Wisconsin at Minnesota - 2021 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, November 27th 2021 (4:00 PM EST)
Wisconsin -7 (39.0)
Minnesota 23 - Wisconsin: 13 (Big Ten)

Badgers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Paul Chryst (57 - 20)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MINN is playing their 7th straight game
WIS is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ WIS -5.5)
Projected Score: WIS: 15 - MINN: 25 (40)
WIS Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
WIS Travel: 231 miles

Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Wisconsin vs Penn State	-5.5	48.5	L 10 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/11	Wisconsin vs Eastern Michigan	-26.0	52.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25	Wisconsin vs Notre Dame	-6.0	43.5	L 13 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/2	Wisconsin vs Michigan	-2.0	43.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/9	Wisconsin at Illinois	-12.5	42.0	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Wisconsin vs Army	-14.0	37.5	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/23	Wisconsin at Purdue	-3.5	41.0	W 30 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-3.0	35.5	W 27 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Wisconsin at Rutgers	-13.0	37.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-26.0	41.5	W 35 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-10.0	43.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/27	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-7.0	39.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Thu 12/30	Wisconsin vs Arizona State	-8.5	42.5	W 20 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Minnesota's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Minnesota vs Ohio State	+14.0	62.0	L 31 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Minnesota vs Miami (OH)	-18.5	55.0	W 31 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/18	Minnesota at Colorado	+2.5	49.0	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-30.5	52.5	L 10 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/2	Minnesota at Purdue	+2.0	46.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Minnesota vs Nebraska	+4.5	48.5	W 30 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Minnesota vs Maryland	-4.0	53.0	W 34 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Minnesota at Northwestern	-7.5	43.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Minnesota vs Illinois	-14.5	44.5	L 6 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/13	Minnesota at Iowa	+4.0	37.5	L 22 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/20	Minnesota at Indiana	-7.5	43.0	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+7.0	39.0	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Tue 12/28	Minnesota vs West Virginia	-5.0	44.5	W 18 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	.07	42%	12.8	45%	2.78	165	39%	181	3.47	.02	35%	21.6	32%	37%	2.4	42.3	1.7	1.7
MINN	.24	45%	23	44%	2.97	193	47%	199	3.91	.34	51%	22.9	52%	50%	3.62	41.1	1	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	7	12.8	9	42.3%	3.47	1.7	20	346	165	181	3.9	54%	46%	45%	39%	16%	.07
MINN Defense	7	22.9	13	50.8%	3.62	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	52%	50%	12%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	7	21.6	26.2	35%	2.4	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	32%	37%	18%	.02
MINN Offense	7	23	30.1	45.2%	3.91	1	22	392	193	199	4.5	61%	39%	44%	47%	16%	.24

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	7	36:20	19.6	38%	42%	5.1	42.3	1.7	1.7	5.1	1.6	0	30.9
Minnesota	7	33:57	21.6	48%	54%	4.6	41.1	1	0.9	2.1	1.1	0	26.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	7	54%	45%	41.9	164.6	3.9	13	.06	2.78	82%	11%	0.88
MINN Defense	7	53%	52%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.25	83%	7%	1.09

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	7	46%	32%	-	-	-	-	-.2	2.09	63%	11%	0.67
MINN Offense	7	61%	44%	42.6	192.9	4.5	19	.17	2.97	68%	9%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	7	46%	39%	17.7	28.9	181	6.3	10.2	10	7	.09	1.5	30%	30%	.16	6%	1.8
MINN Defense	7	47%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.34	1.3	26%	30%	.27	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	7	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.2	1.7	39%	23%	.1	8%	2.1
MINN Offense	7	39%	47%	15.3	26.3	199.1	7.6	13	7	5	.35	1.6	26%	44%	.56	6%	2

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #7
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: Minnesota: 9.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 20.1 Minnesota: 14.4

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.7 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2021 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 #18
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #63
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Minnesota 25
Wisconsin 15

Projected Total Points: 40

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin	7	Wisconsin -2.5	Minnesota	38.5	Under
2024	11/29	Wisconsin	7	Minnesota	24	Minnesota -1.5	Minnesota	40.5	Under
2023	11/25	Minnesota	14	Wisconsin	28	Wisconsin -1.5	Wisconsin	42.0	Push
2022	11/26	Wisconsin	16	Minnesota	23	Wisconsin -3	Minnesota	37.0	Over
2021	11/27	Minnesota	23	Wisconsin	13	Wisconsin -7	Minnesota	39.0	Under
2020	12/19	Wisconsin	20	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin -10	Minnesota	47.0	Under
2019	11/30	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin	38	Wisconsin -3	Wisconsin	45.0	Over
2018	11/24	Wisconsin	15	Minnesota	37	Wisconsin -10.5	Minnesota	53.0	Under
2017	11/25	Minnesota	0	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -18.5	Wisconsin	43.5	Under
2016	11/26	Wisconsin	31	Minnesota	17	Wisconsin -14	Push	42.5	Over
2015	11/28	Minnesota	21	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -2.5	Wisconsin	44.5	Over
2014	11/29	Wisconsin	34	Minnesota	24	Wisconsin -12.5	Minnesota	0
2013	11/23	Minnesota	7	Wisconsin	20	Wisconsin -14.5	Minnesota	0
2012	10/20	Wisconsin	38	Minnesota	13
2011	11/12	Minnesota	13	Wisconsin	42
2010	10/09	Wisconsin	41	Minnesota	23
2009	10/03	Minnesota	28	Wisconsin	31
2008	11/15	Wisconsin	35	Minnesota	32
2007	11/17	Minnesota	34	Wisconsin	41
2006	10/14	Wisconsin	48	Minnesota	12
2005	10/15	Minnesota	34	Wisconsin	38
2004	11/06	Wisconsin	38	Minnesota	14
2003	11/08	Minnesota	37	Wisconsin	34
2001	11/24	Minnesota	42	Wisconsin	31
2000	11/03	Wisconsin	41	Minnesota	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	7	8	4 Overs
Wisconsin	18	4	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	3 - 9	0 - 4	3 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 13	9 - 3	5 - 3	4 - 0

(#) WIS at (#) MINN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	MINN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#7	#18
Perf GradeGrade	#3	#6
OffenseOff	#19	#7
DefenseDef	#3	#30
Spec TeamsST	#49	#34
TalentTal	#21	#43
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wisconsin Injury Report

Minnesota Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#19	#30
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#8
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
Run GameRun	#75	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#3	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#88

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MINN Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#20
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#103	#71
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Minnesota on Offense


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#7	#3
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Minnesota Run Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#82	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Minnesota Pass Game


CategoryCat	MINN Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#28	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Wisconsin 7.0 (39.0)
Minnesota won vs Wisconsin this year (23-13)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Wisconsin last year (17-7)
Minnesota beat Wisconsin in 2024 (24-7)
Wisconsin beat Minnesota in 2023 (28-14)

WIS's OC Joe Rudolph (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Jim Leonhard (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MINN's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD