Charlotte at Florida - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida -28 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida 22 - Charlotte: 7

49ers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Biff Poggi (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (23 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA 3rd straight Home Game
FLA is playing their 4th straight game
CHAR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida -27.5 (SP+ FLA -28)
Projected Score: CHAR: 12 - FLA: 40 (55)
FLA Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
CHAR Travel: 402 miles

Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (29 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CHAR Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Charlotte's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Charlotte vs South Carolina State	-24.0	44.5	W 24 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Charlotte at Maryland	+24.5	50.0	L 20 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Charlotte vs Georgia State	+6.5	52.0	L 25 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Charlotte at Florida	+28.0	48.5	L 7 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Charlotte at SMU	+22.5	53.0	L 16 - 34	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Charlotte vs Navy	+3.5	44.0	L 0 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/21	Charlotte at East Carolina	+6.0	39.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Fri 10/27	Charlotte vs Florida Atlantic	+3.5	45.5	L 16 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Charlotte at Tulsa	+4.5	47.5	W 33 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Charlotte vs Memphis	+9.5	51.5	L 38 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Charlotte vs Rice	-0.5	46.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/25	Charlotte at South Florida	+7.5	56.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule

Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Florida at Utah	+5.5	44.5	L 11 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida vs McNeese	-48.5	55.5	W 49 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/16	Florida vs Tennessee	+5.0	57.0	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida vs Charlotte	-28.0	48.5	W 22 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida at Kentucky	+1.0	44.0	L 14 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-18.0	51.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Florida at South Carolina	-1.0	50.0	W 41 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Florida vs Georgia	+14.0	50.0	L 20 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/4	Florida vs Arkansas	-4.5	50.0	L 36 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida at LSU	+14.0	68.5	L 35 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida at Missouri	+12.5	56.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida vs Florida State	+6.0	51.0	L 15 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR	.16	47%	23.7	47%	3.19	116	49%	271	4.07	.35	49%	35.1	48%	51%	4.11	58.5	1.8	1.3
FLA	.26	40%	28.3	41%	3.17	200	39%	224	3.65	.23	45%	23.1	47%	44%	4.36	50.1	1.1	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CHAR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Offense	12	23.7	23.2	47%	4.07	1.8	21	387	116	271	3.7	42%	56%	47%	49%	17%	.16
FLA Defense	13	23.1	21	45.3%	4.36	2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	47%	44%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CHAR Defense	12	35.1	36.8	48.7%	4.11	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	56%	42%	48%	51%	13%	.35
FLA Offense	13	28.3	29.3	39.8%	3.65	1.1	20	424	200	224	5.5	54%	46%	41%	39%	13%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Charlotte	12	29:32	21.2	40%	35%	6.7	58.5	1.8	1.3	4.9	1.4	0	30.7
Florida	13	29:02	20	40%	47%	6.8	50.1	1.1	2	5.4	1.8	2	28.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense	12	42%	47%	30.9	115.8	3.7	13	.09	3.19	66%	10%	0.98
FLA Defense	13	55%	47%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.17	73%	10%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense	12	56%	48%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.29	73%	9%	1.07
FLA Offense	13	54%	41%	36.3	200.2	5.5	29	.26	3.17	80%	8%	1.29

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense	12	56%	49%	21.4	35.8	271.2	7.6	12.7	27	14	.31	1.5	29%	33%	.41	8%	2.2
FLA Defense	13	44%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.28	1.6	31%	39%	.46	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense	12	42%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.56	1.7	27%	37%	.74	4%	2.6
FLA Offense	13	46%	39%	15.3	28.2	223.8	8	14.6	18	9	.3	1.8	35%	30%	.43	5%	2.3

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
2023 Talent Rating: 396.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Charlotte's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Charlotte's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -13.58 Florida: 9.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -22.1 Florida: 5.9

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 9.575 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Charlotte's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Florida 40
Charlotte 12

Projected Total Points: 55

Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.3
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Florida	22	Charlotte	7	Florida	Florida -28	Charlotte	48.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	1	0	0 Overs
Charlotte	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#128) Charlotte Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.58 #128
Offense Rating: 6.97 #130
Defense Rating: 10.44 #77
Overall SP+ Rating: -22.1 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #113
Talent Rating: 396.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60

Team Profile

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Charlotte Ratings Matchup Florida

Power #128

#26

Off #130

#19

Def #77

#90

Talent #115

#14

SP+ #130

#42

SP+ Off #128

#42

SP+ Def #113

#64

Rematch from Week 4
Florida -28.0 (48.5)
Florida won vs Charlotte this year (22-7)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Charlotte in 2023 (22-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 72°

Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | FLA
Depth Chart: CHAR | FLA
Rosters: CHAR | FLA

(#26) Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.575 #26
Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64
Talent Rating: 984.00 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 65 #10
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Charlotte's OC Mike Miller

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trexler Ivey	34	59	58%	326	3	2	5.5
Steven Johnson	3	3	100%	33	0	0	11.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Durell Robinson	107	731	8	6.8	68
Jaden Bradley (Tr)	1	6	0	6.0	6
Jack Hestera	1	4	0	4.0	4
Trexler Ivey	4	3	0	0.8	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Brown	35	470	1	13.4	42
Jack Hestera	24	340	4	14.2	32
Bryce Kennon	17	173	1	10.2	42
Jaden Bradley (Tr)	9	173	1	19.2	42

View Charlotte's Full Roster

Charlotte's DC Ryan Osborn

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Knight II	82	8	2	0	1
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Dontez Fagan	37	0	0	0	3
Treyveon McGee	33	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Demetrius Knight II	82	8	2	0	1
Miguel Jackson	12	2	2	0	0
Brian Bates Jr.	2	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikhai Hill-Green (Tr)	79	12	2	2	4
Dontez Fagan	37	0	0	0	3
Michael Kelly	21	1	0	0	2

Florida's OC Rob Sale

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)	72	94	77%	791	6	2	8.4
Max Brown	43	93	46%	561	3	6	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trevor Etienne	122	609	9	5.0	48
Montrell Johnson	100	593	6	5.9	71
Max Brown	33	85	0	2.6	20
Graham Mertz (Tr)	18	56	1	3.1	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caleb Douglas	55	765	6	13.9	57
Trevor Etienne	32	194	0	6.1	14
Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman	15	125	1	8.3	33
Montrell Johnson	13	64	0	4.9	12

View Florida's Full Roster

Florida's DC Austin Armstrong

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3
Scooby Williams	43	8	0	2	4
Chris McClellan	39	6	3	3	2
CamRon Jackson	37	5	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princely Umanmielen	37	14	11	13	0
Chris McClellan	39	6	3	3	2
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3
CamRon Jackson	37	5	2	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Scooby Williams	43	8	0	2	4
Jason Marshall Jr.	20	2	0	3	4
Shemar James	64	4	2	2	3