Florida at South Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview
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Florida Gators at South Carolina Gamecocks

South Carolina logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Florida -1.0 (50.0) (105)  Open: -2.5 | 53.5
Florida 41 - South Carolina: 39  (SEC)

 
Gators (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (8 - 8)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SC coming off BYE
FLA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Florida -2  (SP+ FLA -2.5)
Projected Score: FLA: 25 - SC: 23 (47)
FLA Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
FLA Travel: 309 miles
Gamecocks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (16 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#92)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Florida at Utah+5.544.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/9 Florida vs McNeese-48.555.5W 49 - 7ON
Sat 9/16 Florida vs Tennessee+5.057.0W 29 - 16UY
Sat 9/23 Florida vs Charlotte-28.048.5W 22 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Florida at Kentucky+1.044.0L 14 - 33ON
Sat 10/7 Florida vs Vanderbilt-18.051.0W 38 - 14OY
Sat 10/14 Florida at South Carolina-1.050.0W 41 - 39OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Florida vs Georgia+14.050.0L 20 - 43ON
Sat 11/4 Florida vs Arkansas-4.550.0L 36 - 39ON
Sat 11/11 Florida at LSU+14.068.5L 35 - 52ON
Sat 11/18 Florida at Missouri+12.556.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 11/25 Florida vs Florida State+6.051.0L 15 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
South Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Carolina vs North Carolina-2.563.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 South Carolina vs Furman-18.052.5W 47 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 South Carolina at Georgia+27.054.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 9/23 South Carolina vs Mississippi State-6.046.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/30 South Carolina at Tennessee+12.059.0L 20 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 South Carolina vs Florida+1.050.0L 39 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 South Carolina at Missouri+7.557.5L 12 - 34UN
Sat 10/28 South Carolina at Texas A&M+17.051.5L 17 - 30UY
Sat 11/4 South Carolina vs Jacksonville State-15.555.0W 38 - 28ON
Sat 11/11 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-13.553.5W 47 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 South Carolina vs Kentucky-2.552.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/25 South Carolina vs Clemson+7.548.0L 7 - 16UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.2640%21.641%3.1720039%2243.65.2345%2447%44%4.3650.11.12
SC.2342%22.743%2.912041%2604.54.1945%22.152%39%4.1262.62.12
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1321.61339.8%3.651.1204242002245.554%46%41%39%13%.26
SC Defense1322.120.645.5%4.122 - - - - - 53%46%52%39%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense132430.445.3%4.362 - - - - - 55%44%47%44%14%.23
SC Offense1322.724.941.6%4.542.1193801202603.846%54%43%41%19%.23

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1329:022040%47%6.850.11.125.41.8228.3
South Carolina1328:4018.939%62%6.862.62.124.31.5530.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1354%41%36.3200.25.529.263.1780%8%1.29
SC Defense1353%52% - - - - .263.4885%8%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1355%47% - - - - .213.1773%10%1.05
SC Offense1346%43%31.5119.63.827.152.968%14%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1346%39%15.328.2223.8814.6189.31.835%30%.435%2.3
SC Defense1346%39% - - - - - - 15.191.630%34%.48%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1344%44% - - - - - - 9.281.631%39%.464%2
SC Offense1354%41%21.632.2259.98.1122314.321.832%32%.485%2.4

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 8.25  #26
Florida's Offense Rating: 23.02  #19
Florida's Defense Rating: 11.38  #90
2023 Talent Rating: 845.29  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 65%  #10
Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #42
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6  #42
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #64

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: 8.25   South Carolina: 4.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 5.9   South Carolina: 3.4




South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 4.905  #56
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.50  #66
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.58  #94
2023 Talent Rating: 763.02  #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 35  #22
South Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 6.70
South Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #54
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #58
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 25
South Carolina 23

Projected Total Points: 47
South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

South Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14South Carolina39Florida41Florida -1.0Florida50.0Over
202211/12Florida38South Carolina6Florida -8Florida58.0Under
202111/06South Carolina40Florida17Florida -20.5South Carolina52.0Over
202010/03Florida38South Carolina24Florida -14.5South Carolina57.0Over
201910/19South Carolina27Florida38Florida -3.5Florida44.5Over
201811/10Florida35South Carolina31Florida -7South Carolina55.0Over
201711/11South Carolina28Florida20South Carolina -4.5South Carolina41.5Over
201611/12Florida20South Carolina7Florida -16South Carolina38.5Under
201511/14South Carolina14Florida24Florida -8.5Florida47.0Under
201411/15Florida20South Carolina23Florida -3.5South Carolina0
201311/16South Carolina19Florida14South Carolina -11Florida0
201210/20Florida44South Carolina11
201111/12South Carolina17Florida12
201011/13Florida14South Carolina36
200911/14South Carolina14Florida24
200811/15Florida56South Carolina6
200711/10South Carolina31Florida51
200611/11Florida17South Carolina16
200511/12South Carolina30Florida22
200411/13Florida48South Carolina14
200311/15South Carolina22Florida24
200111/10South Carolina17Florida54
200011/10Florida41South Carolina21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Carolina766 Overs
Florida1653 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 93 - 82 - 51 - 3
Road Teams9 - 148 - 33 - 15 - 2

(#26) FLA at (#56) SC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLASC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #26 #56
SP+SP+ #42 #54
Perf GradeGrade #47 #94
OffenseOff #37 #97
DefenseDef #83 #95
Spec TeamsST #105 #93
TalentTal #15 #22
Blue ChipsBC% #10 #22
Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
FLA OffSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #37 #95
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #19 #94
SP+SP+ #42 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffSC Def
Run GameRun #64 #87
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #26 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #24
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #55 #109
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #63 #45
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatSC OffFLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #97 #83
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #66 #90
SP+SP+ #58 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
SC OffFLA Def
Run GameRun #102 #54
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #115
South Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatSC OffFLA Def
Pass GamePass #45 #115
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #107 #64
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams-Brice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Florida 1.0 (50.0)
Florida won at South Carolina this year (41-39)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat South Carolina in 2023 (41-39)

  
FLA's OC Rob Sale (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Graham Mertz (Tr)26035773%28782038.1
Max Brown192868%192016.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Montrell Johnson15281755.452
Trevor Etienne13175385.762
Treyaun Webb2616326.343
Ricky Pearsall362220.739
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky Pearsall64970415.261
Eugene Wilson6153868.830
Arlis Boardingham26289411.125
Kahleil Jackson21251112.045

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Castell592003
Shemar James556100
Scooby Williams524140
Jaydon Hill394223
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Princely Umanmielen39117160
Derek Wingo184321
Jaydon Hill394223
Kelby Collins242231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jason Marshall Jr.2631011
Jalen Kimber230015
Jordan Castell592003

SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Spencer Rattler27539969%31861988.0
Lanorris Sellers44100%862021.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Anderson14370734.975
Dakereon Joyner5012052.416
Spencer Rattler9810241.028
Juju McDowell266322.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Legette711255717.776
Trey Knox (Tr)3731228.422
Ahmarean Brown26265110.244
Joshua Simon (Tr)2825629.133

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Debo Williams1139122
Jalon Kilgore762006
DQ Smith732102
Nick Emmanwori710018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Strachan208521
T.J. Sanders4310544
Tyreek Johnson164320
Bam Martin-Scott384221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcellas Dial3621010
Nick Emmanwori710018
Tonka Hemingway325267