Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech Game Matchup

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Thursday, October 5th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -6 (59.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 35 - Louisiana Tech: 28 (Conference USA)

Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (34 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#49)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LT is playing their 6th straight game
WKU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Western Kentucky -7 (SP+ WKU -11)
Projected Score: WKU: 31 - LT: 24 (46)
WKU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
WKU Travel: 467 miles

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Kentucky vs South Florida	-13.5	71.5	W 41 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian	-41.5	64.5	W 52 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/16	Western Kentucky at Ohio State	+29.5	65.0	L 10 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Kentucky at Troy	+3.5	57.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	61.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	-6.0	59.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	-7.5	60.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Tue 10/24	Western Kentucky vs Liberty	+4.0	61.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Western Kentucky at UTEP	-9.5	54.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-4.5	55.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston	-12.5	52.0	W 28 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-11.5	54.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Mon 12/18	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	+4.0	49.0	W 38 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-12.0	57.5	W 22 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	Louisiana Tech at SMU	+21.0	66.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State	-23.0	58.5	W 51 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-4.5	66.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Louisiana Tech at Nebraska	+20.5	44.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-2.0	49.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	+6.0	59.0	L 28 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/10	Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee	+3.0	53.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24	Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State	-3.0	55.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Louisiana Tech at Liberty	+16.5	58.0	L 30 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston	-8.5	49.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State	+8.5	53.5	L 17 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.28	44%	24.9	43%	3.17	145	46%	352	3.63	.11	41%	24.6	44%	40%	4.02	57.5	1.6	2.9
LT	.14	39%	20.9	40%	2.78	125	39%	267	3.34	.27	43%	21	46%	40%	4.14	63.9	2.1	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	14	24.9	24.9	44.5%	3.63	1.6	25	497	145	352	4.9	37%	62%	43%	46%	17%	.28
LT Defense	12	21	19.2	42.6%	4.14	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	40%	14%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	14	24.6	33.9	41.4%	4.02	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	44%	40%	17%	.11
LT Offense	12	20.9	29.5	38.9%	3.34	2.1	19	393	125	267	3.8	44%	55%	40%	39%	21%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	14	28:57	24.6	42%	40%	6.2	57.5	1.6	2.9	4.9	2.3	5	30
Louisiana Tech	12	30:05	19.4	37%	45%	6.8	63.9	2.1	2.5	4.6	1.3	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	14	37%	43%	29.6	145.1	4.9	15	.18	3.17	71%	7%	1.05
LT Defense	12	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.33	3.36	81%	9%	1.25

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	14	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	79%	10%	0.96
LT Offense	12	44%	40%	33.3	125.4	3.8	14	.11	2.78	58%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	14	62%	46%	28.7	44.4	352.3	7.9	12.3	43	12	.39	1.7	31%	37%	.52	10%	2.4
LT Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.24	1.7	34%	34%	.4	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	14	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.12	1.4	33%	25%	.14	7%	2
LT Offense	12	55%	39%	21.2	36.2	267.3	7.4	12.6	25	19	.25	1.8	32%	28%	.18	10%	2.1

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
2023 Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40
Western Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.01 Louisiana Tech: -8.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.5 Louisiana Tech: -12.5

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
2023 Talent Rating: 488.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9

Western Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 31
Louisiana Tech 24

Projected Total Points: 46

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Western Kentucky	7	Louisiana Tech	12	Louisiana Tech	Western Kentucky -11.5	Louisiana Tech	52.5	Under
2023	10/05	Louisiana Tech	28	Western Kentucky	35	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -6	Western Kentucky	59.0	Over
2018	11/24	Louisiana Tech	15	Western Kentucky	30	Western Kentucky	Louisiana Tech -10.5	Western Kentucky	49.0	Under
2017	09/16	Western Kentucky	22	Louisiana Tech	23	Louisiana Tech	Western Kentucky -4.5	Louisiana Tech	62.0	Under
2016	10/06	Louisiana Tech	55	Western Kentucky	52	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -1	Louisiana Tech	69.0	Over
2016	12/03	Western Kentucky	58	Louisiana Tech	44	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -7.5	Western Kentucky	78.5	Over
2015	09/10	Western Kentucky	41	Louisiana Tech	38	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -3	Push	62.5	Over
2014	11/01	Louisiana Tech	59	Western Kentucky	10	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -3	Louisiana Tech	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	4	4	4 Overs
Western Kentucky	4	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 4	3 - 4	3 - 3	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 4	4 - 3	1 - 0	3 - 3

(#70) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86
Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40

Team Profile

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Western Kentucky Ratings Matchup Louisiana Tech

Power #70

#113

Off #46

#80

Def #70

#112

Talent #125

#95

SP+ #72

#110

SP+ Off #55

#87

SP+ Def #86

#122

Rematch from Week 6
Western Kentucky 6.0 (59.0)
Western Kentucky won at Louisiana Tech this year (35-28)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat Western Kentucky last year (12-7)
Western Kentucky beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (35-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | LT
Depth Chart: WKU | LT
Rosters: WKU | LT

(#113) Louisiana Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122
Talent Rating: 488.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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Western Kentucky's OC Drew Hollingshead

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dalvin Smith	3	4	75%	107	2	0	26.8
Elijah Young	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Young	201	883	3	4.4	30
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	48	182	4	3.8	29
Michael Mathison	7	34	1	4.9	12
Dalvin Smith	1	-11	0	-11.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	39	476	2	12.2	32
Dalvin Smith	30	397	4	13.2	65
Elijah Young	47	384	2	8.2	29
Michael Mathison	13	143	2	11.0	36

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sebastian Benjamin	56	6	4	5	0
Upton Stout	53	8	1	3	1
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Demarko Williams	37	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sebastian Benjamin	56	6	4	5	0
Terrion Thompson	30	2	2	0	1
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Marquis Black (Tr)	2	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Demarko Williams	37	2	0	0	1
Terrion Thompson	30	2	2	0	1

Louisiana Tech's OC Jake Brown

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	224	357	63%	2593	16	10	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	96	141	1	1.5	20
Solomon Lewis	3	11	0	3.7	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cyrus Allen	18	269	1	14.9	73
Solomon Lewis	16	220	3	13.8	48
Kyle Maxwell	1	4	0	4.0	4
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	1	1	0	1.0	5

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

Louisiana Tech's DC Scott Power

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Zimos (Tr)	84	6	1	5	1
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	0	0	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Isaiah McElvane (Tr)	46	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jessie Evans	40	6	3	4	0
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Mykol Clark	23	3	1	2	2
Zach Zimos (Tr)	84	6	1	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	0	0	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Mykol Clark	23	3	1	2	2