Oregon State at Purdue - 2021 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo   Oregon State Beavers at Purdue Boilermakers  Purdue logo
Saturday, September 4th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -7 (67.0)
Purdue 30 - Oregon State: 21

 
Beavers (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -3  (SP+ PUR -1)
Projected Score: ORST: 23 - PUR: 26 (49)
PUR Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ORST Travel: 1859 miles, 3 hrs behind
Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Oregon State at Purdue+7.067.0L 21 - 30UN
Sat 9/11 Oregon State vs Hawai'i-11.065.0W 45 - 27OY
Sat 9/18 Oregon State vs Idaho-28.063.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Oregon State at USC+11.062.5W 45 - 27OY
Sat 10/2 Oregon State vs Washington-2.557.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 10/9 Oregon State at Washington State-4.059.0L 24 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Oregon State vs Utah+3.057.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 10/30 Oregon State at California-2.556.5L 25 - 39ON
Sat 11/6 Oregon State at Colorado-11.555.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/13 Oregon State vs Stanford-12.556.5W 35 - 14UY
Sat 11/20 Oregon State vs Arizona State+2.559.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/27 Oregon State at Oregon+7.561.5L 29 - 38ON
Sat 12/18 Oregon State vs Utah State-7.068.0L 13 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Purdue's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue vs Oregon State-7.067.0W 30 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Purdue at UConn-35.056.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Purdue at Notre Dame+7.558.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Illinois-10.553.5W 13 - 9UN
Sat 10/2 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.046.0L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Purdue at Iowa+11.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Purdue vs Wisconsin+3.541.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Nebraska+7.554.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Michigan State+2.553.0W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/13 Purdue at Ohio State+19.065.5L 31 - 59ON
Sat 11/20 Purdue vs Northwestern-11.047.5W 32 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-18.050.5W 44 - 7OY
Thu 12/30 Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST.2347%17.655%3.3319838%2114.26.2849%29.450%47%3.955.31.10.7
PUR.1944%18.845%2.648144%3093.8.1744%31.842%46%3.88601.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense717.611.846.6%4.261.1224091982115.451%49%55%38%14%.23
PUR Defense631.83043.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense729.435.248.8%3.90.7 - - - - - 57%43%50%47%13%.28
PUR Offense618.820.943.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State727:5722.140%63%6.155.31.10.73.91132.4
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense751%55%36.9197.65.415.293.3380%8%0.97
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense757%50% - - - - .243.0672%7%1.01
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense749%38%19.133.3211.36.411115.171.429%25%.167%1.7
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense743%47% - - - - - - 5.321.425%37%.486%2
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9  #44
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.9  #16
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #87

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State:    Purdue: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 8.9   Purdue: 10.3




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Purdue 26
Oregon State 23

Projected Total Points: 49
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Oregon State38Purdue21Oregon State -1.5Oregon State51.0Over
202109/04Purdue30Oregon State21Purdue -7Purdue67.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue111 Overs
Oregon State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) ORST at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatORSTPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #35
Perf GradeGrade #37 #76
OffenseOff #12 #33
DefenseDef #93 #113
Spec TeamsST #121 #72
TalentTal #48 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCat
ORST OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #12 #113
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #37 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #6 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #42 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #107 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffORST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #93
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #87
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffORST Def
Run GameRun #117 #90
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #119
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffORST Def
Pass GamePass #15 #71
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #47 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Purdue -7.0 (67.0)
Purdue won vs Oregon State this year (30-21)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Purdue in 2024 (38-21)

  
ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Tim Tibesar (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD