Charlotte at Florida - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida -28 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida 22 - Charlotte: 7

49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (12 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA 3rd straight Home Game
FLA is playing their 4th straight game
CHAR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida -27.5 (SP+ FLA -28)
Projected Score: CHAR: 10 - FLA: 38 (48)
FLA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
CHAR Travel: 402 miles

Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CHAR Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Charlotte vs South Carolina State	-24.0	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Charlotte at Maryland	+24.5	50.0	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Charlotte vs Georgia State	+6.5	52.0	L 25 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Charlotte at Florida	+28.0	48.5	L 7 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Charlotte at SMU	+22.5	53.0	L 16 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Charlotte vs Navy	+3.5	44.0	L 0 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/21	Charlotte at East Carolina	+6.0	39.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/27	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+3.5	45.5	L 16 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Charlotte at Tulsa	+4.5	47.5	W 33 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Charlotte vs Memphis	+9.5	51.5	L 38 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Charlotte vs Rice	-0.5	46.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Charlotte at South Florida	+7.5	56.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Florida at Utah	+5.5	44.5	L 11 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida vs McNeese	-48.5	55.5	W 49 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/16	Florida vs Tennessee	+5.0	57.0	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida vs Charlotte	-28.0	48.5	W 22 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida at Kentucky	+1.0	44.0	L 14 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-18.0	51.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Florida at South Carolina	-1.0	50.0	W 41 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Florida vs Georgia	+14.0	50.0	L 20 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/4	Florida vs Arkansas	-4.5	50.0	L 36 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida at LSU	+14.0	68.5	L 35 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida at Missouri	+12.5	56.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida vs Florida State	+6.0	51.0	L 15 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	.16	47%	14.3	47%	3.19	116	49%	271	4.07	.35	49%	36.3	48%	51%	4.11	58.5	1.8	1.3
FLA	.26	40%	21.6	41%	3.17	200	39%	224	3.65	.23	45%	24	47%	44%	4.36	50.1	1.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Offense	12	14.3	11.6	47%	4.07	1.8	21	387	116	271	3.7	42%	56%	47%	49%	17%	.16
FLA Defense	13	24	18.7	45.3%	4.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	44%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Defense	12	36.3	37.6	48.7%	4.11	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	48%	51%	13%	.35
FLA Offense	13	21.6	29	39.8%	3.65	1.1	20	424	200	224	5.5	54%	46%	41%	39%	13%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Charlotte	12	29:32	21.2	40%	35%	6.7	58.5	1.8	1.3	4.9	1.4	0	30.7
Florida	13	29:02	20	40%	47%	6.8	50.1	1.1	2	5.4	1.8	2	28.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense	12	42%	47%	30.9	115.8	3.7	13	.09	3.19	66%	10%	0.98
FLA Defense	13	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.17	73%	10%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense	12	56%	48%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.29	73%	9%	1.07
FLA Offense	13	54%	41%	36.3	200.2	5.5	29	.26	3.17	80%	8%	1.29

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense	12	56%	49%	21.4	35.8	271.2	7.6	12.7	27	14	.31	1.5	29%	33%	.41	8%	2.2
FLA Defense	13	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.6	31%	39%	.46	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense	12	42%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.56	1.7	27%	37%	.74	4%	2.6
FLA Offense	13	46%	39%	15.3	28.2	223.8	8	14.6	18	9	.3	1.8	35%	30%	.43	5%	2.3

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 554.96 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.58 Florida: 9.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -22.1 Florida: 5.9

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 9.575 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 845.29 #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.6

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Florida 38
Charlotte 10

Projected Total Points: 48

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Florida	22	Charlotte	7	Florida -28	Charlotte	48.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	1	0	0 Overs
Charlotte	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#128) CHAR at (#26) FLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CHAR	FLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#128	#26
SP+SP+	#130	#42
Perf GradeGrade	#120	#47
OffenseOff	#124	#37
DefenseDef	#88	#83
Spec TeamsST	#29	#105
TalentTal	#79	#15
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#10

Charlotte Injury Report

Florida Injury Report

Charlotte on Offense


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	FLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#83
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#130	#90
SP+SP+	#128	#64
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Charlotte Run Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	#111	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#115

Charlotte Pass Game


CategoryCat	CHAR Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#115
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#120	#64
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	CHAR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#37	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#19	#77
SP+SP+	#42	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	CHAR Def
Run GameRun	#64	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#83

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	CHAR Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#18
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#63	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

CHAR 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Florida -28.0 (48.5)
Florida won vs Charlotte this year (22-7)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Charlotte in 2023 (22-7)

CHAR's OC Mike Miller (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trexler Ivey	112	203	55%	1263	4	10	6.2
Jalon Jones	67	109	62%	646	2	4	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalon Jones	110	476	4	4.3	58
Terron Kellman	82	328	1	4.0	18
Hahsaun Wilson	54	322	3	6.0	34
Shadrick Byrd	60	211	0	3.5	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jairus Mack	25	453	2	18.1	51
Colin Weber	34	362	0	10.6	45
Jack Hestera	28	349	3	12.5	37
Duane Thomas Jr.	24	244	0	10.2	51

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Ryan Osborn (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Knight II	89	6	2	0	4
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	71	9	2	0	3
Dontae Balfour (Tr)	54	1	0	0	10
Eyabi Anoma	48	10	6	9	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eyabi Anoma	48	10	6	9	1
Demon Clowney	31	4	3	4	0
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	71	9	2	0	3
Jaren Handy	27	6	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Dontae Balfour (Tr)	54	1	0	10
Demetrius Knight II	89	6	2	4
Dontez Fagan	21	3	0	4

FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)	260	357	73%	2878	20	3	8.1
Max Brown	19	28	68%	192	0	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Montrell Johnson	152	817	5	5.4	52
Trevor Etienne	131	753	8	5.7	62
Treyaun Webb	26	163	2	6.3	43
Ricky Pearsall	3	62	2	20.7	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky Pearsall	64	970	4	15.2	61
Eugene Wilson	61	538	6	8.8	30
Arlis Boardingham	26	289	4	11.1	25
Kahleil Jackson	21	251	1	12.0	45

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Castell	59	2	0	0	3
Shemar James	55	6	1	0	0
Scooby Williams	52	4	1	4	0
Jaydon Hill	39	4	2	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princely Umanmielen	39	11	7	16	0
Derek Wingo	18	4	3	2	1
Jaydon Hill	39	4	2	2	3
Kelby Collins	24	2	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Marshall Jr.	26	3	1	0	11
Jalen Kimber	23	0	0	1	5
Jordan Castell	59	2	0	0	3