Purdue at Nebraska - 2021 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Nebraska Cornhuskers  Nebraska logo
Saturday, October 30th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Nebraska -7.5 (54.0)
Purdue 28 - Nebraska: 23  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEB coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PUR: 20 - NEB: 33 (53)
NEB Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 514 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cornhuskers (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (14 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue vs Oregon State-7.067.0W 30 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Purdue at UConn-35.056.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Purdue at Notre Dame+7.558.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Illinois-10.553.5W 13 - 9UN
Sat 10/2 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.046.0L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Purdue at Iowa+11.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Purdue vs Wisconsin+3.541.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Nebraska+7.554.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Michigan State+2.553.0W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/13 Purdue at Ohio State+19.065.5L 31 - 59ON
Sat 11/20 Purdue vs Northwestern-11.047.5W 32 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-18.050.5W 44 - 7OY
Thu 12/30 Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Nebraska's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 Nebraska at Illinois-6.552.0L 22 - 30UN
Sat 9/4 Nebraska vs Fordham-42.055.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Nebraska vs Buffalo-13.554.0W 28 - 3UY
Sat 9/18 Nebraska at Oklahoma+22.562.5L 16 - 23UY
Sat 9/25 Nebraska at Michigan State+3.555.0L 20 - 23UY
Sat 10/2 Nebraska vs Northwestern-11.051.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 10/9 Nebraska vs Michigan+2.550.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 10/16 Nebraska at Minnesota-4.548.5L 23 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Nebraska vs Purdue-7.554.0L 23 - 28UN
Sat 11/6 Nebraska vs Ohio State+14.068.5L 17 - 26UY
Sat 11/13 Nebraska vs SE Louisiana-28.5
Sat 11/20 Nebraska at Wisconsin+10.043.5L 28 - 35OY
Fri 11/26 Nebraska vs Iowa-1.541.0L 21 - 28ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.1944%18.845%2.648144%3093.8.1744%31.842%46%3.88601.21.2
NEB.1847%28.750%3.0120144%1883.3.1942%24.641%43%3.7560.62.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense618.815.843.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19
NEB Defense824.620.942.2%3.750.9 - - - - - 55%45%41%43%17%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense631.834.443.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
NEB Offense828.736.147.3%3.32.3213892011884.858%42%50%44%18%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
Nebraska828:2521.336%62%6.860.62.30.96.61.6024.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69
NEB Defense855%41% - - - - .122.7358%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
NEB Offense858%50%41.8201.44.815.23.0182%13%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2
NEB Defense845%43% - - - - - - 5.271.530%34%.355%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
NEB Offense842%44%19.428.51886.69.759.161.327%25%.245%2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Nebraska: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 10.3   Nebraska: 10.3




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
Nebraska's Offense Rating: NR
Nebraska's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nebraska's 2021 Expected Record: -
Nebraska's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #33
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3  #27

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Nebraska 33
Purdue 20

Projected Total Points: 53
Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Purdue10Nebraska28Nebraska -10Nebraska47.5Under
202310/28Nebraska31Purdue14Purdue -1Nebraska39.5Over
202210/15Purdue43Nebraska37Purdue -14Nebraska56.0Over
202110/30Nebraska23Purdue28Nebraska -7.5Purdue54.0Under
202012/05Purdue27Nebraska37Purdue -1.0Nebraska64.0Push
201911/02Purdue31Nebraska27Nebraska -4Purdue57.0Over
201809/29Nebraska28Purdue42Purdue -3.5Purdue58.5Over
201710/28Purdue24Nebraska25Purdue -4Nebraska53.0Under
201610/22Nebraska27Purdue14Nebraska -23.5Purdue59.0Under
201510/31Purdue55Nebraska45Nebraska -10Purdue54.5Over
201411/01Nebraska35Purdue14Nebraska -24.5Purdue0
201310/12Purdue7Nebraska44Nebraska -14Nebraska0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska765 Overs
Purdue564 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 63 - 90 - 63 - 3
Road Teams6 - 69 - 33 - 36 - 0

(#) PUR at (#) NEB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURNEB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #35
Perf GradeGrade #76 #93
OffenseOff #33 #78
DefenseDef #113 #83
Spec TeamsST #72 #63
TalentTal #46 #25
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffNEB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #83
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #27
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffNEB Def
Run GameRun #117 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #80
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffNEB Def
Pass GamePass #15 #27
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #47 #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nebraska on Offense
CategoryCatNEB OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #113
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nebraska Run Game
CategoryCat
NEB OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #88 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
Nebraska Pass Game
CategoryCatNEB OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #58 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #132 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Nebraska -7.5 (54.0)
Purdue won at Nebraska this year (28-23)

Previous Matchups
Nebraska beat Purdue in 2024 (28-10)
Nebraska beat Purdue in 2023 (31-14)

  
PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEB's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Erik Chinander (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD