Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Louisiana Tech logo Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Jacksonville State GamecocksJacksonville State logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (2:00 PM EST)
Jacksonville State -8.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Jacksonville State 56 - Louisiana Tech: 17  (Conference USA)

 
Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (20 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
JVST coming off BYE
LT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -11.5  (SP+ JVST -12)

Projected Score: LT: 21 - JVST: 33 (54)
JVST Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
LT Travel: 408 miles
Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (29 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-12.057.5W 22 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 Louisiana Tech at SMU+21.066.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State-23.058.5W 51 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Louisiana Tech vs North Texas-4.566.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Louisiana Tech at Nebraska+20.544.5L 14 - 28UY
Fri 9/29 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-2.049.5W 24 - 10UY
Thu 10/5 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+6.059.0L 28 - 35ON
Tue 10/10 Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee+3.053.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-3.055.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Louisiana Tech at Liberty+16.558.0L 30 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-8.549.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State+8.553.5L 17 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Jacksonville State vs UTEP+1.554.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 9/2 Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State-20.055.0W 49 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina+13.561.0L 16 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan-6.551.0W 21 - 0UY
Thu 9/28 Jacksonville State at Sam Houston-6.536.5W 35 - 28OY
Wed 10/4 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee+2.552.0W 45 - 30OY
Tue 10/10 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+7.059.5L 13 - 31UN
Tue 10/17 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+7.560.5W 20 - 17UY
Wed 10/25 Jacksonville State at Florida International-9.048.0W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Jacksonville State at South Carolina+15.555.0L 28 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech-8.553.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 11/25 Jacksonville State at New Mexico State+2.048.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 12/16 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana-3.558.5W 34 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#91 (.15)42% (64)25.943% (66)2.74 (122)12542% (63)2613.91 (67)#111 (.25)43% (78)33.448% (117)36% (15)4.63 (128)62.81.50.8
JVST#103 (.13)42% (65)30.246% (41)3.08 (73)23738% (101)1713.77 (79)#10 (.07)36% (15)21.233% (6)39% (39)3.33 (24)43.41.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LT#130 (.02)37% (119)37% (122)2.62 (125)10938% (111)2113.09 (124)#26 (.1)37% (13)39% (36)35% (11)3.72 (61)46.71.51.2
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)49% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)44% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Offense1225.920.342.3%3.911.5203841252613.945%54%43%42%18%.15
JVST Defense1321.213.735.9%3.331.9 - - - - - 50%48%33%39%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LT Defense1233.436.542.8%4.630.8 - - - - - 58%41%48%36%15%.25
JVST Offense1330.229.342.3%3.771.6224082371714.861%38%46%38%16%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech1229:4420.130%50%6.862.81.50.85.51.3329.3
Jacksonville State1326:4322.238%52%4.843.41.61.972.9130.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Offense1245% (102)43% (66)31.8124.63.920 (61).11 (90)2.74 (122)74% (73)12% (107)0.97 (88)
JVST Defense1350% (66)33% (6) - - - - -.06 (2)2.45 (4)71% (57)12% (28)0.85 (12)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LT Defense1258% (132)48% (117) - - - - .29 (129)3.29 (109)84% (121)10% (83)1.15 (119)
JVST Offense1361% (8)46% (41)49.8236.74.835 (5).18 (51)3.08 (73)72% (82)9% (54)0.99 (73)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Offense1254% (32)42% (63)22.435.2260.97.411.616 (92)11 (68).23 (87)1.6 (78)32% (70)25% (113).22 (103)6% (76)2.3 (13)
JVST Defense1348% (53)39% (39) - - - - - - 16 (9).27 (69)1.7 (106)35% (30)25% (12).18 (10)6% (68)2 (63)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LT Defense1241% (2)36% (15) - - - - - - 5 (126).23 (43)1.9 (132)32% (71)31% (83).36 (94)6% (79)2.3 (125)
JVST Offense1338% (128)38% (101)1426.91716.412.212 (113)12 (85).12 (119)1.6 (75)31% (47)30% (71).15 (119)6% (90)2 (90)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.63  #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14  #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18  #112
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5  #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9  #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -8.63   Jacksonville State: 0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -12.5   Jacksonville State: -0.7




Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: 0.95  #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61  #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52  #13
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8  #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Jacksonville State 33
Louisiana Tech 21


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Jacksonville State 31
Louisiana Tech 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Jacksonville State 32
Louisiana Tech 21

Total Points: 53
Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Louisiana Tech37Jacksonville State44Jacksonville State -10.0Louisiana Tech55.5Over
202311/18Jacksonville State56Louisiana Tech17Jacksonville State -8.5Jacksonville State53.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Jacksonville State212 Overs
Louisiana Tech010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#113) LT at (#79) JVST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLTJVST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #113 #79
SP+SP+ #110 #67
Perf GradeGrade #104 #68
OffenseOff #89 #68
DefenseDef #116 #37
Spec TeamsST #76 #124
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Louisiana Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
LT OffJVST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #89 #37
SuccessSuc #64 #15
ExplosiveExp #69 #80
PPAPPA #91 #10
PowerPwr #80 #13
SP+SP+ #87 #51
Pts POPPO #67 #24
HavocHav #100 #37
Louisiana Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
LT OffJVST Def
Run GameRun #98 #29
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #6
Run ExplRExp #88 #12
PPAExp #90 #2
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLY #122 #4
Stuff RateStuff #108 #13
TackleTak -  #73
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
LT OffJVST Def
Pass GamePass #49 #67
Pass SuccessPSuc #63 #39
Pass ExplPExl #78 #106
PPAExp #87 #69
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #36
F7 HavocF7 #107 #28
DB HavocDB #76 #68
Jacksonville State on Offense
CategoryCatJVST OffLT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #68 #116
SuccessSuc #65 #78
ExplosiveExp #117 #118
PPAPPA #103 #111
PowerPwr #93 #112
SP+SP+ #77 #122
Pts POPPO #79 #128
HavocHav #66 #86
Jacksonville State Run Game
CategoryCat
JVST OffLT Def
Run GameRun #59 #128
Run SuccessRSuc #41 #117
Run ExplRExp #73 #119
PPAExp #51 #129
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLY #73 #109
Stuff RateStuff #75 #85
TackleTak -  #67
Jacksonville State Pass Game
CategoryCatJVST OffLT Def
Pass GamePass #116 #46
Pass SuccessPSuc #101 #15
Pass ExplPExl #75 #132
PPAExp #119 #43
Pass Block/RushP Blk #27 #103
F7 HavocF7 #54 #83
DB HavocDB #90 #79
Program Comparison
JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in JSU Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 69° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 12
Jacksonville State -8.5 (53.5)
Jacksonville State won vs Louisiana Tech this year (56-17)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Louisiana Tech last year (44-37)
Jacksonville State beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (56-17)

  
LT's OC Jake Brown (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)18226968%20581057.7
Jack Turner8414757%1017556.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyre Shelton (Tr)9755155.756
Keith Willis5128875.668
Charvis Thornton5527014.947
Keldric Moody3414904.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Smoke Harris8379649.664
Cyrus Allen46778416.985
Kyle Maxwell20363218.247
Tru Edwards23284212.336

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Scott Power (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeslord Boateng (Tr)939101
Myles Heard (Tr)886034
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Cecil Singleton741001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshon Hall305410
Rason Williams II235320
Jessie Evans327301
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willie Roberts3810012
Michael Richard Jr.322027
Jhamal Shelby Jr.91004

JVST's OC Rod Smith (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zion Webb11122051%1437686.5
Logan Smothers6611756%735646.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Jackson14689776.168
Zion Webb13270875.461
Ron Wiggins9246865.137
Anwar Lewis9345234.940
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Perry Carter38687418.163
Quinton Lane31346111.230
Sean Brown19294515.558
Michael Pettway17196111.537

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quae Drake927222
Kolbi Fuqua866361
Fred Perry754075
Jeremiah Harris651003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Hardie5914841
Curley Young Jr.336530
Jaylen Swain307442
Kamari Stephens126421
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derek Carter442008
Fred Perry754075
Kekoura Tarnue532104