Western Kentucky at UTEP - 2023 Matchup Preview
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Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at UTEP Miners

UTEP logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (9:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -9.5 (54.5) (-410)  Open: -11.5
Western Kentucky 21 - UTEP: 13  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (34 - 22)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (25 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#49)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UTEP is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Western Kentucky -10  (SP+ WKU -14.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 32 - UTEP: 22 (54)
WKU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
WKU Travel: 1196 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Western Kentucky vs South Florida-13.571.5W 41 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian-41.564.5W 52 - 22ON
Sat 9/16 Western Kentucky at Ohio State+29.565.0L 10 - 63ON
Sat 9/23 Western Kentucky at Troy+3.557.0L 24 - 27UY
Thu 9/28 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-6.561.0W 31 - 10UY
Thu 10/5 Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech-6.059.0W 35 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State-7.560.5L 17 - 20UN
Tue 10/24 Western Kentucky vs Liberty+4.061.5L 29 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Western Kentucky at UTEP-9.554.5W 21 - 13UN
Sat 11/11 Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State-4.555.5L 29 - 38ON
Sat 11/18 Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston-12.552.0W 28 - 23UN
Sat 11/25 Western Kentucky at Florida International-11.554.0W 41 - 28OY
Mon 12/18 Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion+4.049.0W 38 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
UTEP's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 UTEP at Jacksonville State-1.554.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/2 UTEP vs Incarnate Word-7.557.5W 28 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 UTEP at Northwestern+1.040.0L 7 - 38ON
Sat 9/16 UTEP at Arizona+18.057.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/23 UTEP vs UNLV-1.049.5L 28 - 45ON
Fri 9/29 UTEP vs Louisiana Tech+2.049.5L 10 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11 UTEP at Florida International-1.544.0W 27 - 14UY
Wed 10/18 UTEP vs New Mexico State+3.048.5L 7 - 28UN
Wed 10/25 UTEP at Sam Houston+4.038.5W 37 - 34OY
Sat 11/4 UTEP vs Western Kentucky+9.554.5L 13 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 UTEP at Middle Tennessee+8.548.5L 30 - 34OY
Sat 11/25 UTEP vs Liberty+18.054.5L 28 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.2844%29.543%3.1714546%3523.63.1141%22.844%40%4.0257.51.62.9
UTEP.1541%23.344%3.3916740%2192.9.2243%30.443%43%4.0355.81.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UTEP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1429.524.544.5%3.631.6254971453524.937%62%43%46%17%.28
UTEP Defense1230.426.842.8%4.031.9 - - - - - 52%47%43%43%19%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1422.82841.4%4.022.9 - - - - - 48%50%44%40%17%.11
UTEP Offense1223.32441.4%2.91.8213861672194.351%48%44%40%15%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1428:5724.642%40%6.257.51.62.94.92.3530
UTEP1233:462139%57%6.555.81.81.95.82.3127.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1437%43%29.6145.14.915.183.1771%7%1.05
UTEP Defense1252%43% - - - - .083.1264%13%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1448%44% - - - - .163.2779%10%0.96
UTEP Offense1251%44%38.6167.24.314.173.3973%9%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1462%46%28.744.4352.37.912.34312.391.731%37%.5210%2.4
UTEP Defense1247%43% - - - - - - 5.421.932%34%.426%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1450%40% - - - - - - 19.121.433%25%.147%2
UTEP Offense1248%40%16.931.7218.86.912.91512.171.734%29%.187%2.2

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.01  #70
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 18.92  #46
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 9.89  #70
2023 Talent Rating: 491.26  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Western Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40
Western Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5  #72
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #55
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.01   UTEP: -11.215

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.5   UTEP: -15.9




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.215  #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53  #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62  #116
2023 Talent Rating: 379.64  #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9  #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2  #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8  #100

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Western Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 32
UTEP 22

Projected Total Points: 54
UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.8

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/10Western Kentucky44UTEP17Western Kentucky -19Western Kentucky55.5Over
202311/04UTEP13Western Kentucky21Western Kentucky -9.5UTEP54.5Under
201811/17Western Kentucky40UTEP16Western Kentucky -6.5Western Kentucky47.5Over
201710/07UTEP14Western Kentucky15Western Kentucky -16.5UTEP53.5Under
201411/08Western Kentucky35UTEP27Western Kentucky -9UTEP0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP032 Overs
Western Kentucky522 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 24 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams2 - 31 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#70) WKU at (#123) UTEP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUUTEP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #70 #123
SP+SP+ #72 #120
Perf GradeGrade #108 #57
OffenseOff #111 #49
DefenseDef #90 #68
Spec TeamsST #33 #26
TalentTal #89 #114
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffUTEP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #111 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #46 #116
SP+SP+ #55 #100
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffUTEP Def
Run GameRun #133 #109
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #127 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #116
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffUTEP Def
Pass GamePass #75 #80
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #83 #5
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UTEP on Offense
CategoryCatUTEP OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #49 #90
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #77 #70
SP+SP+ #116 #86
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTEP Run Game
CategoryCat
UTEP OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #70 #122
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #12 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #128
UTEP Pass Game
CategoryCatUTEP OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #113 #35
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #2 #63
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Western Kentucky 9.5 (54.5)
Western Kentucky won at UTEP this year (21-13)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat UTEP in 2024 (44-17)
Western Kentucky beat UTEP in 2023 (21-13)

  
WKU's OC Drew Hollingshead (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Reed (Tr)28947062%332431117.1
Caden Veltkamp415476%387517.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Young10449034.764
Markese Stepp6931034.556
Davion Ervin-Poindexter6324113.818
LT Sanders3113804.556
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Corley799841112.575
Dalvin Smith50513610.345
Easton Messer42484411.535
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)20326216.339

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendrick Simpkins5012881
Talique Allen (Tr)481013
Kylan Guidry486310
Desmyn Baker413121
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kendrick Simpkins5012881
Kylan Guidry486310
Sebastian Benjamin253320
Hosea Wheeler404210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Upton Stout241158
Rome Weber191007
Anthony Johnson Jr.361005

UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade McConnell9217254%1437648.4
Gavin Hardison7312957%947577.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Deion Hankins15781255.254
Torrance Burgess Jr.12462025.040
Mike Franklin4518034.021
Ezell Jolly155303.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kelly Akharaiyi481033721.580
Jeremiah Ballard34551116.250
Torrance Burgess Jr.17227013.451
Tyrin Smith19191110.124

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrice Knight11313436
James Neal672142
Kobe Hylton471014
Maurice Westmoreland349842
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurice Westmoreland349842
Praise Amaewhule246572
Kanious Vaughn196510
Tyrice Knight11313436
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Odums (Tr)301007
Tyrice Knight11313436
Torey Richardson263106