Florida at Utah - 2023 Matchup Preview

Thursday, August 31st 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Utah -5.5 (44.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Utah 24 - Florida: 11

Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (26 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Utah -2 (SP+ UTAH -2)
Projected Score: FLA: 23 - UTAH: 25 (47)
UTAH Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FLA Travel: 1822 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 23 - 19 (27 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FLA Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Florida at Utah	+5.5	44.5	L 11 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida vs McNeese	-48.5	55.5	W 49 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/16	Florida vs Tennessee	+5.0	57.0	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida vs Charlotte	-28.0	48.5	W 22 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida at Kentucky	+1.0	44.0	L 14 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-18.0	51.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Florida at South Carolina	-1.0	50.0	W 41 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Florida vs Georgia	+14.0	50.0	L 20 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/4	Florida vs Arkansas	-4.5	50.0	L 36 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida at LSU	+14.0	68.5	L 35 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida at Missouri	+12.5	56.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida vs Florida State	+6.0	51.0	L 15 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Utah's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Utah vs Florida	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah at Baylor	-7.0	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Utah vs Weber State	-26.5	44.0	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Utah vs UCLA	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Utah at Oregon State	+4.0	43.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Utah vs California	-9.0	42.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah at USC	+7.5	51.5	W 34 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Utah vs Oregon	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Utah vs Arizona State	-11.0	40.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah at Washington	+9.5	48.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah at Arizona	+2.5	45.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Utah vs Colorado	-21.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/23	Utah vs Northwestern	-6.5	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	#39 (.27)	44% (47)	28.4	43% (63)	3.11 (69)	152	45% (36)	257	4.7 (14)	#106 (.24)	38% (26)	27.6	36% (15)	40% (45)	4.08 (93)	49.6	1	0.6
UTAH	#112 (.11)	40% (89)	23.2	42% (83)	3.09 (72)	183	39% (92)	166	3.29 (107)	#38 (.14)	36% (16)	19.3	38% (30)	35% (9)	3.48 (45)	41.2	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	#72 (.18)	43% (64)		45% (54)	3.04 (66)	164	41% (82)	226	4.17 (46)	#53 (.14)	44% (95)		49% (118)	39% (44)	3.12 (14)	54	1.4	1.9
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)		38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)		37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	12	28.4	26.4	43.9%	4.7	1	22	409	152	257	4.3	48%	52%	43%	45%	16%	.27
UTAH Defense	13	19.3	13.4	36.4%	3.48	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	39%	60%	38%	35%	17%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	12	27.6	36.2	37.9%	4.08	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	36%	40%	16%	.24
UTAH Offense	13	23.2	26.7	40.4%	3.29	1	19	348	183	166	4.2	60%	39%	42%	39%	14%	.11

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	12	33:06	21.6	37%	41%	6.6	49.6	1	0.6	4.9	1.8	0	26.4
Utah	13	34:07	18.8	41%	41%	4.9	41.2	1	1.2	5.3	2.5	2	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	12	48% (88)	43% (63)	35.2	151.6	4.3	21 (54)	.17 (59)	3.11 (69)	72% (85)	12% (114)	1 (64)
UTAH Defense	13	39% (1)	38% (30)	-	-	-	-	.09 (37)	2.93 (39)	70% (49)	11% (41)	1.01 (77)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	12	50% (71)	36% (15)	-	-	-	-	.16 (84)	2.97 (44)	59% (8)	10% (62)	1.28 (132)
UTAH Offense	13	60% (11)	42% (83)	43.2	182.5	4.2	19 (69)	.13 (82)	3.09 (72)	69% (100)	8% (37)	1 (63)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	12	52% (40)	45% (36)	23.4	32.4	257.2	7.9	11	20 (70)	5 (6)	.37 (33)	1.6 (76)	32% (79)	30% (74)	.43 (38)	4% (13)	2.1 (48)
UTAH Defense	13	60% (133)	35% (9)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.18 (20)	1.7 (99)	38% (4)	23% (4)	.2 (18)	6% (77)	2.1 (90)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	12	49% (71)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.35 (107)	1.9 (129)	34% (39)	28% (37)	.34 (82)	6% (82)	2.3 (120)
UTAH Offense	13	39% (123)	39% (92)	14.5	25.2	165.8	6.6	11.4	15 (96)	11 (68)	.13 (117)	1.5 (114)	30% (37)	28% (92)	.17 (113)	5% (38)	1.8 (121)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 8.25 Utah: 8.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 5.9 Utah: 8.3

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.905 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Utah 25
Florida 23

Total Points: 47

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.4

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	08/31	Utah	24	Florida	11	Utah	Utah -5.5	Utah	44.5	Under
2022	09/03	Florida	29	Utah	26	Florida	Utah -2.5	Florida	52.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	1	1	1 Overs
Florida	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#26) Florida Info
Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida Highlights
Florida offense is good in red zone (#72)
Florida has a really good defense (#18)
Florida has a good run defense (#7)
Florida has a great TO Margin (#116)

Florida Deficiencies
Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#75)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	UTAH	FLA
OverallOver	#59	#39
OffenseOff	#70	#34
DefenseDef	#53	#64
Special TeamsST	#50	#83
PassingPass	#89	#43
RushingRush	#32	#46
Run BlockRBLK	#35	#22
Pass BlockPBLK	#115	#55
Route RunningWR Rt	#80	#26
TacklingTkl	#16	#97
Run DefenseR Def	#55	#48
Pass Rush DefPRush	#56	#51
Coverage DefCov	#71	#94

Rematch from Week 1
Utah -5.5 (44.5)
Utah won vs Florida this year (24-11)

Previous Matchups
Utah beat Florida in 2023 (24-11)
Florida beat Utah in 2022 (29-26)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FLA | UTAH
Depth Chart: FLA | UTAH
Rosters: FLA | UTAH

(#38) Utah Info
Power Rating: 8.905 #38
Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Utah Highlights
Utah Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Utah has a really good defense (#14)
Utah has a good run defense (#19)
Utah has a good pass defense (#16)
Utah Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#16)
Utah has a great TO Margin (#11)
Utah commits very few Penalties (#59)

Utah Deficiencies
Utah offense is not Explosive (#135)
Utah offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#45)
Utah gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#62)

Florida's OC Rob Sale

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)	260	357	73%	2878	20	3	8.1
Max Brown	19	28	68%	192	0	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Montrell Johnson	152	817	5	5.4	52
Trevor Etienne	131	753	8	5.7	62
Treyaun Webb	26	163	2	6.3	43
Ricky Pearsall	3	62	2	20.7	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky Pearsall	64	970	4	15.2	61
Eugene Wilson	61	538	6	8.8	30
Arlis Boardingham	26	289	4	11.1	25
Kahleil Jackson	21	251	1	12.0	45

View Florida's Full Roster

Florida's DC Austin Armstrong

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Castell	59	2	0	0	3
Shemar James	55	6	1	0	0
Scooby Williams	52	4	1	4	0
Jaydon Hill	39	4	2	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princely Umanmielen	39	11	7	16	0
Derek Wingo	18	4	3	2	1
Jaydon Hill	39	4	2	2	3
Kelby Collins	24	2	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Marshall Jr.	26	3	1	0	11
Jalen Kimber	23	0	0	1	5
Jordan Castell	59	2	0	0	3

Utah's OC Andy Ludwig

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	142	242	59%	1572	12	11	6.5
Nate Johnson	39	72	54%	499	3	0	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Quinden Jackson	161	797	4	5.0	54
Jaylon Glover	137	562	2	4.1	30
Sione Vaki	42	317	2	7.5	72
Bryson Barnes	89	277	3	3.1	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devaughn Vele	43	593	3	13.8	68
Money Parks	31	293	2	9.5	70
Munir McClain	15	269	2	17.9	49
Mikey Matthews	29	261	0	9.0	40

View Utah's Full Roster

Utah's DC Morgan Scalley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Levani Damuni (Tr)	88	3	1	0
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4
Cole Bishop	60	7	3	3
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonah Elliss	37	16	12	3	3
Connor O'Toole	31	6	5	0	3
Van Fillinger	31	6	4	0	0
Logan Fano (Tr)	14	4	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Zemaiah Vaughn	53	5	1	6
Tao Johnson	33	2	0	5
Karene Reid	67	2	0	4