Bowling Green at Minnesota - 2021 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo   Bowling Green Falcons at Minnesota Golden Gophers  Minnesota logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Minnesota -30.5 (52.5)
Bowling Green 14 - Minnesota: 10

 
Falcons (4 - 8) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Scot Loeffler (4 - 16)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MINN is playing their 4th straight game
BGSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -16  (SP+ MINN -27)
Projected Score: BGSU: 20 - MINN: 27 (47)
MINN Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
BGSU Travel: 543 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Bowling Green's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Bowling Green at Tennessee+37.060.5L 6 - 38UY
Sat 9/11 Bowling Green vs South Alabama+14.548.0L 19 - 22UY
Sat 9/18 Bowling Green vs Murray State+2.544.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/25 Bowling Green at Minnesota+30.552.5W 14 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Bowling Green at Kent State+16.556.0L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/9 Bowling Green vs Akron-14.046.0L 20 - 35ON
Sat 10/16 Bowling Green at Northern Illinois+9.044.5L 26 - 34OY
Sat 10/23 Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan+4.549.5L 24 - 55ON
Sat 10/30 Bowling Green at Buffalo+13.551.5W 56 - 44OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/10 Bowling Green vs Toledo+10.550.0L 17 - 49ON
Tue 11/16 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+17.052.0L 7 - 34UN
Fri 11/26 Bowling Green vs Ohio+6.048.0W 21 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Minnesota's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Minnesota vs Ohio State+14.062.0L 31 - 45OY
Sat 9/11 Minnesota vs Miami (OH)-18.555.0W 31 - 26ON
Sat 9/18 Minnesota at Colorado+2.549.0W 30 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Minnesota vs Bowling Green-30.552.5L 10 - 14UN
Sat 10/2 Minnesota at Purdue+2.046.0W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Minnesota vs Nebraska+4.548.5W 30 - 23OY
Sat 10/23 Minnesota vs Maryland-4.053.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/30 Minnesota at Northwestern-7.543.5W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/6 Minnesota vs Illinois-14.544.5L 6 - 14UN
Sat 11/13 Minnesota at Iowa+4.037.5L 22 - 27ON
Sat 11/20 Minnesota at Indiana-7.543.0W 35 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+7.039.0W 23 - 13UY
Tue 12/28 Minnesota vs West Virginia-5.044.5W 18 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU-.0336%20.542%3.0218430%1421.67.3848%24.350%44%4.8243.22.20.2
MINN.2445%2344%2.9719347%1993.91.3451%22.952%50%3.6241.110.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense520.52436%1.672.2163261841424.953%47%42%30%19%-.03
MINN Defense722.91350.8%3.620.9 - - - - - 53%47%52%50%12%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense524.32948.2%4.820.2 - - - - - 64%36%50%44%16%.38
MINN Offense72330.145.2%3.911223921931994.561%39%44%47%16%.24

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green526:2415.626%21%643.22.20.26.81.4028.8
Minnesota733:5721.648%54%4.641.110.92.11.1026.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense553%42%37.81844.95-3.0285%10%0.66
MINN Defense753%52% - - - - .343.2583%7%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense564%50% - - - - .43.7275%12%1.27
MINN Offense761%44%42.6192.94.519.172.9768%9%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense547%30%10.825142.45.713.217-.071.636%17%-.148%2.2
MINN Defense747%50% - - - - - - 4.341.326%30%.275%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense536%44% - - - - - - 0.331.730%45%.693%1.9
MINN Offense739%47%15.326.3199.17.61375.351.626%44%.566%2

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #110
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2021 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4  #112
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #126
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8  #95

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green:    Minnesota: 9.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -12.4   Minnesota: 14.4




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.7 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2021 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4  #18
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #63
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 27
Bowling Green 20

Projected Total Points: 47
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/26Minnesota30Bowling Green24Minnesota -2.5Minnesota45.0Over
202109/25Minnesota10Bowling Green14Minnesota -30.5Bowling Green52.5Under
200809/06Bowling Green17Minnesota42
200709/01Minnesota31Bowling Green32
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota211 Overs
Bowling Green211 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 31 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams3 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) BGSU at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #18
Perf GradeGrade #121 #6
OffenseOff #131 #7
DefenseDef #85 #30
Spec TeamsST #90 #34
TalentTal #110 #43
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCat
BGSU OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #131 #30
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #126 #8
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #70 #68
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #88
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #110 #20
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #128 #71
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #7 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffBGSU Def
Run GameRun #82 #83
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #43
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePass #44 #95
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #28 #51
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Minnesota -30.5 (52.5)
Bowling Green won at Minnesota this year (14-10)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Bowling Green in 2023 (30-24)

  
BGSU's OC Terry Malone (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Eric Lewis (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD