Purdue at Ohio State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Ohio State Buckeyes  Ohio State logo
Saturday, November 13th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Ohio State -19 (65.5)
Ohio State 59 - Purdue: 31  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OSU is playing their 4th straight game
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ OSU -19)
Projected Score: PUR: 13 - OSU: 36 (49)
OSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
PUR Travel: 208 miles
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (25 - 3)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (42 - 7 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue vs Oregon State-7.067.0W 30 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Purdue at UConn-35.056.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Purdue at Notre Dame+7.558.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Illinois-10.553.5W 13 - 9UN
Sat 10/2 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.046.0L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Purdue at Iowa+11.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Purdue vs Wisconsin+3.541.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Nebraska+7.554.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Michigan State+2.553.0W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/13 Purdue at Ohio State+19.065.5L 31 - 59ON
Sat 11/20 Purdue vs Northwestern-11.047.5W 32 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-18.050.5W 44 - 7OY
Thu 12/30 Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Ohio State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Ohio State at Minnesota-14.062.0W 45 - 31ON
Sat 9/11 Ohio State vs Oregon-14.565.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 9/18 Ohio State vs Tulsa-24.560.5W 41 - 20ON
Sat 9/25 Ohio State vs Akron-48.566.5W 59 - 7UY
Sat 10/2 Ohio State at Rutgers-15.058.0W 52 - 13OY
Sat 10/9 Ohio State vs Maryland-22.071.5W 66 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Ohio State at Indiana-21.059.0W 54 - 7OY
Sat 10/30 Ohio State vs Penn State-18.560.5W 33 - 24UN
Sat 11/6 Ohio State at Nebraska-14.068.5W 26 - 17UN
Sat 11/13 Ohio State vs Purdue-19.065.5W 59 - 31OY
Sat 11/20 Ohio State vs Michigan State-19.570.5W 56 - 7UY
Sat 11/27 Ohio State at Michigan-6.563.5L 27 - 42ON
Sat 1/1 Ohio State vs Utah-4.564.5W 48 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.1944%18.845%2.648144%3093.8.1744%31.842%46%3.88601.21.2
OSU.3853%33.451%3.525655%2634.2.1745%9.339%48%3.7354.61.12.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense618.815.843.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19
OSU Defense89.37.444.7%3.732.3 - - - - - 39%61%39%48%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense631.834.443.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
OSU Offense833.441.652.6%4.21.125519256263657%43%51%55%16%.38

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
Ohio State832:102549%56%6.154.61.12.35.82.6228.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69
OSU Defense839%39% - - - - -.112.2564%11%0.67
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
OSU Offense857%51%43256.3619.333.575%11%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2
OSU Defense861%48% - - - - - - 7.351.532%33%.277%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
OSU Offense843%55%19.828.1262.59.313.3226.451.627%40%.65%2.1

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Ohio State: 17.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 10.3   Ohio State: 29.3




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 17.15 NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.3  #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.2  #1
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 36
Purdue 13

Projected Total Points: 49
Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.4

Ohio State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Purdue10Ohio State34Ohio State -29.5Purdue49.5Under
202411/09Ohio State45Purdue0Ohio State -37.5Ohio State55.5Under
202310/14Purdue7Ohio State41Ohio State -17.5Ohio State53.0Under
202111/13Ohio State59Purdue31Ohio State -19Ohio State65.5Over
201810/20Purdue49Ohio State20Ohio State -12Purdue66.0Over
201311/02Purdue0Ohio State56Ohio State -31Ohio State0
201210/20Ohio State29Purdue22
201111/12Purdue26Ohio State23
201010/23Ohio State49Purdue0
200910/17Purdue26Ohio State18
200810/11Ohio State16Purdue3
200710/06Purdue7Ohio State23
200411/13Purdue24Ohio State17
200311/15Ohio State16Purdue13
200211/09Purdue6Ohio State10
200111/10Ohio State35Purdue9
200010/27Purdue31Ohio State27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State1242 Overs
Purdue523 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 54 - 22 - 02 - 2
Road Teams5 - 122 - 42 - 20 - 2

(#) PUR at (#) OSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPUROSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #2
Perf GradeGrade #76 #2
OffenseOff #33 #1
DefenseDef #113 #57
Spec TeamsST #72 #21
TalentTal #46 #3
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffOSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #57
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #117 #56
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #85
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #15 #73
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #47 #24
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCatOSU OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #113
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #1 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #13 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCatOSU OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #5 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #29 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Ohio State -19.0 (65.5)
Ohio State won vs Purdue this year (59-31)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Purdue last year (34-10)
Ohio State beat Purdue in 2024 (45-0)
Ohio State beat Purdue in 2023 (41-7)

  
PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Kerry Coombs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD