Iowa at Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview

Monday, January 1st 2024 (1:00 PM EST)
Tennessee -4.5 (37.0) (-320) Open: -7.5 | 36.5
Tennessee 35 - Iowa: 0 (Cheez-It Citrus Bowl)

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (189 - 115)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (21 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 7.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Tennessee -7.5 (SP+ TENN -5)
Projected Score: IOWA: 18 - TENN: 25 (49)
TENN Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
IOWA Travel: 569 miles, 1 hrs behind

Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
IOWA Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa vs Utah State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/9	Iowa at Iowa State	-3.5	35.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Iowa vs Western Michigan	-28.5	43.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Iowa at Penn State	+14.0	38.5	L 0 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Iowa vs Michigan State	-10.0	36.5	W 26 - 16	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa vs Purdue	-2.5	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa at Wisconsin	+8.0	33.5	W 15 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Iowa vs Minnesota	-3.0	30.5	L 10 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Iowa vs Northwestern	-4.5	30.5	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa vs Rutgers	+2.5	27.5	W 22 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa vs Illinois	-2.5	33.5	W 15 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/24	Iowa at Nebraska	+3.0	25.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Iowa vs Michigan	+23.5	35.0	L 0 - 26	U	N
Mon 1/1	Iowa vs Tennessee	+4.5	37.0	L 0 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tennessee vs Virginia	-27.5	56.0	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tennessee vs Austin Peay	-48.0	65.5	W 30 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tennessee at Florida	-5.0	57.0	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Tennessee vs UTSA	-24.0	59.0	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Tennessee vs South Carolina	-12.0	59.0	W 41 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Tennessee vs Texas A&M	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tennessee at Alabama	+8.5	47.5	L 20 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/28	Tennessee at Kentucky	-4.0	50.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Tennessee vs UConn	-35.0	55.5	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Tennessee at Missouri	-1.0	58.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tennessee vs Georgia	+9.0	59.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tennessee vs Vanderbilt	-27.0	58.0	W 48 - 24	O	N
Mon 1/1	Tennessee vs Iowa	-4.5	37.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		36%	27.7	38%	2.45	95	35%	157	2.76	-.05	34%	17.8	38%	32%	2.75	32.3	1.3	2.2
TENN	.37	51%	35.7	51%	3.3	199	51%	326	4.81	.18	41%	16.1	39%	43%	3.16	69.5	0.8	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	13	27.7	20.8	35.8%	2.76	1.3	14	252	95	157	2.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	18%
TENN Defense	13	16.1	9.9	41.2%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	39%	43%	16%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	13	17.8	22.8	34.4%	2.75	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	32%	17%	-.05
TENN Offense	13	35.7	43.4	51.1%	4.81	0.8	25	526	199	326	5	50%	50%	51%	51%	10%	.37

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	13	28:16	13.8	28%	33%	4.1	32.3	1.3	2.2	6.1	2.6	4	31.9
Tennessee	13	25:14	25.4	41%	68%	8.1	69.5	0.8	1.8	7	2.4	1	30.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	13	49%	38%	32.5	94.9	2.9	12	-.05	2.45	63%	13%	0.84
TENN Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.65	70%	11%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	74%	11%	0.76
TENN Offense	13	50%	51%	40.2	199.5	5	40	.29	3.3	80%	7%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	13	51%	35%	14.8	26.8	156.7	5.8	10.6	7	7	.06	1.5	36%	22%	.08	5%	2
TENN Defense	13	56%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.6	32%	32%	.33	5%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	13	49%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	-.01	1.4	34%	22%	-.02	6%	1.6
TENN Offense	13	50%	51%	22.3	32.5	326.1	10.1	14.6	38	3	.45	1.6	25%	32%	.4	3%	2.2

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Iowa's Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Iowa's Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
2023 Talent Rating: 838.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40
Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: -0.08 Tennessee: 11.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 8.1 Tennessee: 13.0

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 11.355 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 25
Iowa 18

Projected Total Points: 49

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	01/01	Tennessee	35	Iowa	0	Tennessee	Tennessee -4.5	Tennessee	37.0	Under
2014	01/02	Tennessee	45	Iowa	28	Tennessee	Tennessee -3	Tennessee	52.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	2	2	1 Overs
Iowa	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

Iowa Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Citrus Bowl	Iowa vs Tennessee	+4.5	37.0	L 0 - 35
2022	City Bowl	Iowa vs Kentucky	-3.0	31.5	W 21 - 0
2021	Citrus Bowl	Iowa vs Kentucky	+3.0	43.5	L 17 - 20
2019	Holiday Bowl	Iowa vs USC	+1.5	54.5	W 49 - 24
2018	Outback Bowl	Iowa vs Mississippi State	+7.0	40.0	W 27 - 22
2017	Pinstripe Bowl	Iowa vs Boston College	-2.0	45.5	W 27 - 20

Tennessee Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Citrus Bowl	Tennessee vs Iowa	-4.5	37.0	W 35 - 0
2022	Orange Bowl	Tennessee vs Clemson	+4.0	62.0	W 31 - 14
2021	City Bowl	Tennessee vs Purdue	-8.0	67.0	L 45 - 48
2019	Gator Bowl	Tennessee vs Indiana	-4.0	56.0	W 23 - 22

(#61) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2
Talent Rating: 838.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40

Team Profile

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Iowa has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 3)
Iowa has played in 21 Bowls since 2000 (10 - 11)

Iowa Ratings Matchup Tennessee

Power #61

#24

Off #133

#36

Def #3

#31

Talent #22

#12

SP+ #36

#19

SP+ Off #127

#28

SP+ Def #2

#31

Rematch from Week 1
Tennessee -4.5 (37.0)
Tennessee won vs Iowa this year (35-0)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Iowa in 2023 (35-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 68° - Wind: 12 mph

Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | TENN
Depth Chart: IOWA | TENN
Rosters: IOWA | TENN

(#24) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.355 #24
Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile

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Tennessee has played in 1 CFP Playoff Games (0 - 1)
Tennessee has played in 5 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 2)
Tennessee has played in 17 Bowls since 2000 (9 - 8)

Iowa's OC Brian Ferentz

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaleb Johnson	240	1537	21	6.4	75
Hayden Large	2	2	0	1.0	2

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Diante Vines	36	393	2	10.9	40
Luke Lachey	28	231	0	8.3	28
Kaleb Johnson	22	188	2	8.5	72
Hayden Large	3	18	0	6.0	10

View Iowa's Full Roster

Iowa's DC Phil Parker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5
Nick Jackson (Tr)	91	5	3	5	7
Quinn Schulte	62	0	0	0	3
Sebastian Castro	57	3	0	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deontae Craig	43	7	3	6	1
Nick Jackson (Tr)	91	5	3	5	7
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5
Anterio Thompson	34	2	1	5	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nick Jackson (Tr)	91	5	3	5	7
Jermari Harris	27	1	0	0	7
Jay Higgins	124	3	1	6	5

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Navy Shuler	1	3	33%	10	0	0	3.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Sampson	258	1491	22	5.8	56
Bru McCoy	2	15	0	7.5	9
Patrick Wilk	3	12	0	4.0	9
Navy Shuler	2	5	0	2.5	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dont'E Thornton	26	661	6	25.4	86
Bru McCoy	39	472	2	12.1	42
Dylan Sampson	20	143	0	7.2	21

View Tennessee's Full Roster

Tennessee's DC Tim Banks

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Doneiko Slaughter	78	3	1	0	6
Elijah Herring	59	8	4	3	4
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5
Tamarion McDonald	58	4	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Pearce Jr.	38	13	8	10	1
Tyler Baron	38	11	6	6	0
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)	18	4	4	3	0
Elijah Herring	59	8	4	3	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
De'Shawn Rucker	41	2	0	0	7
Doneiko Slaughter	78	3	1	0	6
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5