UTEP at Sam Houston - 2023 Matchup Preview

UTEP Miners at Sam Houston Bearkats

Wednesday, October 25th 2023 (8:00 PM EDT)
Sam Houston State -4 (38.5) (0) Open: 0.0
UTEP 37 - Sam Houston: 34 (Conference USA)

Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (20 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SHSU 2nd straight Home Game
SHSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Sam Houston -4.5 (SP+ SHSU -2)
Projected Score: UTEP: 21 - SHSU: 26 (47)
SHSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UTEP Travel: 652 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 18 - 38 (18 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTEP Players
SHSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTEP's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	UTEP at Jacksonville State	-1.5	54.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	UTEP vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	57.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UTEP at Northwestern	+1.0	40.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	UTEP at Arizona	+18.0	57.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	UTEP vs UNLV	-1.0	49.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
Fri 9/29	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11	UTEP at Florida International	-1.5	44.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Wed 10/18	UTEP vs New Mexico State	+3.0	48.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Wed 10/25	UTEP at Sam Houston	+4.0	38.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/4	UTEP vs Western Kentucky	+9.5	54.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	UTEP at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	48.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UTEP vs Liberty	+18.0	54.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Sam Houston at BYU	+19.0	46.5	L 0 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Sam Houston vs Air Force	+13.5	36.5	L 3 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Sam Houston at Houston	+11.5	37.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Thu 9/28	Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State	+6.5	36.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Thu 10/5	Sam Houston at Liberty	+21.0	46.5	L 16 - 21	U	Y
Wed 10/11	Sam Houston at New Mexico State	+4.5	43.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Wed 10/18	Sam Houston vs Florida International	-6.0	42.0	L 27 - 33	O	N
Wed 10/25	Sam Houston vs UTEP	-4.0	38.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/4	Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State	-16.5	41.5	W 24 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/11	Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech	+8.5	49.5	W 42 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Sam Houston at Western Kentucky	+12.5	52.0	L 23 - 28	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee	+3.5	49.5	W 23 - 20	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP	.15	41%	23.3	44%	3.39	167	40%	219	2.9	.22	43%	30.4	43%	43%	4.03	55.8	1.8	1.9
SHSU		35%	17.8	41%	2.69	0	30%	0	2.55	.06	35%	37.8	36%	35%	2.98	0	0	0

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SHSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Offense	12	23.3	20.2	41.4%	2.9	1.8	21	386	167	219	4.3	51%	48%	44%	40%	15%	.15
SHSU Defense	1	37.8	37.8	35%	2.98	0	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	36%	35%	2884%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Defense	12	30.4	37.4	42.8%	4.03	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	43%	19%	.22
SHSU Offense	1	17.8	17.8	35.3%	2.55	0	0	0	0	0	0	49%	51%	41%	30%	1398%

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTEP	12	33:46	21	39%	57%	6.5	55.8	1.8	1.9	5.8	2.3	1	27.1
Sam Houston	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense	12	51%	44%	38.6	167.2	4.3	14	.17	3.39	73%	9%	0.94
SHSU Defense	1	45%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.36	70%	2882%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.12	64%	13%	0.95
SHSU Offense	1	49%	41%	0	0	0	0	.08	2.69	71%	1396%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense	12	48%	40%	16.9	31.7	218.8	6.9	12.9	15	12	.17	1.7	34%	29%	.18	7%	2.2
SHSU Defense	1	54%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.18	1.7	37%	25%	.22	2%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.42	1.9	32%	34%	.42	6%	2.1
SHSU Offense	1	51%	30%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-.07	1.6	36%	28%	.26	2%	2.2

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.53 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 379.64 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -11.53 Sam Houston: -9.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -15.9 Sam Houston: -13.5

Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -9.21 #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
2023 Talent Rating: 240.42 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Sam Houston 26
UTEP 21

Projected Total Points: 47

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.8

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/15	Sam Houston	17	UTEP	35	UTEP -3.5	UTEP	46.5	Over
2024	10/03	UTEP	21	Sam Houston	41	Sam Houston -10	Sam Houston	49.5	Over
2023	10/25	Sam Houston	34	UTEP	37	Sam Houston State -4	UTEP	38.5	Over
2003	09/27	UTEP	59	Sam Houston	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Sam Houston	1	1	3 Overs
UTEP	3	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 3	0 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 1	3 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0

(#123) UTEP at (#118) SHSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTEP	SHSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#123	#118
SP+SP+	#120	#112
Perf GradeGrade	#57	#103
OffenseOff	#49	#121
DefenseDef	#68	#28
Spec TeamsST	#26	#129
TalentTal	#114	#132
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

UTEP Injury Report

Sam Houston Injury Report

UTEP on Offense


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	SHSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#49	#28
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#77	#57
SP+SP+	#116	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTEP Run Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	SHSU Def
Run GameRun	#70	#73
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#12	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#13

UTEP Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	SHSU Def
Pass GamePass	#113	#8
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#2	#107
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Sam Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	SHSU Off	UTEP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#121	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#113	#116
SP+SP+	#120	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Sam Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	SHSU Off	UTEP Def
Run GameRun	#136	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#132	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

Sam Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	SHSU Off	UTEP Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#80
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#90	#5
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SHSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bowers Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Sam Houston -4.0 (38.5)
UTEP won at Sam Houston this year (37-34)

Previous Matchups
UTEP beat Sam Houston last year (35-17)
Sam Houston beat UTEP in 2024 (41-21)
UTEP beat Sam Houston in 2023 (37-34)

UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade McConnell	92	172	54%	1437	6	4	8.4
Gavin Hardison	73	129	57%	947	5	7	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Deion Hankins	157	812	5	5.2	54
Torrance Burgess Jr.	124	620	2	5.0	40
Mike Franklin	45	180	3	4.0	21
Ezell Jolly	15	53	0	3.5	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kelly Akharaiyi	48	1033	7	21.5	80
Jeremiah Ballard	34	551	1	16.2	50
Torrance Burgess Jr.	17	227	0	13.4	51
Tyrin Smith	19	191	1	10.1	24

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6
James Neal	67	2	1	4	2
Kobe Hylton	47	1	0	1	4
Maurice Westmoreland	34	9	8	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maurice Westmoreland	34	9	8	4	2
Praise Amaewhule	24	6	5	7	2
Kanious Vaughn	19	6	5	1	0
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
A.J. Odums (Tr)	30	1	0	0	7
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6
Torey Richardson	26	3	1	0	6

SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keegan Shoemaker	264	419	63%	2504	15	11	6.0
Grant Gunnell	14	22	64%	100	0	1	4.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
John Gentry (Tr)	119	394	3	3.3	28
Keegan Shoemaker	93	254	1	2.7	29
Adrian Murdaugh	26	117	2	4.5	48
Noah Smith	27	106	2	3.9	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Noah Smith	79	782	6	9.9	42
Malik Phillips	35	430	1	12.3	41
Al'Vonte Woodard	31	339	2	10.9	26
John Gentry (Tr)	35	261	2	7.5	56

View Sam Houston's Full Roster

SHSU's DC Clayton Carlin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trevor Williams	114	8	2	4	0
Kavian Gaither	62	5	1	0	1
Caleb Weaver	42	1	0	0	4
Da'Marcus Crosby	42	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Nixon	23	6	5	1	1
Chris Scott	15	4	3	0	0
Trevor Williams	114	8	2	4	0
Markel Perry	30	5	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Da'Veawn Armstead	9	0	5
Dakerric Hobbs	28	1	5
Caleb Weaver	42	1	4