Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Jacksonville State -8.5 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Jacksonville State 56 - Louisiana Tech: 17 (Conference USA)

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (19 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

JVST coming off BYE
LT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -11.5 (SP+ JVST -12)
Projected Score: LT: 20 - JVST: 32 (52)
JVST Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
LT Travel: 408 miles

Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (34 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LT Players
JVST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-12.0	57.5	W 22 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	Louisiana Tech at SMU	+21.0	66.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State	-23.0	58.5	W 51 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-4.5	66.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Louisiana Tech at Nebraska	+20.5	44.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-2.0	49.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	+6.0	59.0	L 28 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/10	Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee	+3.0	53.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24	Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State	-3.0	55.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Louisiana Tech at Liberty	+16.5	58.0	L 30 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston	-8.5	49.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State	+8.5	53.5	L 17 - 56	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Jacksonville State vs UTEP	+1.5	54.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State	-20.0	55.0	W 49 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina	+13.5	61.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	51.0	W 21 - 0	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Jacksonville State at Sam Houston	-6.5	36.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Wed 10/4	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	+2.5	52.0	W 45 - 30	O	Y
Tue 10/10	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+7.0	59.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 10/17	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Wed 10/25	Jacksonville State at Florida International	-9.0	48.0	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Jacksonville State at South Carolina	+15.5	55.0	L 28 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech	-8.5	53.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Jacksonville State at New Mexico State	+2.0	48.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 12/16	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana	-3.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	.14	39%	27.3	40%	2.78	125	39%	267	3.34	.27	43%	20.8	46%	40%	4.14	63.9	2.1	2.5
JVST	.32	47%	28.1	52%	3.32	0	42%	0	4.2	.13	38%	25.2	39%	38%	3.52	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
JVST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Offense	12	27.3	18.8	38.9%	3.34	2.1	19	393	125	267	3.8	44%	55%	40%	39%	21%	.14
JVST Defense	1	25.2	23	37.9%	3.52	0	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	39%	38%	3950%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Defense	12	20.8	25.3	42.6%	4.14	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	40%	14%	.27
JVST Offense	1	28.1	34	47.2%	4.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	62%	36%	52%	42%	2047%	.32

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech	12	30:05	19.4	37%	45%	6.8	63.9	2.1	2.5	4.6	1.3	2	29.2
Jacksonville State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	31.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Offense	12	44%	40%	33.3	125.4	3.8	14	.11	2.78	58%	11%	1.03
JVST Defense	1	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	69%	3949%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Defense	12	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.33	3.36	81%	9%	1.25
JVST Offense	1	62%	52%	0	0	0	0	.36	3.32	76%	2046%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Offense	12	55%	39%	21.2	36.2	267.3	7.4	12.6	25	19	.25	1.8	32%	28%	.18	10%	2.1
JVST Defense	1	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.28	1.8	34%	27%	.21	1%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.24	1.7	34%	34%	.4	6%	2.1
JVST Offense	1	36%	42%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.35	1.9	28%	36%	.51	1%	2.2

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.63 #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
2023 Talent Rating: 433.72 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -8.63 Jacksonville State: 0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -12.5 Jacksonville State: -0.7

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: 0.95 #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
2023 Talent Rating: 227.27 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Jacksonville State 32
Louisiana Tech 20

Projected Total Points: 52

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 23

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Louisiana Tech	37	Jacksonville State	44	Jacksonville State -10.0	Louisiana Tech	55.5	Over
2023	11/18	Jacksonville State	56	Louisiana Tech	17	Jacksonville State -8.5	Jacksonville State	53.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Jacksonville State	2	1	2 Overs
Louisiana Tech	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#113) LT at (#79) JVST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LT	JVST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#113	#79
SP+SP+	#110	#67
Perf GradeGrade	#104	#68
OffenseOff	#89	#68
DefenseDef	#116	#37
Spec TeamsST	#76	#124
TalentTal	#105	#134
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Louisiana Tech Injury Report

Jacksonville State Injury Report

Louisiana Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	LT Off	JVST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	#37
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#80	#13
SP+SP+	#87	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	JVST Def
Run GameRun	#98	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#73

Louisiana Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	JVST Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#81	#36
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Jacksonville State on Offense


CategoryCat	JVST Off	LT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#116
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#93	#112
SP+SP+	#77	#122
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Jacksonville State Run Game


CategoryCat	JVST Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#59	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#67

Jacksonville State Pass Game


CategoryCat	JVST Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#46
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#27	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Jacksonville State -8.5 (53.5)
Jacksonville State won vs Louisiana Tech this year (56-17)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Louisiana Tech in 2024 (44-37)
Jacksonville State beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (56-17)

LT's OC Jake Brown (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	182	269	68%	2058	10	5	7.7
Jack Turner	84	147	57%	1017	5	5	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyre Shelton (Tr)	97	551	5	5.7	56
Keith Willis	51	288	7	5.6	68
Charvis Thornton	55	270	1	4.9	47
Keldric Moody	34	149	0	4.4	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Smoke Harris	83	796	4	9.6	64
Cyrus Allen	46	778	4	16.9	85
Kyle Maxwell	20	363	2	18.2	47
Tru Edwards	23	284	2	12.3	36

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Scott Power (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeslord Boateng (Tr)	93	9	1	0	1
Myles Heard (Tr)	88	6	0	3	4
Brevin Randle (Tr)	74	9	2	1	2
Cecil Singleton	74	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deshon Hall	30	5	4	1	0
Rason Williams II	23	5	3	2	0
Jessie Evans	32	7	3	0	1
Brevin Randle (Tr)	74	9	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Willie Roberts	38	1	0	12
Michael Richard Jr.	32	2	2	7
Jhamal Shelby Jr.	9	1	0	4

JVST's OC Rod Smith (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zion Webb	111	220	51%	1437	6	8	6.5
Logan Smothers	66	117	56%	735	6	4	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malik Jackson	146	897	7	6.1	68
Zion Webb	132	708	7	5.4	61
Ron Wiggins	92	468	6	5.1	37
Anwar Lewis	93	452	3	4.9	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Perry Carter	38	687	4	18.1	63
Quinton Lane	31	346	1	11.2	30
Sean Brown	19	294	5	15.5	58
Michael Pettway	17	196	1	11.5	37

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quae Drake	92	7	2	2	2
Kolbi Fuqua	86	6	3	6	1
Fred Perry	75	4	0	7	5
Jeremiah Harris	65	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Hardie	59	14	8	4	1
Curley Young Jr.	33	6	5	3	0
Jaylen Swain	30	7	4	4	2
Kamari Stephens	12	6	4	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Derek Carter	44	2	0	0	8
Fred Perry	75	4	0	7	5
Kekoura Tarnue	53	2	1	0	4