Florida at South Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview

Florida Gators at South Carolina Gamecocks

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Florida -1.0 (50.0) (105) Open: -2.5 | 53.5
Florida 41 - South Carolina: 39 (SEC)

Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (26 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.7 MPH
SC coming off BYE
FLA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Florida -2 (SP+ FLA -2.5)
Projected Score: FLA: 28 - SC: 26 (53)
FLA Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
FLA Travel: 309 miles

Gamecocks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (16 - 13)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FLA Players
SC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Florida at Utah	+5.5	44.5	L 11 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida vs McNeese	-48.5	55.5	W 49 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/16	Florida vs Tennessee	+5.0	57.0	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida vs Charlotte	-28.0	48.5	W 22 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Florida at Kentucky	+1.0	44.0	L 14 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/7	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-18.0	51.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Florida at South Carolina	-1.0	50.0	W 41 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Florida vs Georgia	+14.0	50.0	L 20 - 43	O	N
Sat 11/4	Florida vs Arkansas	-4.5	50.0	L 36 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/11	Florida at LSU	+14.0	68.5	L 35 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Florida at Missouri	+12.5	56.5	L 31 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida vs Florida State	+6.0	51.0	L 15 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

South Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Carolina vs North Carolina	-2.5	63.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/9	South Carolina vs Furman	-18.0	52.5	W 47 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	South Carolina at Georgia	+27.0	54.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Carolina vs Mississippi State	-6.0	46.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/30	South Carolina at Tennessee	+12.0	59.0	L 20 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	South Carolina vs Florida	+1.0	50.0	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	South Carolina at Missouri	+7.5	57.5	L 12 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/28	South Carolina at Texas A&M	+17.0	51.5	L 17 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/4	South Carolina vs Jacksonville State	-15.5	55.0	W 38 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/11	South Carolina vs Vanderbilt	-13.5	53.5	W 47 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	South Carolina vs Kentucky	-2.5	52.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	South Carolina vs Clemson	+7.5	48.0	L 7 - 16	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	#39 (.27)	44% (47)	28.4	43% (63)	3.11 (69)	152	45% (36)	257	4.7 (14)	#106 (.24)	38% (26)	27.6	36% (15)	40% (45)	4.08 (93)	49.6	1	0.6
SC	#67 (.2)	41% (86)	26	38% (120)	2.81 (117)	85	43% (54)	278	4.06 (51)	#80 (.2)	44% (92)	26.3	46% (97)	43% (85)	3.42 (36)	55.1	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	#72 (.18)	43% (64)		45% (54)	3.04 (66)	164	41% (82)	226	4.17 (46)	#53 (.14)	44% (95)		49% (118)	39% (44)	3.12 (14)	54	1.4	1.9
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)		44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)		45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	12	28.4	26.4	43.9%	4.7	1	22	409	152	257	4.3	48%	52%	43%	45%	16%	.27
SC Defense	12	26.3	22.3	43.8%	3.42	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	46%	43%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	12	27.6	36.2	37.9%	4.08	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	36%	40%	16%	.24
SC Offense	12	26	33.1	40.8%	4.06	1.1	18	363	85	278	2.8	41%	58%	38%	43%	20%	.2

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	12	33:06	21.6	37%	41%	6.6	49.6	1	0.6	4.9	1.8	0	26.4
South Carolina	12	28:17	18.1	34%	38%	7.1	55.1	1.1	1.4	4.6	1.8	2	30.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	12	48% (88)	43% (63)	35.2	151.6	4.3	21 (54)	.17 (59)	3.11 (69)	72% (85)	12% (114)	1 (64)
SC Defense	12	50% (72)	46% (97)	-	-	-	-	.16 (79)	3.2 (93)	77% (95)	8% (115)	0.86 (17)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	12	50% (71)	36% (15)	-	-	-	-	.16 (84)	2.97 (44)	59% (8)	10% (62)	1.28 (132)
SC Offense	12	41% (122)	38% (120)	30.8	85.1	2.8	17 (81)	.03 (122)	2.81 (117)	74% (73)	14% (128)	0.94 (96)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	12	52% (40)	45% (36)	23.4	32.4	257.2	7.9	11	20 (70)	5 (6)	.37 (33)	1.6 (76)	32% (79)	30% (74)	.43 (38)	4% (13)	2.1 (48)
SC Defense	12	49% (58)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.31 (92)	1.6 (50)	30% (107)	29% (51)	.29 (53)	8% (14)	2.2 (114)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	12	49% (71)	40% (45)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (132)	.35 (107)	1.9 (129)	34% (39)	28% (37)	.34 (82)	6% (82)	2.3 (120)
SC Offense	12	58% (12)	43% (54)	23.6	34.3	278	8.1	11.8	21 (65)	8 (30)	.33 (50)	1.6 (70)	37% (131)	30% (72)	.29 (81)	6% (81)	1.9 (111)

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 8.25 #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02 #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38 #90
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 65% #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9 #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 8.25 South Carolina: 4.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 5.9 South Carolina: 3.4

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 4.905 #56
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.50 #66
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.58 #94
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 35 #22
South Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 6.70
South Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #54
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.2

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida 28
South Carolina 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
South Carolina 31
Florida 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
South Carolina 31
Florida 26

