Minnesota at Purdue - 2021 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo   Minnesota Golden Gophers at Purdue Boilermakers  Purdue logo
Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -2 (46.0)
Minnesota 20 - Purdue: 13  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR 2nd straight Home Game
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
MINN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ MINN -4)
Projected Score: MINN: 23 - PUR: 25 (48)
PUR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MINN Travel: 448 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Minnesota vs Ohio State+14.062.0L 31 - 45OY
Sat 9/11 Minnesota vs Miami (OH)-18.555.0W 31 - 26ON
Sat 9/18 Minnesota at Colorado+2.549.0W 30 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Minnesota vs Bowling Green-30.552.5L 10 - 14UN
Sat 10/2 Minnesota at Purdue+2.046.0W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Minnesota vs Nebraska+4.548.5W 30 - 23OY
Sat 10/23 Minnesota vs Maryland-4.053.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/30 Minnesota at Northwestern-7.543.5W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/6 Minnesota vs Illinois-14.544.5L 6 - 14UN
Sat 11/13 Minnesota at Iowa+4.037.5L 22 - 27ON
Sat 11/20 Minnesota at Indiana-7.543.0W 35 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+7.039.0W 23 - 13UY
Tue 12/28 Minnesota vs West Virginia-5.044.5W 18 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Purdue's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue vs Oregon State-7.067.0W 30 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Purdue at UConn-35.056.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Purdue at Notre Dame+7.558.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Illinois-10.553.5W 13 - 9UN
Sat 10/2 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.046.0L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Purdue at Iowa+11.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Purdue vs Wisconsin+3.541.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Nebraska+7.554.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Michigan State+2.553.0W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/13 Purdue at Ohio State+19.065.5L 31 - 59ON
Sat 11/20 Purdue vs Northwestern-11.047.5W 32 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-18.050.5W 44 - 7OY
Thu 12/30 Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN.2445%2344%2.9719347%1993.91.3451%22.952%50%3.6241.110.9
PUR.1944%18.845%2.648144%3093.8.1744%31.842%46%3.88601.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense7238.345.2%3.911223921931994.561%39%44%47%16%.24
PUR Defense631.83043.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense722.93850.8%3.620.9 - - - - - 53%47%52%50%12%.34
PUR Offense618.820.943.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota733:5721.648%54%4.641.110.92.11.1026.4
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense761%44%42.6192.94.519.172.9768%9%1.06
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense753%52% - - - - .343.2583%7%1.09
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense739%47%15.326.3199.17.61375.351.626%44%.566%2
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense747%50% - - - - - - 4.341.326%30%.275%1.9
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2021 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4  #18
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #63
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota:    Purdue: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 14.4   Purdue: 10.3




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Purdue 25
Minnesota 23

Projected Total Points: 48
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Minnesota27Purdue20Minnesota -7.5Purdue49.5Under
202311/11Purdue49Minnesota30Minnesota -1.5Purdue48.5Over
202210/01Minnesota10Purdue20Minnesota -9.0Purdue53.0Under
202110/02Purdue13Minnesota20Purdue -2Minnesota46.0Under
202011/20Minnesota34Purdue31Purdue -2.5Minnesota60.5Over
201909/28Purdue31Minnesota38Purdue -2Minnesota57.0Over
201811/10Minnesota41Purdue10Purdue -10.5Minnesota58.0Under
201710/07Purdue31Minnesota17Purdue -3.5Purdue45.5Over
201611/05Minnesota44Purdue31Minnesota -16.5Purdue54.0Over
201510/10Purdue13Minnesota41Minnesota -2.5Minnesota47.5Over
201410/18Minnesota39Purdue38Minnesota -14.5Purdue0
201210/27Minnesota44Purdue28
201110/08Purdue45Minnesota17
201010/16Purdue28Minnesota17
200910/10Minnesota35Purdue20
200810/25Purdue6Minnesota17
200709/22Minnesota31Purdue45
200609/23Purdue27Minnesota21
200509/24Minnesota42Purdue35
200209/28Purdue28Minnesota15
200109/29Minnesota28Purdue35
200009/22Purdue38Minnesota24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1066 Overs
Minnesota1254 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 74 - 71 - 63 - 1
Road Teams7 - 157 - 41 - 36 - 1

(#) MINN at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #35
Perf GradeGrade #6 #76
OffenseOff #7 #33
DefenseDef #30 #113
Spec TeamsST #34 #72
TalentTal #43 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCat
MINN OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #7 #113
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #82 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #44 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #28 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffMINN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #30
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #8
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #117 #68
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #88
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #15 #20
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #47 #71
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Purdue -2.0 (46.0)
Minnesota won at Purdue this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Purdue last year (27-20)
Purdue beat Minnesota in 2023 (49-30)

  
MINN's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD