Nebraska at Illinois - 2023 Matchup Preview
Nebraska logo Nebraska Cornhuskers at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Friday, October 6th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Illinois -3.5 (43.0) (-155)  Open: -3.0 | 44.5
Nebraska 20 - Illinois: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (16 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
ILL is playing their 6th straight game
NEB is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Illinois -0   (SP+ NEB -2.5)
Projected Score: NEB: 22 - ILL: 22 (47)
ILL Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NEB Travel: 448 miles
Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (14 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nebraska's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Nebraska at Minnesota+7.543.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 9/9 Nebraska at Colorado+2.556.5L 14 - 36UN
Sat 9/16 Nebraska vs Northern Illinois-11.542.5W 35 - 11OY
Sat 9/23 Nebraska vs Louisiana Tech-20.544.5W 28 - 14UN
Sat 9/30 Nebraska vs Michigan+17.039.5L 7 - 45ON
Fri 10/6 Nebraska at Illinois+3.543.0W 20 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Nebraska vs Northwestern-10.540.0W 17 - 9UN
Sat 10/28 Nebraska vs Purdue+1.039.5W 31 - 14OY
Sat 11/4 Nebraska at Michigan State-3.034.5L 17 - 20ON
Sat 11/11 Nebraska vs Maryland+1.541.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/18 Nebraska at Wisconsin+7.536.5L 17 - 24OY
Fri 11/24 Nebraska vs Iowa-3.025.5L 10 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Illinois vs Toledo-7.045.5W 30 - 28ON
Fri 9/8 Illinois at Kansas+3.557.5L 23 - 34UN
Sat 9/16 Illinois vs Penn State+14.047.5L 13 - 30UN
Sat 9/23 Illinois vs Florida Atlantic-16.045.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 9/30 Illinois at Purdue+1.054.0L 19 - 44ON
Fri 10/6 Illinois vs Nebraska-3.543.0L 7 - 20UN
Sat 10/14 Illinois at Maryland+13.552.0W 27 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 Illinois vs Wisconsin+3.040.5L 21 - 25ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Illinois at Minnesota+1.543.0W 27 - 26OY
Sat 11/11 Illinois vs Indiana-4.543.5W 48 - 45ON
Sat 11/18 Illinois at Iowa+2.533.5L 13 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 Illinois vs Northwestern-5.046.5L 43 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEB.241%23.540%2.9712342%2213.84.247%19.552%43%4.1142.51.61.6
ILL.1544%28.343%3.0716845%2093.37-.0233%21.730%36%2.259.11.22.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEB Offense1223.516.441%3.841.6183441232213.551%49%40%42%17%.2
ILL Defense1321.717.632.8%2.22.5 - - - - - 45%53%30%36%22%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEB Defense1219.525.647.3%4.111.6 - - - - - 51%48%52%43%14%.2
ILL Offense1328.33243.8%3.371.221377168209454%46%43%45%13%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nebraska1226:4818.140%43%5.442.51.61.651.8126.7
Illinois1332:4121.238%48%6.459.11.22.56.12.1130.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEB Offense1251%40%35123.33.517.082.9776%11%0.86
ILL Defense1345%30% - - - - -.032.6450%11%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEB Defense1251%52% - - - - .23.3380%8%0.87
ILL Offense1354%43%41.9167.7418.083.0772%10%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEB Offense1249%42%17.128.3220.87.812.91713.351.734%29%.286%1.8
ILL Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 24.071.436%23%.0511%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEB Defense1248%43% - - - - - - 9.251.430%31%.226%1.9
ILL Offense1346%45%2130.2209.46.910155.251.430%32%.242%1.7

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 1.61 #53
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
2023 Talent Rating: 842.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Nebraska's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Nebraska's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 1.61   Illinois: 1.055

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 0.1   Illinois: -2.6




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 1.055 #63
Illinois's Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
2023 Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.6

Nebraska's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Nebraska 22
Illinois 22

Projected Total Points: 47
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/20Nebraska24Illinois31IllinoisNebraska -9.5Illinois41.5Over
202310/06Illinois7Nebraska20NebraskaIllinois -3.5Nebraska43.0Under
202210/29Nebraska9Illinois26IllinoisIllinois -7.5Illinois50.5Under
202108/28Illinois30Nebraska22IllinoisNebraska -6.5Illinois52.0Push
202011/21Nebraska23Illinois41IllinoisNebraska -17.0Illinois61.0Over
201909/21Illinois38Nebraska42NebraskaNebraska -13Illinois62.5Over
201811/10Nebraska54Illinois35NebraskaNebraska -17Nebraska71.0Over
201709/29Illinois6Nebraska28NebraskaNebraska -6.5Nebraska47.5Under
201610/01Nebraska31Illinois16NebraskaNebraska -21.5Illinois53.0Under
201510/03Illinois14Nebraska13IllinoisNebraska -7.5Illinois57.0Under
201409/27Nebraska45Illinois14NebraskaNebraska -19Nebraska0
201310/05Nebraska39Illinois19NebraskaNebraska -10.5Nebraska0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois574 Overs
Nebraska755 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 66 - 63 - 43 - 2
Road Teams6 - 66 - 62 - 34 - 3

(#53) Nebraska Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.61 #53
Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8
Talent Rating: 842.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile






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Nebraska     Ratings Matchup     Illinois
Power #53
#63
Off #121
#47
Def #28
#104
Talent #21
#62
SP+ #65
#75
SP+ Off #123
#90
SP+ Def #8
#49

Rematch from Week 6
Illinois -3.5 (43.0)
Nebraska won at Illinois this year (20-7)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Nebraska last year (31-24)
Nebraska beat Illinois in 2023 (20-7)
Illinois beat Nebraska in 2022 (26-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 51° - Wind: 14 mph


Team Information
Injuries: NEB | ILL
Depth Chart: NEB | ILL
Rosters: NEB | ILL
(#63) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.055 #63
Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49
Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Team Profile






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Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Brian Buschini22100%380019.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahmir Johnson5426014.822
Jeff Sims (Tr)2410114.212
Maurice Mazzccua5801.65
Isaiah Neyor2603.013
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Neyor34455513.459
Thomas Fidone Jr.36373010.433
Rahmir Johnson2117918.536
Jake Appleget445011.320

View Nebraska's Full Roster
Nebraska's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Randolph Kpai805153
Isaac Gifford734011
John Bullock7010435
Javier Morton480001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ty Robinson3713674
John Bullock7010435
MJ Sherman (Tr)295440
Nash Hutmacher244210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamon Lynum372106
John Bullock7010435
Ty Robinson3713674

Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Reggie Love III8337224.522
Patrick Bryant51402.87
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Patrick Bryant539781018.564
Eian Pugh53707.414
Reggie Love III72103.06
Owen Anderson21316.511

View Illinois's Full Roster
Illinois's DC Aaron Henry
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Seth Coleman537353
Ryan Meed501011
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Tahveon Nicholson323001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Seth Coleman537353
Te-Rah Edwards385370
Dylan Davis192110
Christian Lorenzo171131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Seth Coleman537353
Zachary Tobe172003
Ryan Meed501011