Tennessee at Florida Game Matchup
Tennessee logo Tennessee Volunteers at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Tennessee -5 (57.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida 29 - Tennessee: 16  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (22 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Tennessee -2   (SP+ TENN -7)
Projected Score: TENN: 28 - FLA: 26 (51)
TENN Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
TENN Travel: 445 miles
Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Florida at Utah+5.544.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Florida vs McNeese-48.555.5W 49 - 7ON
Sat 9/16 Florida vs Tennessee+5.057.0W 29 - 16UY
Sat 9/23 Florida vs Charlotte-28.048.5W 22 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Florida at Kentucky+1.044.0L 14 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Florida vs Vanderbilt-18.051.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 10/14 Florida at South Carolina-1.050.0W 41 - 39OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Florida vs Georgia+14.050.0L 20 - 43ON
Sat 11/4 Florida vs Arkansas-4.550.0L 36 - 39ON
Sat 11/11 Florida at LSU+14.068.5L 35 - 52ON
Sat 11/18 Florida at Missouri+12.556.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 11/25 Florida vs Florida State+6.051.0L 15 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.3751%35.751%3.319951%3264.81.1841%16.139%43%3.1669.50.81.8
FLA.2640%28.341%3.1720039%2243.65.2345%23.147%44%4.3650.11.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1335.721.851.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37
FLA Defense1323.12145.3%4.362 - - - - - 55%44%47%44%14%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1316.12641.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
FLA Offense1328.329.339.8%3.651.1204242002245.554%46%41%39%13%.26

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Florida1329:022040%47%6.850.11.125.41.8228.3
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03
FLA Defense1355%47% - - - - .213.1773%10%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
FLA Offense1354%41%36.3200.25.529.263.1780%8%1.29

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2
FLA Defense1344%44% - - - - - - 9.281.631%39%.464%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
FLA Offense1346%39%15.328.2223.8814.6189.31.835%30%.435%2.3

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 9.71 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 9.71   Florida: 9.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 13.0   Florida: 5.9




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 9.575 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 28
Florida 26

Projected Total Points: 51
Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Tennessee23Florida17TennesseeTennessee -13.5Florida54.5Under
202309/16Florida29Tennessee16FloridaTennessee -5Florida57.0Under
202209/24Tennessee38Florida33TennesseeTennessee -11Florida62.0Over
202109/25Florida38Tennessee14FloridaFlorida -19Florida65.0Under
202012/05Tennessee19Florida31FloridaFlorida -18.5Tennessee63.0Under
201909/21Florida34Tennessee3FloridaFlorida -12.5Florida49.5Under
201809/22Tennessee21Florida47FloridaFlorida -3.5Florida46.0Over
201709/16Florida26Tennessee20FloridaFlorida -6.5Tennessee50.5Under
201609/24Tennessee38Florida28TennesseeTennessee -8Tennessee42.5Over
201509/26Florida28Tennessee27FloridaFlorida -3Tennessee50.5Over
201410/04Tennessee9Florida10FloridaFlorida -1.5Tennessee0
201309/21Florida31Tennessee17FloridaFlorida -15.5Tennessee0
201209/15Tennessee20Florida37Florida
201109/17Florida33Tennessee23Florida
201009/18Tennessee17Florida31Florida
200909/19Florida23Tennessee13Florida
200809/20Tennessee6Florida30Florida
200709/15Florida59Tennessee20Florida
200609/16Tennessee20Florida21Florida
200509/17Florida16Tennessee7Florida
200409/18Tennessee30Florida28Tennessee
200309/20Florida10Tennessee24Tennessee
200209/21Tennessee13Florida30Florida
200112/01Florida32Tennessee34Tennessee
200009/15Tennessee23Florida27Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida1964 Overs
Tennessee666 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 116 - 63 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 146 - 61 - 35 - 3

(#24) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.71 #24
Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #17
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile






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Tennessee     Ratings Matchup     Florida
Power #24
#26
Off #36
#19
Def #31
#90
Talent #12
#14
SP+ #19
#42
SP+ Off #28
#42
SP+ Def #31
#64

Rematch from Week 3
Tennessee 5.0 (57.0)
Florida won vs Tennessee this year (29-16)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Florida last year (23-17)
Florida beat Tennessee in 2023 (29-16)
Tennessee beat Florida in 2022 (38-33)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 81° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TENN | FLA
Depth Chart: TENN | FLA
Rosters: TENN | FLA
(#26) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.575 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile






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Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Navy Shuler1333%10003.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Sampson2581491225.856
Bru McCoy21507.59
Patrick Wilk31204.09
Navy Shuler2502.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dont'E Thornton26661625.486
Bru McCoy39472212.142
Dylan Sampson2014307.221

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Elijah Herring598434
Will Brooks594115
Tamarion McDonald584201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.38138101
Tyler Baron3811660
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)184430
Elijah Herring598434
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Will Brooks594115

Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)729477%791628.4
Max Brown439346%561366.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trevor Etienne12260995.048
Montrell Johnson10059365.971
Max Brown338502.620
Graham Mertz (Tr)185613.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas55765613.957
Trevor Etienne3219406.114
Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman1512518.333
Montrell Johnson136404.912

View Florida's Full Roster
Florida's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shemar James644223
Scooby Williams438024
Chris McClellan396332
CamRon Jackson375212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princely Umanmielen371411130
Chris McClellan396332
Shemar James644223
CamRon Jackson375212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scooby Williams438024
Jason Marshall Jr.202034
Shemar James644223