Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech - 2023 Matchup Preview
Northwestern State logo

Northwestern State Demons at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Louisiana Tech logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -23 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Louisiana Tech 51 - Northwestern State: 21

 
Demons (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 0 - 68 (0 - 68 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NWST 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ LT -13)
LT Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (5 - 11)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (37 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#100)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Northwestern State at Louisiana+35.054.5L 13 - 38UY
Sat 9/9 Northwestern State at Louisiana Tech+23.058.5L 21 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern State's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-12.057.5W 22 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 Louisiana Tech at SMU+21.066.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 9/9 Louisiana Tech vs Northwestern State-23.058.5W 51 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 Louisiana Tech vs North Texas-4.566.5L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/23 Louisiana Tech at Nebraska+20.544.5L 14 - 28UY
Fri 9/29 Louisiana Tech at UTEP-2.049.5W 24 - 10UY
Thu 10/5 Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky+6.059.0L 28 - 35ON
Tue 10/10 Louisiana Tech at Middle Tennessee+3.053.5L 23 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/24 Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State-3.055.0L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Louisiana Tech at Liberty+16.558.0L 30 - 56ON
Sat 11/11 Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston-8.549.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Louisiana Tech at Jacksonville State+8.553.5L 17 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NWST0%00%000%000%680%0%0000
LT.1439%27.340%2.7812539%2673.34.2743%20.846%40%4.1463.92.12.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NWST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NWST Offense1000%00000000%0%0%0%0%
LT Defense1220.817.342.6%4.142.5 - - - - - 52%48%46%40%14%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NWST Defense168680%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
LT Offense1227.336.538.9%3.342.1193931252673.844%55%40%39%21%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Louisiana Tech1230:0519.437%45%6.863.92.12.54.61.3229.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NWST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
LT Defense1252%46% - - - - .333.3681%9%1.25
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NWST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
LT Offense1244%40%33.3125.43.814.112.7858%11%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NWST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
LT Defense1248%40% - - - - - - 11.241.734%34%.46%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NWST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
LT Offense1255%39%21.236.2267.37.412.62519.251.832%28%.1810%2.1

Northwestern State's Power Ratings
Northwestern State's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: 157.75  #146
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Northwestern State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northwestern State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southland Talent Rating is 93.74
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State:    Louisiana Tech: -8.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern State:    Louisiana Tech: -12.5




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -8.065  #113
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 15.14  #80
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 14.18  #112
2023 Talent Rating: 433.72  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 4.90 - 7.10
Louisiana Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.5  #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #87
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.9  #122

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 437.55
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Northwestern State Scoring
Offense: 0 PPG
Offense on Road: 0
Defense: 68 PPG
Defense on Road: 68

Northwestern State's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 50
Northwestern State 9

Projected Total Points: 59
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Louisiana Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Louisiana Tech51Northwestern State21Louisiana Tech -23Louisiana Tech58.5Over
201709/02Louisiana Tech52Northwestern State24Louisiana Tech -39.5Northwestern State0
201409/20Louisiana Tech27Northwestern State30Louisiana Tech -24Northwestern State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech211 Overs
Northwestern State120 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 22 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#) NWST at (#113) LT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWSTLT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #113
SP+SP+NR #110
Perf GradeGradeNR #104
OffenseOffNR #89
DefenseDefNR #116
Spec TeamsSTNR #76
TalentTal #146 #105
Blue ChipsBC%NR #75
Northwestern State on Offense
CategoryCat
NWST OffLT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #116
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #112
SP+SP+NR #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern State Run Game
CategoryCat
NWST OffLT Def
Run GameRunNR #128
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #67
Northwestern State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NWST OffLT Def
Pass GamePassNR #46
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisiana Tech on Offense
CategoryCatLT OffNWST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #89NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #80NR
SP+SP+ #87NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisiana Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
LT OffNWST Def
Run GameRun #98NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisiana Tech Pass Game
CategoryCatLT OffNWST Def
Pass GamePass #49NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #81NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

NWST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Louisiana Tech -23.0 (58.5)
Louisiana Tech won vs Northwestern State this year (51-21)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat Northwestern State in 2023 (51-21)

  
NWST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
JT Fayard13920767%14711337.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kolbe Burrell7626313.538
JT Fayard19-480-2.511
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Travon Jones2723638.733
Kolbe Burrell124503.831
Tory Morgan1101.01
Myles Kitt-Denton1-30-3.00

View Northwestern State's Full Roster

NWST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Green573220
Anthony Richard271008
Danny Sears100000
Jared Pedraza60010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Green573220
Anthony Richard271008
Danny Sears100000
Jared Pedraza60010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Richard271008
Donovan Green573220
Danny Sears100000

LT's OC Jake Brown (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hank Bachmeier (Tr)18226968%20581057.7
Jack Turner8414757%1017556.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyre Shelton (Tr)9755155.756
Keith Willis5128875.668
Charvis Thornton5527014.947
Keldric Moody3414904.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Smoke Harris8379649.664
Cyrus Allen46778416.985
Kyle Maxwell20363218.247
Tru Edwards23284212.336

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Scott Power (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeslord Boateng (Tr)939101
Myles Heard (Tr)886034
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Cecil Singleton741001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshon Hall305410
Rason Williams II235320
Jessie Evans327301
Brevin Randle (Tr)749212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willie Roberts3810012
Michael Richard Jr.322027
Jhamal Shelby Jr.91004