Iowa at Nebraska - 2023 Matchup Preview

Friday, November 24th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Nebraska -3 (25.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Iowa 13 - Nebraska: 10 (Big Ten)

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (189 - 115)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 7.4 (#66)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEB is playing their 6th straight game
IOWA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Iowa -0.5 (SP+ IOWA -8)
Projected Score: IOWA: 19 - NEB: 19 (38)
NEB Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
IOWA Travel: 274 miles

Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IOWA Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa vs Utah State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/9	Iowa at Iowa State	-3.5	35.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Iowa vs Western Michigan	-28.5	43.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Iowa at Penn State	+14.0	38.5	L 0 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Iowa vs Michigan State	-10.0	36.5	W 26 - 16	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa vs Purdue	-2.5	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa at Wisconsin	+8.0	33.5	W 15 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Iowa vs Minnesota	-3.0	30.5	L 10 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Iowa vs Northwestern	-4.5	30.5	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa vs Rutgers	+2.5	27.5	W 22 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa vs Illinois	-2.5	33.5	W 15 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/24	Iowa at Nebraska	+3.0	25.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Iowa vs Michigan	+23.5	35.0	L 0 - 26	U	N
Mon 1/1	Iowa vs Tennessee	+4.5	37.0	L 0 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Nebraska's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Nebraska at Minnesota	+7.5	43.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Nebraska at Colorado	+2.5	56.5	L 14 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nebraska vs Northern Illinois	-11.5	42.5	W 35 - 11	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Nebraska vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	44.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/30	Nebraska vs Michigan	+17.0	39.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Fri 10/6	Nebraska at Illinois	+3.5	43.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-10.5	40.0	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/28	Nebraska vs Purdue	+1.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nebraska at Michigan State	-3.0	34.5	L 17 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/11	Nebraska vs Maryland	+1.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/18	Nebraska at Wisconsin	+7.5	36.5	L 17 - 24	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Nebraska vs Iowa	-3.0	25.5	L 10 - 13	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		36%	29.3	38%	2.45	95	35%	157	2.76	-.05	34%	16.1	38%	32%	2.75	32.3	1.3	2.2
NEB	.2	41%	28.7	40%	2.97	123	42%	221	3.84	.2	47%	24.6	52%	43%	4.11	42.5	1.6	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	13	29.3	29.8	35.8%	2.76	1.3	14	252	95	157	2.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	18%
NEB Defense	12	24.6	20.9	47.3%	4.11	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	52%	43%	14%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	13	16.1	17.2	34.4%	2.75	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	32%	17%	-.05
NEB Offense	12	28.7	36.1	41%	3.84	1.6	18	344	123	221	3.5	51%	49%	40%	42%	17%	.2

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	13	28:16	13.8	28%	33%	4.1	32.3	1.3	2.2	6.1	2.6	4	31.9
Nebraska	12	26:48	18.1	40%	43%	5.4	42.5	1.6	1.6	5	1.8	1	26.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	13	49%	38%	32.5	94.9	2.9	12	-.05	2.45	63%	13%	0.84
NEB Defense	12	51%	52%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.33	80%	8%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	74%	11%	0.76
NEB Offense	12	51%	40%	35	123.3	3.5	17	.08	2.97	76%	11%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	13	51%	35%	14.8	26.8	156.7	5.8	10.6	7	7	.06	1.5	36%	22%	.08	5%	2
NEB Defense	12	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.4	30%	31%	.22	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	13	49%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	-.01	1.4	34%	22%	-.02	6%	1.6
NEB Offense	12	49%	42%	17.1	28.3	220.8	7.8	12.9	17	13	.35	1.7	34%	29%	.28	6%	1.8

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Iowa's Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Iowa's Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
2023 Talent Rating: 692.62 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40
Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: -0.08 Nebraska: 3.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 8.1 Nebraska: 0.1

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
2023 Talent Rating: 765.20 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Nebraska's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Nebraska's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 19
Nebraska 19

