Western Kentucky at UTEP Game Matchup

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at UTEP Miners

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -9.5 (54.5) (-410) Open: -11.5
Western Kentucky 21 - UTEP: 13 (Conference USA)

Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (34 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#49)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTEP is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Western Kentucky -10 (SP+ WKU -14.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 32 - UTEP: 22 (51)
WKU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
WKU Travel: 1196 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (26 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
UTEP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Kentucky vs South Florida	-13.5	71.5	W 41 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian	-41.5	64.5	W 52 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/16	Western Kentucky at Ohio State	+29.5	65.0	L 10 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Kentucky at Troy	+3.5	57.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	61.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	-6.0	59.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	-7.5	60.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Tue 10/24	Western Kentucky vs Liberty	+4.0	61.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Western Kentucky at UTEP	-9.5	54.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-4.5	55.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston	-12.5	52.0	W 28 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-11.5	54.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Mon 12/18	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	+4.0	49.0	W 38 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

UTEP's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	UTEP at Jacksonville State	-1.5	54.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	UTEP vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	57.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UTEP at Northwestern	+1.0	40.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	UTEP at Arizona	+18.0	57.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	UTEP vs UNLV	-1.0	49.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
Fri 9/29	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11	UTEP at Florida International	-1.5	44.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Wed 10/18	UTEP vs New Mexico State	+3.0	48.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Wed 10/25	UTEP at Sam Houston	+4.0	38.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/4	UTEP vs Western Kentucky	+9.5	54.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	UTEP at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	48.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UTEP vs Liberty	+18.0	54.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	.28	44%	24.9	43%	3.17	145	46%	352	3.63	.11	41%	24.6	44%	40%	4.02	57.5	1.6	2.9
UTEP	.15	41%	19.5	44%	3.39	167	40%	219	2.9	.22	43%	32.3	43%	43%	4.03	55.8	1.8	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTEP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	14	24.9	24.9	44.5%	3.63	1.6	25	497	145	352	4.9	37%	62%	43%	46%	17%	.28
UTEP Defense	12	32.3	28.8	42.8%	4.03	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	43%	19%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	14	24.6	33.9	41.4%	4.02	2.9	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	44%	40%	17%	.11
UTEP Offense	12	19.5	26.2	41.4%	2.9	1.8	21	386	167	219	4.3	51%	48%	44%	40%	15%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	14	28:57	24.6	42%	40%	6.2	57.5	1.6	2.9	4.9	2.3	5	30
UTEP	12	33:46	21	39%	57%	6.5	55.8	1.8	1.9	5.8	2.3	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	14	37%	43%	29.6	145.1	4.9	15	.18	3.17	71%	7%	1.05
UTEP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.12	64%	13%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	14	48%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	79%	10%	0.96
UTEP Offense	12	51%	44%	38.6	167.2	4.3	14	.17	3.39	73%	9%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	14	62%	46%	28.7	44.4	352.3	7.9	12.3	43	12	.39	1.7	31%	37%	.52	10%	2.4
UTEP Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.42	1.9	32%	34%	.42	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	14	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.12	1.4	33%	25%	.14	7%	2
UTEP Offense	12	48%	40%	16.9	31.7	218.8	6.9	12.9	15	12	.17	1.7	34%	29%	.18	7%	2.2

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
2023 Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40
Western Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.01 UTEP: -11.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.5 UTEP: -15.9

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.215 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 182.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 300
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.9

Western Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 32
UTEP 22

Projected Total Points: 51

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 19.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/10	Western Kentucky	44	UTEP	17	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -19	Western Kentucky	55.5	Over
2023	11/04	UTEP	13	Western Kentucky	21	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -9.5	UTEP	54.5	Under
2018	11/17	Western Kentucky	40	UTEP	16	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -6.5	Western Kentucky	47.5	Over
2017	10/07	UTEP	14	Western Kentucky	15	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -16.5	UTEP	53.5	Under
2014	11/08	Western Kentucky	35	UTEP	27	Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky -9	UTEP	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTEP	0	3	2 Overs
Western Kentucky	5	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	4 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	1 - 4	0 - 2	1 - 2

(#70) Western Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86
Talent Rating: 298.00 #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40

Team Profile

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Western Kentucky Ratings Matchup UTEP

Power #70

#123

Off #46

#77

Def #70

#116

Talent #125

#130

SP+ #72

#120

SP+ Off #55

#116

SP+ Def #86

#100

Rematch from Week 10
Western Kentucky 9.5 (54.5)
Western Kentucky won at UTEP this year (21-13)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat UTEP last year (44-17)
Western Kentucky beat UTEP in 2023 (21-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71°

Team Information
Injuries: WKU | UTEP
Depth Chart: WKU | UTEP
Rosters: WKU | UTEP

(#123) UTEP Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.215 #123
Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100
Talent Rating: 182.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile

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Western Kentucky's OC Drew Hollingshead

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dalvin Smith	3	4	75%	107	2	0	26.8
Elijah Young	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Young	201	883	3	4.4	30
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	48	182	4	3.8	29
Michael Mathison	7	34	1	4.9	12
Dalvin Smith	1	-11	0	-11.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	39	476	2	12.2	32
Dalvin Smith	30	397	4	13.2	65
Elijah Young	47	384	2	8.2	29
Michael Mathison	13	143	2	11.0	36

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

Western Kentucky's DC Tyson Summers

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sebastian Benjamin	56	6	4	5	0
Upton Stout	53	8	1	3	1
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Demarko Williams	37	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sebastian Benjamin	56	6	4	5	0
Terrion Thompson	30	2	2	0	1
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Marquis Black (Tr)	2	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmyn Baker	42	2	2	1	2
Demarko Williams	37	2	0	0	1
Terrion Thompson	30	2	2	0	1

UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Marcus Bellon	1	2	50%	44	1	0	22.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Torrance Burgess Jr.	60	367	2	6.1	57
Deion Hankins	62	272	2	4.4	47
Marcus Bellon	9	37	0	4.1	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Marcus Bellon	39	522	4	13.4	63
Kelly Akharaiyi	25	391	2	15.6	49
Marcus Vinson	12	113	2	9.4	52
Torrance Burgess Jr.	10	111	0	11.1	22

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Neal	50	2	0	1	1
Bryton Thompson	39	6	2	1	0
Trez Moore	26	3	0	2	4
Torey Richardson	23	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Bryton Thompson	39	6	2	1
Sione Tonga'Uiha	20	4	2	0
RaQuan Thompson	20	3	1	2
Tevita Tafuna	16	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Trez Moore	26	3	2	4
Torey Richardson	23	1	0	3
James Neal	50	2	1	1