UNLV at UTEP - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
UTEP -1 (49.5) (0) Open: 0.0
UNLV 45 - UTEP: 28

Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTEP is playing their 4th straight game
UNLV is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UNLV -11.5 (SP+ UNLV -18)
Projected Score: UNLV: 32 - UTEP: 21 (53)
UTEP Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
UNLV Travel: 580 miles, 1 hrs behind

Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
UTEP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UNLV vs Bryant	-16.5	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UNLV at Michigan	+38.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UNLV vs Vanderbilt	+4.5	56.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UNLV at UTEP	+1.0	49.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-10.5	58.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	51.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	UNLV vs Colorado State	-6.5	60.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/28	UNLV at Fresno State	+10.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UNLV at New Mexico	-10.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/10	UNLV vs Wyoming	-2.5	48.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UNLV at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UNLV vs San José State	-3.5	58.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 12/2	UNLV vs Boise State	+2.5	58.0	L 20 - 44	O	N
Tue 12/26	UNLV vs Kansas	+8.0	64.5	L 36 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

UTEP's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	UTEP at Jacksonville State	-1.5	54.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	UTEP vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	57.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UTEP at Northwestern	+1.0	40.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	UTEP at Arizona	+18.0	57.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	UTEP vs UNLV	-1.0	49.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
Fri 9/29	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11	UTEP at Florida International	-1.5	44.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Wed 10/18	UTEP vs New Mexico State	+3.0	48.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Wed 10/25	UTEP at Sam Houston	+4.0	38.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/4	UTEP vs Western Kentucky	+9.5	54.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	UTEP at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	48.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UTEP vs Liberty	+18.0	54.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.18	40%	34.1	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	28	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1
UTEP	.15	41%	23.3	44%	3.39	167	40%	219	2.9	.22	43%	30.4	43%	43%	4.03	55.8	1.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTEP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	12	34.1	34.7	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18
UTEP Defense	12	30.4	26.8	42.8%	4.03	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	43%	19%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	12	28	29.3	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2
UTEP Offense	12	23.3	24	41.4%	2.9	1.8	21	386	167	219	4.3	51%	48%	44%	40%	15%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1
UTEP	12	33:46	21	39%	57%	6.5	55.8	1.8	1.9	5.8	2.3	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07
UTEP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.12	64%	13%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8
UTEP Offense	12	51%	44%	38.6	167.2	4.3	14	.17	3.39	73%	9%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1
UTEP Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.42	1.9	32%	34%	.42	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2
UTEP Offense	12	48%	40%	16.9	31.7	218.8	6.9	12.9	15	12	.17	1.7	34%	29%	.18	7%	2.2

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -1.91 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 354.46 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.91 UTEP: -11.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 2.0 UTEP: -15.9

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.215 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 379.64 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 32
UTEP 21

Projected Total Points: 53

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.8

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	UTEP	28	UNLV	45	UTEP -1	UNLV	49.5	Over
2018	09/08	UNLV	52	UTEP	24	UNLV -22.5	UNLV	53.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTEP	0	0	2 Overs
UNLV	2	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#76) UNLV at (#123) UTEP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNLV	UTEP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#76	#123
SP+SP+	#60	#120
Perf GradeGrade	#78	#57
OffenseOff	#60	#49
DefenseDef	#110	#68
Spec TeamsST	#99	#26
TalentTal	#119	#114
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

UNLV Injury Report

UTEP Injury Report

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UTEP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#60	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#52	#116
SP+SP+	#35	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UTEP Def
Run GameRun	#72	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	UTEP Def
Pass GamePass	#98	#80
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#43	#5
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UTEP on Offense


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	UNLV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#49	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#77	#73
SP+SP+	#116	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTEP Run Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#70	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#12	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#61

UTEP Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#113	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#2	#39
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
UTEP -1.0 (49.5)
UNLV won at UTEP this year (45-28)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat UTEP in 2023 (45-28)

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Maiava	224	353	64%	3085	17	10	8.7
Doug Brumfield	26	50	52%	252	0	2	5.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vincent Davis (Tr)	145	760	7	5.2	69
Jai'Den Thomas	108	503	12	4.7	46
Donavyn Lester	95	455	9	4.8	66
Jayden Maiava	73	277	3	3.8	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky White	88	1483	8	16.9	82
Jacob De Jesus	60	606	2	10.1	48
Senika McKie	23	342	1	14.9	50
Kaleo Ballungay	18	314	2	17.4	84

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	97	9	3	2	2
Marsel McDuffie	78	2	1	0	2
Johnathan Baldwin	65	3	1	0	4
Fred Thompkins	54	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alex Whitmore	30	6	3	3	0
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	97	9	3	2	2
Cooper Webb	26	4	2	1	0
Cameron Oliver	50	6	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ricky Johnson	33	3	0	7
Johnathan Baldwin	65	3	1	4
Jett Elad	52	3	0	4

UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade McConnell	92	172	54%	1437	6	4	8.4
Gavin Hardison	73	129	57%	947	5	7	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Deion Hankins	157	812	5	5.2	54
Torrance Burgess Jr.	124	620	2	5.0	40
Mike Franklin	45	180	3	4.0	21
Ezell Jolly	15	53	0	3.5	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kelly Akharaiyi	48	1033	7	21.5	80
Jeremiah Ballard	34	551	1	16.2	50
Torrance Burgess Jr.	17	227	0	13.4	51
Tyrin Smith	19	191	1	10.1	24

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6
James Neal	67	2	1	4	2
Kobe Hylton	47	1	0	1	4
Maurice Westmoreland	34	9	8	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maurice Westmoreland	34	9	8	4	2
Praise Amaewhule	24	6	5	7	2
Kanious Vaughn	19	6	5	1	0
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
A.J. Odums (Tr)	30	1	0	0	7
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6
Torey Richardson	26	3	1	0	6