Maryland at Minnesota - 2021 Matchup Preview
Maryland logo   Maryland Terrapins at Minnesota Golden Gophers  Minnesota logo
Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Minnesota -4 (53.0)
Minnesota 34 - Maryland: 16  (Big Ten)

 
Terrapins (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (9 - 17)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (18 - 22 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MINN 2nd straight Home Game
MD coming off BYE
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ MINN -8)

Projected Score: MD: 19 - MINN: 26 (45)
MINN Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MD Travel: 930 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach P. J. Fleck (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (30 - 13 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Maryland's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Maryland vs West Virginia+2.556.0W 30 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Maryland vs Howard-48.556.0W 62 - 0OY
Fri 9/17 Maryland at Illinois-7.061.5W 20 - 17UN
Sat 9/25 Maryland vs Kent State-13.071.5W 37 - 16UY
Fri 10/1 Maryland vs Iowa+3.047.5L 14 - 51ON
Sat 10/9 Maryland at Ohio State+22.071.5L 17 - 66ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Maryland at Minnesota+4.053.0L 16 - 34UN
Sat 10/30 Maryland vs Indiana-3.548.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 11/6 Maryland vs Penn State+10.056.5L 14 - 31UN
Sat 11/13 Maryland at Michigan State+11.560.0L 21 - 40ON
Sat 11/20 Maryland vs Michigan+16.058.5L 18 - 59ON
Sat 11/27 Maryland at Rutgers+2.053.0W 40 - 16OY
Wed 12/29 Maryland vs Virginia Tech-4.055.0W 54 - 10OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Minnesota's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Minnesota vs Ohio State+14.062.0L 31 - 45OY
Sat 9/11 Minnesota vs Miami (OH)-18.555.0W 31 - 26ON
Sat 9/18 Minnesota at Colorado+2.549.0W 30 - 0UY
Sat 9/25 Minnesota vs Bowling Green-30.552.5L 10 - 14UN
Sat 10/2 Minnesota at Purdue+2.046.0W 20 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Minnesota vs Nebraska+4.548.5W 30 - 23OY
Sat 10/23 Minnesota vs Maryland-4.053.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/30 Minnesota at Northwestern-7.543.5W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/6 Minnesota vs Illinois-14.544.5L 6 - 14UN
Sat 11/13 Minnesota at Iowa+4.037.5L 22 - 27ON
Sat 11/20 Minnesota at Indiana-7.543.0W 35 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+7.039.0W 23 - 13UY
Tue 12/28 Minnesota vs West Virginia-5.044.5W 18 - 6UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD.1838%23.539%2.7614339%2582.44.2142%26.546%37%4.41792.20.8
MINN.2445%2344%2.9719347%1993.91.3451%22.952%50%3.6241.110.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense523.517.538.5%2.442.2184011432584.844%56%39%39%19%.18
MINN Defense722.91350.8%3.620.9 - - - - - 53%47%52%50%12%.34
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense526.522.342.1%4.410.8 - - - - - 55%45%46%37%17%.21
MINN Offense72330.145.2%3.911223921931994.561%39%44%47%16%.24

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland524:191838%100%8.8792.20.86.62.6027.8
Minnesota733:5721.648%54%4.641.110.92.11.1026.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense544%39%29.61434.85.132.7654%12%1.28
MINN Defense753%52% - - - - .343.2583%7%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense555%46% - - - - .233.1575%10%1.08
MINN Offense761%44%42.6192.94.519.172.9768%9%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense556%39%19.231.4258.28.213.599.221.833%26%.337%2.6
MINN Defense747%50% - - - - - - 4.341.326%30%.275%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense545%37% - - - - - - 2.191.530%37%.426%1.8
MINN Offense739%47%15.326.3199.17.61375.351.626%44%.566%2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Maryland's 2021 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2  #60
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #25
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #74

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland:    Minnesota: 9.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 6.2   Minnesota: 14.4




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: 9.7 NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Minnesota's 2021 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4  #18
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #63
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.3

Maryland's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 26
Maryland 19


Projected Total Points: 45
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Minnesota's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Minnesota48Maryland23Minnesota -6.0Minnesota45.0Over
202110/23Minnesota34Maryland16Minnesota -4Minnesota53.0Under
202010/30Maryland45Minnesota44Minnesota -17.5Maryland60.5Over
201910/26Minnesota52Maryland10Minnesota -14Minnesota59.0Over
201809/22Maryland42Minnesota13Maryland -2.5Maryland46.5Over
201709/30Minnesota24Maryland31Minnesota -13.5Maryland45.0Over
201610/15Maryland10Minnesota31Maryland -3Minnesota47.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota445 Overs
Maryland332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 25 - 24 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 52 - 50 - 12 - 4

(#) MD at (#) MINN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMDMINN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #18
Perf GradeGrade #94 #6
OffenseOff #48 #7
DefenseDef #115 #30
Spec TeamsST #108 #34
TalentTal #33 #43
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Maryland on Offense
CategoryCat
MD OffMINN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #48 #30
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #8
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Maryland Run Game
CategoryCat
MD OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #31 #68
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #104 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #88
Maryland Pass Game
CategoryCat
MD OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #14 #20
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #21 #71
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCatMINN OffMD Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #7 #115
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #74
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffMD Def
Run GameRun #82 #105
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #29
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCatMINN OffMD Def
Pass GamePass #44 #104
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #28 #113
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MINN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

MD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Minnesota -4.0 (53.0)
Minnesota won vs Maryland this year (34-16)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Maryland in 2024 (48-23)

  
MD's OC Dan Enos (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MINN's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD