

SP+ Off #120

#87

SP+ Def #82

#122

Rematch from Week 11
Louisiana Tech -8.5 (49.5)
Sam Houston won at Louisiana Tech this year (42-27)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Louisiana Tech last year (9-3)
Sam Houston beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (42-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 61° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: SHSU | LT
Depth Chart: SHSU | LT
Rosters: SHSU | LT

(#113) Louisiana Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122
Talent Rating: 488.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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Sam Houston's OC Brad Cornelsen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Xavier Ward (Tr)	1	3	33%	16	0	1	5.3
Noah Smith	1	2	50%	64	1	0	32.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ife Adeyi	9	76	1	8.4	28
John Gentry (Tr)	26	75	1	2.9	16
Noah Smith	11	75	0	6.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Smith	35	285	0	8.1	22
Ife Adeyi	26	238	1	9.2	32
Elijah Sohn	13	107	0	8.2	22
John Gentry (Tr)	6	16	1	2.7	8

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

Sam Houston's DC Clayton Carlin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kavian Gaither	84	8	0	5	2
Da'Marcus Crosby	81	2	0	0	3
Dakerric Hobbs	36	3	0	1	6
Jevon Leon	30	2	1	6	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Nixon	19	6	4	5	0
Seth Mason	5	1	1	3	1
Jevon Leon	30	2	1	6	0
Kavian Gaither	84	8	0	5	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Dakerric Hobbs	36	3	1	6
Da'Marcus Crosby	81	2	0	3
Kavian Gaither	84	8	5	2

Louisiana Tech's OC Jake Brown

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	224	357	63%	2593	16	10	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	96	141	1	1.5	20
Solomon Lewis	3	11	0	3.7	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cyrus Allen	18	269	1	14.9	73
Solomon Lewis	16	220	3	13.8	48
Kyle Maxwell	1	4	0	4.0	4
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	1	1	0	1.0	5

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

Louisiana Tech's DC Scott Power

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Zimos (Tr)	84	6	1	5	1
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	0	0	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Isaiah McElvane (Tr)	46	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jessie Evans	40	6	3	4	0
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Mykol Clark	23	3	1	2	2
Zach Zimos (Tr)	84	6	1	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	0	0	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Mykol Clark	23	3	1	2	2