UTEP at Arizona - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (11:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -18 (57.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Arizona 31 - UTEP: 10

Miners (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (18 - 43)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (20 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UTEP 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: Arizona -27.5 (SP+ ARIZ -28)
Projected Score: UTEP: 14 - ARIZ: 41 (55)
ARIZ Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
UTEP Travel: 262 miles

Wildcats (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (8 - 19)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTEP Players
ARIZ Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTEP's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	UTEP at Jacksonville State	-1.5	54.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/2	UTEP vs Incarnate Word	-7.5	57.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UTEP at Northwestern	+1.0	40.0	L 7 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/16	UTEP at Arizona	+18.0	57.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	UTEP vs UNLV	-1.0	49.5	L 28 - 45	O	N
Fri 9/29	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+2.0	49.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/11	UTEP at Florida International	-1.5	44.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Wed 10/18	UTEP vs New Mexico State	+3.0	48.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Wed 10/25	UTEP at Sam Houston	+4.0	38.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/4	UTEP vs Western Kentucky	+9.5	54.5	L 13 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	UTEP at Middle Tennessee	+8.5	48.5	L 30 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UTEP vs Liberty	+18.0	54.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Arizona's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-28.5	61.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Arizona at Mississippi State	+9.0	60.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Arizona vs UTEP	-18.0	57.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Arizona at Stanford	-13.0	60.0	W 21 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/30	Arizona vs Washington	+20.0	66.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona at USC	+21.0	69.5	L 41 - 43	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Arizona at Washington State	+7.5	57.5	W 44 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Arizona vs Oregon State	+3.0	57.5	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona vs UCLA	+2.5	50.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Arizona at Colorado	-6.0	55.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arizona vs Utah	-2.5	45.5	W 42 - 18	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Arizona at Arizona State	-12.5	48.5	W 59 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/28	Arizona vs Oklahoma	-2.5	59.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP	.15	41%	23.3	44%	3.39	167	40%	219	2.9	.22	43%	30.4	43%	43%	4.03	55.8	1.8	1.9
ARIZ	.29	48%	31.5	53%	3.33	144	45%	318	3.89	.36	53%	19.3	57%	51%	4.48	50	1.8	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTEP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Offense	12	23.3	20.2	41.4%	2.9	1.8	21	386	167	219	4.3	51%	48%	44%	40%	15%	.15
ARIZ Defense	12	19.3	15.6	53.4%	4.48	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	57%	51%	13%	.36

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTEP Defense	12	30.4	37.4	42.8%	4.03	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	43%	19%	.22
ARIZ Offense	12	31.5	34.9	47.7%	3.89	1.8	24	462	144	318	4.9	41%	57%	53%	45%	16%	.29

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTEP	12	33:46	21	39%	57%	6.5	55.8	1.8	1.9	5.8	2.3	1	27.1
Arizona	12	28:03	24.1	42%	43%	5.4	50	1.8	2.3	4.6	1.3	0	27.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Offense	12	51%	44%	38.6	167.2	4.3	14	.17	3.39	73%	9%	0.94
ARIZ Defense	12	50%	57%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.63	79%	9%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTEP Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.12	64%	13%	0.95
ARIZ Offense	12	41%	53%	29.3	144	4.9	19	.22	3.33	67%	9%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Offense	12	48%	40%	16.9	31.7	218.8	6.9	12.9	15	12	.17	1.7	34%	29%	.18	7%	2.2
ARIZ Defense	12	50%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.4	1.4	25%	39%	.56	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTEP Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.42	1.9	32%	34%	.42	6%	2.1
ARIZ Offense	12	57%	45%	23.6	38.3	318.4	8.3	13.5	26	13	.39	1.8	29%	36%	.49	7%	2.3

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -11.53 #123
UTEP's Offense Rating: 15.53 #77
UTEP's Defense Rating: 14.62 #116
2023 Talent Rating: 379.64 #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTEP's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
UTEP's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9 #120
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #116
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #100

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -11.53 Arizona: 13.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTEP: -15.9 Arizona: 12.1

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 13.725 #20
Arizona's Offense Rating: 26.94 #6
Arizona's Defense Rating: 8.46 #53
2023 Talent Rating: 687.01 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #51
Arizona's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Arizona's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #20
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5 #15
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #41

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.2
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

UTEP's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 41
UTEP 14

Projected Total Points: 55

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Arizona	31	UTEP	10	Arizona -18	Arizona	57.0	Under
2017	09/15	UTEP	16	Arizona	63	Arizona -25.5	Arizona	58.5	Over
2003	08/30	Arizona	42	UTEP	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona	3	2	1 Overs
UTEP	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 2	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#123) UTEP at (#20) ARIZ

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTEP	ARIZ
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#123	#20
SP+SP+	#120	#20
Perf GradeGrade	#57	#16
OffenseOff	#49	#8
DefenseDef	#68	#56
Spec TeamsST	#26	#63
TalentTal	#114	#42
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#51

UTEP Injury Report

Arizona Injury Report

UTEP on Offense


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	ARIZ Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#49	#56
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#77	#53
SP+SP+	#116	#41
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UTEP Run Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	#70	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#12	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#51

UTEP Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTEP Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#113	#59
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#2	#81
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	UTEP Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#8	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#6	#116
SP+SP+	#15	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	UTEP Def
Run GameRun	#8	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#116

Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	UTEP Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#80
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#4	#5
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Arizona -18.0 (57.0)
Arizona won vs UTEP this year (31-10)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat UTEP in 2023 (31-10)

UTEP's OC Scotty Ohara (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade McConnell	92	172	54%	1437	6	4	8.4
Gavin Hardison	73	129	57%	947	5	7	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Deion Hankins	157	812	5	5.2	54
Torrance Burgess Jr.	124	620	2	5.0	40
Mike Franklin	45	180	3	4.0	21
Ezell Jolly	15	53	0	3.5	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kelly Akharaiyi	48	1033	7	21.5	80
Jeremiah Ballard	34	551	1	16.2	50
Torrance Burgess Jr.	17	227	0	13.4	51
Tyrin Smith	19	191	1	10.1	24

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6
James Neal	67	2	1	4	2
Kobe Hylton	47	1	0	1	4
Maurice Westmoreland	34	9	8	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Maurice Westmoreland	34	9	8	4	2
Praise Amaewhule	24	6	5	7	2
Kanious Vaughn	19	6	5	1	0
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
A.J. Odums (Tr)	30	1	0	0	7
Tyrice Knight	113	13	4	3	6
Torey Richardson	26	3	1	0	6

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Noah Fifita	241	333	72%	2869	25	6	8.6
Jayden de Laura	89	128	70%	1120	10	5	8.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman	128	871	5	6.8	59
D.J. Williams	85	372	5	4.4	19
Michael Wiley	70	311	3	4.4	24
Rayshon Luke	37	153	1	4.1	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan	90	1402	10	15.6	57
Jacob Cowing	89	839	13	9.4	57
Tanner McLachlan	45	528	4	11.7	36
Michael Wiley	28	306	5	10.9	40

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Dalton Johnson	86	6	2	1	1
Gunner Maldonado	79	1	0	0	1
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Upshaw (Tr)	31	12	9	3	1
Jacob Manu	104	10	7	10	2
Isaiah Ward	30	5	4	7	1
Russell Davis II	17	6	4	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tacario Davis	25	1	15
Ephesians Prysock	64	1	7
Treydan Stukes	55	4	7