Minnesota at Colorado - 2021 Matchup Preview

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Colorado Buffaloes

Saturday, September 18th 2021 (1:00 PM EDT)
Colorado -2.5 (49.0)
Minnesota 30 - Colorado: 0

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

COLO 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -9.5 (SP+ MINN -24.5)
Projected Score: MINN: 22 - COLO: 27 (49)
COLO Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 702 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Buffaloes (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Karl Dorrell (5 - 4)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (24 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MINN Players
COLO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Minnesota's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Minnesota vs Ohio State	+14.0	62.0	L 31 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Minnesota vs Miami (OH)	-18.5	55.0	W 31 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/18	Minnesota at Colorado	+2.5	49.0	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-30.5	52.5	L 10 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/2	Minnesota at Purdue	+2.0	46.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Minnesota vs Nebraska	+4.5	48.5	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Minnesota vs Maryland	-4.0	53.0	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Minnesota at Northwestern	-7.5	43.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Minnesota vs Illinois	-14.5	44.5	L 6 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/13	Minnesota at Iowa	+4.0	37.5	L 22 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/20	Minnesota at Indiana	-7.5	43.0	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+7.0	39.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Minnesota vs West Virginia	-5.0	44.5	W 18 - 6	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Colorado's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Colorado vs Northern Colorado	-37.5	56.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/11	Colorado vs Texas A&M	+17.5	51.0	L 7 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Colorado vs Minnesota	-2.5	49.0	L 0 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/25	Colorado at Arizona State	+13.5	45.5	L 13 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/2	Colorado vs USC	+9.0	50.5	L 14 - 37	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Colorado vs Arizona	-6.0	46.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Colorado at California	+8.0	44.0	L 3 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/30	Colorado at Oregon	+24.5	49.0	L 29 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Colorado vs Oregon State	+11.5	55.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Colorado at UCLA	+18.0	57.5	L 20 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/20	Colorado vs Washington	+6.5	43.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Colorado at Utah	+24.0	52.5	L 13 - 28	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN	.24	45%	23	44%	2.97	193	47%	199	3.91	.34	51%	22.9	52%	50%	3.62	41.1	1	0.9
COLO	.1	38%	20.9	41%	2.58	212	34%	202	3.1	.13	36%	30.5	34%	37%	3.15	56.3	1.8	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
COLO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Offense	7	23	8.3	45.2%	3.91	1	22	392	193	199	4.5	61%	39%	44%	47%	16%	.24
COLO Defense	6	30.5	27	35.8%	3.15	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	34%	37%	22%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MINN Defense	7	22.9	38	50.8%	3.62	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	52%	50%	12%	.34
COLO Offense	6	20.9	23.9	38.5%	3.1	1.8	20	414	212	202	4.6	60%	40%	41%	34%	15%	.1

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Minnesota	7	33:57	21.6	48%	54%	4.6	41.1	1	0.9	2.1	1.1	0	26.4
Colorado	6	31:33	20	43%	43%	5.7	56.3	1.8	1.2	8.2	2.5	1	27.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Offense	7	61%	44%	42.6	192.9	4.5	19	.17	2.97	68%	9%	1.06
COLO Defense	6	43%	34%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.46	67%	14%	1.41

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MINN Defense	7	53%	52%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.25	83%	7%	1.09
COLO Offense	6	60%	41%	46	212.3	4.6	15	.05	2.58	65%	10%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Offense	7	39%	47%	15.3	26.3	199.1	7.6	13	7	5	.35	1.6	26%	44%	.56	6%	2
COLO Defense	6	57%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.16	1.6	38%	32%	.39	8%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MINN Defense	7	47%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.34	1.3	26%	30%	.27	5%	1.9
COLO Offense	6	40%	34%	16.3	29.7	201.5	6.8	12.3	6	7	.18	1.9	34%	31%	.29	6%	2.1

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2021 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #18
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #63
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: Colorado: -2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 14.4 Colorado: -10.0

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: -2.5 NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Colorado's 2021 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #105
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #121
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Colorado 27
Minnesota 22

Projected Total Points: 49

Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27

Colorado's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/17	Minnesota	49	Colorado	7	Minnesota -28	Minnesota	47.5	Over
2021	09/18	Colorado	0	Minnesota	30	Colorado -2.5	Minnesota	49.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Colorado	0	0	1 Overs
Minnesota	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) MINN at (#) COLO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MINN	COLO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#18	#105
Perf GradeGrade	#6	#120
OffenseOff	#7	#119
DefenseDef	#30	#119
Spec TeamsST	#34	#7
TalentTal	#43	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Minnesota Injury Report

Colorado Injury Report

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	COLO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#94
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	COLO Def
Run GameRun	#82	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#99

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	COLO Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#108
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#28	#129
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Colorado on Offense


CategoryCat	COLO Off	MINN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#119	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#121	#8
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Colorado Run Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#81	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#97	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#88

Colorado Pass Game


CategoryCat	COLO Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#124	#71
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Folsom Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Colorado -2.5 (49.0)
Minnesota won at Colorado this year (30-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MINN's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

COLO's OC Darrin Chiaverini (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Wilson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD