Florida at Utah - 2023 Matchup Preview

Thursday, August 31st 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Utah -5.5 (44.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Utah 24 - Florida: 11

Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 90.5° (21% Hum)
Our Line: Utah -2 (SP+ UTAH -2)
Projected Score: FLA: 22 - UTAH: 24 (48)
UTAH Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
FLA Travel: 1822 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Utes (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (157 - 74)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FLA Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Florida at Utah	+5.5	44.5	L 11 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida vs McNeese	-48.5	55.5	W 49 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/16	Florida vs Tennessee	+5.0	57.0	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida vs Charlotte	-28.0	48.5	W 22 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida at Kentucky	+1.0	44.0	L 14 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-18.0	51.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Florida at South Carolina	-1.0	50.0	W 41 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Florida vs Georgia	+14.0	50.0	L 20 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/4	Florida vs Arkansas	-4.5	50.0	L 36 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida at LSU	+14.0	68.5	L 35 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida at Missouri	+12.5	56.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida vs Florida State	+6.0	51.0	L 15 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Utah's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Utah vs Florida	-5.5	44.5	W 24 - 11	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Utah at Baylor	-7.0	46.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Utah vs Weber State	-26.5	44.0	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Utah vs UCLA	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/29	Utah at Oregon State	+4.0	43.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Utah vs California	-9.0	42.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Utah at USC	+7.5	51.5	W 34 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Utah vs Oregon	+6.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	Utah vs Arizona State	-11.0	40.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Utah at Washington	+9.5	48.5	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Utah at Arizona	+2.5	45.5	L 18 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/25	Utah vs Colorado	-21.5	43.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/23	Utah vs Northwestern	-6.5	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	.26	40%	28.3	41%	3.17	200	39%	224	3.65	.23	45%	23.1	47%	44%	4.36	50.1	1.1	2
UTAH	.28	51%	23.6	54%	3.54	218	48%	249	4.16	.17	39%	20.7	41%	38%	3.86	40.2	1.3	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTAH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	13	28.3	27.5	39.8%	3.65	1.1	20	424	200	224	5.5	54%	46%	41%	39%	13%	.26
UTAH Defense	14	20.7	16.8	39.1%	3.86	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	41%	38%	19%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	13	23.1	27.8	45.3%	4.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	44%	14%	.23
UTAH Offense	14	23.6	23	51%	4.16	1.3	26	467	218	249	5.4	51%	49%	54%	48%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	13	29:02	20	40%	47%	6.8	50.1	1.1	2	5.4	1.8	2	28.3
Utah	14	33:40	25.9	51%	62%	4.5	40.2	1.3	2.3	5.9	2.9	3	32.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	13	54%	41%	36.3	200.2	5.5	29	.26	3.17	80%	8%	1.29
UTAH Defense	14	43%	41%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.91	69%	13%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	13	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.17	73%	10%	1.05
UTAH Offense	14	51%	54%	40	217.7	5.4	38	.31	3.54	81%	7%	0.99

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	13	46%	39%	15.3	28.2	223.8	8	14.6	18	9	.3	1.8	35%	30%	.43	5%	2.3
UTAH Defense	14	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.19	1.7	34%	28%	.22	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	13	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.6	31%	39%	.46	4%	2
UTAH Offense	14	49%	48%	20.6	31.9	249.2	7.8	12.1	31	10	.26	1.4	27%	36%	.47	5%	2

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 8.25 Utah: 8.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 5.9 Utah: 8.3

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.905 #38
Utah's Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Utah's Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
2023 Talent Rating: 760.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Utah's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Utah's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Utah 24
Florida 22

Projected Total Points: 48

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	08/31	Utah	24	Florida	11	Utah	Utah -5.5	Utah	44.5	Under
2022	09/03	Florida	29	Utah	26	Florida	Utah -2.5	Florida	52.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	1	1	1 Overs
Florida	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#26) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Florida Ratings Matchup Utah

Power #26

#38

Off #19

#97

Def #90

#37

Talent #14

#35

SP+ #42

#35

SP+ Off #42

#60

SP+ Def #64

#26

Rematch from Week 1
Utah -5.5 (44.5)
Utah won vs Florida this year (24-11)

Previous Matchups
Utah beat Florida in 2023 (24-11)
Florida beat Utah in 2022 (29-26)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 91° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: FLA | UTAH
Depth Chart: FLA | UTAH
Rosters: FLA | UTAH

(#38) Utah Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.905 #38
Offense Rating: 13.26 #97
Defense Rating: 6.62 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #60
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #26
Talent Rating: 760.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile

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Florida's OC Rob Sale

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)	72	94	77%	791	6	2	8.4
Max Brown	43	93	46%	561	3	6	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trevor Etienne	122	609	9	5.0	48
Montrell Johnson	100	593	6	5.9	71
Max Brown	33	85	0	2.6	20
Graham Mertz (Tr)	18	56	1	3.1	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Douglas	55	765	6	13.9	57
Trevor Etienne	32	194	0	6.1	14
Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman	15	125	1	8.3	33
Montrell Johnson	13	64	0	4.9	12

View Florida's Full Roster

Florida's DC Austin Armstrong

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3
Scooby Williams	43	8	0	2	4
Chris McClellan	39	6	3	3	2
CamRon Jackson	37	5	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princely Umanmielen	37	14	11	13	0
Chris McClellan	39	6	3	3	2
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3
CamRon Jackson	37	5	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Scooby Williams	43	8	0	2	4
Jason Marshall Jr.	20	2	0	3	4
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3

Utah's OC Andy Ludwig

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Bryson Barnes	77	126	61%	856	12	6	6.8
Cameron Rising	34	66	52%	555	7	3	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Bernard (Tr)	197	1009	4	5.1	64
Ja'Quinden Jackson	149	790	15	5.3	46
Bryson Barnes	68	530	5	7.8	63
Charlie Vincent	14	44	0	3.1	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brant Kuithe	35	505	6	14.4	71
Money Parks	21	294	3	14.0	71
Mikey Matthews	34	292	1	8.6	46
Micah Bernard (Tr)	30	150	2	5.0	19

View Utah's Full Roster

Utah's DC Morgan Scalley

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
Jadon Pearson	42	3	0	1	2
Zemaiah Vaughn	39	5	2	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Connor O'Toole	22	5	3	0	0
Zemaiah Vaughn	39	5	2	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zemaiah Vaughn	39	5	2	0	5
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
JaTravis Broughton	38	0	0	0	3