Purdue at Iowa - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -11 (42.5)
Purdue 24 - Iowa: 7 (Big Ten)

Boilermakers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (21 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 22 (29 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.2 MPH
IOWA 2nd straight Home Game
PUR coming off BYE
IOWA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ IOWA -1)
Projected Score: PUR: 22 - IOWA: 23 (45)
IOWA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 256 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (171 - 106)
Avg Score : 23 - 19 (25 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
IOWA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Purdue vs Oregon State	-7.0	67.0	W 30 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Purdue at UConn	-35.0	56.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Purdue at Notre Dame	+7.5	58.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/25	Purdue vs Illinois	-10.5	53.5	W 13 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/2	Purdue vs Minnesota	-2.0	46.0	L 13 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Purdue at Iowa	+11.0	42.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Purdue vs Wisconsin	+3.5	41.0	L 13 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/30	Purdue at Nebraska	+7.5	54.0	W 28 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Purdue vs Michigan State	+2.5	53.0	W 40 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Purdue at Ohio State	+19.0	65.5	L 31 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/20	Purdue vs Northwestern	-11.0	47.5	W 32 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Purdue vs Indiana	-18.0	50.5	W 44 - 7	O	Y
Thu 12/30	Purdue vs Tennessee	+8.0	67.0	W 48 - 45	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Iowa's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Iowa vs Indiana	-3.5	45.5	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Iowa at Iowa State	+4.0	45.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Iowa vs Kent State	-22.0	55.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Iowa vs Colorado State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/1	Iowa at Maryland	-3.0	47.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Iowa vs Penn State	-2.5	41.0	W 23 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Iowa vs Purdue	-11.0	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Iowa at Wisconsin	+3.0	35.5	L 7 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/6	Iowa at Northwestern	-11.5	40.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/13	Iowa vs Minnesota	-4.0	37.5	W 27 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Iowa vs Illinois	-12.0	37.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Fri 11/26	Iowa at Nebraska	+1.5	41.0	W 28 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/4	Iowa vs Michigan	+12.0	43.5	L 3 - 42	O	N
Sat 1/1	Iowa vs Kentucky	+3.0	43.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	.23	46%	29.1	44%	2.79	84	47%	355	3.93	.17	40%	22.4	41%	38%	3.46	42.8	1.5	1.3
IOWA	.06	37%	23.4	39%	2.66	124	35%	180	3	.08	38%	19.2	39%	37%	3.91	36.1	1.4	2.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)		42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)		49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4
IOWA	#100 (.14)	42% (72)		44% (63)	2.92 (89)	185	40% (94)	121	3.77 (84)	#30 (.11)	42% (72)		46% (97)	39% (51)	3.37 (27)	26.3	0.8	1.8

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	13	29.1	29	46%	3.93	1.5	24	440	84	355	2.8	35%	64%	44%	47%	15%	.23
IOWA Defense	14	19.2	16.6	37.7%	3.91	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	39%	37%	16%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	13	22.4	23.2	39.8%	3.46	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	41%	38%	18%	.17
IOWA Offense	14	23.4	25.4	37.2%	3	1.4	17	304	124	180	3.4	52%	48%	39%	35%	17%	.06

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	13	31:57	23.9	44%	53%	4.5	42.8	1.5	1.3	5.9	1.9	1	28.1
Iowa	14	30:05	16.6	34%	31%	4.1	36.1	1.4	2.4	4.8	2.2	5	33.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	13	35%	44%	30.2	84.2	2.8	7	-.04	2.79	68%	10%	0.57
IOWA Defense	14	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.75	72%	8%	0.79

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	13	53%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.9	64%	11%	0.97
IOWA Offense	14	52%	39%	36.2	123.6	3.4	18	.04	2.66	70%	12%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	13	64%	47%	31.3	44.3	355.4	8	11.4	35	12	.39	1.5	29%	38%	.52	6%	2.1
IOWA Defense	14	52%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	25	.15	1.6	34%	29%	.27	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.25	1.8	32%	27%	.18	7%	1.9
IOWA Offense	14	48%	35%	15.9	28.9	180.1	6.2	11.4	12	11	.08	1.6	34%	28%	.2	5%	1.9

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2021 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #35
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6 #44
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: Iowa: 8.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 10.3 Iowa: 11.4

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 8.2 NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #27
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Purdue's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 23
Purdue 22

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa 21
Purdue 20

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
Iowa 24
Purdue 23

Total Points: 47

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.4
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

Iowa's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Iowa	20	Purdue	14	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	38.5	Under
2022	11/05	Purdue	3	Iowa	24	Purdue -3.5	Iowa	39.5	Under
2021	10/16	Iowa	7	Purdue	24	Iowa -11	Purdue	42.5	Under
2020	10/24	Purdue	24	Iowa	20	Iowa -3.5	Purdue	52.0	Under
2019	10/19	Iowa	26	Purdue	20	Iowa -17.5	Purdue	47.5	Under
2018	11/03	Purdue	38	Iowa	36	Purdue -1.5	Purdue	51.5	Over
2017	11/18	Iowa	15	Purdue	24	Iowa -6	Purdue	42.5	Under
2016	10/15	Purdue	35	Iowa	49	Iowa -13	Iowa	52.5	Over
2015	11/21	Iowa	40	Purdue	20	Iowa -24	Purdue	54.5	Over
2014	09/27	Purdue	10	Iowa	24	Iowa -13.5	Iowa	0
2013	11/09	Purdue	14	Iowa	38	Iowa -14	Iowa	0
2012	11/10	Iowa	24	Purdue	27
2011	11/19	Purdue	21	Iowa	31
2008	11/15	Iowa	22	Purdue	17
2007	10/20	Purdue	31	Iowa	6
2006	10/07	Iowa	47	Purdue	17
2005	10/08	Purdue	17	Iowa	34
2004	11/06	Iowa	23	Purdue	21
2003	11/08	Purdue	27	Iowa	14
2002	10/05	Iowa	31	Purdue	28
2001	10/06	Purdue	23	Iowa	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa	13	5	3 Overs
Purdue	8	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	3 - 8	2 - 5	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 12	8 - 3	3 - 1	5 - 2

(#) PUR at (#) IOWA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PUR	IOWA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#27
Perf GradeGrade	#76	#26
OffenseOff	#33	#59
DefenseDef	#113	#13
Spec TeamsST	#72	#20
TalentTal	#46	#42
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Purdue Injury Report

Iowa Injury Report

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	IOWA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#33	#13
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#44	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#117	#33
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#93	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#47	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PUR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#113
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#25
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#113	#123
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#32

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#108
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#106	#34
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 62° - Wind: 16 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Iowa -11.0 (42.5)
Purdue won at Iowa this year (24-7)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Purdue in 2023 (20-14)
Iowa beat Purdue in 2022 (24-3)

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Brad Lambert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD