Purdue at Iowa - 2021 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Iowa Hawkeyes  Iowa logo
Saturday, October 16th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -11 (42.5)
Purdue 24 - Iowa: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
IOWA 2nd straight Home Game
PUR coming off BYE
IOWA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ IOWA -1)
Projected Score: PUR: 16 - IOWA: 31 (47)
IOWA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 256 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (171 - 106)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Purdue vs Oregon State-7.067.0W 30 - 21UY
Sat 9/11 Purdue at UConn-35.056.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Purdue at Notre Dame+7.558.0L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Purdue vs Illinois-10.553.5W 13 - 9UN
Sat 10/2 Purdue vs Minnesota-2.046.0L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Purdue at Iowa+11.042.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Purdue vs Wisconsin+3.541.0L 13 - 30ON
Sat 10/30 Purdue at Nebraska+7.554.0W 28 - 23UY
Sat 11/6 Purdue vs Michigan State+2.553.0W 40 - 29OY
Sat 11/13 Purdue at Ohio State+19.065.5L 31 - 59ON
Sat 11/20 Purdue vs Northwestern-11.047.5W 32 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Purdue vs Indiana-18.050.5W 44 - 7OY
Thu 12/30 Purdue vs Tennessee+8.067.0W 48 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Iowa's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Iowa vs Indiana-3.545.5W 34 - 6UY
Sat 9/11 Iowa at Iowa State+4.045.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/18 Iowa vs Kent State-22.055.5W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/25 Iowa vs Colorado State-24.043.5W 24 - 14UN
Fri 10/1 Iowa at Maryland-3.047.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 Iowa vs Penn State-2.541.0W 23 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Iowa vs Purdue-11.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Iowa at Wisconsin+3.035.5L 7 - 27UN
Sat 11/6 Iowa at Northwestern-11.540.5W 17 - 12UN
Sat 11/13 Iowa vs Minnesota-4.037.5W 27 - 22OY
Sat 11/20 Iowa vs Illinois-12.037.5W 33 - 23ON
Fri 11/26 Iowa at Nebraska+1.541.0W 28 - 21OY
Sat 12/4 Iowa vs Michigan+12.043.5L 3 - 42ON
Sat 1/1 Iowa vs Kentucky+3.043.5L 17 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.1944%18.845%2.648144%3093.8.1744%31.842%46%3.88601.21.2
IOWA.1645%29.348%2.8317143%1983.95.0238%16.139%38%3.1739.61.12.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense618.815.843.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19
IOWA Defense816.113.738.3%3.172.3 - - - - - 49%51%39%38%17%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense631.834.443.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
IOWA Offense829.328.345.4%3.951.1203691711984.652%48%48%43%14%.16

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
Iowa829:1519.934%67%4.839.61.12.36.42.8332.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69
IOWA Defense849%39% - - - - -.022.5259%11%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
IOWA Offense852%48%37171.14.618.142.8384%9%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2
IOWA Defense851%38% - - - - - - 11.081.531%30%.156%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
IOWA Offense848%43%17.631197.66.411.295.191.231%27%.224%1.8

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Iowa: 8.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 10.3   Iowa: 11.4




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 8.2 NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4  #27
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #94
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 31
Purdue 16

Projected Total Points: 47
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Iowa20Purdue14Iowa -2.5Iowa38.5Under
202211/05Purdue3Iowa24Purdue -3.5Iowa39.5Under
202110/16Iowa7Purdue24Iowa -11Purdue42.5Under
202010/24Purdue24Iowa20Iowa -3.5Purdue52.0Under
201910/19Iowa26Purdue20Iowa -17.5Purdue47.5Under
201811/03Purdue38Iowa36Purdue -1.5Purdue51.5Over
201711/18Iowa15Purdue24Iowa -6Purdue42.5Under
201610/15Purdue35Iowa49Iowa -13Iowa52.5Over
201511/21Iowa40Purdue20Iowa -24Purdue54.5Over
201409/27Purdue10Iowa24Iowa -13.5Iowa0
201311/09Purdue14Iowa38Iowa -14Iowa0
201211/10Iowa24Purdue27
201111/19Purdue21Iowa31
200811/15Iowa22Purdue17
200710/20Purdue31Iowa6
200610/07Iowa47Purdue17
200510/08Purdue17Iowa34
200411/06Iowa23Purdue21
200311/08Purdue27Iowa14
200210/05Iowa31Purdue28
200110/06Purdue23Iowa14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa1353 Overs
Purdue866 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 93 - 82 - 51 - 3
Road Teams9 - 128 - 33 - 15 - 2

(#) PUR at (#) IOWA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURIOWA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #27
Perf GradeGrade #76 #26
OffenseOff #33 #59
DefenseDef #113 #13
Spec TeamsST #72 #20
TalentTal #46 #42
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffIOWA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #33 #13
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffIOWA Def
Run GameRun #117 #33
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #93 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #35
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePass #15 #4
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #47 #88
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Iowa on Offense
CategoryCatIOWA OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #113
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Iowa Run Game
CategoryCat
IOWA OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #113 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
Iowa Pass Game
CategoryCatIOWA OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #87 #108
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #106 #34
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Iowa -11.0 (42.5)
Purdue won at Iowa this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Purdue in 2023 (20-14)

  
PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD