North Texas at Louisiana Tech Game Matchup

North Texas Mean Green at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -4.5 (66.5) (0) Open: 0.0
North Texas 40 - Louisiana Tech: 37

Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 34 - 34 (35 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNT 2nd straight Road Game
LT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: North Texas -2 (SP+ UNT -5.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 32 - LT: 30 (55)
LT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UNT Travel: 265 miles

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	North Texas vs California	+5.0	53.5	L 21 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/9	North Texas at Florida International	-10.5	51.5	L 39 - 46	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+4.5	66.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	North Texas vs Abilene Christian	-15.5	70.5	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	North Texas at Navy	+6.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Texas vs Temple	-8.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	North Texas at Tulane	+20.0	63.5	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/28	North Texas vs Memphis	+6.5	70.0	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/4	North Texas vs UTSA	+7.5	71.0	L 29 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/10	North Texas at SMU	+21.5	67.5	L 21 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	North Texas at Tulsa	-1.5	69.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	North Texas vs UAB	-3.0	72.5	W 45 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-12.0	57.5	W 22 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	Louisiana Tech at SMU	+21.0	66.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State	-23.0	58.5	W 51 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-4.5	66.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Louisiana Tech at Nebraska	+20.5	44.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-2.0	49.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	+6.0	59.0	L 28 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/10	Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee	+3.0	53.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24	Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State	-3.0	55.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Louisiana Tech at Liberty	+16.5	58.0	L 30 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston	-8.5	49.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State	+8.5	53.5	L 17 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.23	41%	33.5	40%	2.97	198	42%	262	4.46	.28	47%	34.2	50%	44%	4.24	41.4	1.6	1.4
LT	.14	39%	20.9	40%	2.78	125	39%	267	3.34	.27	43%	21	46%	40%	4.14	63.9	2.1	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	14	33.5	34.8	40.6%	4.46	1.6	22	460	198	262	5.2	53%	46%	40%	42%	14%	.23
LT Defense	12	21	19.2	42.6%	4.14	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	40%	14%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	14	34.2	43	47.2%	4.24	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	50%	44%	13%	.28
LT Offense	12	20.9	29.5	38.9%	3.34	2.1	19	393	125	267	3.8	44%	55%	40%	39%	21%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	14	27:21	21.7	43%	61%	5.2	41.4	1.6	1.4	3.9	1.9	2	26.3
Louisiana Tech	12	30:05	19.4	37%	45%	6.8	63.9	2.1	2.5	4.6	1.3	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	14	53%	40%	38.3	197.9	5.2	24	.17	2.97	69%	6%	1.11
LT Defense	12	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.33	3.36	81%	9%	1.25

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	14	51%	50%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.64	71%	8%	0.97
LT Offense	12	44%	40%	33.3	125.4	3.8	14	.11	2.78	58%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	14	46%	42%	17.2	30.7	261.9	8.5	15.2	34	16	.36	1.9	30%	36%	.53	8%	2.3
LT Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.24	1.7	34%	34%	.4	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	14	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.29	1.6	27%	33%	.4	6%	1.9
LT Offense	12	55%	39%	21.2	36.2	267.3	7.4	12.6	25	19	.25	1.8	32%	28%	.18	10%	2.1

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.19 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 446.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.19 Louisiana Tech: -8.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2 Louisiana Tech: -12.5

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
2023 Talent Rating: 488.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 34.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 43

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 32
Louisiana Tech 30

Projected Total Points: 55

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Louisiana Tech	37	North Texas	40	North Texas	Louisiana Tech -4.5	North Texas	66.5	Over
2022	10/15	North Texas	47	Louisiana Tech	27	North Texas	North Texas -6.5	North Texas	68.0	Over
2021	09/25	Louisiana Tech	24	North Texas	17	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -9.5	North Texas	65.0	Under
2020	12/03	North Texas	31	Louisiana Tech	42	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -1	Louisiana Tech	64.5	Over
2019	11/09	Louisiana Tech	52	North Texas	17	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -5.5	Louisiana Tech	71.5	Under
2018	09/29	North Texas	27	Louisiana Tech	29	Louisiana Tech	North Texas -7	Louisiana Tech	62.5	Under
2017	11/04	Louisiana Tech	23	North Texas	24	North Texas	Louisiana Tech -1.5	North Texas	67.0	Under
2016	11/05	North Texas	24	Louisiana Tech	45	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -21	NA	63.5	Over
2015	11/07	Louisiana Tech	56	North Texas	13	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -30	Louisiana Tech	62.0	Over
2014	09/11	North Texas	21	Louisiana Tech	42	Louisiana Tech	North Texas -4	Louisiana Tech	0
2013	10/19	Louisiana Tech	13	North Texas	28	North Texas	North Texas -7	North Texas	0
2006	11/04	North Texas	31	Louisiana Tech	34	Louisiana Tech
2005	10/22	Louisiana Tech	40	North Texas	14	Louisiana Tech

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	9	5	5 Overs
North Texas	4	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 8	3 - 7	3 - 5	0 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 5	7 - 3	2 - 0	5 - 3

(#90) North Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.19 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 446.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

Team Profile

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North Texas Ratings Matchup Louisiana Tech

Power #90

#113

Off #27

#80

Def #131

#112

Talent #102

#95

SP+ #88

#110

SP+ Off #30

#87

SP+ Def #133

#122

Rematch from Week 3
Louisiana Tech -4.5 (66.5)
North Texas won at Louisiana Tech this year (40-37)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (40-37)
North Texas beat Louisiana Tech in 2022 (47-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | LT
Depth Chart: UNT | LT
Rosters: UNT | LT

(#113) Louisiana Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122
Talent Rating: 488.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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North Texas's OC Jordan Davis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Stone Earle	65	120	54%	673	7	2	5.6
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	12	25	48%	117	0	0	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Johnson	116	578	11	5.0	60
Oscar Adaway III	77	295	3	3.8	36
Stone Earle	57	207	0	3.6	16
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	29	86	1	3.0	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damon Ward Jr.	41	755	4	18.4	57
Blair Conwright (Tr)	40	542	7	13.6	96
Trey Cleveland (Tr)	34	317	1	9.3	37
Jay Maclin	13	313	4	24.1	83

View North Texas's Full Roster

North Texas's DC Matt Caponi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Smith	106	8	0	12	2
Jordan Brown	79	4	1	2	0
Ridge Texada	44	2	0	0	7
Sifa Leota	42	6	4	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Roderick Brown	29	6	5	3	0
Sifa Leota	42	6	4	1	1
Viczaril Alobwede (Tr)	8	2	2	0	0
Jordan Brown	79	4	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ridge Texada	44	2	0	7
Logan Wilson	20	2	0	4
Jaylen Smith	106	8	12	2

Louisiana Tech's OC Jake Brown

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	224	357	63%	2593	16	10	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	96	141	1	1.5	20
Solomon Lewis	3	11	0	3.7	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cyrus Allen	18	269	1	14.9	73
Solomon Lewis	16	220	3	13.8	48
Kyle Maxwell	1	4	0	4.0	4
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	1	1	0	1.0	5

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

Louisiana Tech's DC Scott Power

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Zimos (Tr)	84	6	1	5	1
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	0	0	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Isaiah McElvane (Tr)	46	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jessie Evans	40	6	3	4	0
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Mykol Clark	23	3	1	2	2
Zach Zimos (Tr)	84	6	1	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demarcus Griffin-Taylor	53	2	0	0	5
Brevin Randle (Tr)	48	3	1	4	4
Mykol Clark	23	3	1	2	2