North Texas at Louisiana Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo   North Texas Mean Green at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs  Louisiana Tech logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -4.5 (66.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
North Texas 40 - Louisiana Tech: 37

 
Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNT 2nd straight Road Game
LT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: North Texas -2  (SP+ UNT -5.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 33 - LT: 31 (64)
LT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UNT Travel: 265 miles
Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (37 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 North Texas vs California+5.053.5L 21 - 58ON
Sat 9/9 North Texas at Florida International-10.551.5L 39 - 46ON
Sat 9/16 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+4.566.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 North Texas vs Abilene Christian-15.570.5W 45 - 31ON
Sat 10/7 North Texas at Navy+6.560.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 North Texas vs Temple-8.065.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 North Texas at Tulane+20.063.5L 28 - 35UY
Sat 10/28 North Texas vs Memphis+6.570.0L 42 - 45OY
Sat 11/4 North Texas vs UTSA+7.571.0L 29 - 37UN
Fri 11/10 North Texas at SMU+21.567.5L 21 - 45UN
Sat 11/18 North Texas at Tulsa-1.569.5W 35 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 North Texas vs UAB-3.072.5W 45 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-12.057.5W 22 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 Louisiana Tech at SMU+21.066.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State-23.058.5W 51 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Louisiana Tech vs North Texas-4.566.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Louisiana Tech at Nebraska+20.544.5L 14 - 28UY
Fri 9/29 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-2.049.5W 24 - 10UY
Thu 10/5 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+6.059.0L 28 - 35ON
Tue 10/10 Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee+3.053.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-3.055.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Louisiana Tech at Liberty+16.558.0L 30 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-8.549.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State+8.553.5L 17 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT.2341%45.140%2.9719842%2624.46.2847%26.550%44%4.2441.41.61.4
LT.1439%27.340%2.7812539%2673.34.2743%20.846%40%4.1463.92.12.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1445.143.740.6%4.461.6224601982625.253%46%40%42%14%.23
LT Defense1220.817.342.6%4.142.5 - - - - - 52%48%46%40%14%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1426.528.347.2%4.241.4 - - - - - 51%48%50%44%13%.28
LT Offense1227.336.538.9%3.342.1193931252673.844%55%40%39%21%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1427:2121.743%61%5.241.41.61.43.91.9226.3
Louisiana Tech1230:0519.437%45%6.863.92.12.54.61.3229.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1453%40%38.3197.95.224.172.9769%6%1.11
LT Defense1252%46% - - - - .333.3681%9%1.25
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1451%50% - - - - .283.6471%8%0.97
LT Offense1244%40%33.3125.43.814.112.7858%11%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1446%42%17.230.7261.98.515.23416.361.930%36%.538%2.3
LT Defense1248%40% - - - - - - 11.241.734%34%.46%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1448%44% - - - - - - 8.291.627%33%.46%1.9
LT Offense1255%39%21.236.2267.37.412.62519.251.832%28%.1810%2.1

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.19  #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84  #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31  #131
2023 Talent Rating: 474.38  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6  #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.19   Louisiana Tech: -8.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2   Louisiana Tech: -12.5




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.065  #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14  #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18  #112
2023 Talent Rating: 433.72  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5  #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9  #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
North Texas 33
Louisiana Tech 31

Projected Total Points: 64
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Louisiana Tech37North Texas40Louisiana Tech -4.5North Texas66.5Over
202210/15North Texas47Louisiana Tech27North Texas -6.5North Texas68.0Over
202109/25Louisiana Tech24North Texas17Louisiana Tech -9.5North Texas65.0Under
202012/03North Texas31Louisiana Tech42Louisiana Tech -1Louisiana Tech64.5Over
201911/09Louisiana Tech52North Texas17Louisiana Tech -5.5Louisiana Tech71.5Under
201809/29North Texas27Louisiana Tech29North Texas -7Louisiana Tech62.5Under
201711/04Louisiana Tech23North Texas24Louisiana Tech -1.5North Texas67.0Under
201611/05North Texas24Louisiana Tech45Louisiana Tech -21NA63.5Over
201511/07Louisiana Tech56North Texas13Louisiana Tech -30Louisiana Tech62.0Over
201409/11North Texas21Louisiana Tech42North Texas -4Louisiana Tech0
201310/19Louisiana Tech13North Texas28North Texas -7North Texas0
200611/04North Texas31Louisiana Tech34
200510/22Louisiana Tech40North Texas14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech955 Overs
North Texas454 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 83 - 73 - 50 - 2
Road Teams8 - 57 - 32 - 05 - 3

(#90) UNT at (#113) LT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNTLT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #90 #113
SP+SP+ #88 #110
Perf GradeGrade #59 #104
OffenseOff #35 #89
DefenseDef #112 #116
Spec TeamsST #19 #76
TalentTal #97 #105
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCat
UNT OffLT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #35 #116
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #27 #112
SP+SP+ #30 #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffLT Def
Run GameRun #50 #128
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #67
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffLT Def
Pass GamePass #12 #46
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #103 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisiana Tech on Offense
CategoryCatLT OffUNT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #89 #112
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #80 #131
SP+SP+ #87 #133
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisiana Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
LT OffUNT Def
Run GameRun #98 #116
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #102
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatLT OffUNT Def
Pass GamePass #49 #101
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #81 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'23 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Louisiana Tech -4.5 (66.5)
North Texas won at Louisiana Tech this year (40-37)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (40-37)

  
UNT's OC Jordan Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)26242262%33832958.0
Stone Earle224055%274446.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayo Adeyi143101767.147
Oscar Adaway III12373866.077
Isaiah Johnson3722936.228
Chandler Rogers (Tr)10918041.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Maclin5710041117.680
Damon Ward Jr.39487512.559
Roderic Burns41467411.442
Trey Cleveland (Tr)27415315.433

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Matt Caponi (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Patrick Smith700001
Ethan Wesloski597220
Logan Wilson531003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Brown775450
Mazin Richards44113100
Kevin Wood373211
Kadron Johnson52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ridge Texada333027
Evan Jackson270003
Brian Nelson II60003

LT's OC Jake Brown (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)18226968%20581057.7
Jack Turner8414757%1017556.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyre Shelton (Tr)9755155.756
Keith Willis5128875.668
Charvis Thornton5527014.947
Keldric Moody3414904.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Smoke Harris8379649.664
Cyrus Allen46778416.985
Kyle Maxwell20363218.247
Tru Edwards23284212.336

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Scott Power (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeslord Boateng (Tr)939101
Myles Heard (Tr)886034
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Cecil Singleton741001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshon Hall305410
Rason Williams II235320
Jessie Evans327301
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willie Roberts3810012
Michael Richard Jr.322027
Jhamal Shelby Jr.91004