Florida at Missouri Game Matchup
Florida logo Florida Gators at Missouri TigersMissouri logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (7:30 PM EST)
Missouri -12.5 (56.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Missouri 33 - Florida: 31  (SEC)

 
Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ 2nd straight Home Game
FLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Missouri -10.5   (SP+ MIZ -12)
Projected Score: FLA: 22 - MIZ: 32 (50)
MIZ Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
FLA Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (20 - 19)
Avg Score : 29 - 20 (32 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Florida at Utah+5.544.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Florida vs McNeese-48.555.5W 49 - 7ON
Sat 9/16 Florida vs Tennessee+5.057.0W 29 - 16UY
Sat 9/23 Florida vs Charlotte-28.048.5W 22 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Florida at Kentucky+1.044.0L 14 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Florida vs Vanderbilt-18.051.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 10/14 Florida at South Carolina-1.050.0W 41 - 39OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Florida vs Georgia+14.050.0L 20 - 43ON
Sat 11/4 Florida vs Arkansas-4.550.0L 36 - 39ON
Sat 11/11 Florida at LSU+14.068.5L 35 - 52ON
Sat 11/18 Florida at Missouri+12.556.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 11/25 Florida vs Florida State+6.051.0L 15 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Missouri's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Missouri vs South Dakota-27.044.5W 35 - 10ON
Sat 9/9 Missouri vs Middle Tennessee-21.047.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/16 Missouri vs Kansas State+3.548.0W 30 - 27OY
Sat 9/23 Missouri vs Memphis-6.552.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 9/30 Missouri at Vanderbilt-14.053.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Missouri vs LSU+6.063.5L 39 - 49ON
Sat 10/14 Missouri at Kentucky+1.550.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/21 Missouri vs South Carolina-7.557.5W 34 - 12UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Missouri at Georgia+15.056.5L 21 - 30UY
Sat 11/11 Missouri vs Tennessee+1.058.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 Missouri vs Florida-12.556.5W 33 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Missouri at Arkansas-9.553.5W 48 - 14OY
Fri 12/29 Missouri vs Ohio State+4.051.0W 14 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.2640%28.341%3.1720039%2243.65.2345%23.147%44%4.3650.11.12
MIZ.1641%28.941%2.8915641%2134.26.1538%20.437%39%3.863.71.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1328.327.539.8%3.651.1204242002245.554%46%41%39%13%.26
MIZ Defense1320.415.637.7%3.81.8 - - - - - 49%51%37%39%21%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense1323.127.845.3%4.362 - - - - - 55%44%47%44%14%.23
MIZ Offense1328.932.140.6%4.261.5193701562134.151%48%41%41%17%.16

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1329:022040%47%6.850.11.125.41.8228.3
Missouri1331:0518.540%50%7.863.71.51.872.7328.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1354%41%36.3200.25.529.263.1780%8%1.29
MIZ Defense1349%37% - - - - .12.7267%14%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1355%47% - - - - .213.1773%10%1.05
MIZ Offense1351%41%37.9156.54.121.112.8970%13%1

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1346%39%15.328.2223.8814.6189.31.835%30%.435%2.3
MIZ Defense1351%39% - - - - - - 11.221.634%28%.228%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1344%44% - - - - - - 9.281.631%39%.464%2
MIZ Offense1348%41%1930.1213.27.111.2139.251.634%33%.344%2

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 8.25   Missouri: 17.615

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 5.9   Missouri: 17.8




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 17.615 #14
Missouri's Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Missouri's Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Missouri's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Missouri's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 32
Florida 22

Projected Total Points: 50
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Missouri's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Missouri33Florida31MissouriMissouri -12.5Florida56.5Over
202210/08Florida24Missouri17FloridaFlorida -11Missouri53.5Under
202111/20Missouri24Florida23MissouriFlorida -9.5Missouri69.0Under
202010/31Florida41Missouri17FloridaFlorida -13.5Florida64.0Under
201911/16Missouri6Florida23FloridaFlorida -7.0Florida51.0Under
201811/03Florida17Missouri38MissouriFlorida -6Missouri59.5Under
201711/04Missouri45Florida16MissouriMissouri -1.5Missouri61.5Under
201610/15Florida40Missouri14FloridaFlorida -13Florida51.0Over
201510/10Missouri3Florida21FloridaFlorida -3.5Florida38.5Under
201410/18Florida13Missouri42MissouriFlorida -3Missouri0
201310/19Missouri36Florida17MissouriFlorida -1.5Missouri0
201211/03Florida14Missouri7Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri662 Overs
Florida657 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 45 - 63 - 42 - 2
Road Teams4 - 86 - 52 - 24 - 3

(#26) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile






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Florida     Ratings Matchup     Missouri
Power #26
#14
Off #19
#15
Def #90
#38
Talent #14
#37
SP+ #42
#12
SP+ Off #42
#11
SP+ Def #64
#23

Rematch from Week 12
Missouri -12.5 (56.5)
Missouri won vs Florida this year (33-31)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Florida in 2023 (33-31)
Florida beat Missouri in 2022 (24-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 47°

Team Information
Injuries: FLA | MIZ
Depth Chart: FLA | MIZ
Rosters: FLA | MIZ
(#14) Missouri Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.615 #14
Offense Rating: 24.36 #15
Defense Rating: 7.05 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.8 #12
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #23
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 23 #30
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile






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Florida's OC Rob Sale
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)729477%791628.4
Max Brown439346%561366.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trevor Etienne12260995.048
Montrell Johnson10059365.971
Max Brown338502.620
Graham Mertz (Tr)185613.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Caleb Douglas55765613.957
Trevor Etienne3219406.114
Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman1512518.333
Montrell Johnson136404.912

View Florida's Full Roster
Florida's DC Austin Armstrong
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shemar James644223
Scooby Williams438024
Chris McClellan396332
CamRon Jackson375212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princely Umanmielen371411130
Chris McClellan396332
Shemar James644223
CamRon Jackson375212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scooby Williams438024
Jason Marshall Jr.202034
Shemar James644223

Missouri's OC Kirby Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brady Cook20032063%25251127.9
Jake Garcia (Tr)10918160%14268127.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brady Cook8722352.631
Luther Burden III10125212.561
Gabarri Johnson2610614.123
Jake Garcia (Tr)404621.219
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Theo Wease60884414.770
Luther Burden III60666611.144
Mookie Cooper12235019.678
Dannis Jackson11210019.147

View Missouri's Full Roster
Missouri's DC Blake Baker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carmycah Glass754130
Joseph Charleston442004
Johnny Walker43131041
Charles Hicks335201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Walker43131041
Charles Hicks335201
Serigne Tounkara52220
Kristian Williams302141
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joseph Charleston442004
Dameon Wilson253012
Sidney Williams (Tr)301002