Total Points: 57

South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

South Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	South Carolina	39	Florida	41	Florida -1.0	Florida	50.0	Over
2022	11/12	Florida	38	South Carolina	6	Florida -8	Florida	58.0	Under
2021	11/06	South Carolina	40	Florida	17	Florida -20.5	South Carolina	52.0	Over
2020	10/03	Florida	38	South Carolina	24	Florida -14.5	South Carolina	57.0	Over
2019	10/19	South Carolina	27	Florida	38	Florida -3.5	Florida	44.5	Over
2018	11/10	Florida	35	South Carolina	31	Florida -7	South Carolina	55.0	Over
2017	11/11	South Carolina	28	Florida	20	South Carolina -4.5	South Carolina	41.5	Over
2016	11/12	Florida	20	South Carolina	7	Florida -16	South Carolina	38.5	Under
2015	11/14	South Carolina	14	Florida	24	Florida -8.5	Florida	47.0	Under
2014	11/15	Florida	20	South Carolina	23	Florida -3.5	South Carolina	0
2013	11/16	South Carolina	19	Florida	14	South Carolina -11	Florida	0
2012	10/20	Florida	44	South Carolina	11
2011	11/12	South Carolina	17	Florida	12
2010	11/13	Florida	14	South Carolina	36
2009	11/14	South Carolina	14	Florida	24
2008	11/15	Florida	56	South Carolina	6
2007	11/10	South Carolina	31	Florida	51
2006	11/11	Florida	17	South Carolina	16
2005	11/12	South Carolina	30	Florida	22
2004	11/13	Florida	48	South Carolina	14
2003	11/15	South Carolina	22	Florida	24
2001	11/10	South Carolina	17	Florida	54
2000	11/10	Florida	41	South Carolina	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Carolina	7	6	6 Overs
Florida	16	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 9	3 - 8	2 - 5	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 14	8 - 3	3 - 1	5 - 2

(#26) FLA at (#56) SC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	SC
Power RatePwr	#26	#56
SP+SP+	#42	#54
Perf GradeGrade	#47	#94
OffenseOff	#37	#97
DefenseDef	#83	#95
Spec TeamsST	#105	#93
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#10	#22

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	SC Def
Perf GradePerf	#37	#95
SuccessSuc	#47	#92
ExplosiveExp	#61	#15
PPAPPA	#39	#80
PowerPwr	#19	#94
SP+SP+	#42	#60
Pts POPPO	#14	#36
HavocHav	#78	#72

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	SC Def
Run GameRun	#64	#87
Run SuccessRSuc	#63	#97
Run ExplRExp	#64	#17
PPAExp	#59	#79
Run BlockR Blk	#26	-
OL YdsOLY	#69	#93
Stuff RateStuff	#92	#123
TackleTak	-	#24

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	SC Def
Pass GamePass	#55	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	#36	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#76	#50
PPAExp	#33	#92
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#63	#45
F7 HavocF7	#114	#115
DB HavocDB	#13	#14

South Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	SC Off	FLA Def
Perf GradePerf	#97	#83
SuccessSuc	#86	#26
ExplosiveExp	#43	#133
PPAPPA	#67	#106
PowerPwr	#66	#90
SP+SP+	#58	#64
Pts POPPO	#51	#93
HavocHav	#123	#74

South Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	#102	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	#120	#15
Run ExplRExp	#96	#132
PPAExp	#122	#84
Run BlockR Blk	#123	-
OL YdsOLY	#117	#44
Stuff RateStuff	#78	#56
TackleTak	-	#115

South Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#115
Pass SuccessPSuc	#54	#45
Pass ExplPExl	#70	#129
PPAExp	#50	#107
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#107	#64
F7 HavocF7	#128	#62
DB HavocDB	#81	#82

Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 77° - Wind: 14 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Florida 1.0 (50.0)
Florida won at South Carolina this year (41-39)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat South Carolina in 2023 (41-39)
Florida beat South Carolina in 2022 (38-6)

FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)	260	357	73%	2878	20	3	8.1
Max Brown	19	28	68%	192	0	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Montrell Johnson	152	817	5	5.4	52
Trevor Etienne	131	753	8	5.7	62
Treyaun Webb	26	163	2	6.3	43
Ricky Pearsall	3	62	2	20.7	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky Pearsall	64	970	4	15.2	61
Eugene Wilson	61	538	6	8.8	30
Arlis Boardingham	26	289	4	11.1	25
Kahleil Jackson	21	251	1	12.0	45

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Castell	59	2	0	0	3
Shemar James	55	6	1	0	0
Scooby Williams	52	4	1	4	0
Jaydon Hill	39	4	2	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Princely Umanmielen	39	11	7	16	0
Derek Wingo	18	4	3	2	1
Jaydon Hill	39	4	2	2	3
Kelby Collins	24	2	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jason Marshall Jr.	26	3	1	0	11
Jalen Kimber	23	0	0	1	5
Jordan Castell	59	2	0	0	3

SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Spencer Rattler	275	399	69%	3186	19	8	8.0
Lanorris Sellers	4	4	100%	86	2	0	21.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Anderson	143	707	3	4.9	75
Dakereon Joyner	50	120	5	2.4	16
Spencer Rattler	98	102	4	1.0	28
Juju McDowell	26	63	2	2.4	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Legette	71	1255	7	17.7	76
Trey Knox (Tr)	37	312	2	8.4	22
Ahmarean Brown	26	265	1	10.2	44
Joshua Simon (Tr)	28	256	2	9.1	33

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Debo Williams	113	9	1	2	2
Jalon Kilgore	76	2	0	0	6
DQ Smith	73	2	1	0	2
Nick Emmanwori	71	0	0	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Strachan	20	8	5	2	1
T.J. Sanders	43	10	5	4	4
Tyreek Johnson	16	4	3	2	0
Bam Martin-Scott	38	4	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcellas Dial	36	2	1	0	10
Nick Emmanwori	71	0	0	1	8
Tonka Hemingway	32	5	2	6	7