North Texas at Louisiana Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview

North Texas Mean Green at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -4.5 (66.5) (0) Open: 0.0
North Texas 40 - Louisiana Tech: 37

Mean Green (5 - 7) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Eric Morris (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 35 - 37 (31 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNT 2nd straight Road Game
LT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: North Texas -2 (SP+ UNT -5.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 34 - LT: 32 (66)
LT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UNT Travel: 265 miles

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (32 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	North Texas vs California	+5.0	53.5	L 21 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/9	North Texas at Florida International	-10.5	51.5	L 39 - 46	O	N
Sat 9/16	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+4.5	66.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30	North Texas vs Abilene Christian	-15.5	70.5	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/7	North Texas at Navy	+6.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	North Texas vs Temple	-8.0	65.5	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	North Texas at Tulane	+20.0	63.5	L 28 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/28	North Texas vs Memphis	+6.5	70.0	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/4	North Texas vs UTSA	+7.5	71.0	L 29 - 37	U	N
Fri 11/10	North Texas at SMU	+21.5	67.5	L 21 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/18	North Texas at Tulsa	-1.5	69.5	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	North Texas vs UAB	-3.0	72.5	W 45 - 42	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-12.0	57.5	W 22 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	Louisiana Tech at SMU	+21.0	66.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State	-23.0	58.5	W 51 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-4.5	66.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Louisiana Tech at Nebraska	+20.5	44.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-2.0	49.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	+6.0	59.0	L 28 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/10	Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee	+3.0	53.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24	Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State	-3.0	55.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Louisiana Tech at Liberty	+16.5	58.0	L 30 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston	-8.5	49.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State	+8.5	53.5	L 17 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	#28 (.28)	45% (42)	34.5	46% (37)	3.4 (12)	191	44% (42)	305	4.42 (28)	#132 (.34)	48% (131)	37.1	51% (129)	46% (120)	4.77 (130)	46.6	1.6	1.2
LT	#91 (.15)	42% (64)	25.9	43% (66)	2.74 (122)	125	42% (63)	261	3.91 (67)	#111 (.25)	43% (78)	33.4	48% (117)	36% (15)	4.63 (128)	62.8	1.5	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	#45 (.23)	42% (70)		40% (109)	2.75 (111)	153	44% (39)	298	3.91 (69)	#98 (.22)	44% (98)		47% (106)	42% (79)	4.03 (93)	52.5	1.5	1.1
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)		37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)		39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	12	34.5	31.2	44.7%	4.42	1.6	25	496	191	305	5.1	45%	54%	46%	44%	17%	.28
LT Defense	12	33.4	30.3	42.8%	4.63	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	48%	36%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	12	37.1	36.3	48.5%	4.77	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	60%	39%	51%	46%	11%	.34
LT Offense	12	25.9	31.5	42.3%	3.91	1.5	20	384	125	261	3.9	45%	54%	43%	42%	18%	.15

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	12	29:12	24.8	42%	60%	4.8	46.6	1.6	1.2	4	1.4	0	27.6
Louisiana Tech	12	29:44	20.1	30%	50%	6.8	62.8	1.5	0.8	5.5	1.3	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	12	45% (105)	46% (37)	37.4	191.2	5.1	19 (69)	.3 (7)	3.4 (12)	78% (28)	10% (71)	1.22 (1)
LT Defense	12	58% (132)	48% (117)	-	-	-	-	.29 (129)	3.29 (109)	84% (121)	10% (83)	1.15 (119)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	12	60% (133)	51% (129)	-	-	-	-	.36 (132)	3.49 (129)	74% (77)	7% (133)	1.15 (120)
LT Offense	12	45% (102)	43% (66)	31.8	124.6	3.9	20 (61)	.11 (90)	2.74 (122)	74% (73)	12% (107)	0.97 (88)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	12	54% (29)	44% (42)	23.7	38.6	304.8	7.9	12.9	33 (11)	9 (40)	.3 (63)	1.7 (43)	33% (89)	35% (26)	.49 (20)	7% (96)	2.3 (11)
LT Defense	12	41% (2)	36% (15)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.23 (43)	1.9 (132)	32% (71)	31% (83)	.36 (94)	6% (79)	2.3 (125)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	12	39% (1)	46% (120)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.38 (115)	1.6 (62)	25% (132)	34% (116)	.44 (120)	5% (118)	2.1 (68)
LT Offense	12	54% (32)	42% (63)	22.4	35.2	260.9	7.4	11.6	16 (92)	11 (68)	.23 (87)	1.6 (78)	32% (70)	25% (113)	.22 (103)	6% (76)	2.3 (13)

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: -5.19 #90
North Texas's Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
North Texas's Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
North Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10
North Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -5.19 Louisiana Tech: -8.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -7.2 Louisiana Tech: -12.5

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.2
Defense: 37.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

North Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 34
Louisiana Tech 32

Total Points: 66

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Louisiana Tech	37	North Texas	40	North Texas	Louisiana Tech -4.5	North Texas	66.5	Over
2022	10/15	North Texas	47	Louisiana Tech	27	North Texas	North Texas -6.5	North Texas	68.0	Over
2021	09/25	Louisiana Tech	24	North Texas	17	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -9.5	North Texas	65.0	Under
2020	12/03	North Texas	31	Louisiana Tech	42	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -1	Louisiana Tech	64.5	Over
2019	11/09	Louisiana Tech	52	North Texas	17	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -5.5	Louisiana Tech	71.5	Under
2018	09/29	North Texas	27	Louisiana Tech	29	Louisiana Tech	North Texas -7	Louisiana Tech	62.5	Under
2017	11/04	Louisiana Tech	23	North Texas	24	North Texas	Louisiana Tech -1.5	North Texas	67.0	Under
2016	11/05	North Texas	24	Louisiana Tech	45	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -21	NA	63.5	Over
2015	11/07	Louisiana Tech	56	North Texas	13	Louisiana Tech	Louisiana Tech -30	Louisiana Tech	62.0	Over
2014	09/11	North Texas	21	Louisiana Tech	42	Louisiana Tech	North Texas -4	Louisiana Tech	0
2013	10/19	Louisiana Tech	13	North Texas	28	North Texas	North Texas -7	North Texas	0
2006	11/04	North Texas	31	Louisiana Tech	34	Louisiana Tech
2005	10/22	Louisiana Tech	40	North Texas	14	Louisiana Tech

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	9	5	5 Overs
North Texas	4	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 8	3 - 7	3 - 5	0 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 5	7 - 3	2 - 0	5 - 3

(#90) North Texas Info
Power Rating: -5.19 #90
Offense Rating: 21.84 #27
Defense Rating: 19.31 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.7 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 41.6 #133
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 6.10

North Texas has lost 2 straight
North Texas has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

North Texas Highlights
North Texas offense is explosive (#20)
North Texas has a top Offensive Line (#28)
North Texas offense is good in red zone (#6)
North Texas commits very few Penalties (#59)

North Texas Deficiencies
North Texas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
North Texas Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
North Texas does not Sack the QB (#47)
North Texas has a bad defense (#26)
North Texas Does Not Stuff Runs (#82)
North Texas has a bad defensive line (#38)
North Texas has a bad red zone defense (#23)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	LT	UNT
OverallOver	#86	#48
OffenseOff	#78	#32
DefenseDef	#89	#85
Special TeamsST	#61	#19
PassingPass	#38	#11
RushingRush	#70	#35
Run BlockRBLK	#77	#36
Pass BlockPBLK	#69	#87
Route RunningWR Rt	#67	#49
TacklingTkl	#58	#88
Run DefenseR Def	#109	#98
Pass Rush DefPRush	#80	#68
Coverage DefCov	#38	#82

Rematch from Week 3
Louisiana Tech -4.5 (66.5)
North Texas won at Louisiana Tech this year (40-37)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (40-37)
North Texas beat Louisiana Tech in 2022 (47-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UNT | LT
Depth Chart: UNT | LT
Rosters: UNT | LT

(#113) Louisiana Tech Info
Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10

Louisiana Tech has won 1 straight
Louisiana Tech has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Louisiana Tech Highlights
Louisiana Tech has a good pass defense (#93)

Louisiana Tech Deficiencies
Louisiana Tech Can Not Run the Ball (#48)
Louisiana Tech Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#54)
Louisiana Tech offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Louisiana Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Louisiana Tech does not Sack the QB (#13)
Louisiana Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#51)
Louisiana Tech has a bad defensive line (#62)
Louisiana Tech has a bad red zone defense (#6)

North Texas's OC Jordan Davis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	262	422	62%	3383	29	5	8.0
Stone Earle	22	40	55%	274	4	4	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ayo Adeyi	143	1017	6	7.1	47
Oscar Adaway III	123	738	6	6.0	77
Isaiah Johnson	37	229	3	6.2	28
Chandler Rogers (Tr)	109	180	4	1.7	75

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jay Maclin	57	1004	11	17.6	80
Damon Ward Jr.	39	487	5	12.5	59
Roderic Burns	41	467	4	11.4	42
Trey Cleveland (Tr)	27	415	3	15.4	33

View North Texas's Full Roster

North Texas's DC Matt Caponi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Brown	77	5	4	5	0
Patrick Smith	70	0	0	0	1
Ethan Wesloski	59	7	2	2	0
Logan Wilson	53	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Brown	77	5	4	5	0
Mazin Richards	44	11	3	10	0
Kevin Wood	37	3	2	1	1
Kadron Johnson	5	2	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ridge Texada	33	3	2	7
Evan Jackson	27	0	0	3
Brian Nelson II	6	0	0	3

Louisiana Tech's OC Jake Brown

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	182	269	68%	2058	10	5	7.7
Jack Turner	84	147	57%	1017	5	5	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyre Shelton (Tr)	97	551	5	5.7	56
Keith Willis	51	288	7	5.6	68
Charvis Thornton	55	270	1	4.9	47
Keldric Moody	34	149	0	4.4	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Smoke Harris	83	796	4	9.6	64
Cyrus Allen	46	778	4	16.9	85
Kyle Maxwell	20	363	2	18.2	47
Tru Edwards	23	284	2	12.3	36

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

Louisiana Tech's DC Scott Power

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeslord Boateng (Tr)	93	9	1	0	1
Myles Heard (Tr)	88	6	0	3	4
Brevin Randle (Tr)	74	9	2	1	2
Cecil Singleton	74	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deshon Hall	30	5	4	1	0
Rason Williams II	23	5	3	2	0
Jessie Evans	32	7	3	0	1
Brevin Randle (Tr)	74	9	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Willie Roberts	38	1	0	12
Michael Richard Jr.	32	2	2	7
Jhamal Shelby Jr.	9	1	0	4