Projected Total Points: 38

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Nebraska	16	Iowa	40	Iowa -5.5	Iowa	38.5	Over
2024	11/29	Iowa	13	Nebraska	10	Iowa -3.5	Nebraska	41.5	Under
2023	11/24	Nebraska	10	Iowa	13	Nebraska -3	Iowa	25.5	Under
2022	11/25	Iowa	17	Nebraska	24	Iowa -10.5	Nebraska	38.0	Over
2021	11/26	Nebraska	21	Iowa	28	Nebraska -1.5	Iowa	41.0	Over
2020	11/27	Iowa	26	Nebraska	20	Iowa -12.5	Nebraska	53.5	Under
2019	11/29	Nebraska	24	Iowa	27	Iowa -4	Nebraska	46.0	Over
2018	11/23	Iowa	31	Nebraska	28	Iowa -7.5	Nebraska	52.0	Over
2017	11/24	Nebraska	14	Iowa	56	Iowa -5	Iowa	50.5	Over
2016	11/25	Iowa	40	Nebraska	10	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	45.5	Over
2015	11/27	Nebraska	20	Iowa	28	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	57.5	Under
2014	11/28	Iowa	34	Nebraska	37	Iowa -1	Nebraska	53.0	Over
2013	11/29	Nebraska	17	Iowa	38	Nebraska -3	Iowa	0
2012	11/23	Iowa	7	Nebraska	13
2011	11/25	Nebraska	20	Iowa	7
2000	09/22	Nebraska	42	Iowa	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	5	6	8 Overs
Iowa	11	7	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 10	2 - 11	1 - 8	1 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 6	11 - 2	3 - 1	8 - 1

(#61) IOWA at (#53) NEB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	IOWA	NEB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#61	#53
SP+SP+	#36	#65
Perf GradeGrade	#53	#98
OffenseOff	#134	#125
DefenseDef	#4	#40
Spec TeamsST	#5	#9
TalentTal	#41	#21
Blue ChipsBC%	#38	#27

Iowa Injury Report

Nebraska Injury Report

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NEB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#40
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#133	#28
SP+SP+	#127	#8
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#134	#51
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#15

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#33
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#98	#91
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nebraska on Offense


CategoryCat	NEB Off	IOWA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#125	#4
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#121	#3
SP+SP+	#123	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nebraska Run Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#128	#1
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#3

Nebraska Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#76	#42
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Nebraska -3.0 (25.5)
Iowa won at Nebraska this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Nebraska last year (40-16)
Iowa beat Nebraska in 2024 (13-10)
Iowa beat Nebraska in 2023 (13-10)

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deacon Hill (Tr)	122	251	49%	1152	5	8	4.6
Cade McNamara (Tr)	46	90	51%	505	4	3	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Leshon Williams	170	821	1	4.8	82
Kaleb Johnson	117	463	3	4.0	67
Jaziun Patterson	58	206	2	3.6	59
Kamari Moulton	27	93	2	3.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Erick All (Tr)	21	299	3	14.2	34
Nico Ragaini	31	255	0	8.2	29
Kaleb Brown	22	215	1	9.8	31
Addison Ostrenga	31	192	2	6.2	19

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Higgins	171	5	2	3	3
Nick Jackson (Tr)	110	8	4	7	2
Sebastian Castro	67	8	0	1	8
Quinn Schulte	65	3	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joe Evans	46	14	9	10	5
Nick Jackson (Tr)	110	8	4	7	2
Yahya Black	50	5	4	2	4
Logan Lee	55	6	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jermari Harris	42	1	0	0	8
Sebastian Castro	67	8	0	1	8
Joe Evans	46	14	9	10	5

NEB's OC Marcus Satterfield (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Heinrich Haarberg	77	157	49%	967	7	7	6.2
Chubba Purdy	31	57	54%	382	2	3	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Heinrich Haarberg	120	477	5	4.0	72
Anthony Grant	104	413	3	4.0	34
Emmett Johnson	90	411	2	4.6	29
Gabe Ervin	38	196	1	5.2	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Billy Kemp (Tr)	35	310	1	8.9	34
Thomas Fidone Jr.	25	260	4	10.4	29
Jaylen Lloyd	6	237	3	39.5	73
Alex Bullock	15	221	1	14.7	34

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Tony White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Gifford	86	7	1	0	8
Javin Wright	51	2	1	0	2
Omar Brown	51	3	0	0	3
John Bullock	50	3	2	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jimari Butler	34	9	6	1	2
Luke Reimer	48	8	5	5	0
Nash Hutmacher	40	8	5	4	2
Cameron Lenhardt	16	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Tommi Hill	26	1	0	9
Isaac Gifford	86	7	1	8
Malcolm Hartzog	40	2	0	6