Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech

Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview

Northwestern State Demons at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -23 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Louisiana Tech 51 - Northwestern State: 21

Demons (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 45 (17 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NWST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -8 (SP+ LT -13)
LT Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (32 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NWST Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Northwestern State at Louisiana	+35.0	54.5	L 13 - 38	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech	+23.0	58.5	L 21 - 51	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern State's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Louisiana Tech vs Florida International	-12.0	57.5	W 22 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	Louisiana Tech at SMU	+21.0	66.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/9	Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State	-23.0	58.5	W 51 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-4.5	66.5	L 37 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/23	Louisiana Tech at Nebraska	+20.5	44.5	L 14 - 28	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-2.0	49.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	+6.0	59.0	L 28 - 35	O	N
Tue 10/10	Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee	+3.0	53.5	L 23 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24	Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State	-3.0	55.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Louisiana Tech at Liberty	+16.5	58.0	L 30 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/11	Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston	-8.5	49.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State	+8.5	53.5	L 17 - 56	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NWST		0%	17	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	44.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LT	#91 (.15)	42% (64)	25.9	43% (66)	2.74 (122)	125	42% (63)	261	3.91 (67)	#111 (.25)	43% (78)	33.4	48% (117)	36% (15)	4.63 (128)	62.8	1.5	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NWST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)		37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)		39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NWST Offense	2	17	17	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
LT Defense	12	33.4	30.3	42.8%	4.63	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	48%	36%	15%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NWST Defense	2	44.5	44.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
LT Offense	12	25.9	31.5	42.3%	3.91	1.5	20	384	125	261	3.9	45%	54%	43%	42%	18%	.15

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern State	2	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Louisiana Tech	12	29:44	20.1	30%	50%	6.8	62.8	1.5	0.8	5.5	1.3	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NWST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
LT Defense	12	58% (132)	48% (117)	-	-	-	-	.29 (129)	3.29 (109)	84% (121)	10% (83)	1.15 (119)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NWST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
LT Offense	12	45% (102)	43% (66)	31.8	124.6	3.9	20 (61)	.11 (90)	2.74 (122)	74% (73)	12% (107)	0.97 (88)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NWST Offense	2	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
LT Defense	12	41% (2)	36% (15)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.23 (43)	1.9 (132)	32% (71)	31% (83)	.36 (94)	6% (79)	2.3 (125)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NWST Defense	2	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
LT Offense	12	54% (32)	42% (63)	22.4	35.2	260.9	7.4	11.6	16 (92)	11 (68)	.23 (87)	1.6 (78)	32% (70)	25% (113)	.22 (103)	6% (76)	2.3 (13)

Northwestern State's Power Ratings
Northwestern State's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Northwestern State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State: Louisiana Tech: -8.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State: Louisiana Tech: -12.5

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.065 #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14 #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18 #112
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northwestern State Scoring
Offense: 17 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 44.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.5

Northwestern State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 37
Northwestern State 22

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana Tech 38
Northwestern State 21

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana Tech 37
Northwestern State 24

Total Points: 61

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Louisiana Tech	51	Northwestern State	21	Louisiana Tech -23	Louisiana Tech	58.5	Over
2017	09/02	Louisiana Tech	52	Northwestern State	24	Louisiana Tech -39.5	Northwestern State	0
2014	09/20	Louisiana Tech	27	Northwestern State	30	Louisiana Tech -24	Northwestern State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	2	1	1 Overs
Northwestern State	1	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 0	2 - 1

(#NR) NWST at (#113) LT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NWST	LT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#113
SP+SP+	NR	#110
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#104
OffenseOff	NR	#89
DefenseDef	NR	#116
Spec TeamsST	NR	#76
TalentTal	#146	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#75

Northwestern State Injury Report

Louisiana Tech Injury Report

Northwestern State on Offense


CategoryCat	NWST Off	LT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#116
SuccessSuc	NR	#78
ExplosiveExp	NR	#118
PPAPPA	NR	#111
PowerPwr	NR	#112
SP+SP+	NR	#122
Pts POPPO	NR	#128
HavocHav	NR	#86

Northwestern State Run Game


CategoryCat	NWST Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	NR	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#117
Run ExplRExp	NR	#119
PPAExp	NR	#129
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#109
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#85
TackleTak	-	#67

Northwestern State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NWST Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#46
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#15
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#132
PPAExp	NR	#43
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	#83
DB HavocDB	NR	#79

Louisiana Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	LT Off	NWST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#89	NR
SuccessSuc	#64	NR
ExplosiveExp	#69	NR
PPAPPA	#91	NR
PowerPwr	#80	NR
SP+SP+	#87	NR
Pts POPPO	#67	NR
HavocHav	#100	NR

Louisiana Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	NWST Def
Run GameRun	#98	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#66	NR
Run ExplRExp	#88	NR
PPAExp	#90	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	#122	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#108	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Louisiana Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	NWST Def
Pass GamePass	#49	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#63	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#78	NR
PPAExp	#87	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#81	NR
F7 HavocF7	#107	NR
DB HavocDB	#76	NR

Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

NWST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 84°

Rematch from Week 2
Louisiana Tech -23.0 (58.5)
Louisiana Tech won vs Northwestern State this year (51-21)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat Northwestern State in 2023 (51-21)

NWST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Stanley King	3	34	0	11.3	14
Jaren Mitchell	4	26	0	6.5	9

View Northwestern State's Full Roster

NWST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Donovan Green	19	2	1	2
William White	11	1	0	0
Cadillac Rhone	9	0	0	0
Emanuel Brown	8	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Donovan Green	19	2	1	2
William White	11	1	0	0
Cadillac Rhone	9	0	0	0
Emanuel Brown	8	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Mitchell	6	1	0	0	1
Kevin Davis Jr.	5	0	0	0	1
Donovan Green	19	2	1	2	0

LT's OC Jake Brown (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)	182	269	68%	2058	10	5	7.7
Jack Turner	84	147	57%	1017	5	5	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyre Shelton (Tr)	97	551	5	5.7	56
Keith Willis	51	288	7	5.6	68
Charvis Thornton	55	270	1	4.9	47
Keldric Moody	34	149	0	4.4	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Smoke Harris	83	796	4	9.6	64
Cyrus Allen	46	778	4	16.9	85
Kyle Maxwell	20	363	2	18.2	47
Tru Edwards	23	284	2	12.3	36

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Scott Power (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeslord Boateng (Tr)	93	9	1	0	1
Myles Heard (Tr)	88	6	0	3	4
Brevin Randle (Tr)	74	9	2	1	2
Cecil Singleton	74	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deshon Hall	30	5	4	1	0
Rason Williams II	23	5	3	2	0
Jessie Evans	32	7	3	0	1
Brevin Randle (Tr)	74	9	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Willie Roberts	38	1	0	12
Michael Richard Jr.	32	2	2	7
Jhamal Shelby Jr.	9	1	0	4