Indiana at Purdue - 2021 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo   Indiana Hoosiers at Purdue Boilermakers  Purdue logo
Saturday, November 27th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Purdue -18 (50.5)
Purdue 44 - Indiana: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (25 - 24)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (38 - 14 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR is playing their 7th straight game
IND is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ PUR -18)
Projected Score: IND: 35 - PUR: 16 (51)
PUR Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
IND Travel: 89 miles
Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Indiana's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Indiana at Iowa+3.545.5L 6 - 34UN
Sat 9/11 Indiana vs Idaho-31.552.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/18 Indiana vs Cincinnati+4.050.0L 24 - 38ON
Sat 9/25 Indiana at Western Kentucky-9.562.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 10/2 Indiana at Penn State+12.054.5L 0 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Indiana vs Michigan State+3.548.5L 15 - 20UN
Sat 10/23 Indiana vs Ohio State+21.059.0L 7 - 54ON
Sat 10/30 Indiana at Maryland+3.548.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/6 Indiana at Michigan+20.551.0L 7 - 29UN
Sat 11/13 Indiana vs Rutgers-6.542.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 11/20 Indiana vs Minnesota+7.543.0L 14 - 35ON
Sat 11/27 Indiana at Purdue+18.050.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Purdue's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue vs Oregon State-7.067.0W 30 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Purdue at UConn-35.056.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Purdue at Notre Dame+7.558.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Illinois-10.553.5W 13 - 9UN
Sat 10/2 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.046.0L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Purdue at Iowa+11.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Purdue vs Wisconsin+3.541.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Nebraska+7.554.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Michigan State+2.553.0W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/13 Purdue at Ohio State+19.065.5L 31 - 59ON
Sat 11/20 Purdue vs Northwestern-11.047.5W 32 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-18.050.5W 44 - 7OY
Thu 12/30 Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND.1139%41.640%2.3910938%2513.88.1240%11.740%40%2.5544.61.42.5
PUR.1944%18.845%2.648144%3093.8.1744%31.842%46%3.88601.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense841.637.639%3.881.4203611092513.246%54%40%38%14%.11
PUR Defense631.83043.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense811.714.439.9%2.552.5 - - - - - 45%55%40%40%19%.12
PUR Offense618.820.943.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana830:5220.139%57%4.344.61.42.55.93.1028.7
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense846%40%34.3109.43.212-.032.3975%8%0.71
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense845%40% - - - - .113.2764%10%0.98
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense854%38%20.936.4251.46.912165.221.634%31%.286%2
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense855%40% - - - - - - 17.131.632%30%.269%2
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: NR
Indiana's Offense Rating: NR
Indiana's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Indiana's 2021 Expected Record: -
Indiana's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8  #101
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #113
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana:    Purdue: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -7.8   Purdue: 10.3




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.4

Indiana's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 35
Purdue 16

Projected Total Points: 51
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Purdue3Indiana56Indiana -28.5Indiana53.5Over
202411/30Indiana66Purdue0Indiana -28.5Indiana56.5Over
202311/25Purdue35Indiana31Purdue -2.5Purdue55.5Over
202211/26Indiana16Purdue30Purdue -10Purdue52.5Under
202111/27Purdue44Indiana7Purdue -18Purdue50.5Over
201911/30Purdue41Indiana44Indiana -7Purdue56.5Over
201811/24Indiana21Purdue28Purdue -3.5Purdue65.0Under
201711/25Purdue31Indiana24Purdue -1.5Purdue51.0Over
201611/26Indiana26Purdue24Indiana -16Purdue66.5Under
201511/28Purdue36Indiana54Indiana -5Indiana68.5Over
201411/29Indiana23Purdue16Indiana -2.5Indiana0
201311/30Indiana56Purdue36Indiana -20.5Purdue0
201211/24Purdue56Indiana35
201111/26Indiana25Purdue33
201011/27Purdue31Indiana34
200911/21Indiana21Purdue38
200811/22Purdue62Indiana10
200711/17Indiana27Purdue24
200611/18Purdue28Indiana19
200511/19Indiana14Purdue41
200411/20Purdue63Indiana24
200311/22Indiana16Purdue24
200111/24Indiana13Purdue7
200011/17Purdue41Indiana13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1487 Overs
Indiana1043 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 106 - 65 - 21 - 4
Road Teams10 - 146 - 64 - 12 - 5

(#) IND at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatINDPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #101 #35
Perf GradeGrade #110 #76
OffenseOff #123 #33
DefenseDef #80 #113
Spec TeamsST #94 #72
TalentTal #38 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Indiana on Offense
CategoryCat
IND OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #123 #113
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Indiana Run Game
CategoryCat
IND OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #130 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
Indiana Pass Game
CategoryCat
IND OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #124 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #86 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffIND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffIND Def
Run GameRun #117 #53
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #17
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #15 #88
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #47 #131
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Purdue -18.0 (50.5)
Purdue won vs Indiana this year (44-7)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Purdue last year (56-3)
Indiana beat Purdue in 2024 (66-0)
Purdue beat Indiana in 2023 (35-31)

  
IND's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Charlton Warren (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD